Hesjedal should have Horner covered now

[Bolar Bolabi]

Surely Andy has to crack if these other riders who are better than him in this discipline are.

Wind must be brutal for the GC riders

Schleck 3 seconds behind!!!

Can't believe this

[Bolar Bolabi]

Contador has him now

[Ale10]

Originally Posted by Ale10

Samuel Sanchez over Andy Schleck (1.50)
David Zabriskie over Chris Horner (1.40)
Michael Rogers over Jose Ivan Gutierrez (1.57)
@3.3

David Zabriskie over Chris Horner (1.40)
Michael Rogers over Jose Ivan Gutierrez (1.57)
@2.2

Originally Posted by Ale10

David Zabriskie over David Millar @1.72 (big)

Originally Posted by Ale10

Bradley Wiggins over David Millar @1.66 (big)

Originally Posted by Ale10

Tony Martin over David Millar (1.45)
David Zabriskie over Geraint Thomas (1.444)
@2.09

Originally Posted by Ale10

Brian Vandborg over Kanstantsin Siutsou @1.85

W/W/W/W/W/L (outrigh bets on Martin and Zabriskie lost)

Originally Posted by bad gambler

Hesjedal to beat Sam Sanchez - $1.95
Lovkvist to beat Horner - $2.00
Wiggins to beat Vino - $1.85
Levi to beat Kloden - $1.72

El Pistero to win - $5.00

gl

lost x 2, win x 2, lost

[Bolar Bolabi]

Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi

7 units Contador over Millar @ $1.28

5 units Martin over Millar @ $1.50

8 units Grabsch over Schleck @ $1.72 (Am I missing something here? Schleck is crap against the clock and Grabsch is decent. Though, it's the battle of the freshest man, Grabsch has no excuse not to come top ten tonight. He came 11th in the Dauphine, over 49km. If Schleck finishes ahead of him, I will be surprised.
3 units Kreuziger over Schleck @ $2.65 - Again, fading Schleck.

4 units Luis Leon Sanchez over Samuel Sanchez @ $2 - Lulu is better against the clock. Granted, Samuel has something strong to ride for but even if he pulls something out of his arse, I would expect Lulu to beat him 99% of the time.

3 units Rodriguez over Gesink @ $2.65 - Freshest man here. Both are crap against the clock, but from what I have seen, Rodriguez has been the freshest man. Gesink looks like he's been struggling whilst Rodriguez looks like he's getting better.

4 units Zabriskie over Millar @ $1.60
4 units Martin over Millar x L L Sanchez over Van Den Broeck @ $2.10
4 units Contador over Millar x L L Sanchez over Van Den Broeck @ $1.92

1 unit Grabsch @ $21
3 units Grabsch top 3 @ $5

-3.34

[Bolar Bolabi]

Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi

Overall Head to Heads

7 units Roman Kreuziger over Jurgen Van Den Broeck @ $1.55
6 units Joaquim Rodriguez over Jurgen Van Den Broeck @ $2.10
6 units Andy Schleck over Frank Schleck @ $1.47
4 units Lance Armstrong over Bradley Wiggins @ $1.62 - 4 seconds
6 units Ivan Basso over Cadel Evans @ $1.60
4 units Denis Menchov over Cadel Evans @ $2

Top 10 Finish

4 units Joaquim Rodriguez @ $6
1 unit Vladimir Karpets @ $34
6 units Roman Kreuziger @ $1.91

Teams Classification H2H

8 units Bbox Bouygues Telecom over Footon Servetto @ $2.02 - Rolland, Fedrigo, Voeckler and a few others compared to a young team with half making their TDF debuts. Yes please.

4 units Liquigas over Columbia @ $1.52 - Basso, Kreuziger and Szmyd over Martin and Rogers. Yes Please.

4 units Liquigas over Rabobank @ $2.50 - This should be more like $1.85 for both. Liquigas are well over the odds.

Mountains Classification

.2 units Eros Capecchi @ $101
.2 units Matthew Lloyd @ $101
.3 units Cadel Evans @ $51
.3 units Thomas Voeckler @ $51
.4 units Christophe Moreau @ $67
1.5 units Egoi Martinez @ $11
.5 units Amets Txurruka @ $17
.5 units Amael Moinard @ $51
.3 units Perrick Fedrigo @ $51

Points Classification

4 units Oscar Freire over Edvald Boasson-Hagen @ $1.83 - Will EBH finish his first GT? Probably not.

6 units Tyler Farrar over Alessandro Petacchi @ $1.47 - Farrar will be more consistent than Petacchi. Better than bank interest.

7 units Hushovd @ $2.50

Stage Wins

5 units Cavendish over 3.5 @ $1.80

Group Betting

1 unit Sanchez over Armstrong, Wiggins, Basso, Evans @ $14

Top Frenchman

1 unit Pierre Rolland @ $15

Le Mevel, Casar etc will probably get in a lucky break and get time but Rolland is the better Frenchman here. He's displayed that he's climbing better than last year. He finished around 20th last year and he didn't benefit from a break. He did try a few breaks. As he's the better Frenchman here, I just think it's worthwhile putting a small bet on him. Hopefully he does benefit from a break. Bbox are certainly confident in him to produce a high result.

Prologue: +8.94
Stage 1: -10
Stage 2: +0.7
Stage 3: +31.35
Stage 4: +2.02
Stage 5: +16.21
Stage 6: +6
Stage 7: -5.3
Stage 8: -6.25
Stage 9: +2.15
Stage 10: -1.4
Stage 11: +6.62
Stage 12: +19.67
Stage 13: -0.75
Stage 14: -8.74
Stage 15: -9.15
Stage 16: -7.80
Stage 17: -5.55
Stage 18: -1.20
Stage 19: -3.34
Stage 20:
Overall: +15.8

Overall: +50.98

Originally Posted by bad gambler

Contador to win TDF - $1.75

gl

win

[Ale10]

Originally Posted by Ale10

Overall Classification:

Robert Gesink over Levi Leipheimer @1.70
Ryder Hesjedal over Yaroslav Popovych @1.68
Michael Rogers over Andreas Klöden @2.05
Michael Rogers over Christian Vandevelde @2.65

Andreas Klöden - Michael Rogers 2 2.05
Jurgen Van Den Broeck - Joaquim Rodriguez 2 2.10
Ryder Hesjedal - Yaroslav Popovych 1 1.68
Christophe Moreau - Kevin Seeldrayers 2 2.10
Robert Gesink - Levi Leipheimer 1 1.70
@25.82


Top10 finish:

Rogers @2.70
J. Rodriguez @6


Mountain classification:

L-L. Sanchez @81
Spilak @81
Seeldrayers @101


Team Classification:

Bbox Bouygues Telecom over Footon Servetto @1.75
Katusha over Caisse @1.90

Katusha to win @180



I got a feeling that this could be the Tour when Rogers makes all the promises come true. Guy was great all year then struggled at Tour de Suisse. Decided to quit quickly and went to the mountains. That long time trial could be great for him. He will beat the likes of Schleck1, Schleck2, Armstrong, Rodriguez, Gesink... easily there. Think Tour de France 07. Guy would be in contention for the yellow without his crash. And he has a good supporting cast. It could be surprising since it's Columbia but Martin, Monfort and Siutsou makes a very decent threesome.

Originally Posted by Ale10

Outright bets: lay Basso top6 @1.75

Top6 will probably look like this: Contador, Andy, Kreuziger, Samuel Sanchez, Menchov/Gesink, Evans.

I expect Evans to fade away too in the 3rd week but he has 2:45 on Basso.

W/W/L/W/L/L/W/L/L/L/W/L/L/W

Nice winnings on the overall, almost all of the big plays won, only Katusha lost to Caisse. Longshots didn't deliver.

[Bolar Bolabi]

Bbox beat Footon by about 4 hours in the end.

[Ale10]

Jurgen Roelandts over Sebastien Turgot @1.75

It seems Roelandts is just hitting his peak. He took a break after the spring classics and came back very week. Bad results at Dauphiné. He didn't really do anything in the first week. Then on stage 11 and 13 he was getting better and on stage 18 he had his best sprint finishing 7th. He was going all the way to the finish, looked very strong. And yesterday he finished 18th in the ITT so he should feel strong. It looks like he is fresher than a lot of guys. On the other hand Turgot to me looked like a guy who wants this shit to end. He is up there in the sprints because Bbox don't have a true sprinter but he isn't really going for it, finishing 10-15th place all the time.


Robbie McEwen over Thor Hushovd (1.63)
Mark Cavendish over Alessandro Petacchi (1.25)
@2.04


Jose Joaquin Rojas Gil over Thor Hushovd (1.50)
Robbie McEwen over Oscar Freire (1.55)
@2.325


Oscar Freire over Matti Breschel (1.60)
Alessandro Ballan over Anthony Roux (1.62)
@2.59

[Bolar Bolabi]

8 units McEwen over Rojas @ $1.75

[Bolar Bolabi]

Adding

3 units McEwen top 3 @ $4.50