It is very obvious from the h2hs that Nishikori has serious problems playing Baggy. It is not only that it stands at 3-0 Baggy, but they have all been easy floggings with Nishikori not even coming remotely close to winning a set; the last beating is recent enough. Nishikori being at home and beat Berdych says nothing to help Ni8shi's claims in this contest. I think people are being misled here. With the blindfolds off at the end of the match it will become clear that Baggy was always the better player.
I know 1.23 is no joke, but theres absolutely zero chance that Jo loses to Lalo today. If the 4-0 h2h along with a comfortable win earlier this year at the Olympics isn't enough, Lalo has only won 1 of the 10 sets he's played against the Frenchman.
In addition, Lalo has went the distance twice this week whereas JWT has been dominant after his first round struggles against the big man from Uzbekistan. It may not be rocket science at the price, but Lalo has no chance today.