[tommyg6]

I used to have high hopes for Frank Dancevic back when he first came out. Like when he won that rubber against Saretta in Calgary in 2005 I think, that match win took us to the world group for the first time in a long time and I really thought he was the real deal. Like he was truly top 50 material and we finally had a solid singles players in our ranks but....it didn't turn out that way which is so disapointing. I went from having high hopes and praising Dancy to looking down on him and seeing him as a flake.

Anyways, it would've been so nice if Levine couldve played for us. It wouldve helped for sure. He had a 2nd round showing at the AO and QF showing at Heineken Open. He's a solid player compared to Frank, Vasek and Peter without question. He would've upset or at least go to five sets with almost any of the Spanish players. He's speedy, fast and can play a decent baseline game with the top 100 ranks and also, he has some volley skills (note, his Wimbledon 3rd round showing).

In indoor hard court conditions, Levine would've been a huge relief for us in Vancouver. Too bad he's not eligible yet. I really hope we can upset Spain and then we can use him for sure on the next tie. I wouldn't want us to go back to the qualifying stage again and start all over for 2014, it would be a waste of time. ugh...

anyways, GO CANADA GO!!!

[Lee]

Almagro is out

Originally Posted by djokovicgonzalez

Almagro out of Davis Cup

I think Granollers and GGL are likely to be the singles players, but any way Spain plays this, they are in serious trouble unless Nadal or Ferrer decides to save them

[sdmartin]

Just noticed the draw is out for the weekend. See: http://www.tenniscanada.com/index.ph...EKEND&pid=4361 A few big surprises:

1. Spain picks Ramos over GGL for Friday against Milos. I know Ramos is ranked higher, but he's a classic clay court guy where GGL can play on hard quite well. Not sure why they did that - maybe its just for 1st round & GGL will be switched for reverse singles?
2. GGL is in doubles with Granollers. What? Is Lopez hurt?
3. Finally, Milos vs. Granollers is the last match on Sunday. That's got to be a mistake right? Isn't the first match on Sunday always #1 vs. #1?

[sdmartin]

Originally Posted by sdmartin

Just noticed the draw is out for the weekend. See: http://www.tenniscanada.com/index.ph...EKEND&pid=4361 A few big surprises:

1. Spain picks Ramos over GGL for Friday against Milos. I know Ramos is ranked higher, but he's a classic clay court guy where GGL can play on hard quite well. Not sure why they did that - maybe its just for 1st round & GGL will be switched for reverse singles?
2. GGL is in doubles with Granollers. What? Is Lopez hurt?
3. Finally, Milos vs. Granollers is the last match on Sunday. That's got to be a mistake right? Isn't the first match on Sunday always #1 vs. #1?

Ok, tennis canada website fixes #3 above. Milos up first on Sunday. Re: #2, they still have GGL for doubles, but Davis Cup official twitter has Lopez instead of GGL ... maybe anything on the tennis canada's website should be treated as rumour until independently verified. :-)

[RogerExpress]

Garcia Lopez is not in good form, not counting qualies he had lose last 9 matches (the last one againt Ram in Aus Open). I think Ramos is a logical pick

In my opinion doubles will decide the series, Milos should win his 2 singles, and, hope I'm wrong, don't see Frank winning a match

[nellis_lv]

Originally Posted by sdmartin

Spain picks Ramos over GGL for Friday against Milos. I know Ramos is ranked higher, but he's a classic clay court guy where GGL can play on hard quite well. Not sure why they did that

It's cuz he's a lefty. Milos has a poor record against left-handers (11 losses 7 wins).

[J99]

Originally Posted by sdmartin

Just noticed the draw is out for the weekend. See: http://www.tenniscanada.com/index.ph...EKEND&pid=4361 A few big surprises:

1. Spain picks Ramos over GGL for Friday against Milos. I know Ramos is ranked higher, but he's a classic clay court guy where GGL can play on hard quite well. Not sure why they did that - maybe its just for 1st round & GGL will be switched for reverse singles?
2. GGL is in doubles with Granollers. What? Is Lopez hurt?
3. Finally, Milos vs. Granollers is the last match on Sunday. That's got to be a mistake right? Isn't the first match on Sunday always #1 vs. #1?

1. I would say that Ramos and GGL are pretty even on a HC.

2. I don't know where you got that from, cause Marc is playing the dubs, maybe you got them confused cause they both have Lopez in their names.

Interesting to note that Spain's dubs team are both right handed, when most good dubs teams have a righty and a lefty.

[sdmartin]

Ok, tennis canada website fixed the doubles match up sched as well .. indeed will be Lopez ...

re: Ramos pick over GGL, I do think GGL is much better HC player than Ramos (GGL lifetime winning pct: .429 HC, .474 clay; Ramos lifetime winning pct: .306 HC; .527 clay ... pretty significant difference). But points on GGL recent form & fact that Ramos is lefty makes sense to me.

re: our chances, Frankly (pun intended), I think our chances of Frank taking one of the 2 singles is better than our doubles chances. Nestor hasn't had a banner 6 months, it is unclear how good Vasek can be right now coming back from mono, and we are playing one very hot doubles team.

[ibreak4coffee]

Originally Posted by sdmartin

Ok, tennis canada website fixed the doubles match up sched as well .. indeed will be Lopez ...

re: Ramos pick over GGL, I do think GGL is much better HC player than Ramos (GGL lifetime winning pct: .429 HC, .474 clay; Ramos lifetime winning pct: .306 HC; .527 clay ... pretty significant difference). But points on GGL recent form & fact that Ramos is lefty makes sense to me.

re: our chances, Frankly (pun intended), I think our chances of Frank taking one of the 2 singles is better than our doubles chances. Nestor hasn't had a banner 6 months, it is unclear how good Vasek can be right now coming back from mono, and we are playing one very hot doubles team.

Frank taking a DC match against two top 60 players is really not in my opinion a reality. we have to win the doubles.

[156mphserve]

The way I look at it Milos should win his 2 matches.

Then we have 3 chances of about 30-40% each to win another match and the tie. You'd think we should be able to cash in on 1 of the 3.

At 1/3 odds to win it likely won't happen in 1 particular match, but given 3 chances at 1/3 odds each, the odds we get at least 1 win is 19/27 or about 70%. I'll take that all day every day

[sdmartin]

Originally Posted by 156mphserve

The way I look at it Milos should win his 2 matches.

Then we have 3 chances of about 30-40% each to win another match and the tie. You'd think we should be able to cash in on 1 of the 3.

At 1/3 odds to win it likely won't happen in 1 particular match, but given 3 chances at 1/3 odds each, the odds we get at least 1 win is 19/27 or about 70%. I'll take that all day every day

Almost exactly what I am thinking .. and why I think it is more likely to get Frank being the decider ... he's got 2 cracks at 1/3 odds; Nestor & Vasek only get 1.

[Brad1973]

I don't think Raonic has a 100% chance of winning his two matches. Look at his record in the last six months, even on indoor courts.
The doubles point is definitely a problem for Canada. Nestor hasn't done anything since June, and the doubles match against South Africa was a disaster.
I'm more optimistic than most when it comes to Dancevic's matches. He's playing well and it's a good surface for him.
Overall, I give Canada a 30% chance of winning.

[156mphserve]

30%?

Even if we assume that Milos only has a 90% chance to win each of his matches. That's a 81% chance to win both. multiplied by the 70% chance that we get 1 of the other 3 matches then we still have 57% chance to win.

At worst the tie is 50/50, there's no way we're the underdogs

[Lee]

Any stream?

[Lee]

So many empty seats there