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Dubai 2012 SF Pre-match analysis: Djokovic vs. Murray

Posted 03-02-2012 at 11:46 AM by masterclass
Novak Djokovic [1](SRB) vs. Andy Murray [4](GBR)
Location: Dubai Tennis Stadium in Garhoud, Centre Court
Time: 5:00 pm (GMT+4), 12 am in Melbourne, AUS, 1 pm in London, GBR, 8 am in New York, USA
Weather forecast: Partly cloudy - 25 C./77 F. Humidity 30% Wind: 14 kph/9 mph
Surface: Outdoor Hard, Decoturf II

H2H:
-Dubai: None
-Overall: Djokovic: 7-4. Sets: Djokovic 16-12 Majors: Djokovic: 2-0 (AO (2))
---Hard Court: Djokovic: 5-4 Sets: 12-11 Majors: Djokovic: 2-0 (AO (2))
-----Faster/Low Bounce: Murray: 3-0 Sets: Murray: 6-0
-----Slower/High Bounce: Djokovic: 5-1 Sets: Djokovic:12-5 Majors: Djokovic: 2-0 (AO (2))
---Clay: Djokovic: 2-0 Sets: Djokovic: 4-1

Class:
-Djokovic: Career high [1] - 2011. Current [1]. 5 majors. (AO-3,USO-1,Wim-1)
-Murray: Career high [2] 2009. Current [4] 0 majors. 3 major finals

Dubai past performances:

-Djokovic :
5 appearances - 3 consecutive wins - 2009-2011. 1 SF. 1 QF.
Best: 2011 - Won, beating Roger Federer 6-3, 6-3 Combined rankings played: 115 (Top: 2) (2010 - 160;2009 - 232)
Worst: 2007 Lost in QF to Roger Federer 3-6, 7-6(6), 3-6 Combined rankings played: 148 (Top: 1)
Current to date: 3 matches Sets: 6-0 Games: 38-22 Tiebreaks: 2 (5 and 6) Combined rankings played (inc. QF): 153 (Top: 9)

-Murray

3 appearances - 2 QF (1 Withdrawal), 1 R16
Best: 2008 Lost in QF to Nikolay Davidenko [5] 5-7, 4-6 Combined rankings played: 36 (Top: 5)
Worst: 2010 Lost R16 to Janko Tipsarevic [39] 6-7(3), 6-4, 4-6 Combined rankings played: 150 (Top: 39)
Current to date: 3 matches Sets: 6-1 Games: 36-28 Combined rankings played: 308 (Top: 5)

Surface preferences:

-Djokovic:

All court, except faster lower bouncing conditions. 21 titles on hard, 7 Clay, 1 Grass. Carpet: .714 Grass: .776 Hard: .796 Clay: .762

-Murray:

All court, prefers faster conditions, but good on clay. 19 titles on hard, 2 Grass, 1 Carpet. Carpet: .727 Grass: .803 Hard: .780 Clay: .594

Mental characteristics:

-Djokovic: Fights well, only succumbs to the players with highest mental strength. In the past was known to give up the match after losing tight sets, but appears to have overcome that.

-Murray: Good fighter. Sometimes lets mind wander, talking to himself, to his box, etc. Has succumbed to pressure against top players, especially in majors, but has steadily improved mental strength of late with Ivan Lendl in his corner.

Physical characteristics:

-Djokovic: Age: 26 Height: 188 cm/80 kg (6'2"/176 lb) - Use to be susceptible to heat, exhaustion, but seems more fit in last 2 years. Occasional injuries to back and shoulder.

-Murray: Age: 26 Height/Weight: 190 cm/84 kg (6'3"/185 lb.) Appears to carry various niggling injuries, mostly to lower extremities, knees.

Other: Djokovic confidence since reaching #1 is his biggest asset now. Murray is the harder server, but less consistent on first serve, Djokovic more prone to double fault. Murray is very slightly better on return.

Predicted winner: Too close to call. Perhaps very slight edge to Murray due to the best H2H fast court record. But Djokovic clearly has the better class and overall record in Dubai. Djokovic has had a much weaker draw this year, which might hurt him here and in the finals. The key on this surface has been the quality of the player's service game. Games tend to go by quickly. Could be decided in tiebreakers.


Statistical source: http://www.atpworldtour.com
Weather forecast courtesy of http://www.wunderground.com


Respectfully,
masterclass
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Age for both players should be 24

Respectfully,
masterclass
Posted 03-02-2012 at 12:28 PM by masterclass masterclass is offline
 

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