LA SARRAZINE 12.5 BACK | 2.56 E/WAY (3 PLACES)
I'M YOUR MAN 8.6 BACK | 2.84 E/WAY (3 PLACES)
Two out of three winning selections this week & a very healthy profit
to boot, If only every week was as good as this. Will enjoy a couple of
extra pints over the weekend.
Todays win & place selection & in what is a
quality race.
15:40 TAUNTON CLASS4 NOV. HURDLE 3M GD/SFT
AN ACCORDION 8.2 BACK | 2.44 E/WAY (3 PLACES)
Win & Place Adv. - Class
Ground Conditions
Distance
Trainer Recent Form
Win & Place Disadv - Horse Recent Form
Hurdles
Probably five horses in with a chance, but I favour the horse
from the Pipe yard first time over hurdles & offers reasonable value. An Accordion 8.2 to back & 2.44 e/way.
Todays win only selection, as there are only
seben runners.
15:10 TOWCESTER CLASS4 H'CAP CHASE 3M SOFT
WOODLANDS GENPOWER 6.4 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Weight
Horse Course Record
Win Disadv. - Trainer Win Record
Quite a competitive race & stamina being the main concern
with a 3m race on soft ground at Towcester. The chosen horse
should fight out out with Shakas Pearl & 6.4 to back for Woodlands Genpower offers reasonable value.
Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Trainer Course Hurdle Form
Win & Place Disadv. - Weight
I think Conington offers good value, as it goes on the
ground conditions & gets the distance & with Dicky Johnson
on board. Conington 13.5 back & 3.45 e/way.
Whilst Oscar Whisky is the hot favourite for the Henderson
yard, I will oppose this one & go for a punt on the french import Track record 19.0 to back.
Win & Place Adv. - Ground Conditions
Distance
Class
Win & Place Disadv. - Weight
Trainer Course Record
Quite a competitive race & I expect the chosen horse One Cornetto
to figure in the place market with Rileyev. Reasonable value. One Cornetto 9.4 to back & 3.10 e/way.
Win & Place Adv. - Weight
Trainer Course Hurdle Record
Win & Place Disadv. - Days Since Last Race
Distance
Taking a bit of a punt with this horse from the Nicholl's yard, but
with only four horses with a realistic chance of winning, gives us
an e/way angle, as long as the horse has the required stamina. Dream Leader 11.0 to back & 2.74 e/way.
Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Horse Recent Form
Trainer E/way Record
Win & Place Disadv. - Ground Conditions
Class
This should be a competitve race & I expect our horse to
feature in the places, Ignoring the last outing. Should be
between our horse & The Boffinator & Aconitum. Canni Thinkaar 7.6 to back & 2.50 e/way.
Win Disadv. - Trainer Course Record
Jockey Booking
Todays selection is a bit of a punt from the second string of the Reveley
yard. Alegralil with McCoy on board & Diklers Oscar from the top of the
Reveley yard should fight it out. But at 27/1 our value selection is Karingreason.
Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Weight
Horse Course Record
Win & Place Disadv. - Trainer Overall record
This horse looks to have good e/way chances & expect Kappelhoff to be in the place along with Ray Mond & Laharna.
Reasonable value bet Kappelhoff 14.5 to back & 3.55 e/way.
Todays win & place selection & hopefully the horse
runs today !
14:30 WINCANTON CLASS 5 H'CAP HURDLE 2M 4F GOOD
GALANT EYE 12.0 BACK | 2.82 E/WAY (3 PLACES)
Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Win & Place Disadv. - Days Since Last Race
Trainer Overall Form
Weight
I think our chosen horse Galant Eye, has strong e/way chances &
should be in the running along with Cat Six in what is a weak field.
So the pick for today is Galant Eye 12.0 to back & 2.82 e/way.
Win & Place Adv. - Ground
Weight
Class
Trainer Course Form
Win & Place Disadv. - Distance
The only doubt for the chosen horse is the distance, but I expect Young Albert & Double Mead to fight it out, as they both
come out top in my ratings. The slightly better value bet lies
with Young Albert at 6.6 to back & 2.26 e/way.
Todays win only selection & not from Cheltenham, but
well done to the great Tony McCoy on Binocular.
16:15 SEDGEFIELD H'CAP CHASE CLASS4 2M 4F GOOD
I'M YOUR MAN 9.0 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. - Distance
Ground
Course Experience
Win Disadv. - Weight
Trainer Recent Form
The chosen horse comes out on top of my ratings along with Quincy Des Pictons & Sea Venture just behind. So the present
value bet lies with I'm Your Man 9.0 to back.
Win & Place Adv. - Class
Ground Conditions
Distance
Win & Place Disadv. - Days Since Last Race
Hurdle Experience
The chosen horse may need this run for fitness, but if he can produce better hurdle form & get anywhere near his chase form, then Lead On might have a chance. The other main danger is Galaxy Rock with McCoy on board. Lead On reasonable value 12.5 to back & 3.8 e/way.
Win & Place Adv. - Weight
Distance
Course Characteristics
Win & Place Disadv. - Trainer Chase Record
This is a competitive race were there are about six potential winners. Storymaker looks good for the place market along with Lease Lend & Jass. Storymaker reasonable value at 11.0 to back & 3.10 e/way.
Win Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Trainer Recent Form
Win Disadv. - Class
Trainer Course Record
I think Man of the Moment has a good chance in this stamina test
over 3m on heavy ground. Should contest the race along with Sir Peter & Well Mick, but the best value lies with Man of the Moment. Reasonable value to back at 5.20.
Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Course Characteristics
Win & Place Disadv. - Class
Trainer Cours Hurdle Record
Although well beaten over the same distance last time & off the same
mark, I think there is a good value bet fo the place market with Vivarini & expect him to fight it out with Deep Pockets & Quay Meadow. Good value to back Vivarini at 22.0 & 5.8 e/way.
Mark
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