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-   -   Nole v Fed Friday (http://www.menstennisforums.com/showthread.php?t=205568)

samanosuke 07-04-2012 08:23 PM

Nole v Fed Friday
 
:wavey:

Hi folks, I am not here very often but need an advice of people who are doing this just for business. I normal circumstances I would like to see Fed winning here but I am planning to put big money on Nole's win here . So need an advice from neutral people about this one because want to be sure that some hidden jinxing voice isn't talking inside me :lol: . Wouldn't like to lose that much money because some silly mind games


Thanx

cardio 07-04-2012 09:24 PM

Re: Nole vs Fed ??
 
I think Djoko 1.38 -1.4 is kinda short.He most likely wins, but reward is not so big. And who knows which Fed will show up.I wouldnt put big money on Djoko with these odds, he was not too sharp today.

I have pre tournament Djoko outright bet and I let it ride until end, but stake is small, I can afford to lose it if miracle happens and Jesus-Fed shows up.

nastoff 07-04-2012 09:51 PM

Re: Nole vs Fed ??
 
The recent h2h speaks for itself: Djokovic 5 out of 6 wins, and he has looked very comfortable going into this match. There's absolutely no signs that Djokovic would ease up especially with so much at stake and with Federer no longer the better player. However if you're not under pressure why put big money on a single game? There will be many more opportunities and matches to be had.

samanosuke 07-04-2012 10:08 PM

Re: Nole vs Fed ??
 
I am pretty confident in this one, and on current day in Croatia will be something like 1,65 on Nole . Not 1,40 like it is at Bwin now . Not a bad money for a single game

scarecrows 07-04-2012 10:11 PM

Re: Nole vs Fed ??
 
there are much easier matches at such odds

the jinxer in you is thinking of doing this

bad gambler 07-04-2012 10:29 PM

Re: Nole vs Fed ??
 
These prices are set based on 2011 form IMO, Djokovic worthy favourite but not to this extent. Perhaps it's just my back pocket hoping more than anything else that Fed can win this.

However the biggest joke in prices is the Murray v Tsonga match

sports freak 07-05-2012 07:20 AM

Re: Nole v Fed Friday
 
I think these odds are based on Joker being no.1 and beating Fed 7 of the last 8 encounters!Its interesting this match is the very 1st at Wimbledon,hopefully that might give Roger a heads up which he will need!Wouldnt be suprised if Fed comes out guns blazing and somehow Joker slowly but surely reels him in,either way hopefully its entertaining and not a straight sets drubbing!

Busterovic 07-05-2012 08:14 AM

Re: Nole vs Fed ??
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by bad gambler (Post 12180941)
These prices are set based on 2011 form IMO, Djokovic worthy favourite but not to this extent. Perhaps it's just my back pocket hoping more than anything else that Fed can win this.

However the biggest joke in prices is the Murray v Tsonga match

You believe Andy should be a bigger favorite?

jeremda01 07-05-2012 09:16 AM

Re: Nole v Fed Friday
 
novak to spank federer 3-0

cardio 07-05-2012 09:39 AM

Re: Nole v Fed Friday
 
Just for fun, I took set bet with small stake

Djokovic to win 3-1 @3.8

GL

Busterovic 07-05-2012 03:56 PM

Re: Nole v Fed Friday
 
Match is very, very poorly handicapped.

The line is based on Nole's obvious domination here in 2012 of Fed.

- 2-0, 5-0 on sets, 172-136 total points won, Fed has only broken him 4 times all year.

But if you look closer its way, way closer. Federer was ahead in both sets 1 and 2 at RG.

Federer is clearly way, way inferior on clay for obviously reasons some of which include the fact that he has to hit way more perfect shots on that surface than on HC and grass.

I think on grass, its going to be a different story. Fed is going to be able to play more aggressively and take it to Nole. As well as the Serb moves and as much court as he covers the faster court will neutralize him some. Rog will be able to S&V more, he'll be able to come in a lot more and his BH will be much, MUCH more effective.

Its pretty simple here. If Fed plays like he did in Dubai, IW, and Rotterdam he'll win. In fact, he was so incredible in Rotterdam and Dubai I believe with that form he would have easily won AO.

The match is on Fedrerer's racket. If he continues to have UE after UE (I believe he had 60+ UE at RG in 3 sets), then Nole will win easily. But if Fed is on at all he'll give Djokovic fits.

It should be closer to Nole 1.65 IMO.

sports freak 07-05-2012 04:38 PM

Re: Nole v Fed Friday
 
Smart man this Cardio!

Fed vs Joker Over 41.5pts(1.87)!

Wilfred vs Mugrray Over 41.5pts(1.87)!

GL

$@M 07-05-2012 05:44 PM

Re: Nole v Fed Friday
 
Joker 3-0 for me

carlibengarli 07-05-2012 05:52 PM

Re: Nole vs Fed ??
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by bad gambler (Post 12180941)
...

However the biggest joke in prices is the Murray v Tsonga match

I'm not sure why you would say that. I find the odds rather fair. I assume you mean that Murray is too big a favourite @ 1.5?

Iván 07-05-2012 08:05 PM

Re: Nole v Fed Friday
 
im assuming bg is talking about tsonga


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