AFL Round 4 [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

AFL Round 4

bossboss
04-16-2007, 12:52 PM
20 Apr 2007 19:39
RICHMOND 2.65
WESTERN BULLDOGS 1.47

21 Apr 2007 14:09
COLLINGWOOD 1.90
PORT ADELAIDE 1.87
21 Apr 2007 14:09
ST KILDA 1.60
ESSENDON 2.30
21 Apr 2007 19:39
ADELAIDE 1.72
SYDNEY 2.10
21 Apr 2007 19:09
KANGAROOS 2.90
BRISBANE 1.40

22 Apr 2007 22:34
HAWTHORN 2.40
GEELONG 1.56
22 Apr 2007 14:09
MELBOURNE 2.65
FREMANTLE 1.47
22 Apr 2007 16:39
WEST COAST 1.16
CARLTON 5.10

its.like.that
04-16-2007, 01:06 PM
Crows at 1.72 to beat the Grizzlies.

bossboss
04-16-2007, 01:16 PM
sorry for posting this so early .. but i would like to see the line movements during the week

Bet1 for this week (locked in) 5 units on Pies against Power @ 1.9 .. watch this line drops as fast as.
Power will be without ruckman Dean Brogan and may be missing Danyle Pearce (hamstring) depending a fitness test during the week


Bet 2 will be Carlton + the points ..i expect something around 40 points .. As BG mentioned WCE are bad ATS team just because the bookies inflate their margins they went 9-13 ATS last year..
Add to that Carlton last meeting with WCE in Perth cartlon lead until mid last Q to lose at the end 111-101 .. only worry is the previous 3 visits were blow outs by avaerage of 80 points

Bolar Bolabi
04-17-2007, 06:23 AM
Lions will destroy that Kangaroos mob. We'll be too fast for them. Depending what the line is, that's a lock for me.

I won't touch Carlton V West Coast.

I will, however, touch Sydney over Adelaide depending on Rutton's fitness. If Rutton misses, Hall will have a field day. But if Rutton plays, then I question if he'll be alright to handle hall. I'm keeping a close eye on that one during the week.

Bulldogs and Richmond are as bad as each other. Richmond with the points may be a bet.

Essendon with the points over St.Kilda may be a goer to. But it's hard to tell. This week looks tough.

its.like.that
04-17-2007, 02:22 PM
Melbourne v Fremantle - this will be one hell of a shitfest.

Dees are good value to take this one, Freo is a club that has a losing mentality in general, and with several of their key players in trouble with the tribunal, they may well struggle to find their feet for a few weeks yet.

bad gambler
04-17-2007, 02:25 PM
First time I'm backing the Swans this season. They are starting to find their feet, apart from the Eagles they far superior than any other team in the comp. Time to start backing them as $2+ dogs

Swans to beat Crows - $2.11

good luck

Bolar Bolabi
04-18-2007, 05:48 AM
First time I'm backing the Swans this season. They are starting to find their feet, apart from the Eagles they far superior than any other team in the comp. Time to start backing them as $2+ dogs

Swans to beat Crows - $2.11

good luck

That and the Brisbane match are the ones I really like this week.

There could be a lot of shithouse games to watch this week.

bad gambler
04-18-2007, 06:59 AM
That and the Brisbane match are the ones I really like this week.

There could be a lot of shithouse games to watch this week.

yep

Gamblore
04-18-2007, 07:04 AM
That and the Brisbane match are the ones I really like this week.

There could be a lot of shithouse games to watch this week.

Not if your winning with a shit game, than its a great game.;)

its.like.that
04-18-2007, 09:11 AM
ADELAIDE -5.5 and GEELONG -9.5!!!!!

WTF?!?!?! :shrug:

BANK!

sports freak
04-18-2007, 10:51 AM
Melbourne v Fremantle - this will be one hell of a shitfest.

Dees are good value to take this one, Freo is a club that has a losing mentality in general, and with several of their key players in trouble with the tribunal, they may well struggle to find their feet for a few weeks yet.

Disagree here Jim,Dees are shithouse atm terefor Freo will be too strong!!See Freo around 30-40+ pts win imho!!Dees wont make the 8 but Freo can still get Top 4,too much on the line!!

Bolar Bolabi
04-19-2007, 03:25 AM
ADELAIDE -5.5

WTF?!?!?! :shrug:

BANK!

You crazy sonofabitch :D

bossboss
04-19-2007, 01:18 PM
Nick stevens is out of carlton game and the line is only +29.5 ... so not playing either side.. only bet so far is the Pies ML

Geelong X Hawks game is very unpredictable .. especially in Tassie
last year they met early in the season cats were 44 point favorite in Geelong and lost the game. odds on Hawks were around $8

radiofriendly
04-19-2007, 03:45 PM
Saints -6.5 looks good, if they win which they should, then they should cover that quite easily.

Hawks +10.5, in Tassie so a slight advantage to the Hawks and Geelongs coach has said during the week that they'll play scrappy football to keep it close so Hawks cant run and doesnt want many goals scored.

sports freak
04-20-2007, 10:05 AM
Nick stevens is out of carlton game and the line is only +29.5 ... so not playing either side.. only bet so far is the Pies ML

Geelong X Hawks game is very unpredictable .. especially in Tassie
last year they met early in the season cats were 44 point favorite in Geelong and lost the game. odds on Hawks were around $8

Its a shame Stevens is out for the season,having one of his best starts and shit hits the roof,cant believe that line this should be a blowout but you dont know if the Weagles are gonna come out and play in the 1st quarter or the 4th quarter when their just a couple of goals behind :rolleyes: UI remeber that game exactly mate,the Cats were going in different direction while the Hawks were just steady at that time,it was abit of a suprise by the score no doubt!!

sports freak
04-20-2007, 10:06 AM
ADELAIDE -5.5 and GEELONG -9.5!!!!!

WTF?!?!?! :shrug:

BANK!

All the best Jim,think i will tail ya :) gl

sports freak
04-21-2007, 01:56 AM
Spotted something that looks too good to be true!!Also spewing about the Collingwood vs Port game with the total set 177.5pts which looks like an absolute gift but to rub insult to the wounds the options is with the spread,what a complete joke!!

50 units on St Kilda Saints vs Essendon Bombers over 197.5pts total - See an absolute shootout at the Dome,almost like last nite or even higher which is scary,also taking abit of 221+ pts @ 3.65 aswell!!!

Good luck!!!

bad gambler
04-21-2007, 02:12 AM
G-Train is out for the Saints which makes today more of a leveller

I just can't trust the Saints as a favourite laying the points. Great team to back as a dog though

Bolar Bolabi
04-21-2007, 02:39 AM
I'm with you on the Essendon V St.Kilda over. I think this match will hit 250.

Both are running attacking teams. Essendon are a scoring machine with pace. St.Kilda can match them.

Collingwood +6.5 I'm also on.

Brisbane -19.5

Sydney +5.5

Hawthorn +9.5

sports freak
04-21-2007, 02:46 AM
See ya at the Bank Bolar on the Overs!!!!Not too sure on the other leans!!

Bolar Bolabi
04-21-2007, 02:49 AM
See ya at the Bank Bolar on the Overs!!!!Not too sure on the other leans!!

Yep

Let's hope we're not screwed over like that game at the dome last Saturday night.

bossboss
04-21-2007, 05:56 AM
Adding Adelaide ML @ 1.8 (5 units) tonight.

bad gambler
04-21-2007, 08:51 AM
I've got the Swans taken earlier this week, adding one more for tonight:

Kangaroos to cover +18.5 v Lions

good luck

bad gambler
04-21-2007, 12:56 PM
First time I'm backing the Swans this season. They are starting to find their feet, apart from the Eagles they far superior than any other team in the comp. Time to start backing them as $2+ dogs

Swans to beat Crows - $2.11

good luck

Lost - Rutten is a damn good defender. In hindsight should have waited to see if he was playing

bad gambler
04-21-2007, 12:57 PM
I've got the Swans taken earlier this week, adding one more for tonight:

Kangaroos to cover +18.5 v Lions

good luck

win

dave nz
04-21-2007, 01:06 PM
Was on Port but wasn't around to post.

its.like.that
04-21-2007, 01:09 PM
Crows at 1.72 to beat the Grizzlies.

ADELAIDE -5.5

WTF?!?!?! :shrug:

BANK!

As easy as betting gets IMO.

:shrug:

bossboss
04-22-2007, 12:13 AM
Bet1 for this week (locked in) 5 units on Pies against Power @ 1.9 .. watch this line drops as fast as.


Lost

Adding Adelaide ML @ 1.8 (5 units) tonight.

Won

Reg Seasons Records:
W/L 8-3 - Units staked 55 - retuned 75.25 Profit/Loss +`20.25

sports freak
04-22-2007, 01:22 AM
Yep

Let's hope we're not screwed over like that game at the dome last Saturday night.

:o We got screwed over,it was raining b4 the game but why didnt they shut the roof earlier knowing there;s gonna be rain :rolleyes: Melbournians :tape:

sports freak
04-22-2007, 01:40 AM
Just the one for 2day,but do like all the favs!!!

50 units on Fremantle Dockers -15.5pts over Melbourne Demons - Both Teams on the line but one team is injury ravaged!!

Good luck!!!

bad gambler
04-22-2007, 03:28 AM
Hawks to cover +8.5 v Cats

Demons to cover +15.5 v Dockers

good luck

its.like.that
04-22-2007, 03:44 AM
Highest scoring team on Sunday: West Coast @ 2.30

its.like.that
04-22-2007, 03:51 AM
Hawthorn v Geelong - under 175.5

Melbourne v Freo - under 165.5

West Coast v Carlton - under 190.5

bad gambler
04-22-2007, 05:24 AM
For those who have live betting available, have a look at the Hawks-Cats game.

Cats are leading by 1 at HT and will be running with a strong breeze in the 3rd qtr and Hawks obviously will have it in the last qtr.

Basically if the Cats aren't up by at least 3 goals at the final change, get on the Hawks to win. Hoping for them to be down by around 18 so the ML would be paying at least $3.50+

Gamblore
04-22-2007, 06:14 AM
For those who have live betting available, have a look at the Hawks-Cats game.

Cats are leading by 1 at HT and will be running with a strong breeze in the 3rd qtr and Hawks obviously will have it in the last qtr.

Basically if the Cats aren't up by at least 3 goals at the final change, get on the Hawks to win. Hoping for them to be down by around 18 so the ML would be paying at least $3.50+

Which site offers In-Play AFL live betting, Betfair?

bad gambler
04-22-2007, 06:23 AM
Which site offers In-Play AFL live betting, Betfair?

Betfair in the true sense of in play yes, however liquidity is rubbish

Centrebet update prices at the end of each qtr.

In this instance Hawks were paying $1.75, Cats $2.05 at the final change when the Hawks were down by 3 ;)

bad gambler
04-22-2007, 06:41 AM
Eagles to pound the sh*t out of the Blues:

Eagles to win by >39.5 - $2.20

good luck

bad gambler
04-22-2007, 07:10 AM
Hawks to cover +8.5 v Cats

Demons to cover +15.5 v Dockers

good luck

win with the Hawks, lost with the Dees

The Gucci one
04-22-2007, 07:24 AM
Eagles to pound the sh*t out of the Blues:

Eagles to win by >39.5 - $2.20

good luck

Looks like a bit of rain later in the game. Don't know whether you knew this BG?
Maybe you might want to hedge?

its.like.that
04-22-2007, 07:32 AM
The Dees have one hand on the spoon already.

:o

bad gambler
04-22-2007, 07:37 AM
Looks like a bit of rain later in the game. Don't know whether you knew this BG?
Maybe you might want to hedge?

Yep I knew that there should be showers around HT

When there is rain, even moreso in the AFL, teams with skills deficiencies will be exposed - Blues are without doubt the worst skills team in the league and are playing the best in the business

Actually if anything rain is the main reason for the confidence of the Eagles hammering the Blues tonight

its.like.that
04-22-2007, 07:42 AM
Yep I knew that there should be showers around HT

When there is rain, even moreso in the AFL, teams with skills deficiencies will be exposed - Blues are without doubt the worst skills team in the league and are playing the best in the business

Actually if anything rain is the main reason for the confidence of the Eagles hammering the Blues tonight

You better hope the Eagles kick a lot of behinds.

;)

bad gambler
04-22-2007, 07:48 AM
You better hope the Eagles kick a lot of behinds.

;)

Hopefuly Big Q can actually slot a couple straight in the mix of the 10 behinds he will undoubtedly bag for my benefit :rolleyes:

rod_steel
04-22-2007, 09:52 AM
Eagles to pound the sh*t out of the Blues:

Eagles to win by >39.5 - $2.20

good luck

Nice...

dave nz
04-22-2007, 12:05 PM
Good job mate

bad gambler
04-22-2007, 12:50 PM
Eagles to pound the sh*t out of the Blues:

Eagles to win by >39.5 - $2.20

good luck

win