Originally Posted by Clay Death
no-djok vs fed at wimbledon if it happens.
Spot on Mr. CD.
Imagine a first time Djokovic-Federer Wimbledon Final where they could possibly play for #1 in the world
, similar to Djokovic-Nadal at last year's Wimbledon.
A Federer win at Wimbledon would be a 2440
ranking point net swing. That's a lot of points.
Assuming the top 3 all make it to the semifinals/final, here are the 6 possibilities in order of gain for Federer on Djokovic in Djokovic-Federer meetings.
Given points gained/loss per result (R):
R Federer Djok. Nadal
W +1640........ 0 +800
Fin. +840... -800.... 0
SF.. +360. -1280 -480
Federer d. Djokovic in semifinal, defeats Nadal in Final - Federer gains 2920
on Djokovic, 1640
Federer d. Djokovic in Final, Nadal makes it to semis - Federer gains 2440
on Djokovic, 2120
Federer d. Djokovic in semifinal, loses to Nadal in Final - Federer gains 2120
on Djokovic, 40
Djokovic d. Federer in semifinal, loses to Nadal in Final - Federer gains 1160
on Djokovic, -440
Djokovic d. Federer in Final, Nadal makes it to semis - Federer gains 840
on Djokovic, 1320
Djokovic d. Federer in semifinal, defeats Nadal in Final - Federer gains 360
on Djokovic and Nadal.
Now one can see why Federer is taking a long rest now, and trying to peak for the grass season - it's not only for the Olympics.
It's also probably why Mr. Djokovic is going to fight hard for improvement at Roland Garros, making a final or winning there. He needs a great clay season to maintain or increase his point lead pre-Wimbledon.