Dutch Eredivisie 17-19 August
So start of the new season in Holland!
I'll start the season of with a double: Heerenveen & AZ to beat Willem II & VVV Venlo @ 1.84 (1)
Heerenveen lost a couple of key players to the squad in Hansson, Bosvelt and Nielsen. They were able to keep the topscorer (with 34 goals!) of the Eredivisie from last season Alfonso Alves though. They still have supreme quality over Willem II. Heerenveen playing at home with a packed ground is difficult to beat. SC Heerenveen has lost only 6 matches the last 2 years at home. It has to be said Willem II got a couple of draws in the last 5 years but i think that won't happen this time around. Heerenveen are still able to get a good team on the pitch: solid defence and offcourse Alves. I am looking forward to see Alves and Sibon playing together. On paper this seems like a strange combination but i think they will form a good couple. SC Heerenveen also acquired Roy Beerens who was playing very well at the end of last season at NEC Nijmegen. Willem II got their main striker El Hamdoui back. Problem is he is not 100% just yet and he might be transferred to Feyenoord. Willem II got some good results in friendly games but going to Heerenveen on the first day won't be something to look forward to them. They haven't got a solid defense and i expect Heerenveen to break that defense a lot more easy. It will be Heerenveen attacking at home and with the weak defense of Willem II i see something like a 2-0 result here.
Not much to be said about AZ vs VVV Venlo. Just to add some juice.
Games to stay away from: NAC vs Groningen, Sparta Rotterdam vs Vitesse and FC Utrecht vs Feyenoord. Anything can happen in these matches. At first sight you might think Feyenoord is a good bet because they signed Makaay, Van Bronckhorst, Hofland and De Cler. But teams don't like to go to Utrecht. Feyenoord lost in Utrecht 2-1 last season and Utrecht put up an impressive 11-4-2 record at home last season only losing to AZ and Ajax.
Games to bet on: Ajax will be pumped to make up for the bad CL qualifying result. Anything above 1.50 is value..I also like the look of NEC Nijmegen to get the 3 points at home against Roda JC. 2.40 is a nice offer and i might just take it a little later.