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Hotzenplotz's ATP bets Blog

Blog giving opinions on the imho best bets of the day
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Bets for Wednesday, February 22

Posted 02-21-2006 at 11:39 PM by Hotzenplotz
Stepanek (1.16, 3 points) to beat Lammer: Lammer has no weapons to trouble Stepanek who is reliable enough to risk a larger bet.
Rusedski (3.85, 0.5 points) to beat Davydenko: This is obviously a speculative bet. The h2h doesn't support the hope for an upset, however, Davydenko has always had a couple of patchy moments in his last couple of matches and if Rusedski serves well, he could get enough chances on Davydenko's serve to win the match on the very fast surface.
Dent (1.36) to beat C. Rochus: The surface suits Dent's game much better than Rochus'. Dent has had a good win against Berdych while Rochus barely scraped past Lisnard.

Murray (1.32, 3 points) to beat Schüttler: Murray playing excellent tennis against Schüttler who just isn't competitive anymore. The odds invite me to a big bet.
Bjorkman (4.2, 0.5 points) to beat Kiefer: Kiefer has been ill and I expect him not to be at full strength which would give Bjorkman a good chance to win.
Haas (1.23, 2 points) to beat Gimelstob: Haas has played an excellent season so far and Gimelstob has shown nothing that would make me believe he could possibly trouble him.
Goldstein (1.40) to beat Jenkins: The experienced Goldstein should be able to beat the newcomer Jenkins who hasn't shown any form after the US Open.
I'm waiting for the odds of Roddick v Arthurs. Should Roddick be very short, I may oppose him.

Costa do Sauipe:
Martin (odds to be confirmed) to beat Ghem: Ghem was lucky to meet Kuerten in the first round, the only player he could have possibly beaten.
Volandri (odds to be confirmed) to beat Vanek: While Volandri struggled today in the first set, he's still a different class to Vanek.
Massu (odds to be confirmed) to beat Vicente: That's another matter of different class.
I will probably oppose Gaudio to beat Patience in straight sets based on Gaudio's shaky performance in the first round and in general.
More to follow when the order of play in Memphis will be known.
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Re: Bets for Wednesday, February 22

Arthurs (6.266, 0.5 points) to beat Roddick
Martin: odds 1.24, 3 points
Posted 02-22-2006 at 10:21 AM by Hotzenplotz Hotzenplotz is offline
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Re: Bets for Wednesday, February 22

Volandri 1.45
Massu 1.32, 2 pts
Patience to win a set, 2.64, 0.5 pts
Posted 02-22-2006 at 03:23 PM by Hotzenplotz Hotzenplotz is offline
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Re: Bets for Wednesday, February 22

A good day altogether despite a couple disappointments. Once again, injuries badly influenced my results as Dent had to retire and Haas' win was void. Kiefer unfortunately decided before the match he was not fit enough to face Bjorkman. The betting pattern of Volandri's match stinks, to say the least. With regard to Patience, I could have been somewhat more optimistic while Arthurs just missed out on upsetting Roddick which would have made this a great day.

Stepanek defeats Lammer 6-4 6-2 +0.48 pts
Rusedski loses to Davydenko 4-6 1-6 -0.5 pts
Dent loses to C. Rochus 6-7 retired -1.0 pts
Murray defeats Schüttler 1-6 7-5 6-2 +0.96 pts
Bjorkman v Kiefer: Kiefer pulled out
Haas defeats Gimelstob 2-1 retired - bet void
Goldstein defeats Jenkins 6-4 6-3 +0.4 pts
Arthurs loses to Roddick 7-6 6-7 6-7 -0.5 pts
Volandri loses to Vanek 0-6 1-6 -1.0 pts
Massu defeats Vicente 3-6 7-6 6-3 +0.64 pts
Martin defeats Ghem 6-2 3-6 6-3 +0.72 pts
Patience defeats Gaudio 6-2 6-2 +0.82 pts
total p/l after commission: +0.819 pts
Posted 02-23-2006 at 03:28 AM by Hotzenplotz Hotzenplotz is offline

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