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16K views 120 replies 5 participants last post by  shmeeko69 
#1 ·
Todays win & place selection. Remember to only risk 5% of
your Betfair/Bookie account.

LINGFIELD 14:30 CLASS5 H'CAP CHASE 2M 4F GOOD

COUNT THE COST BACK 8.2 | E/WAY 2.26 (3 PLACES)


Win & Place Adv. - Ground Conditions
Recent Form

Disadvantages - Distance
Trainer Overall Form
Jockey Booking

Whilst there are negatives about the selected horse, I feel
that the horse's recent form & course experience, gives it
good e/way chances.

Mark :wavey:
 
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#100 ·
Todays win only selection.

17:25 PLUMPTON H'CAP CHASE CLASS 5 3M 2F SOFT

PORTRAIT ROYALE 3.65 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Class
Trainer Course Chase Record

Win Disadv. - Weight

With the trainers other horse Quartz Du Montceau out along with Hobb's Dream, gives Portrait Royale an excellent chance. The trainer has a 30% chase win record at Plumpton & as long as the extra weight isn't to much of a burden over 3 & a 1/4 miles in what is a weak race, should have a really good chance. Portrait Royale 3.65 to back.

Mark :worship:
 
#101 ·
Congratulations to Big Bucks & What A Friend, the Nicholls/Walsh
winning combination goes on & on.

Todays win & place selection.

16:10 TAUNTON H'CAP CHASE 2M 3F Good was GS

LOCAL PRESENT 7.6 BACK | 2.54 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Horse Recent Form

Win & Place Disadv. - Trainer Course Chase Form

In what is a reasonably competitive race I think Local Present has
good place changes & expect the race to be fought between the chosen
horse & Mon Chevalier & Omme Antique. Local Present reasonable value to back at 7.6 & e/way at 2.54

Mark :worship:
 
#102 ·
Todays win & place selection.

15:10 AINTREE GRADE 1 CHASE GOOD 2M 4F

ALBERTAS RUN 9.6 BACK | 3.2 E/WAY(3 places)

Win & Place Adv. - Ground Conditions
Distance
Class

Win & Place Disadv. - Trainer Course Chase Record

With only about six horses with a realistic chance of winning, I think Albertas Run offers good e/way value. I think the race will be contested between Albertas Run, Kalahari King & Poquelin. Albertas Run 9.6 to back & 3.2 e/way.

Mark :worship:
 
#103 ·
Todays win & place selection.

EXETER 15:10 H'CAP CHASE CLASS3 3M 6F GOOD

TRIGGER THE LIGHT 7.8 BACK | 2.40 E/WAY (3 PLACES)


Win & Place Adv. - Ground
Class
Trainer Recent Form

Win & Place Disadv. - Weight

I think this engery sapping race will be contested between Trigger the Light
& Ballygalley Bob. So the value bet lies with our selection. Trigger the Light 7.8 to back & 2.40 e/way.

Mark :worship:
 
#104 ·
Today win only & not my most original selection ever.

16:00 AYR H'CAP HURDLE CLASS 2 3M GOOD

DOUBLE HIT 4.1 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Weight
Trainer Course Hurdle Record
Course Characteristics

Win Disadv. - Class

I expect Double Hit to repeat the recent Newbury win off the same
mark & with the jockey weight allowance. The course characteristics
are exactly the same at Ayr & with the trainer's course record, looks
a good value bet. Caroles Legacy has a chance & should be in the place market
with possibly Pakanoket. Double Hit 4.1 to back.

Mark :worship:
 
#105 ·
Todays win only selection.

16:20 PLUMPTON H'CAP CHASE CLASS 4 2M 1F GF

TEMPTING PARADISE 4.2 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Distance
Class
Horse Recent Form

Win Disadv. - Weight

In what is a short field over 17f, I think Tempting Paradise has an
excellent chance despite being top weight. She's Humble & Croon
could feature in the place market. Tempting Paradise 4.2 to back.

Mark
 
#106 ·
Todays win only selection.

16:20 WINCANTON H'CAP HURDLE CLASS 4 2M GF

CRAZY BOLD 4.5 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Distance
Class
Ground Conditions

Win Disadv. - Weight
Trainer Course Record

I think Crazy Bold has the best chance & comes out top on my
ratings. My main concern is the extra weight, although it's only
over 2m. I expect Jenny Potts & Weststern to fight for the place market. Crazy Bold 4.5 to back.

Mark :worship:
 
#107 ·
Todays win only selection.

15:35 DONCASTER H'CAP CLASS4 1M 4F GF/GOOD

BOLLIN GRETA 4.1 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Weight

Win Disadv. - Class
Days since last run

I think Bollin Greta offers reasonable value & comes out top in my
ratings. Should be a close run thing between Bollin Greta & Abayaan.
Bollin Greta 4.1 to back.

Mark :worship:
 
#108 ·
Todays win & place selection.

19:30 RIPON H'CAP CLASS 3 1M 2F GOOD TO FIRM

ROSBAY BACK 10.0 | E.WAY 3.05 (3 PLACES)

Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Weight
Trainer Recent Form

Win & Place Disadv. - Class
Trainer Course Form

I think our chosen horse Rosbay has good each way claims in what
is a competitve race, with about six horses capable of winning.
Rosbay good value to back at 10.0 & 3.05 e/way.

Mark :worship:
 
#109 ·
Todays win only selection.

16:55 YORK H'CAP CLASS 4 1M 4F GF

MONKTON VALE 4.2 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Weight
Ground Conditions
Trainer 3yo Course Record

Win Disadv. - Distance

I think with Beat The Rush now out of the race, this gives Monkton Vale a good chance.
Judiciary is unknown over the distance & Dancing Dude is carrying a bit of weight. Monkton Vale
reasonable value to back at 4.2.

Mark :worship:
 
#110 ·
Todays win only selection.

16:00 SEDGEFIELD H'CAP CHASE CLASS4 3M 3F GOOD

FINBIN 3.4 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Ground Conditions
Distance
Horse Recent Form

Win Adv. - Weight
Trainer Course Form

I think Finbin & Overton lad have a similar chance of winning
& the value lies with Finbin. The main concern with our chosen
horse is the weight over a stamina testing distance. Finbin 3.4 to back.

Mark :worship:
 
#111 ·
Todays win & place selection.

15:30 REDCAR CLASS 5 H'CAP 1M 1F GF

CRYSTAL FEATHER 8.4 BACK | 2.66 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Course Characteristics

Win & Place Disadv. - Class

With rain getting into the ground in the north east of England, this should play more favourably into Crystal Feather's hands & I expect good place claims, along with top weight Visions Of Johanna. Crystal Feather 8.4 to back & 2.66 e/way.

Mark :worship:
 
#112 ·
Todays win only selection

16:40 HAMILTON CLASS 5 H'CAP 1M 5F GF/Good in Places

BIRKSIDE 9.2 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Weight

Win Disadv. - Trainer Course Record

I think Birkside has a reasonble chance back at a favourable distance & ground conditions to suit. Should be in
the running along with Lady Eclair from the Johnston yard. Birkside 9.2 to back.

Mark :worship:
 
#113 ·
Todays win only selection

16:30 SALISBURY CLASS 4 H'CAP 1M 2F GOOD

BABYCAKES 5.7 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Distance
Trainer Recent Form

Win Disadv. - Weight

In what is a tricky race with the weights, I think Babycakes is handicapped better & should have a good chance along with Sea Of Heartbreak. Babycakes 5.7 to back.

Mark :worship:
 
#114 ·
Todays win only selection & a bit of an outsider punt.

NOTTINGHAM 16:00 CLASS 3 H'CAP 1M GS/Soft

COUNT BERTONI 30.0 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Weight
Trainer Course Record For 3yo's

Win Disadv. - Class

With a previous course win at the same distance & ground conditions to suit & the trainers superb course record, I think Count Bertoni odds are more than generous & should be about 12/1 . Count Bertoni 30.0 to back.

Mark :worship:
 
#115 ·
16:00 SEDGEFIELD CLASS 4 H'CAP CHASE 2M 4F GOOD

TOULOUSE EXPRESS 9.6 | 2.84 E/WAY (3 PLACES)

Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Course Record For Horse

Win & Place Disadv. - Trainer Overall Chase Record

Toulouse Express the most experienced horse in the race & excellent course record has good place claims along with another with a good course record General Hardi & the competitive Nile Moon. Toulouse Express good value to back at 9.6 & e/way 2.84.

Mark :worship:
 
#116 ·
Todays win & place selection.

RIPON 16:00 CLASS 3 H'CAP 1M 1F GOOD/GF

TEMPLETUOHY MAX 7.8 BACK | 2.52 E/WAY (3 places)

Win & Place Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Weight

Win & Place Disadv. - Class

I think Templetuohy Max has good place claims & should be in the running with the clear favourite Charlie Cool. Templetuohy Max 7.8 to back & 2.55 e/wach way.

Mark :worship:
 
#117 ·
Todays win only selection

BEVERLEY 15:15 CLASS 4 H'CAP 1M 2F Good to Firm

DANEHILLSUNDANCE 3.35 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Distance
Class
Trainer Course Record 4yo+

Win Disadv. - Weight

I think with the distance, class & the trainers 43% win record for 4yo's, Danehillsundance stands a good chance of winnng. Reasonable value to back at 3.35.

Mark :worship:
 
#118 ·
Todays win only selection.

16:25 MARKET RASEN H'CAP CHASE CLASS 3 2M 6F GF/Good in Places

CHORIZO 5.2 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Weight

Win Disadv. - Class

I think Chorizo stands a reasonable chance of winning & should be in a battle along with Tempsford & McCoy on board. Chorizo reasonable value to back at 5.2 .

Mark :worship:
 
#119 ·
Todays win only selection.

15:20 CATTERICK H'CAP CLASS4 1M 7F 177Y GF/Firm

BERGONZI 4.6 (Back) Win Only

Win Adv. - Ground Conditions
Class
Trainer Recent Form

Win Disadv. - Weight
Trainer Course Form

I think Bergonzi has a good chance of winnng the race, as is slightly ahead of Architave in my ratings. Bergonzi 4.6 to back.

Mark :wavey:
 
#120 ·
Todays win only selection.

15:40 UTTOXETER H'CAP HURDLE CLASS 4 3M GOOD/GF

RIPALONG LAD 5.2 BACK (WIN ONLY)

Win Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Class

Win Disadv. - Weight

I think Ripalong Lad has a good chance over a distance that is comfortable and weather to suit & scores the most points. Public Esteem & Winsley Hill are the other two contenders in what is quite a good race.

Mark :worship:
 
#121 ·
Todays win only selection.

15:50 WORCESTER H'CAP HURDLE CLASS 5 2M GF/Good

MISAMON 3.95 Back (Win Only)

Win Adv. - Distance
Ground Conditions
Class

Win Disadv. - Weight
Trainer Course Form

Misamon scored the most points in our selection criteria just ahead of Rince Donn & as long as no more rain gets into the ground, is a reasonable value selection. Misamon 3.95 to back.

Mark :worship:
 
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