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bad gambler 06-11-2009 11:27 AM

2009 Tour De France
 
Early odds from Centrebet

Code:


CONTADOR, Alberto (ESP) 2.05           
ARMSTRONG, Lance (USA)        6.50 
SCHLECK, Andy (LUX)        8.00         
EVANS, Cadel (AUS)        8.50 
MENCHOV, Denis (RUS)        15.00         
LEIPHEIMER, Levi (USA)        26.00         
SASTRE, Carlos (ESP)        26.00         
ROGERS, Michael (AUS)        34.00         
KLODEN, Andreas (GER)        41.00         
KREUZIGER, Roman (CZE)        41.00         
BASSO, Ivan (ITA)        51.00         
GESINK, Robert (NED)        51.00         
SANCHEZ, Samuel (ESP)        51.00         
SCHLECK, Frank (LUX)        51.00         
VANDE VELDE, Christian (USA)        81.00 
COBO, Juan Jose (SPA)        101.00         
CUNEGO, Damiano (ITA)        101.00         
DEKKER, Thomas (NED)        101.00         
DEVOLDER, Stijn (BEL)        101.00         
KIRCHEN, Kim (LUX)        101.00         
PEREIRO, Oscar (ESP)        101.00         
SOLER, Mauricio (COL)        101.00         
BRAJKOVIC, Janez (SLO)        151.00         
CANCELLARA, Fabian (SUI) 151.00         
DI LUCA, Danilo (ITA)        151.00         
GARATE, Juan Manuel (ESP) 151.00         
GERDEMANN, Linus (GER)        151.00         
NIBALI, Vincenzo (ITA)        151.00         
POPOVYCH, Yaroslav (UKR) 151.00         
MONCOUTIE, David (FRA)        201.00         
ZUBELDIA, Haimar (ESP)        201.00         
CHAVANEL, Sylvain (FRA) 251.00         
GOMEZ MARCHANTE, Jose Angel (ESP)       
HINCAPIE, George (USA)        251.00         
KARPETS, Vladimir (RUS) 351.00

Armstrong is second favourite? Must be getting another booster shot before the race if that's the case :scratch:

I think this is the year Andy Schleck steps up to the plate. Will most likely be taking him E/W

Bolar Bolabi 06-11-2009 12:51 PM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Menchov's price is too short for what he accomplished. He won't do the double.

Sastre's price is highly juicy. Yes he doesn't have team support, but he showed in the Giro he can take it to anyone in the mountains.

Contador's price is a steal. It should be under $2.

You all know how I feel about Evans. This does suit him though. There are only 2 or 3 summit finishes. He has winning history on Ventoux. With 2 time trials and a team trial and the form he is in, especially in time trials, he's going to podium again. Whether he wins or not is another story, but he podiums.

This course suits Kreuziger. His form is very sustaining. He'll win Switzerland. He's my tip for Switzerland and I'll be putting a lot of money on him when I can get the odds for Switzerland. The tour, he'll get a top 10 result. $2.25 for top 10 looks a solid price. I'll lay the law down here right now. Kreuziger wins the TDF before Andy Schleck does. He's the better of the two.

Similar to Evans, Kloden's price looks good - but for place purposes as he's riding for Contador.

Put it this way, the podium will feature any of these riders. Sastre, Contador, Evans, Schleck, Kloden

Outside chances for top 10. Gerdemann $6, Nibali $6

Kloden top 10 $4? With the amount of time trialing and considering his two wins this year have come in the time trials and the lack of uphill finishes, surely that's something worth jumping over. Don't be surprised if I throw $2000 on Kloden top 10 and don't place any other bets. That is a steal IMO.

Evans to podium - that's a steal too.

But I guess it depends if he's riding it. He will be one of the names mentioned next week in this blood passport unusual values.

With the lack of uphill finishes, this gives the good descenders time to crawl back time on descents.

Kloden and Kreuziger and Kirchen fill out the podium in Switzerland. Kirchen top 10 would be good. Rogers sucks in GT time trials. But it guess it depends on Kirchen's form in Switzerland considering he broke his collar bone in February and he's done fuck all racing.

My bets might be

Kloden top 10
Evans podium

Bolar Bolabi 06-11-2009 12:53 PM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Green Jersey won't be won by Cavendish too.

Haussler is the most consistent sprinter in the peloton. But he has Thor to contend with.

Freire, Haussler or Hushovd win the points comp.

its.like.that 06-29-2009 06:00 PM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Some outrights:

Evans over Armstrong @ 2.00

Armstrong NOT to finish top 6 @ 2.24

Andy Schleck to win White Jersey @ 1.60

Bolar Bolabi 06-30-2009 10:14 AM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by its.like.that (Post 8786891)
Some outrights:

Evans over Armstrong @ 2.00

Armstrong NOT to finish top 6 @ 2.24

Andy Schleck to win White Jersey @ 1.60

Stop inflating odds bozo.

Where the fuck do you find Evans at even money? I've looked everywhere and most places are around 1.70. It's an awesome bet. The better price the better. Tell!

its.like.that 07-01-2009 07:21 AM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi (Post 8790467)
Stop inflating odds bozo.

Where the fuck do you find Evans at even money? I've looked everywhere and most places are around 1.70. It's an awesome bet. The better price the better. Tell!

Not inflating odds. Only tiny amounts matched, but it's at betfair, in any case.

Bolar Bolabi 07-03-2009 03:52 AM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Stage 1

3 units Hushovd over Haussler @ $1.81
7 units Kirchen over Nibali @ $1.75

Good luck!

bad gambler 07-04-2009 12:08 AM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Moncoutie will probably win the KOM based on his form at the Dauphine Libere but can't be backing him at 2.50.

Pierrick Fedrigo to win KOM - $50
Tony Martin to win KOM - $21

gl

bad gambler 07-04-2009 12:17 AM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bolar Bolabi (Post 8727967)

Points Jersey

Freire is looking very strong.
Cavendish is too fast for everyone but won't be able to handle the 3 week race just yet.

I've taken Freire to win a stage at TDF - $2.00

gl

Bolar Bolabi 07-04-2009 01:33 AM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
good luck bg. that looks solid!

wis 07-04-2009 03:43 AM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Which of the following bets would you guys say is the best value bet and the safest bet?

Rogers over Vandevelde $1.85
Polka Dot Jersey - D.Moncoutie $3
Yellow Jersey - A.Contador $2

Also interested to hear what people think of the green jersey classification and who they think will take it out. Always eager to plonck a few down b4 the tour starts to make it that much more exciting.

its.like.that 07-04-2009 08:19 AM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Cancellara to win stage 1 @ 1.70

bad gambler 07-04-2009 10:27 AM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Contador E/W $8/$2.70

Clement to beat Devolder - $1.85

Martin to beat Wiggins - $2.45

gl

Bolar Bolabi 07-04-2009 10:52 AM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
This stage doesn't really suit Cancellara that much but still should be hard to beat.

.5 units Kirchen top 3 @ $16.50

1 unit Martin over Wiggins @ $2.57

1.5 unit Menchov over Kreuziger @ $1.91

Good luck!

Bolar Bolabi 07-04-2009 10:54 AM

Re: 2009 Tour De France
 
Solid bet BG - thinking about it.

Contador needs to send a message out to prove a point.

Secondly, if he got yellow tonight, Astana won't defend it tomorrow. Providing the break isn't that threatening, they will just let the sprinters teams control the peloton.


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