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Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014 (Winner: cinnabar)

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#1 · (Edited)
Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014



Read the whole Suicide Tennis Rules and ask questions about them here.

1. Each day of play you must pick 1 winner playing an ATP main draw singles match. Of course, the player that you choose is playing one match scheduled to be played that day (as seen on the order of play).

2. Once you pick someone, you cannot choose them again for the rest of the tournament. So, you don't want to waste your pick on Federer or Nadal to win in early round matches.

3. You must choose one player to win each day. If you forget, are sick, or are unable to reach a computer, it will be treated as a wrong pick, and you will be out of the tournament. You have to submit your own pick, no one else can submit your pick for you.

4. Only in the case of a walkover or a withdrawal of your main pick or your main pick's opponent, each player is allowed to have a back-up pick, selected at the same time as their initial pick. That back-up pick will only be used in the occurrence of a walkover or withdrawal, as stated above. Retirements do count as completed matches.

Replacement picks must be identified like this:

Code:
Pick: Rafael Nadal
Back-Up Pick: Kenny de Schepper
You can put BU instead of Back-Up Pick if you want, in fact you can use any expression if your picks selection is accurate. Make it clear and try to do it all in one post!

5. No commitments are necessary! If you wish to participate, just post your Day 1 pick in the correct time. New players are ALWAYS welcome!

6. Once the order of play is released, it will be added IN THIS THREAD, right below, to facilitate your choices. Each day, this post will be updated with its respective order of play.

NOTE: You can't pick a player from a match scheduled for the previous day and postponed for the next due to rain or darkness! Choose only from the matches posted in the OOP here for the concrete day!

7. Picks will be acceptable until before the start of the FIRST match each day.

8. The scoring system will be as follows:

Code:
Losing Pick on Day 1: 1
Losing Pick on Day 2: 10
Losing Pick on Day 3: 25
Losing Pick on Day 4: 50
Losing Pick on Day 5: 100
Losing Pick on Day 6: 180
Losing Pick on Day 7: 300
Winning the title: 500
9. NEVER EDIT YOUR PICK. If you change your mind, you must first "quote" your original pick in a new post and enter your new pick there.

10. This thread is not made to complain about format, points, etc. There's http://www.menstennisforums.com/showthread.php?t=210369 created for that.

IMPORTANT: If the board goes down as it has happened before or it goes very slow then send you should create a Pastebin link with your picks. You must submit your pick and save the Pastebin link until the board works again, then you should send me the link with your pick publishing it in this thread or via PM. I talked about Pastebin because I can see when the picks were submitted but if there is another popular website with a similar functionality I will accept them as well (after I check that it is impossible to modify the date when the picks where submitted).

Best wishes and good luck,

Ramon
 
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#2 · (Edited)
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

Be careful of the edit bug error and quote my message if you see it very old and without a daily update after it was supposed to have one.

Management spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v77u2M02DdK0aE1PSqvliPtrm-SI-NOFUP-eIlGU9iE/edit?usp=sharing

ST Survivors - Hamburg 2014
Total of survivors: 0 out of 58 (on Day 7)

Survivors of Day 6: http://i58.tinypic.com/our3fc.png
Survivors of Day 5: http://i61.tinypic.com/29ux82r.png
Survivors of Day 4: http://i59.tinypic.com/33adv6o.png
Survivors of Day 3: http://i61.tinypic.com/5czksm.png
Survivors of Day 2: http://i61.tinypic.com/2wo9jf6.png
Survivors of Day 1: http://i61.tinypic.com/2uqd937.png
 
#3 · (Edited)
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

Be careful of the edit bug error and quote my message if you see it very old and without a daily update after it was supposed to have one.

Management spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v77u2M02DdK0aE1PSqvliPtrm-SI-NOFUP-eIlGU9iE/edit?usp=sharing

Suicides - Hamburg 2014
Total of suicides: 58 out of 58

Day 7 [300 points]

Total of suicides: 1 out of 1



Day 6 [180 points]

Total of suicides: 3 out of 4



Day 5 [100 points]

Total of suicides: 0 out of 4

Day 4 [50 points]

Total of suicides: 5 out of 9



Day 3 [25 points]

Total of suicides: 21 out of 30



Day 2 [10 points]

Total of suicides: 5 out of 35



Day 1 [1 point]

Total of suicides: 23 out of 58

 
#177 ·
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

Just quoting the post to see the full update :)

Be careful of the edit bug error and quote my message if you see it very old and without a daily update after it was supposed to have one.

Management spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v77u2M02DdK0aE1PSqvliPtrm-SI-NOFUP-eIlGU9iE/edit?usp=sharing

Suicides - Hamburg 2014
Total of suicides: 58 out of 58

Day 7 [300 points]

Total of suicides: 1 out of 1



Day 6 [180 points]

Total of suicides: 3 out of 4



Day 5 [100 points]

Total of suicides: 0 out of 4

Day 4 [50 points]

Total of suicides: 5 out of 9



Day 3 [25 points]

Total of suicides: 21 out of 30



Day 2 [10 points]

Total of suicides: 5 out of 35



Day 1 [1 point]

Total of suicides: 23 out of 58

 
#4 · (Edited)
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

Be careful of the edit bug error and quote my message if you see it very old and without a daily update after it was supposed to have one.

Management spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v77u2M02DdK0aE1PSqvliPtrm-SI-NOFUP-eIlGU9iE/edit?usp=sharing

Picks Summary - Hamburg 2014

Day 7
Survivors: 0/1

Picked Players: No pick (1)​

Day 6
Survivors: 1/4

Picked Players: Zverev (3), Ferrer (1)​

Day 5
Survivors: 4/4

Picked Players: Mayer (2), Kohlschreiber (1), Zverev (1)​

Day 4
Survivors: 4/9

Picked Players: Dolgopolov (3), Ferrer (2), Giraldo (2), Mayer (2)


Day 3
Survivors: 9/30

Picked Players: Delbonis (10), Kohlschreiber (6), Berlocq (3), Fognini (3), Youzhny (2), Andujar (1), Lajovic (1), Monaco (1), Seppi (1), No Pick (2)


Day 2
Survivors: 30/35

Picked Players: Klizan (9), Mayer (7), Rosol (6), Monaco (3), Ramos Vinolas (3), Robredo (3), Giraldo (1), Janowicz (1), No Pick (2)


Day 1
Survivors: 35/58

Picked Players: Lajovic (17), Andujar (15), Carreno Busta (12), Montanes (4), Golubev (2), Nieminen (2), Struff (2), Gimeno Traver (1), Kukushkin(1), Thiem (1), Vesely(1)

 
#5 · (Edited)
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

Be careful of the edit bug error and quote my message if you see it very old and without a daily update after it was supposed to have one.

Management spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v77u2M02DdK0aE1PSqvliPtrm-SI-NOFUP-eIlGU9iE/edit?usp=sharing

Statistics - Hamburg 2014
Overall Statistics

Day 2


Day 1

Average of the odds of the picked players: 85.27/58 = 1.470172
Number of players picking an underdog: 1 (Caio_Brasil)
Probability of succeed of the group of alive players: 1/1.470172 = 0.68019252169
Expected number of ST players to survive: 58*0.68019252169 = 39 players (35 players survived, so that is a fair approximation)

 
#6 · (Edited)
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

Be careful of the edit bug error and quote my message if you see it very old and without a daily update after it was supposed to have one.

Management spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v77u2M02DdK0aE1PSqvliPtrm-SI-NOFUP-eIlGU9iE/edit?usp=sharing

Order of Play (OOP)

Sunday 20th July 2014 - Seventh day of play:

Play to start at: 15:00h

Code:
David Ferrer vs Leonardo Mayer
Saturday 19th July 2014 - Sixth day of play:

Play to start at: 15:30h

Code:
Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Leonardo Mayer
David Ferrer vs Alexander Zverev
Friday 18th July 2014 - Fifth day of play:

Play to start at: 12:00pm

Code:
Tobias Kamke vs Alexander Zverev
Leonardo Mayer vs Dusan Lajovic
David Ferrer vs Pablo Andujar
Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Lukas Rosol
Thursday 17th July 2014 - Fourth day of play:

Play to start at: 10:30am

Code:
Dominic Thiem vs Leonardo Mayer
Alexandr Dolgopolov vs Tobias Kamke
Santiago Giraldo vs Alexander Zverev
David Ferrer vs Andreas Seppi
Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Gilles Simon
Dusan Lajovic vs Filip Krajinovic
Dustin Brown vs Pablo Andujar
Lukas Rosol vs Tommy Robredo
Wednesday 16th July 2014 - Third day of play:

Play to start at: 10:30am

Code:
Tobias Kamke vs Federico Delbonis
Filip Krajinovic vs Fabio Fognini
Alexander Zverev vs Mikhail Youzhny
Fernando Verdasco vs Dustin Brown
Philipp Kohlschreiber vs Gastao Elias
Leonardo Mayer vs Guillermo Garcia Lopez
Alexandr Dolgopolov vs Jerzy Janowicz
Juan Monaco vs Andreas Seppi
Martin Klizan vs Gilles Simon
Joao Sousa vs Lukas Rosol
Carlos Berlocq vs Dusan Lajovic
Pablo Andujar vs Thomaz Bellucci
Tuesday 15th July 2014 - Second day of play:

Play to start at: 10:30am

Code:
Jerzy Janowicz vs Albert Ramos Vinolas
Peter Gojowczyk vs Leonardo Mayer
Alexander Zverev vs Robin Haase
Julian Reister vs Lukas Rosol
David Ferrer vs Mikhail Kukushkin
Pere Riba vs Juan Monaco
Marcel Granollers vs Dominic Thiem
Daniel Gimeno Traver vs Tommy Robredo
Igor Sijsling vs Martin Klizan
Santiago Giraldo vs Benoit Paire
Monday 14th July 2014 - First day of play:

Play to start at: 10:30am

Code:
Andrey Golubev vs Benoit Paire
Jiri Vesely vs Dominic Thiem
Tobias Kamke vs Jarkko Nieminen
Filip Krajinovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Pablo Carreno Busta vs Dustin Brown
Dusan Lajovic vs Kenny de Schepper
Mate Delic vs Pablo Andujar
Daniel Gimeno Traver vs Teymuraz Gabashvili
Gastao Elias vs Albert Montanes
Mikhail Kukushkin vs Marsel Ilhan
 
#12 ·
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

Day 1: Carreno Busta
BU: Vesely
 
#13 ·
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

Day 1: Carreno Busta
BU: Vesely
 
#14 ·
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

OOP is out. You can find it in the management messages at the top of the thread but I copy it here again.

Order of Play (OOP)

Monday 14th July 2014 - First day of play:

Play to start at: 10:30am

Code:
Andrey Golubev vs Benoit Paire
Jiri Vesely vs Dominic Thiem
Tobias Kamke vs Jarkko Nieminen
Filip Krajinovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Pablo Carreno Busta vs Dustin Brown
Dusan Lajovic vs Kenny de Schepper
Mate Delic vs Pablo Andujar
Daniel Gimeno Traver vs Teymuraz Gabashvili
Gastao Elias vs Albert Montanes
Mikhail Kukushkin vs Marsel Ilhan
 
#16 ·
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

Day 1: Andujar
Back up: Montanes
 
#18 ·
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

Day 1 Andujar
BU Kukushkin
 
#22 ·
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

D1: Lajovic
BU: Carreno-Busta
 
#23 ·
Re: Suicide Tennis - Hamburg 2014

Day 1: Andujar
BU: Montanes
 
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