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  Topic Review (Newest First)
03-18-2008 09:36 PM
Gamblore
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

gl mate
03-18-2008 12:59 PM
Bolar Bolabi
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jig-Jag View Post
Actually, i'd like to see this for real. Are u able to make a virtual game for him that we can all see how he does? Basically like that virtual tennis stuff.
I'm doing it for real. If it's not AFL, it's NRL or Tennis. One way or the other, I'm giving this experiment a try.
03-18-2008 06:33 AM
Gamblore
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Just by the by. I did that short odds thing over a full football season and came out from 1000-5000 in a season. Tried the next and lost first bet. So i layed off, wans't going to do it again. It can be done though. Just not long term.
03-18-2008 06:31 AM
Gamblore
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Actually, i'd like to see this for real. Are u able to make a virtual game for him that we can all see how he does? Basically like that virtual tennis stuff.
03-18-2008 02:26 AM
Bolar Bolabi
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Quote:
Originally Posted by bad gambler View Post
Bolar I have a friendly challenge for you. Over the course of the AFL season, play a virtual $1,000 on a $1.25 shot or more per round and see if you win them all. I bet you will slip up somewhere along the line, even more than once IMO.

And if that happens there is absolutely no value in that strategy you outlined above.
Okay! I'll give it a go virtually.
03-18-2008 02:23 AM
bad gambler
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Bolar I have a friendly challenge for you. Over the course of the AFL season, play a virtual $1,000 on a $1.25 shot or more per round and see if you win them all. I bet you will slip up somewhere along the line, even more than once IMO.

And if that happens there is absolutely no value in that strategy you outlined above.
03-18-2008 02:17 AM
Bolar Bolabi
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Quote:
Originally Posted by its.like.that View Post
I beg to differ.

I think winning long-term is about picking winners.

Nothing is to say that the 'value' picks won't keep on losing for an extended period of time.
Yep

Bet slowly and be patient is the game of winning.

Get $1000 - put it on what would be a good bet - say Hawthorn to beat Melbourne @ $1.33 on Sunday. That's $330 profit you've made in one weekend providing Hawthorn don't stumble. The next week, find another decent bet and do the same - for example it could be Geelong at home to beat Carlton @ $1.20 - $1.30 - Again, that's another 200 odd bucks you've made. Do that over the course of 22 weeks and you've suddenly made around $7000 in 22 weeks. Not bad!
03-16-2008 10:18 AM
its.like.that
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gilles View Post
Great article, and thanks for sharing.

Winning long-term is all about picking value, as difficult as it is to do.
I beg to differ.

I think winning long-term is about picking winners.

Nothing is to say that the 'value' picks won't keep on losing for an extended period of time.
12-21-2007 06:24 PM
Horatio Caine
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Quote:
Originally Posted by dave nz View Post
Learn to know the probablity of what u are betting relative to the lines set and use it to work in your favour.
Great article, and thanks for sharing.

Winning long-term is all about picking value, as difficult as it is to do.
12-21-2007 06:09 PM
Iván
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

This is what Gambling forums are all about, people sharing ideas, right or wrong and discussing it together in a good manner.

No wind up merchants causing arguments.
12-21-2007 08:31 AM
bad gambler
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Quote:
Originally Posted by stable unit View Post

I think in attempting to read the line, it suggested this play. Im sure im not the first to ever think this theory but im happy now.
Google "reverse odds analysis" and see what you get as the first result lol

Theory has been around for years mate, I've been applying it sporadically over the past year. I found it a very useful tool for sports capping of specific sports.
12-21-2007 08:25 AM
bad gambler
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Good stuff Dave, thanks for sharing.

Actually this thread has got me thinking about the restructure to the gambling forum I'm planning to discuss with the site webmaster over the next couple of weeks. I definitely see some value in a sub forum where posters can discuss any interesting strategies and gambling related articles across all sports not just tennis.
12-21-2007 03:02 AM
stable unit
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Quote:
Originally Posted by stable unit View Post
One last point:

TNF and all the press leaks have been how tired and beat up the Steelers are, how the Jags and Pats have gashed the much vaunted Steeler D. Even a few widely read pundits even picked the Rams SU, you can get +7.5 on the Rams tonight at home and im guessing through a few forums read that the majority of people are going to be on the Rams +7.5.

Lets see if in actual fact Pittsburgh run away with this?

Bingo-bango

I think in attempting to read the line, it suggested this play. Im sure im not the first to ever think this theory but im happy now.
12-20-2007 09:12 PM
jayjay
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

Pittsburgh will get the W. Rams just aren't good enough all round to win this although they still have Bulger, Jackson and Holt to make plays. Maybe they'll cover the spread, but as far as ML goes, this is the Steelers game and they very much need it.
The fact that Steelers have lost on the road this season to teams they should have beaten and that it has been such a talking point for them - points to the belief that they won't be underestimating the Rams and will go home with a much needed win.
12-20-2007 08:33 PM
stable unit
Re: Betting at "over the odds" and how it can help you

One last point:

TNF and all the press leaks have been how tired and beat up the Steelers are, how the Jags and Pats have gashed the much vaunted Steeler D. Even a few widely read pundits even picked the Rams SU, you can get +7.5 on the Rams tonight at home and im guessing through a few forums read that the majority of people are going to be on the Rams +7.5.

Lets see if in actual fact Pittsburgh run away with this?

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