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Thread: Week 4, Day 2
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Old 09-20-2006, 02:04 PM   #3
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Default Re: Week 4, Day 2

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ernie_Money
After that San Diego loss last night, I wonder if that is a sign from the stars to quit baseball for the season, as I could be in the midst of a cold, cold streak when crap like that happens. Back-to-back-to-back-to-back HRs in the 9th for LA and then a 2-run walk-off HR in the 10th to lose that pick last night. SD never trailed until the game was over. But, I am gambler, so I will go forward, although if I have a disastrous night tonight, I will have to re-evaluate what I will do with MLB these final 2 weeks carefully.

Tonight, laying a lot of small chalk:

Florida Marlins, laying $128 to win $100
Milwaukee Brewers, laying $130 to win $100
Los Angeles Angels, laying $132 to win $100
San Francisco Giants, laying $348 to win $300


Reasoning:

1) Mets clinched last night, should be resting plenty of starters, while Florida is still in the wild-card race (barely) and won't be resting anybody and I like them coming off a shutout.
2) Simple: Sheets vs. Jeff Weaver, I have to go with the better pitcher.
3) KC has been playing better baseball than LAA recently (believe it or not), but Saunders got rocked last time out and the last 2 times he got rocked, he bounced back strong in his next outing. KC bats are certainly overdue to regress to their mean, too.
4) Matt Cain has had 6 awesome starts in a row. Zero earned runs in his last 4 starts (spanning 29 2/3 innings) and 1 earned run in his last 6 starts (spanning 42 innings). Normally, I would say he is "due" for a bad outing, but after Colorado scored 20 last night, I see their bats struggling a bit in this spot and San Fran should be able to end a 3-game losing streak.

Week 4: 1-2, -$134
Week 3: 3-3, -$575
Week 2: 5-3, +$306 (did win $509 on the Mansion free bet & hedge)
Week 1: 5-1, +$913

When you say LAY are you laying to lose on one of the exchanges or to win?
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