The Tennis players picked by 56 of the 57 entrants are sorted by their ATP rankings (season end 2012)
to better illustrate the expected changes.
(I excluded the picks of one entrant, that was obviously trolling, from the stats, but not from the game.)
The first number after the players' names shows how often they were picked.
The second number results from the predicted rankings, if 8 points for 1st ranks, ..., 1 for 8th.
1. [B]Djokovic[/B] 56 431
2. [B]Federer[/B] 56 310
3. [B]Murray[/B] 56 364
4. [B]Nadal[/B] 56 324
5. [B]Ferrer[/B] 47 132
6. [B]Berdych[/B] 49 119
7. [B]DelPotro[/B] 54 224
8. [B]Tsonga[/B] 39 65
9. [B]Tipsarevic[/B] 1 1 by [B][I]coolfish1103[/I][/B]
10. [B]Gasquet[/B] 2 2 by [B][I]Slasher1985[/I][/B] and [B][I]Pratik[/I][/B]
(11. [B]Almagro[/B] 0)
(12. [B]Monaco[/B] 0)
13. [B]Raonic[/B] 18 33!
14. [B]Isner[/B] 1 1 by [B][I]latso[/I][/B]
15. [B]Cilic[/B] 3 4 by [B][I]AncicCilic[/I][/B] and [B][I]Legendary Lopata[/I][/B] and [B][I]GrimbleGromble[/I][/B]
(17. [B]Wawrinka[/B] 0!)
19. [B]Nishikori[/B] 5 6
24. [B]Verdasco[/B] 1 2 by [B][I]Dr. Albans[/I][/B]
26. [B]Janowicz[/B] 3 5 by [B][I]nellis_lv[/I][/B] and [B][I]BauerAlmeida[/I][/B] and [B][I]Brick Top[/I][/B]
48. [B]Dimitrov[/B] 1 1 by [B][I]iniesta896[/I][/B]
Code:
So the Top 8 of 2013 as expected by the average of the entrants are:
1. [B]Djokovic[/B] 0
2. [B]Murray[/B] +1
3. [B]Nadal[/B] +1
4. [B]Federer[/B] -2
5. [B]DelPotro[/B] +2
6. [B]Ferrer[/B] -1
7. [B]Berdych[/B] -1
8. [B]Tsonga[/B] 0
And in fact two entrants chose precisely the above version: [B][I]duong[/I][/B] and myself.
The Challenge was...
Code:
[B]Predict the Tennis players that will make the Top 8[/B] (Entry list) [B]at the end of the 2013 season[/B]
(after the DavisCup finals)[B] - and their rankings!
Basically the winner is who predicts most Top 8 players correctly (so as possible all 8).
The predicted rankings will be used for tiebreaks.
1st tiebreak[/B]: (for entrants on the same number of correct picks)
[B]Every single deviation from the real rankings leads to one penalty point[/B]
(for every player/pick simply accumulated).
For example, if I guess that Federer finishes 1st and Nadal 3rd, but in reality it turns out to be reversely,
then I receive 2 penalty points for each of them, so altogether 4.
[B]2nd tiebreak[/B]: (for entrants still tied after the 1st tiebreak)
[B]Correctly predicted rankings in uninterrupted sequence, starting with the correct N°1.[/B]
For example, if I pick "1.Djokovic 2.Federer 3.Murray", but in reality the order becomes "1.Djokovic 2.Murray
3.Federer", then another entrant who picked "1.Djokovic 2.Murray" wins the tiebreak over me.
[B]Entry deadline is the start of the AbuDhabi tournament on 27th December 2012.[/B]
Before then you can also alter your picks / edit your posts if you like.
Re: Challenge: Predict the Top 8 of 2013 [# stats]
.
.
Stats
Code:
The Tennis players picked by 59 of the 60 entrants are sorted by their ATP rankings (season end 2012)
to better illustrate the expected changes.
(I excluded the picks of one entrant, who was obviously joking, from these stats.)
The first number after the players' names shows how often they were picked.
The second number results from the predicted rankings, if 8 points for 1st ranks, ..., 1 for 8th.
1. [B]Djokovic[/B] 59 454
2. [B]Federer[/B] 59 325
3. [B]Murray[/B] 59 383
4. [B]Nadal[/B] 59 342
5. [B]Ferrer[/B] 50 141
6. [B]Berdych[/B] 52 124
7. [B]DelPotro[/B] 57 237
8. [B]Tsonga[/B] 41 70
9. [B]Tipsarevic[/B] 1 1 by [B][I]coolfish1103[/I][/B]
10. [B]Gasquet[/B] 2 2 by [B][I]Pratik[/I][/B] and [B][I]Slasher1985[/I][/B]
(11. [B]Almagro[/B] 0)
(12. [B]Monaco[/B] 0)
13. [B]Raonic[/B] 19 34!
14. [B]Isner[/B] 1 1 by [B][I]latso[/I][/B]
15. [B]Cilic[/B] 3 4 by [B][I]AncicCilic[/I][/B] and [B][I]Legendary Lopata[/I][/B] and [B][I]GrimbleGromble[/I][/B]
19. [B]Nishikori[/B] 5 6
24. [B]Verdasco[/B] 1 2 by [B][I]Dr. Albans[/I][/B]
26. [B]Janowicz[/B] 3 5 by [B][I]nellis_lv[/I][/B] and [B][I]BauerAlmeida[/I][/B] and [B][I]Brick Top[/I][/B]
48. [B]Dimitrov[/B] 1 1 by [B][I]iniesta896[/I][/B]
Code:
So the Top 8 of 2013 as expected by the majority of the entrants are:
1. [B]Djokovic[/B] 0
2. [B]Murray[/B] +1
3. [B]Nadal[/B] +1
4. [B]Federer[/B] -2
5. [B]DelPotro[/B] +2
6. [B]Ferrer[/B] -1
7. [B]Berdych[/B] -1
8. [B]Tsonga[/B] 0
And in fact two entrants chose precisely the above version: [B][I]duong[/I][/B] and myself.
Just as last year there was just one entrant who marched to a different tune, and just as last year it was precisily the last entrant (before the deadline), who did so.
I don't really know what to make of this "tradition".
...Checking back our predictions will start to become interesting after the US Open. :smoke:
Re: Challenge: Predict the Top 8 of 2013 [# stats]
^^uxyzapenje
You sended your picks when Tipsarevic had already beaten Murray and Ferrer had beaten or was near beating Berdych in AbuDhabi. So Tipsarevic made the Top8 in your predictions and Ferrer landed even above Federer. Nice try, man!
The deadline:
Even if an Exho the AbuDhabi tournament is best for deadline since information is more important than a few ranking points.
AbuDhabi already holds a lot of information about the shape of several top players, probably more than Doha/Brisbane/Chennai and Sydney/Auckland combined.
The awarded ranking points for the latter are comparatively unimportant.
For example, at the 2011 AbuDhabi edition it became clear that Djokovic fully recovered from his back injury, which was pretty uncertain beforehand!
At last year's edition Nadal withdrew from the Australian Open during AbuDhabi.
Moreover, this thread is intended to be a relaxed Off-season activity.
I mean, it's almost the same if you settle your picks on 6th or 26th December. Not much happens during that three weeks.
Whereas predictions during the AbuDhabi tournament already imply an advantage in information.
It would be bad if most entrants waited with their predictions until the end of December.
^^uxyzapenje
You sended your picks when Tipsarevic had already beaten Murray and Ferrer had beaten or was near beating Berdych in AbuDhabi. So Tipsarevic made the Top8 in your predictions and Ferrer landed even above Federer. Nice try, man!
The deadline:
Even if an Exho the AbuDhabi tournament is best for deadline since information is more important than a few ranking points.
AbuDhabi already holds a lot of information about the shape of several top players, probably more than Doha/Brisbane/Chennai and Sydney/Auckland combined.
The awarded ranking points for the latter are comparatively unimportant.
For example, at the 2011 AbuDhabi edition it became clear that Djokovic fully recovered from his back injury, which was pretty uncertain beforehand!
At last year's edition Nadal withdrew from the Australian Open during AbuDhabi.
Moreover, this thread is intended to be a relaxed Off-season activity.
I mean, it's almost the same if you settle your picks on 6th or 26th December. Not much happens during that three weeks.
Whereas predictions during the AbuDhabi tournament already imply an advantage in information.
It would be bad if most entrants waited with their predictions until the end of December.
WTF? Man, I was banned until 26th of December. You can see my posting history if you think I'm lying. I came here on 27th after 1 month, couldn't have picked it earlier. And if you saw any of my posts, you know that I would pick Tipsarevic even if he was beaten 6-0 6-0 by Murray. And also, if Tipsarevic beat Murray, why did I put Murray 2nd? It's an exho, it didn't affect my picks whatsoever...
This is an older thread, you may not receive a response, and could be reviving an old thread. Please consider creating a new thread.
Related Threads
?
?
?
?
?
Mens Tennis Forums
18.5M posts
88K members
Since 2002
A forum community dedicated to male tennis players and enthusiasts. Talk about everything from the ATP, NSMTA, to college Tennis and even everything about equipment. It's all here!