Isn't Muller a little bit low ( 1.35 ) having played a 5+ hour match yesterday? I didn't know he's a top player at this stage
Can somebody explain that price?
S.Mirza +4.5 over Petrova @ $1.85
Dokic vs Chakvadtaze =3 sets Played @ $2.20
Knapp over Voskoebova @ $2.10
Sugiyama Vs Dechy =3 sets played @ $2.40
Kleybanova 2-0 over Aloro @ $1.70
Hanthucova 2-0 over Johansson @ $1.55
Santoro+2.5 sets over Kohlshreiber @ $1.80 (POD)
GGL +2.5 sets over Safin @ $1.80
Baghdatis over Soderling @ $2.20
Tipsarevic+2.5 sets over Cilic @ $1.43
Tipsarevic over Cilic @ $2.80
Troiki+2.5 sets over Robredo @ $1.43
Ferrer vs Hrbaty over 38.5 games @ $1.90
nice calls Ivan, I'm changing my view in Soda-Bagga match: earlier I was on Soda, then I remembered the swede hates windy conditions...when the match is scheduled?
cheers guys, im gonna leave it because ive heard some things about this kid, sounds like a wonderkid and under lights in australia i think i will pass.
Bolelli may be able to take a set but Fish is very good on hardcourts when he is 100percent and i know Bilbo said Bolelli is horrible on hard i wouldnt go that far but for me he hasent proved he is great so why should he now!
I like pretty much all your plays Ivan- may tail you on a few
Pironkova tb Bartoli 4/10 @ 2.75 ( 888 Sports )
Best WTA bet by far if you ask me. Bartoli is a horrible player to play and this is where her strength lies. She adjusts well to opponents and always tries to break them down. She also has many downswings however and always suffer in the hot and humid Australian conditions. Her recent Brisbane final doesn't say much looking at who she has beaten and the way she did it. Pironkova looked very good in her first round and is a nice attacking player who will be able to take advantage of the weak Bartoli serve, especially the second one. Bartoli leads the h2h 2-0 but Pironkova should have won the last encounter, getting a set and break lead. Much closer than the odds suggest.
Tipsarevic tb Cilic 4/10 @ 3/11 and 4/10 Tipsarevic +1.5 set @ 2.04 ( 10bet and 188bet )
Tipsy had his regular poor display as a huge fav and this isn't even strange anymore. Bookies still reacted a lot to this if you ask me but this match is something different. Both the Croats and the Serbians have massive support in melbourne and with the big tension always surrounding this it's almost a Davis Cup-like athmosphere I expect. Tipsy is at his best during the big matches and this is one of them. He is the better player, looking at his package of strokes and pure quality but Cilic has the mental edge. If tennis prevails here the Serbian should take the match. He should be able to dictate rallies when they go to the backhand side and has has the stuff to take advantage of the weaker second serve of Cilic. The +1.5 set is a bet I like a lot as well so it's somewhat of a cover in case it goes to 5 as well. Cilic won their only encounter 2 weeks ago in India with 6-4 0-6 and 6-4 and another tight affair is expected. No way Cilic should be this low.
Hrbaty tb Ferrer 4/10 @ 2.6 ( Betfair (netto of fees) )
Already 7 encounters between these guys with Ferrer leading 4-3 with 3 gravel matches in there as well. The last encounter was in 2006 so I won't value this too much though. Hrbaty seems reborn. He showed class to overcome Isner relatively easily and beating a player of his type always shows that confidence and focus are on. He was great at the Hopman Cup and from what I've heard he was by far the best qualifier as well here. Ferrer on the other hand is nothing of what he was 2 years ago. The quick and agile player who never made UE's turned into a hot or cold player with way too many swings in his play and less quick as well, which Gremelmayr proved with his many dropshots. 68UE against the German is simply incredible, especially for Ferrer and the Dom should take full advantage of this. What remains without Ferrer's previous strong points is just a mediocre player without any real weapons and a poor serve.
This is a grand slam which means Soderling is likely to play 50% lower than his usual level while Baggy will play 50% above. The courts might not be fast enough for the Toad's liking and he's the one most likely to lose patience in the longer rallies. There has also been a bit of wind swirling about the past few days and if that continues it will be to Baggy's advantage.
4u 2.4
Hrbaty over Ferrer
The Slovak warrior will present Ferrer with a lot of problems in this match up. Ferrer isn't as consistent from the baseline as he used to be and against a solid defender is likely to come up with a lot of errors. Hrbaty's confidence is sky-high right now. He has won 4 matches here, won the hopman cup and successfully proposed to his old lady all in the last few weeks.
Not much value here I have to be honest and it should be a tough battle but Tipsy can struggle in the heat and I'm not sure how much he'll have left in the tank. Cilic is turning into a very solid player in slams and I see him going deep here
5u 1.48
Mugtiples:
Kohli x Cilic x PHM
Not sure about this one but I've played it now. All 3 very capable of losing but Kohli should have too much power for Santoro while Delic is very lucky to be here scraping past part-timer Dent having been trounced by Mayer
1.22 X 1.4 x 1.22
3u
Muller x Roddick x Berdych x Djokovic x Stan
slowly undoing the damage of last week. might include the extra 2.5u I should have but for posting an incorrect stake, beg for forgiveness and promise it won't happen again. This is the only place I'm keeping a record so it'd be more accurate for my own benefit and save me having to add it on to every post in my head all season
Missed out on vaidisova again, the girl has been a gamblers dream in the last year.
Books still favour her too, its amazing really.
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