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Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
Just because you're from the Netherlands you think you know it all?
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No, it's because the nonsense I read here. Just from this thread only:
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
Just the two plays for the outright.
9.5 units Evans over Valverde @ $1.91
.5 units Gerdemann to win @ $41
Good luck!
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Valverde may be in good form and not racing next month, but Evans creams him in the the time trial. Evans will come runner up again. Though Valverde will be determined, I can't see him featuring top 2 and Evans will come runner up.
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How can you state the above, regarding Valverde owned Evans in the TT's last year here (which he indeed didn't do this year), and go against someone who most probably isn't allowed to ride the Tour, taking someone who is here to finetune his form and see where it gets him.
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Gerdemann is in good form. A handy price for a handy rider.
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Great price indeed for someone who was never gonna take part here, 0,5 units down the drain before the race even started.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
5 units Devolder over Cobo @ $2.13
An interest bet to say the least. A reasonable sum of money on him too. Devolder should be too good for Cobo one would suspect. Devolder is the better climber and better time trialist. Quick Step have been quiet of late and with the Boonen troubles, I expect Stijn to deliver the goods.
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Devolder states that he is here to train and that he won't be going for the GC and you come up with this? Against someone who isn't racing even.
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Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
fuck me evans is in some fine form.
5 units Boonen @ $2.15 - should be straightforward. He only has chavanel, steegmens and vaitkus to contend with.
probably my last play on Dauphine. I'm eagerly awaiting Switzerland.
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Taking Boonen around evens here while on his first stage since Paris-Roubaix and the whole coke-thing afterwards (of which he is probably cleared now by the way).
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Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
7 units contador up ventoux.
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While you state earlier Contador might be here to prepare himself for July, you're throwing 7 units on him here, while he even showed in the TT's his form wasn't where it should be to win?
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Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
Regarding the prologue.
1 unit play on Martin @ $5 - fade Cancellara at all costs.
Good luck!
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Why fading Cancellara who rides his home Tour here and stated in all media - even his homepage - that he was back to his old form again? More important: why taking Martin to win this thing?
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Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
Stage 1 - Can't see why I can't double up my units.
6 units on Tony Martin top 3 @ $2.20
Good luck!
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Yes, why not? Martin has been a machine in short TT's hasn't he?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
Fuck, this is turning to be shit.
Anyway the Swiss stage tonight.
3 units Kreuziger top 3 @ $4.20
Good luck!
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Taking Kreuziger for a podium finish in a semi-sprinter stage, you can rather give your money to the poor if you want to get rid of it.
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Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
Stage 4 in Dauphine
Too much for the sprinters to handle. An outside category and another climb less than 50km from the end.
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Wrong again. Would have been a sprint finish if it weren't for all the teams (except Rabobank) present in the break.
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Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi
Okay - It's time Kreuziger makes his move.
2.5 units Kreuziger to win @ $8.50
.5 units Gerdemenn to win @ $41
Regarding H2H
3 units - Kirchen @ $1.87 over A Schleck
5 units - Kreuziger @ $1.76 over F Schleck
5 units - Gerdemann @ $1.71 over Hesjedal
2 units - Martin @ $2.10 over Cancellara
Kreuziger is here to win. Gerdemann should be too strong for the climber. Martin will be too strong for Cancellara and Kirchen should be too strong for A Schleck! A Schleck is here for Tour de France prep only. He's done what he needs to do. Frank is here to win so Schleck will take it easy. Kirchen needs to prove to Team Columbia he's strong enough to lead them in July.
Good luck!
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Are you obsessed by Kreuziger? Why would he make his move here with the last 3 kilometers being nearly flat and the climbs not hard/long enough to create a decent gap?
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You have come in here and criticised someone when you don't have the balls to post plays?
Bring it on bitch!
Tour de France challenge. Right here!
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Ok for me. My profit of +184 units over the last two Tour de Frances (live-bets excluded) makes me confident enough to take on the challenge. But since this thread is about the Dauphiné, Suisse and the nationals I'll update this thread with my bets for these races:
Dauphiné
Overall GC:
Valverde over Basso @ 1,71 (4/10) - won
Contador over Evans @ 1,71 (4/10) - lost
Efimkin over Trofimov @ 1,57 (4/10) - won
Moinard over Pineau @ 1,70 (4/10) - won
Astarloza over Dessel x Gesink over Zubeldia @ 2,01 (3/10) - won
Nibali over Devolder @ 1,70 (6/10) - won
Astarloza over Fuglsang @ 1,60 (4/10) - won
Van den Broeck over Garate @ 1,85 (4/10) - won
Stage 1:
Coppel over Lang @ 2,00 (5/10) - won
Valverde over Rabon @ 1,66 (4/10) - won
Stage 4:
Valverde over Nibali @ 1,55 (8/10) - won
Millar over Gutierrez @ 1,75 (3/10) - won
Clement over Lang @ 1,45 (7/10) - won
Stage 5:
Contador over Basso x Gesink to beat Zubeldia @ 1,66 (5/10) - lost
Martin over Fuglsang @ 1,85 (4/10) - lost
Dessel over Di Gregorio @ 1,85 (3/10) - lost
Stage 6:
Valverde over Gesink @ 1,45 (5/10) - won
Evans over Contador @ 1,65 (3/10) - lost
Nibali over Anton @ 1,45 (3/10) - won
Stage 7:
Gesink over Fuglsang @ 1,55 (6/10) - won
Hernandez over Uran @ 1,65 (3/10) - won
Nibali over Astarloza @ 1,77 (8/10) - won
Suisse:
Overall GC:
Karpets over Larsson @ 1,85 (5/10)
Cunego over Albasini @ 2,00 (4/10)
F. Schleck over Gomez Marchante @ 1,57 (4/10)
Gerdemann over Dekker @ 1,57 (4/10)
Cunego over Gomez Marchante @ 1,85 (2/10)
Karpets over Martin @ 1,40 (4/10)
Klöden over A. Schleck (GC) x Cancellara over Hushovd (stage 1) @ 2,06 (5/10)
Kreuziger to win @ 4,00 (4/10)
Stage 1:
Kreuziger over Gerdemann @ 1,70 (6/10) - won
Cancellara over Martin @ 1,55 (4/10) - won
Boom over Hincapie @ 1,75 (3/10) - lost
Chavanel over Casar @ 1,57 (3/10) - won
Haussler over Freire @ 1,90 (3/10) - won
Stage 2:
Any other rider to win (any other than listed by bookie) @ 1,95 (6/10) - won
Stage 2 winner - Freire/Haussler @ 11,00/17,00 (1,5 units both) - lost
Stage 3:
Van Avermaet over Nuyens @ 1,67 (6/10) - won
Stage 4:
Cavendish to win @ 3,50 (4/10) - lost
Van Avermaet over Pozzato @ 1,57 (4/10) - lost
Stage 5:
Klöden over Barredo @ 1,52 (6/10) - won
Cunego over Gomez Marchante @ 1,65 (4/10) - won
Kirchen over A. Schleck @ 1,95 (3/10) - won
Casar over Weening @ 1,65 (3/10) - won
Gomez Marchante over Cobo @ 2,00 (4/10) - lost
Karpets over Danielson @ 1,52 (7/10) - won
Stage 6:
Cavendish to win @ 2,75 (4/10)
Hushovd over Ciolek @ 1,75 (4/10)
Van Avermaet over Mondory @ 1,71 (2/10)