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Old 04-24-2009, 01:39 PM   #16
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Default Re: Favourites Friday?

Nice start again 2day.. 2/2 @1,88 + @1,65

Quote:
Originally Posted by -LOVETENNIS- View Post
Maybe Friday is like Thursday.. (I hope)

But I dont feel the vibe like yesterday.. Where I was feeling it from the sec I woke up..

Davydenko vs Stepanek over 22,5 @1.88
Robredo vs Ferrer over 22,5 @1,92
Gonzalez tb Verdasco @2,60
Gonzalez vs Verdasco over 22,5 @1,90

Small bets on over 9,5 games i 1.set in theese 3 games

Davydenko vs Stepanek @1,65
Robredo vs Ferrer @1,65
Gonzalez vs Verdasco @1,65
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Old 04-24-2009, 02:09 PM   #17
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Default Re: Favourites Friday?

GONZALEZ @ 2.5
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Old 04-24-2009, 03:13 PM   #18
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Default Re: Favourites Friday?

Challenger Tallahassee

Isner bt Udomchoke @ $1.55

gl
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Old 04-24-2009, 06:33 PM   #19
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Default Re: Favourites Friday?

Another good day at the office.

W

L

W

W



W

L

L

Only one thing to say : Thanx Gonzo!!

Already looking forward to next Gonzo game.. Should be a good one..

Saturday says Gonzo + Over and Nadal vs davydenko Over.

Quote:
Originally Posted by -LOVETENNIS- View Post
Nice start again 2day.. 2/2 @1,88 + @1,65
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Old 04-24-2009, 06:42 PM   #20
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Default Re: Favourites Friday?

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Gonzo @ +140
Won
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Old 04-24-2009, 06:47 PM   #21
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Default Re: Favourites Friday?

Once a mug always a mug eh Verdasco.

Can't believe he lost that.
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Old 04-24-2009, 07:04 PM   #22
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Default Re: Favourites Friday?

Quote:
Originally Posted by desigundah View Post
Nikolay Davydenko 1.59 over Radek Stepanek

You can't help but give Davydenko a ton of credit. After being stripped of the chance to defend his title in Miami, Davydenko bounced back impressively with a quarterfinal appearance in Monte Carlo where he would've had a great shot at advancing to the semis if it were not for a tough break in scheduling that made him play Murray after a grueling victory over Nalbandian. This week has been more of the same as Davydenko has carried on with that never quit attitude and has positioned himself to make a SF showing.

Radek Stepanek has bounced back well this week after a tough first round loss to Lapentti in Monte Carlo last week. The enigmatic Czechman has needed 3 setters to get to this point but has showed some resilicieny to set up this encounter

Stepanek is such an up and down guy but when hes on hes as dangerous as anyone in the world. These two have met 7 times with Stepanek holding a 4-3 edge including 3 in a row. They've split two meetings on clay but I think today Kolya will be too much for him. The only downer? My book places no action on wagers where anyone retires and I think that its possible Stepanek could tank if things dont go well for him early on as he may have his eyes set on defending his appearance in the final of Rome last year and I'm almost confident he probably won't play/finish the match against Nadal in case he does advance.

Tommy Robredo 2.52 over David Ferrer

Ferrer, after his nice performance in Dubai, has been solid but not much more since. Some thought that he would return to his top 10 form after working things out in his personal life but Ferrer has struggled this year against top 20 opponents. Last week in a similar matchup, fellow Spaniard Fernando Verdasco took Ferru to the woodshed to secure his spot in the Quarters.

Robredo on the other hand has been excellent all season long. Tommy struggles on hard courts, but Tommy has rededicated himself and this has netted in 2 clay court titles already this season and a powerful 17-3 record on the surface.

These two have met 5 times, 4 on clay and that is a dead even 2-2. Last year when they met in Barcelona, it took Ferrer, who was in much better form, 2 tough sets to knock out his compatriot. This time around, I think Robredo will get his revenge as Ferrer has struggled all week and has been pretty uninspiring on the clay this season (aside from his dominant Davis Cup performance against a tanking Djokovic). Robredo for me, too much value.


Fernando Gonzalez 2.54 over Fernando Verdasco

Fernando Gonzalez has had yet another solid season. After starting the year off with a splash, an extremely impressive victory over Gasquet in front of a frenzied crowd in Melbourne, Gonzalez then proceeded to win another title on his home soil winning Vina Del Mar with relative ease. He even took a set off of Federer in Indian Wells before succombing to the world #2 in the decider and has breezed to the Quarters this week.

Fernando Verdasco has had his best season as a professional. The Spaniard sports a 17-5 record including having made atleast the quarters of every tournament he's played in. After he makes the quarters, however, Verdasco has been suspect at times. He was awful in Indian Wells against Federer, he sadly airmailed the match a couple weeks later in Miami against Murray, and then last week against Djokovic in the quarters he looked absolutely awful. Verdasco has built on last years results but its still in question whether or not he's top 5 caliber.

The head to head between the 2 is 2-2, 1-1 on clay but the last match was played 3 years ago. Verdasco has been impressive to start the year but didn't look too spectacular yesterday vs. Berdych. Many people don't know but Gonzo has a nice pedigree on clay including a bunch of titles on the surface and I think he'll boss Verdasco around the court forcing the Spaniard into tons of UE's en route to what should be an appearance in the final.

Good Luck
W
L
W
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Old 04-24-2009, 08:09 PM   #23
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Default Re: Favourites Friday?

Quote:
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Stepanek -Davydenko to be 3 set match @2.37
Robredo - Ferrer to be 3 set match @2.2
Gonzales - Verdasco to be 3 set match @2.2
Stepanek over Davydenko @3.0

Believe it or not, Donkey is NOT dominating Thunder Lips and I think he is still little bit rusty. H2H favors Stepanek 4-3 and Steppa won 3 of their last matches( on hard and carpet though).On clay they are 1-1, both are ancient history,5 years ago Steppa won in 2 and 6 years ago Kolya in 5 sets. They played against each other total 20 sets, Stepanek won 12 of them. In their 7 matches Davydeno NEVER won in straight sets, Steppa won in straight sets 3 times.
W
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W
L
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Old 04-24-2009, 08:11 PM   #24
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Challenger Tallahassee

Isner bt Udomchoke @ $1.55

gl
WIN
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Old 04-24-2009, 08:27 PM   #25
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WIN

too good ivan
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Old 04-24-2009, 09:13 PM   #26
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GONZALEZ to win a set @1.53
Won
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Old 04-24-2009, 09:28 PM   #27
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Robredo @ 2.54 (1.04 units). Good luck.
Lost

3-1 for a profit of 3.00 units on the week.

18-14-1 for a profit of 10.27 units on the season.
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Old 04-24-2009, 10:23 PM   #28
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Default Re: Favourites Friday?

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STEPA @ 2.8
SIDORENKO @ 2
Quote:
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GONZALEZ @ 2.5
L
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Old 04-25-2009, 01:43 AM   #29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ontario Gambler View Post
DAVYDENKO over Stepanek @1.49, 6 units
GONZALEZ over Verdasco @2.62, 3 units
FERRER-Robredo set betting 2-0 @2.75, 3 units
W
W
W

finally a good day on clay

ytd W/L = 199/200

units staked = 1405
units returned = 1441.08

profit = +36.08 units
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Old 04-25-2009, 02:25 PM   #30
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Default Re: Favourites Friday?

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Stepanek To Take A Set off Davydenko

I don't agree with the odds here, despite Davy being a worthy favourite @ 2/5 he's a little short and although i think he will win the match as a punter i'm going to oppose him.

Since his foot injury Davy has had some mixed results lows (losing to Julien Benneteau) in his come back tournament BUT also having a good run last week at monte carlo where he defeated Nalbandian and just didn't have enough gas to keep up with Murray. He has a good record on clay 19-5 since April 08 and is 8-2 in his last 10 on the red stuff.

However, interestingly in his last 8 games on clay Davy has lost a set in 5 of these matches only beating Karlovic (poor clay courter) and Clement (decling player also poor on clay) in straight sets. Whilst Stepanek has taken a set in his last 8 straight clay matches with Federer the last man to beat him in straight sets at the Rome masters 7-6 7-6. He also defeated the man of the moment wawrinka in the last round which will no doubt boost his confidence, h2h favours Stepanek although all matches were a LONG time ago evn so STEPANEK has always taken a set off Davy.

at Odds against i feel the value is with Radek to take a set.


best of luck with your punts
W.
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