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Old 01-07-2013, 02:05 PM   #96
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Cool Re: Challenge: Predict the Top 8 of 2013 [# stats]

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Stats

Code:
The Tennis players picked by 59 of the 60 entrants are sorted by their ATP rankings (season end 2012) 
to better illustrate the expected changes. 
(I excluded the picks of one entrant, who was obviously joking, from these stats.) 
The first number after the players' names shows how often they were picked. 
The second number results from the predicted rankings, if 8 points for 1st ranks, ..., 1 for 8th. 

  1. Djokovic   59   454 
  2. Federer    59   325 
  3. Murray     59   383 
  4. Nadal      59   342 
  5. Ferrer     50   141 
  6. Berdych    52   124 
  7. DelPotro   57   237 
  8. Tsonga     41    70 
  9. Tipsarevic  1     1  by coolfish1103 
 10. Gasquet     2     2  by Pratik and Slasher1985 
(11. Almagro     0) 
(12. Monaco      0) 
 13. Raonic     19    34! 
 14. Isner       1     1  by latso 
 15. Cilic       3     4  by AncicCilic and Legendary Lopata and GrimbleGromble 
 19. Nishikori   5     6 
 24. Verdasco    1     2  by Dr. Albans 
 26. Janowicz    3     5  by nellis_lv and BauerAlmeida and Brick Top 
 48. Dimitrov    1     1  by iniesta896
Code:
So the Top 8 of 2013 as expected by the majority of the entrants are: 

  1. Djokovic       0 
  2. Murray        +1 
  3. Nadal         +1 
  4. Federer       -2 
  5. DelPotro      +2 
  6. Ferrer        -1 
  7. Berdych       -1 
  8. Tsonga         0 

And in fact two entrants chose precisely the above version: duong and myself.



Entrants

Code:
Almost half of the entrants think we'll get exactly the same Top 8 as last year. 
If that really happens it would be the first time in history, I guess. 

    duong              1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Nadal 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Ferrer 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    Featherer          1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Nadal 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Ferrer 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    Kowchi             1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Nadal 4.Federer 5.Ferrer 6.DelPotro 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    outrider           1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Nadal 4.Federer 5.Ferrer 6.DelPotro 7.Tsonga 8.Berdych
    Chase Visa         1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.DelPotro 6.Berdych 7.Ferrer 8.Tsonga
    Roy Emerson        1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.DelPotro 6.Berdych 7.Ferrer 8.Tsonga
    ProdigyEng         1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.DelPotro 6.Tsonga 7.Berdych 8.Ferrer
    Nole fan           1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.DelPotro 6.Ferrer 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    duarte_a           1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.Ferrer 6.DelPotro 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    Eddy DoubleD       1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Federer 4.DelPotro 5.Nadal 6.Ferrer 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
  * Cheyen             1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Federer 4.Ferrer 5.DelPotro 6.Nadal 7.Tsonga 8.Berdych
    Del GOATro         1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.DelPotro 4.Federer 5.Nadal 6.Ferrer 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    Alex999            1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Murray 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Ferrer 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    Abel               1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Murray 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Ferrer 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    nole_no1           1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Murray 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Ferrer 7.Tsonga 8.Berdych
    nazzac             1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Murray 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Berdych 7.Ferrer 8.Tsonga
    JurajCrane         1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Murray 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Tsonga 7.Ferrer 8.Berdych
    TigerTim           1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Murray 4.Federer 5.Tsonga 6.Ferrer 7.DelPotro 8.Berdych
    bizzle             1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Murray 4.DelPotro 5.Federer 6.Ferrer 7.Tsonga 8.Berdych
    GSMnadal           1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Federer 4.Murray 5.Ferrer 6.Berdych 7.DelPotro 8.Tsonga
    End da Game        1.Djokovic 2.DelPotro 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.Murray 6.Berdych 7.Ferrer 8.Tsonga
  * RafaelNadalisGod   1.Nadal 2.Djokovic 3.Murray 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Tsonga 7.Berdych 8.Ferrer
    Marto              1.Nadal 2.Djokovic 3.Murray 4.Ferrer 5.Federer 6.DelPotro 7.Tsonga 8.Berdych
    ciprianned         1.Nadal 2.Djokovic 3.Federer 4.Murray 5.Ferrer 6.DelPotro 7.Tsonga 8.Berdych
  * se7en              1.Murray 2.Djokovic 3.Nadal 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Berdych 7.Ferrer 8.Tsonga
    Matthew2408        1.Murray 2.Djokovic 3.Ferrer 4.Nadal 5.Federer 6.DelPotro 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    Bashkatik          1.Federer 2.Djokovic 3.Nadal 4.Murray 5.Ferrer 6.DelPotro 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    Federer&Hingis     1.Federer 2.Murray 3.Djokovic 4.DelPotro 5.Berdych 6.Nadal 7.Ferrer 8.Tsonga

Tsonga won't make the Top8: 
    djokovicgonzalez   1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.Berdych 6.DelPotro 7.Ferrer 8.Raonic
    Han Solo           1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Nadal 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Berdych 7.Ferrer 8.Raonic
  * Noserer            1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Murray 4.DelPotro 5.Federer 6.Ferrer 7.Berdych 8.Raonic
    MOhero             1.Murray 2.Djokovic 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.Ferrer 6.DelPotro 7.Berdych 8.Raonic
    156mphserve        1.Djokovic 2.Federer 3.Murray 4.DelPotro 5.Nadal 6.Ferrer 7.Raonic 8.Berdych
    nellis_lv          1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.DelPotro 4.Berdych 5.Federer 6.Nadal 7.Ferrer 8.Janowicz
    BauerAlmeida       1.Djokovic 2.DelPotro 3.Nadal 4.Murray 5.Federer 6.Berdych 7.Ferrer 8.Janowicz
    Brick Top          1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Nadal 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Janowicz 7.Ferrer 8.Berdych
    lucyfur            1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.DelPotro 4.Federer 5.Nadal 6.Berdych 7.Ferrer 8.Nishikori
    Slasher1985        1.Murray 2.Djokovic 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.DelPotro 6.Ferrer 7.Berdych 8.Gasquet
    Pratik             1.Murray 2.Djokovic 3.Federer 4.DelPotro 5.Nadal 6.Ferrer 7.Berdych 8.Gasquet
    AncicCilic         1.Murray 2.Djokovic 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.Berdych 6.DelPotro 7.Ferrer 8.Cilic
    coolfish1103       1.Djokovic 2.Federer 3.Murray 4.DelPotro 5.Berdych 6.Nadal 7.Ferrer 8.Tipsarevic
    iniesta896         1.Federer 2.Djokovic 3.Murray 4.Nadal 5.Berdych 6.Ferrer 7.DelPotro 8.Dimitrov 
    Dr. Albans         1.Nadal 2.Djokovic 3.Federer 4.Murray 5.DelPotro 6.Ferrer 7.Verdasco 8.Berdych

Ferrer won't make the Top8: 
    Certinfy           1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Nadal 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Berdych 7.Tsonga 8.Raonic
    johnny tsunami     1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Murray 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Berdych 7.Tsonga 8.Raonic
    sdmartin           1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.DelPotro 4.Federer 5.Nadal 6.Raonic 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    DDRickyDD          1.Djokovic 2.Federer 3.Nadal 4.DelPotro 5.Raonic 6.Murray 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    Mark Lenders       1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Murray 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Nishikori 7.Berdych 8.Tsonga
    latso              1.Djokovic 2.Nadal 3.Federer 4.Murray 5.DelPotro 6.Berdych 7.Tsonga 8.Isner

Berdych won't make the Top8: 
    Droog              1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.DelPotro 6.Tsonga 7.Ferrer 8.Raonic
    FleetSeb           1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Nadal 4.Federer 5.DelPotro 6.Ferrer 7.Tsonga 8.Raonic
    samo7266           1.Djokovic 2.Federer 3.Murray 4.DelPotro 5.Nadal 6.Tsonga 7.Ferrer 8.Raonic
    Chirag             1.Murray 2.Djokovic 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.DelPotro 6.Ferrer 7.Tsonga 8.Raonic
    ZackBusner         1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.DelPotro 4.Nadal 5.Federer 6.Raonic 7.Tsonga 8.Ferrer

Two out of DelPotro / Berdych / Tsonga / Ferrer won't make the Top8: 
    come2papa          1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.DelPotro 6.Ferrer 7.Raonic 8.Nishikori
    Federer-Fan        1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Federer 4.Nadal 5.Tsonga 6.DelPotro 7.Nishikori 8.Raonic
    Mountaindewslave   1.Nadal 2.Federer 3.Djokovic 4.Raonic 5.Murray 6.Ferrer 7.Berdych 8.Nishikori
    Legendary Lopata   1.Djokovic 2.Murray 3.Nadal 4.DelPotro 5.Berdych 6.Federer 7.Cilic 8.Raonic
    GrimbleGromble     1.Murray 2.Djokovic 3.Berdych 4.Nadal 5.Federer 6.Raonic 7.Tsonga 8.Cilic

TBkeeper will make it: 
    TBkeeper           1.Federer 2.Nadal 3.Davydenko 4.Hewitt 5.Robredo 6.Nalbandian 7.Blake 8.DelPotro


* Side note: It might be that some (currently banned) entrants are double accounts. 
If that proves to be true I will remove them from the list of entrants as well as from the stats later on.


Just as last year there was just one entrant who marched to a different tune, and just as last year it was precisily the last entrant (before the deadline), who did so.
I don't really know what to make of this "tradition".

...Checking back our predictions will start to become interesting after the US Open.
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Last edited by Featherer : 01-08-2013 at 10:46 AM. Reason: Gasquet
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