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Old 08-29-2007, 09:59 AM   #16
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Default Re: Mr Intensity: £1000 to .......

Good luck dude.
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Old 08-29-2007, 12:12 PM   #17
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Default Re: Mr Intensity: £1000 to .......

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nathaliia View Post
I have no idea how it works on Will Hill as I'm a betfair child nevertheless, but how does Potito affect your won matches on Clement, Sela and Granville?

I'm on Potito as well today and have just finished writing an article about him, where I was kinda spiteful towards his abilities, hopefully he won't be a jerk in return.
It's more the old fashioned way on betting, which most people frown upon these days. Basically, in the Potito bet I've done trebles from 4. So that's every combination of 3 from 4. So the bets are like this:

£50 Treble Clement, Sela, Granville
£50 Treble Clement, Sela, Potito
£50 Treble Clement, Granville, Potito
£50 Treble Sela, Granville, Potito

So obviously the first bet has won and returns £297.08. If Potito wins then all four of the bets win and the total return will be over £1200.

So basically it only really works when you get them all right, but doing 3 from 4 can give you a little profit when you get 3 right.

Hope this helps.
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Old 08-29-2007, 01:49 PM   #18
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Default Re: Mr Intensity: £1000 to .......

GL!

Hope you go well
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Old 08-29-2007, 02:10 PM   #19
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Default Re: Mr Intensity: £1000 to .......

Again, thanks for the well wishes guys

£50 Trebles from 4, William Hill

WAWRINKA v Korolev @ 1.33
SAFIN v Dancevic @ 1.57
Ivanovic v Rezai OVER 16.5 GAMES @ 1.83
Cricket: WAWRICKSHARE v Hampshire @ 2.00


I think this one should be comfortable for Wawrinka. I know Korolev won the first meeting but I’m not reading much into that as it was on grass and Wawrinka still wasn’t far into his comeback. This summer I’ve been really impressed with him, despite some tough draws he’s been putting in some good performances (especially against Hewitt) and last week was playing very well. I think he’s set up to put in a good performance today. Korolev is a player I don’t really like, and he’s struggled to get results in North America this summer (unlike at this beginning of the year). I think Wawrinka has too much class in this match up, and more Grand Slam experience and should come through. Price is a little tight, I think he should be around 1.3 so I’m willing to take this 1.33.

Yep, I’m a sucker who keeps betting on Safin. I don’t think he’s been playing too badly this summer, and at the US Open, I think he’s worth a shot. It’s bad that he’s playing at 11am, but I like that he’s on a big court and should get some atmosphere after the first hour. I think this is the type of match up Safin needs, where he should be able to control from the back and get a taget to aim at (unlike the Kiefer match where he had to grind and he isn’t playing well enough for that). I’m not a Dancevic fan, and although he has come through qualifying he did have a few problems. He has limited Grand Slam experience and I have to take Safin in this one.

This just seems like a strange number. Venus is a bigger price to win her match but the over/under quote is 18.5 games. I know Ivanovic won 6-1 6-1 in the first round but this is a much bigger challenge. Rezai reached the fourth round here last year and I’m sure she can manage the 5 games required for the over.

Wawrickshare have problems recently but I don’t think they are a terrible side and I think this is a great chance for them to get a win today. Hampshire are without Warne, Pieterson, Tremlett and Mascarenas and the side looks a little thin. Hampshire have lost there last two Pro40 games and I think they’ll struggle again today.
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Old 08-29-2007, 02:17 PM   #20
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Nice start. Used to enjoy reading your analysis at Punter's Lounge btw. (pretty safe to assume you're the same guy) Hope this goes well for you.....
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Old 08-29-2007, 02:18 PM   #21
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Default Re: Mr Intensity: £1000 to .......

Your name gives me a little chuckle every day. and you live up to it! Good luck mate
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Old 08-29-2007, 02:22 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Henry Chinaski View Post
Nice start. Used to enjoy reading your analysis at Punter's Lounge btw. (pretty safe to assume you're the same guy) Hope this goes well for you.....


Ssssshhhhhh
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Old 08-29-2007, 02:23 PM   #23
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Default Re: Mr Intensity: £1000 to .......

Thanks for explaination, this looks like a nice way of betting, especially that it's usually just one badman who spoils a parlay, while here you have the chance for winning anyway.

Just your Safin worries me a bit as I planned on Frank, and your tennis bets seem very reasonable. I'm on Wawrinka as well, as much as I adore Korolev (my "adopted child" ), he shouldn't have a chance here, objectively speaking. Also a nicely looking line of games on Ivanovic: Rezai is absolutely capable of winning 5 games.

Cricket.. uhhh you must be British or something to bet on cricket .
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Old 08-29-2007, 02:28 PM   #24
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Don;t let me put you off Dancevic, I've been losing on Safin most of the year! But this match just seems similar to the one against Qureshi at Wimbledon where there was a lot of talk about Safin struggling and Qureshi almost became a public play. I still think Safin has a lot to offer, especially in Slams and this has probably been his focus for quite a while, and Dancevic probably had that feeling in Montreal.
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Old 08-29-2007, 04:16 PM   #25
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£50 Trebles from 4, William Hill

Fish v Echagaray OVER 36.5 GAMES @ 1.83
Nadal v Jones UNDER 30.5 GAMES @ 1.83
GINEPRI v Rochus @ 1.61
CORNET v Wozniacki @ 1.83


Fish struggling with injury and isn’t the type to break often anyway. I think he might not push 100% at least initially and that makes the first set more likely to go to a breaker. I’d also fancy Fish to lose a set at least here making the over very likely. Don’t know too much about Echagaray but he’s come through qualifying so confidence should be up and he must be playing pretty well. I’d probably have this number at 39.5 so I’m happy to be on the under here.

Poor Alan Jones! I think he’s there for a real thumping today. Nadal not the type to cruise to 6-3 or 6-4 and first match up I think he’ll want to put down a marker. Not too much to say about this, it’s just how easily Nadal can get onto the Jones and I expect it to be over quickly.

This looks a pretty tough match but I’d favour Ginepri. Both these guys are having very poor years but Ginepri for me has been showing more signs of improvement. We all know he tends to produce his best stuff in this tournament and I think he’ll come through, probably in 4 tough sets.

The battle of the 17 year olds and on paper it does look very close to call. Wozniacki had a battle in the last round in a match I think she was expected to win pretty comfortably so perhaps she isn’t playing too well. But I do like Cornet in this situation. She’s come through qualifying and the first round against Stosur very comfortably and because of that I make her a decent favourite in this match. H2H is 1-0 to Wozniacki but that was on clay and so early in there careers I don’t think it will have too much influence.
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Old 08-29-2007, 07:27 PM   #26
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£200 Double William Hill

SAN FRANCISCO v Colorado @ 2.05
TORONTO @ Oakland @ 1.60


Giants look very good to me here. On a great run, going for a sweep, make this home dog look appealing. Also Colorado are a definate public play today and I don't like it. Bonds is likely to be rested but that doesn't really put me off. Both pitchers have been struggling a bit lately but Colorados bats are cold and I see San Fran as more likely to take advantage today.

Toronto are going for a road sweep with Halladay on the mound they have a great chance. He's struggled to get a win away from home latelybut he's been pitchng well and I think he'll be solid tonight. DiNardo had a nightmare in his last start and his career numbers against Toronto are bad, hopefully he'll give up a few.
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Old 08-29-2007, 08:15 PM   #27
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In play

£200 HENMAN v Tursunov @ 2.5 William Hill

Wow! Tim's just taken the first set, and he's looked very good so far. Maybe it's my heart ruling my head, but I think he can keep this up. Come on Tim!
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Old 08-29-2007, 10:03 PM   #28
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Struggling today!

MLB:

£50 Trebles from 4, William Hill

FLORIDA v Atlanta @ 1.86
BOSTON @ Yankees @ 1.90
CINCINATTI @ Pittsburgh @ 1.86
PHILIDELPHIA v Mets @ 2.05


Give Florida the edge in the starting pitcher tonight and a few other things in there favour. Braves can’t afford to lose a series against a team like Florida and I the way they’ve been mixing things up lately seems a little desperate. Smoltz couldn’t get the win last night and I really can’t see Carlyle doing any better. He’s been beaten up in his last few starts with an 8.79ERA in his last 3 starts. Willis starts for Florida and he’s much more solid, and I expect a decent outing from him. Also the Braves on a long road trip, where they’ve started each series well then fell away – expect the same tonight.

Beckett is simply awesome on the road and gives the Red Sox a definite edge in pitching tonight. Yankees won last night but I still think the Red Sox bats are hot and expect a few runs from them tonight. Yankees are almost always over rated and I see the value in the Red Sox tonight.

Pittsburgh going for the sweep but it’ll be tough for them tonight. Harang is very solid and the form Cincinatti have shown this month doesn’t go saway in 2 games and I expect a big effort from them to avoid the sweep.

The Mets, and in particular there bullpen, have been struggling recently. They are going to rely on Perez going long tonight and coming off his best start of the season I’m not sure he can back it up. Philies are playing really well and getting back into the hunt for the NL East and a win here would be huge for there momentum against divisional rivals. Lot’s of factors make this home dog appealing.
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Old 08-29-2007, 10:25 PM   #29
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In play

£200 ROLLE v Kanepi @ 3.00 William Hill
Rolle playing pretty well now, and I think has a good chance of coming back.


£200 GONZALEZ v Gabashvili @ 3.25 William Hill

I've seem Gonzo play horrendously then suddenly find form from nowhere. Against a player like Gab it's definately possible.
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Old 08-30-2007, 08:46 AM   #30
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Stinking day yesterday, can't believe how many shocking performances I was on. Anyway, still up from where I started, so it's not too bad.

£50 Trebles from 4, William Hill

STARACE v Gulbis @ 2.1 LOST
CLEMENT v Karlovic @ 2.25 WON
SELA v Lapentti @ 1.53 WON
GRANVILLE v Sanchez @ 1.72 WON

Returned £297.95


£50 Trebles from 4, William Hill

WAWRINKA v Korolev @ 1.33 WON
SAFIN v Dancevic @ 1.57 WON
Ivanovic v Rezai OVER 16.5 GAMES @ 1.83 LOST
Cricket: WAWRICKSHARE v Hampshire @ 2.00 LOST

Returned £0


£50 Trebles from 4, William Hill

Fish v Echagaray OVER 36.5 GAMES @ 1.83 LOST
Nadal v Jones UNDER 30.5 GAMES @ 1.83 LOST
GINEPRI v Rochus @ 1.61 WON
CORNET v Wozniacki @ 1.83 WON

Returned £0


£200 Double William Hill

SAN FRANCISCO v Colorado @ 2.05 LOST
TORONTO @ Oakland @ 1.60 LOST

Returned £0


£200 HENMAN v Tursunov @ 2.5 William Hill WON Returned £500


£50 Trebles from 4, William Hill

FLORIDA v Atlanta @ 1.86 LOST
BOSTON @ Yankees @ 1.90 LOST
CINCINATTI @ Pittsburgh @ 1.86 WON
PHILIDELPHIA v Mets @ 2.05 WON

Returned £0


£200 ROLLE v Kanepi @ 3.00 William Hill WON Returned £600


£200 GONZALEZ v Gabashvili @ 3.25 William Hill LOST Returned £0


Starting Bank: £1000
Current Bank: £1216.78
Selections W/L: 16/16
Total Staked: £2600
Yield: 8.34%


Need a good day today!
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