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-   -   Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts. (http://www.menstennisforums.com/showthread.php?t=172936)

Chair Umpire 11-25-2010 10:06 PM

Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts

In a recent chilling assessment, the World Health Organization (WHO) reported that human-induced changes in the Earth's climate now lead to at least 5 million cases of illness and more than 150,000 deaths every year.

Temperature fluctuations may sway human health in a surprising number of ways, scientists have learned, from influencing the spread of infectious diseases to boosting the likelihood of illness-inducing heat waves and floods.

Now, in a synthesis report featured on the cover of the journal Nature, a team of health and climate scientists at UW-Madison and WHO has shown that the growing health impacts of climate change affect different regions in markedly different ways. Ironically, the places that have contributed the least to warming the Earth are the most vulnerable to the death and disease higher temperatures can bring.

"Those least able to cope and least responsible for the greenhouse gases that cause global warming are most affected," says lead author Jonathan Patz, a professor at UW-Madison's Gaylord Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies. "Herein lies an enormous global ethical challenge."


This map shows total carbon dioxide emissions from fossil-fuel burning, cement production, and gas flaring for the world's countries in 2000. Emissions are expressed in million metric tons of carbon. The map was created by a team of climate and health scientists led by Jonathan Patz, associate professor of environmental studies and population health sciences at UW-Madison. Map courtesy the Center for Sustainability and the Global Environment.


The health effects of global warming vary markedly at the regional scale. This map shows the estimated numbers of deaths per million people that could be attributed to global climate change in the year 2000. Drawing from data from the World Health Organization, the map was also created by Patz's team. Map courtesy the Center for Sustainability and the Global Environment.

According to the Nature report, regions at highest risk for enduring the health effects of climate change include coastlines along the Pacific and Indian oceans and sub-Saharan Africa. Large sprawling cities, with their urban "heat island" effect, are also prone to temperature-related health problems.

Africa has some of the lowest per-capita emissions of greenhouse gases. Yet, regions of the continent are gravely at risk for warming-related disease. "Many of the most important diseases in poor countries, from malaria to diarrhea and malnutrition, are highly sensitive to climate," says co-author Diarmid Campbell-Lendrum of WHO. "The health sector is already struggling to control these diseases and climate change threatens to undermine these efforts."

"Recent extreme climatic events have underscored the risks to human health and survival," adds Tony McMichael, director of the National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health at the Australian National University. "This synthesizing paper points the way to strategic research that better assesses the risks to health from global climate change."

The UW-Madison and WHO assessment appears only weeks before global leaders convene in Montreal during the first meeting of the Conference of Parties to the Kyoto Protocol, which came into effect in February 2005. Patz will also deliver the keynote address at a parallel WHO/Health Canada event.

The United States - the world's top emitter of greenhouse gases - has yet to ratify the Kyoto treaty. Patz and his colleagues say their work demonstrates the moral obligation of countries with high per-capita emissions, such as the U.S. and European nations, to adopt a leadership role in reducing the health threats of global warming. It also highlights the need for large, fast-growing economies, such as China and India, to develop sustainable energy policies.

"The political resolve of policy-makers will play a big role in harnessing the man-made forces of climate change," says Patz, who also holds a joint appointment with the UW-Madison department of Population Health Sciences.

Scientists believe that greenhouse gases will increase the global average temperature by approximately 6 degrees Fahrenheit by the end of the century. Extreme floods, droughts and heat waves, such as Europe's 2003 heat wave, are likely to strike with increasing frequency. Other factors such as irrigation and deforestation can also affect local temperatures and humidity.

According to the UW-Madison and WHO team, other model-based forecasts of health risks from global climate change project that:

* Climate-related disease risks of the various health outcomes assessed by WHO will more than double by 2030.
* Flooding as a result of coastal storm surges will affect the lives of up to 200 million people by the 2080s.
* Heat related deaths in California could more than double by 2100.
* Hazardous ozone pollution days in the Eastern U.S. could increase 60 percent by 2050.

Aside from research and the needed support of policy-makers worldwide, Patz says individuals can also play an important role in curbing the health consequences of global warming. "Our consumptive lifestyles are having lethal impacts on other people around the world, especially the poor," Patz says. "There are options now for leading more energy-efficient lives that should enable people to make better personal choices."

© 2010 Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System

buddyholly 11-26-2010 11:06 AM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
I am sure that in some places in the world, climate change (whether man-made or natural, a different argument) has also led to the prolongation of life of some people. The authors do not take this into account.
More government money wasted on biased pseudo-science.
Man-made climate change is so Al Gore - already forgotten.

MalwareDie 11-26-2010 01:34 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
It is far from pseudo-science.

buddyholly 11-26-2010 01:47 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
The article at least, does not provide a single verified statistic. The map is of deaths that ''could be'' attributed to climate change. And that is for the year 2000, ten years ago. They can't tell how many deaths actually occurred in 2000 due to climate change, but are quite happy to tell us how many will occur in California in 2100.

So, they probably get a lot of grant money and nice salaries to do this arm-waving.

It is the same as all the lamenting of the loss of the Kilimanjaro glaciers due to global warming, before the science was done and it was demonstrated that global warming had nothing to do with it.

MalwareDie 11-26-2010 02:17 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
Upon looking at google, this article is also 5 years old. It is summarizing the research article "Impact of regional climate change on human health."

I'm guessing (haven't read this) that the figures are determined by looking at past data and extrapolating them through a model.

Chip_s_m 11-26-2010 02:24 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
This sounds like a great incentive for third world countries to, you know, lift themselves out of the third world, which ironically will involve increasing their carbon emissions.

Chair Umpire 11-26-2010 02:32 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by MalwareDie (Post 10547460)
I'm guessing (haven't read this) that the figures are determined by looking at past data and extrapolating them through a model.

You're correct.

buddyholly 09-02-2011 12:08 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by buddyholly (Post 10546761)
I am sure that in some places in the world, climate change (whether man-made or natural, a different argument) has also led to the prolongation of life of some people. The authors do not take this into account.
More government money wasted on biased pseudo-science.
Man-made climate change is so Al Gore - already forgotten.

A new study by scientists at CERN seems to prove that the sun is the main driver of climate change on earth. Sunspot activity has a critical effect on cosmic ray paths, diverting them away from the earth in active periods, leading to loss of cloud formation and subsequent heating of the earth by the cosmic rays that are unobstructed by clouds.

Carbon dioxide, man-made and otherwise, would seem to have a negligible effect. Naturally this news is not being headlined: the media, grant-hungry scientists and politicians have already invested a decade in convincing the public that more regulation of their lives and more money spent on the man-made global warming scare is critical to saving the earth. Even the scientists at CERN were apparently warned to present their results, but refrain from any interpretation that would influence the climate change debate.

What's that terrible noise I hear.................Oh, just Al Gore screaming BULLSHIT! BULLSHIT! BULLSHIT!!
Yes, Al, the debate may indeed soon be over.

Garson007 09-02-2011 03:07 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
I couldn't care less about climate change. How exactly does it impact me? Both warmer climate and more CO2 has shown to increase floral life. It's unlikely to ever affect the human species as a whole. Rather put some money in food technologies than wasting all our effort on less productive things.

abraxas21 09-02-2011 03:49 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
ah, chair umpire's ban has expired... it was good while it lasted anyway. hopefully he won't come back now

buddyholly 02-22-2012 12:04 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
For a moment there it seemed as if the Climategate tables had been turned. Leaked documents from a Chicago think tank, the Heartland Institute, seemed to show that there was a plot by sceptics to ''dissuade teachers from teaching science.'' This was the only document among all those leaked to have a hint of scandal. But now it turns out the leaker is a prominent global warming alarmist, Peter Gleick, who obtained the documents by impersonating someone else. And here is the kicker - the one scandalous document is almost certainly a forgery. It was created one month after the other genuine documents were obtained and one day before being posted on the web. Gleik, president of the Pacific Institute has apologized and announced he will not now join the board of the National Center for Science Education.

Why am I not surprised? Gore and his crooked cronies are worse than the Sopranos.

buddyholly 01-05-2013 11:45 AM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
Al Gore does it again. Not content with his hundreds of millions profits from selling carbon credits to useful idiots, he has now sold his TV channel (estimated 40,000 viewers) to the ruler of Qatar for $500,000,000. And not only does the good Al get $100,000,000 all for himself, he hurried to complete the deal before the end of 2012, to avoid any nasty Obama style taxes that might cut into his profits in 2013.

I am sure he sleeps well at night, even though he did a deal with a man that is ALL ABOUT OIL PRODUCTION! But, never mind, making sacrifices to save the world is for the rest of us, not for Big Al.

Losing to Bush, was the best move he ever made. Worth at least $1 billion. Still, he probably needs it all to run the air conditioning and heating in his palatial homes.

The good news for Americans is that his TV channel is now owned by Al Jazeera and now they won't have to spend all their waking hours on the Internet searching for alternative news.

Har-Tru 01-05-2013 03:07 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
Quote:

1.) Al Gore’s convenient hypocrisy – America’s loudest environmentalist, Al Gore, is about to become much richer thanks to oil money. The AP reports:

“Al-Jazeera, the Pan-Arab news channel that struggled to win space on American cable television, has acquired Current TV, boosting its reach in the U.S. nearly ninefold to about 40 million homes. With a focus on U.S. news, it plans to rebrand the left-leaning news network that cofounder Al Gore couldn’t make relevant. The former vice president confirmed the sale Wednesday, saying in a statement that Al-Jazeera shares Current TV’s mission ‘to give voice to those who are not typically heard; to speak truth to power; to provide independent and diverse points of view; and to tell the stories that no one else is telling.’ … Al-Jazeera, owned by the government of Qatar, plans to gradually transform Current into a network called Al-Jazeera America by adding five to 10 new U.S. bureaus beyond the five it has now and hiring more journalists.”
The “stars” of Current will probably remain, though their shows may change. For instance, “Joy Behar: Say Anything” may become “Joy Behar: Don’t Say Anything.” Or “Viewpoint with Eliot Spitzer” could become “Sharia Viewpoint with Eliot Spitzer.” And of course “The War Room with Jennifer Granholm” will almost certainly become “The Jihad Room with Jennifer Granholm.” But then again, no one will be able to say for sure since no one actually watches the network.
http://dailycaller.com/2013/01/03/th...#ixzz2H7MksLtk

Har-Tru 01-05-2013 03:38 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by buddyholly (Post 11319665)
A new study by scientists at CERN seems to prove that the sun is the main driver of climate change on earth. Sunspot activity has a critical effect on cosmic ray paths, diverting them away from the earth in active periods, leading to loss of cloud formation and subsequent heating of the earth by the cosmic rays that are unobstructed by clouds.

Carbon dioxide, man-made and otherwise, would seem to have a negligible effect. Naturally this news is not being headlined: the media, grant-hungry scientists and politicians have already invested a decade in convincing the public that more regulation of their lives and more money spent on the man-made global warming scare is critical to saving the earth. Even the scientists at CERN were apparently warned to present their results, but refrain from any interpretation that would influence the climate change debate.

What's that terrible noise I hear.................Oh, just Al Gore screaming BULLSHIT! BULLSHIT! BULLSHIT!!
Yes, Al, the debate may indeed soon be over.

That is not what the CERN paper said. The paper showed that there is a direct correlation between nucleation and cosmic rays, but the man behind the whole idea and lead scientist of this CLOUD experiment, Jasper Kirkby said himself:

Quote:

"[The paper] actually says nothing about a possible cosmic-ray effect on clouds and climate, but itís a very important first step."
Even if such effect were to be proven, in order for cosmic rays to account for the recent global warming on earth two other factors should be met: there should be a higher solar activity and a reduction of cosmic rays reaching the earth. None of this has happened in the past decades.

buddyholly 01-05-2013 04:57 PM

Re: Third World bears brunt of global warming impacts.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Har-Tru (Post 12635362)



Even if such effect were to be proven, in order for cosmic rays to account for the recent global warming on earth two other factors should be met: there should be a higher solar activity and a reduction of cosmic rays reaching the earth. None of this has happened in the past decades.

Interesting academic tiff between CERN and the Danes. And since the results give impetus to the Danish theory, it is no surprise that the director of CERN gave the order to present the results without interpretation.


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