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Old 12-17-2006, 02:15 AM   #31
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NBA Saturday 16/12

Kings to cover +2.5 v Suns
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Old 12-17-2006, 06:53 AM   #32
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Default Re: "Reverse Odds Analysis"

nice to see you back
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Old 12-17-2006, 01:01 PM   #33
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NBA Saturday 16/12

Kings to cover +2.5 v Suns
FT: Suns 105-98 - LOSS
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Old 12-17-2006, 01:02 PM   #34
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NFL Sunday 18/12

Ravens to cover -11 v Browns
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Old 12-17-2006, 02:22 PM   #35
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nice to see you back
Thanks mate, only limited posting until at least Christmas but will be around
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Old 12-18-2006, 10:48 AM   #36
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NFL Sunday 18/12

Ravens to cover -11 v Browns
FT: Ravens 27-17 - LOSS
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Old 12-18-2006, 10:51 AM   #37
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I'm not having much success here initially, but this one is the strongest play I have come across when I have decided to do this so lets see what happens. I've also gone quite large on the play myself.

NFL Monday 18/12


Colts to cover -3 v Bengals
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Old 12-19-2006, 11:43 AM   #38
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I'm not having much success here initially, but this one is the strongest play I have come across when I have decided to do this so lets see what happens. I've also gone quite large on the play myself.

NFL Monday 18/12


Colts to cover -3 v Bengals
FT: Colts 34-16 - WIN
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Old 12-19-2006, 11:56 AM   #39
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NBA Tuesday 19/12

Suns to cover -13 v Raptors
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Old 12-19-2006, 05:43 PM   #40
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Default Re: "Reverse Odds Analysis"

Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
NBA Tuesday 19/12

Suns to cover -13 v Raptors
Hey BG,

How is this a reverse line movement? Caribsports has 71.50% on the suns, therefore IMO any (albeit small) line movement in favour of the suns is consquential of weight of money and not vegas looking to make a play on the suns?

Last edited by inmeclf : 12-19-2006 at 07:42 PM. Reason: mispelt vegas
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Old 12-19-2006, 07:43 PM   #41
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Hey BG,

How is this a reverse line movement? Caribsports has 71.50% on the suns, therefore IMO any (albeit small) line movement in favour of the suns is consquential of weight of money and not vagas looking to make a play on the suns?
What I am doing is not reverse line movement - reverse odds analysis is a completey different concept

Ask yourself why are the Raptors, a team who have won 3 straight given 13 points, albeit against a red hot team - Suns are not playing the Bobcats here, Raptors are a solid young team who are fresh and are on their first game of a road trip. They shouldn't be getting more then 10 points, especially when they have been an ATS covering machine on the road of late, 4-1 ATS in last 5 games on the road.

Vegas want you to play the Raptors getting what my perception is which is a very very big line in favour of the Raptors - what the public does is inconsequential to this particular theory, I just used it in an example earlier to help me explain the more broader concept of this theory.
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Old 12-19-2006, 08:12 PM   #42
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Default Re: "Reverse Odds Analysis"

my apologies, i got confused there mate
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Old 12-20-2006, 02:32 PM   #43
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NBA Tuesday 19/12

Suns to cover -13 v Raptors
FT: Suns 115-98 - WIN
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Old 12-20-2006, 08:03 PM   #44
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NBA Wednesday 20/12

Warriors to cover +1.5 v Celtics
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Old 12-21-2006, 10:55 AM   #45
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NBA Wednesday 20/12

Warriors to cover +1.5 v Celtics
FT: Warriors 96-95 - WIN
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