Re: WWW Indian Wells 2012? Main Draw link in OP!
Melzer nor Monfils would be a threat on these courts. And really, neither would Raonic, because Rafa would get him out of position consistently enough in the rallies.
Indian Wells is basically the best court for Nadal's game on hardcourt. The only guy I can see stopping him here is Djokovic, and that's if Djokovic is playing better than what he produced in Dubai. Otherwise, Rafa should bag the title.