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Old 12-08-2012, 04:06 AM   #11
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Default Re: Who is closer to reaching a semifinal in a Grand Slam? Almagro or Tipsarevic?

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Bulldog View Post
With regards to Tipsarevic, he had the benefit of being a top eight seed this year at the US Open, and Ferrer was his opponent in the quarter-finals. A golden opportunity, indeed.

With Nadal coming back, that pushes Janko out if the top eight, and also means he'll more than likely have to beat a top four member to reach the semi-finals. Something I don't think he's capable of in a grand slam.
Quote:
Originally Posted by StatRacket View Post
Not unless he drops out of the top 12. Matches according to seeding:

R16: 5-8 play 9-12 and 1-4 play 13-16

QF: Winners of 5-8,9-12 play winners of 1-4,13-16.

Almagro has a better chance in my opinion, he's younger and has much more of a specialist Slam (needed for a big run). Almagro has beaten Murray at Roland Garros before (in 2008) and has been unlucky to draw Nadal in each of his best Roland Garros runs.
Yes, I know that already. I was eluding to something slightly different.

What I meant was his route to the semis would be harder. So in round four, as a 9-12 seed, he'd play a 5-8 seed. That's a lot tougher than being a 5-8 seed himself and facing a 9-12 player.

Consider it like this, there's a massive difference between playing Ferrer (#5) in round four of a grand slam and playing Monaco (#12) in round four of a grand slam. His quarter-final match would always likely be a top four player, but I feel his chances in that would depend on how fresh he is, so getting that easier fourth round match is crucial.
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