AFL Round 1 [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

AFL Round 1

bossboss
03-24-2007, 08:30 AM
Odds for Round 1

please feel free to post the line spread when available

Friday
MCG - 30-3-2007 20:40 AEST
Melbourne 1.62
St Kilda 2.30

Saturday
MCG - 31-3-2007 15:10 AEST
Kangaroos 2.25
Collingwood 1.65
Subiaco - 31-3-2007 19:10 AEST
Fremantle 1.25
Port Adelaide 4.00
Gabba - 31-3-2007 20:10 AEST
Brisbane 1.70
Hawthorn 2.15
Telstra Stadium - 31-3-2007 20:10 AEST
Sydney 1.57
West Coast Eagles 2.20

Sunday
AAMI Stadium - 1-4-2007 14:40 AEST
Adelaide 1.30
Essendon 3.50
Telstra Dome - 1-4-2007 15:10 AEST
Western Bulldogs 1.75
Geelong 2.08
MCG - 1-4-2007 18:10 AEST
Carlton 1.67
Richmond 2.20


went 0-4 pre season..and really looking into this season with great hope.
haven't decided on any yet , waiting for spreads too
will be posting some plays and records too

Good Luck all.

breadman7
03-24-2007, 09:33 AM
Well the way I see it boss is you have had your bad run now its time to tail.

Good luck for the season.

Cheers Breadman

bossboss
03-24-2007, 09:53 AM
Injury List
Adelaide: Mark Ricciuto and Ken McGregor are questionable
Brisbane : Daniel Bradshaw is Out, Nigel Lappin and Tim Notting are questionable
Collingwood : Rusling and Buckley is out
Geelong: Steven King is questionable
Hawthorn: Richie Vandenberg is Out
kangaroos: Nathan Thompson is Out (may be for the season)
Melbourne: Lynden Dunn is Out
St. Kilda: Hamill is questionable
WBulldogs: Chris Grant is questionable

Suspension List
Collingwood : Brodie Holland (6 weeks carried from last year)
Freo : Jeff Farmer 6 weeks , Matthew Carr 1 week
Geelong :James Kelly 2 weeks
Hawthorn : Shane Crawford 1 week
W. Bulldogs: Brian Harris (2 weeks carried from last year)

This is as far a my memory collects .. feel free to add , or correct me.

Gamblore
03-24-2007, 10:11 AM
Is Ben Cousins suspended or not?

Gamblore
03-24-2007, 10:13 AM
Just a question also, what would be the best bookmaker to go with for o/u in AFL besides Centrebet. I used to be with Multibet, who i liked but had to take all my money out.

its.like.that
03-24-2007, 12:36 PM
Is Ben Cousins suspended or not?

Not by the afl.

But by west coast yes.

bad gambler
03-24-2007, 12:42 PM
Is Ben Cousins suspended or not?

Where have you been this week? :lol:

Lets just say Ben Cousins is not going to be playing this season and I suspect a couple of his mates are going to be following suit soon

bad gambler
03-24-2007, 12:52 PM
Just a question also, what would be the best bookmaker to go with for o/u in AFL besides Centrebet. I used to be with Multibet, who i liked but had to take all my money out.

sportsTAB usually has the total lines I think

sports freak
03-24-2007, 10:43 PM
Where have you been this week? :lol:

Lets just say Ben Cousins is not going to be playing this season and I suspect a couple of his mates are going to be following suit soon

Is that why Jimbo's laying Low :o :D

sports freak
03-24-2007, 10:48 PM
Another Blow to the Lions with Bradshaw ruled out for the season,while Aaron Hamill is most likely gonna miss most of this yr aswell if not the whole yr with the Bung Knee,also Michael Johnson is another suspended player on Freo's list!!Crawford will miss the 1st week aswell due to Brain Xplosion!!

Gamblore
03-24-2007, 11:29 PM
Where have you been this week? :lol:

Lets just say Ben Cousins is not going to be playing this season and I suspect a couple of his mates are going to be following suit soon

No B2B premierships for them:)

bad gambler
03-24-2007, 11:41 PM
No B2B premierships for them:)

I wouldn't write them off just yet, though the events of the past week won't help and fact that another one of their guns, kerr, looks like he is in some hot water as well with more drug allegations

At least we know what the Eagles players got up to when they won the flag last season :rolleyes:

Above is also a reason why the prop bet of Dockers finishing higher than the Eagles on the table looks like a great one at plus odds.

sports freak
03-24-2007, 11:59 PM
I wouldn't write them off just yet, though the events of the past week won't help and fact that another one of their guns, kerr, looks like he is in some hot water as well with more drug allegations

At least we know what the Eagles players got up to when they won the flag last season :rolleyes:

Above is also a reason why the prop bet of Dockers finishing higher than the Eagles on the table looks like a great one at plus odds.

One of Fatty Vautin's favourite quotes,There Gone (Gonsky) :p No Kerr/Cousins plus a few more,this team is in turmoil!!Dockers prop bet looks real good now!!

Fox 8 shows CHEATERS 2nite :eek:

bossboss
03-26-2007, 11:40 PM
Injury Update:
Carlton: Kouta out for 6+ weeks (finger)
WCE : Chad Fletcher (Knee) is out

Still have no leans for this round . If any one has the line spreads please post it

Gamblore
03-27-2007, 07:24 AM
Melbourne Demons-1.69
St.Kilda Saints-2.33

Kangaroos -2.27
Collingwood Magpies-1.71

Fremantle Dockers-1.27
Port Adelaide Power-4.20

Brisbane Lions-1.704
Hawthorn Hawks-2.30

Sydney Swans-1.585
West Coast Eagles-2.560

Adelaide Crows-1.312
Essendon Bombers-3.810

Western Bulldogs-1.794
Geelong Cats-2.160

Carlton Blues-1.769
Richmond Tigers-2.180

Odds taken from Pinnaclesports.

Gamblore
03-27-2007, 07:32 AM
No Handycaps available yet.

bossboss
03-27-2007, 01:00 PM
CB has taken the cartlon X Richmond game off , same for Coleman medal .. after news about Fevola's knee injury .. both markets are available with others bookies , if anyone is interested

Mr Flamboyant
03-27-2007, 01:05 PM
Sydney + Adelaide (ML) $2.01 , looks ok to me ...

its.like.that
03-27-2007, 01:26 PM
Bol Flamboooooooo

Gamblore
03-28-2007, 06:38 AM
Depending on the weather, i think the over looks quite good to fly over the 185.5 set at Betfair on Friday Night Football. The last game played between the clubs fell under but history states that these clubs score against one another.

History:
1 2006 2EF Melbourne 13.12 (90) vs St Kilda 10.12 (72) u
2 2006 10 Melbourne 15.13 (103) vs St Kilda 13.12 (90) o
3 2005 18 Melbourne 13.11 (89) vs St Kilda 27.14 (176) o
4 2005 4 Melbourne 15.14 (104) vs St Kilda 23.13 (151) o
5 2004 15 Melbourne 23.8 (146) vs St Kilda 13.11 (89) o
6 2003 13 Melbourne 21.10 (136) vs St Kilda 14.10 (94) o
7 2002 22 Melbourne 20.15 (135) vs St Kilda 18.9 (117) o
8 2002 7 Melbourne 15.15 (105) vs St Kilda 15.12 (102) o
9 2001 10 Melbourne 22.12 (144) vs St Kilda 17.11 (113) o
10 2000 19 Melbourne 17.14 (116) vs St Kilda 14.14 (98) o

Over for me, just got to find a better bookmaker for overs.

The Gucci one
03-28-2007, 08:11 AM
Depending on the weather, i think the over looks quite good to fly over the 185.5 set at Betfair on Friday Night Football. The last game played between the clubs fell under but history states that these clubs score against one another.

History:
1 2006 2EF Melbourne 13.12 (90) vs St Kilda 10.12 (72) u
2 2006 10 Melbourne 15.13 (103) vs St Kilda 13.12 (90) o
3 2005 18 Melbourne 13.11 (89) vs St Kilda 27.14 (176) o
4 2005 4 Melbourne 15.14 (104) vs St Kilda 23.13 (151) o
5 2004 15 Melbourne 23.8 (146) vs St Kilda 13.11 (89) o
6 2003 13 Melbourne 21.10 (136) vs St Kilda 14.10 (94) o
7 2002 22 Melbourne 20.15 (135) vs St Kilda 18.9 (117) o
8 2002 7 Melbourne 15.15 (105) vs St Kilda 15.12 (102) o
9 2001 10 Melbourne 22.12 (144) vs St Kilda 17.11 (113) o
10 2000 19 Melbourne 17.14 (116) vs St Kilda 14.14 (98) o

Over for me, just got to find a better bookmaker for overs.

Mate check the weather forcast before you make that bet.

Gamblore
03-28-2007, 08:38 AM
Mate check the weather forcast before you make that bet.

Don't worry bro, i have that all covered;)

The Gucci one
03-28-2007, 09:01 AM
Don't worry bro, i have that all covered;)

GL

Gamblore
03-28-2007, 09:03 AM
GL

I haven't taken the bet yet, but thanks in advance.

dave nz
03-28-2007, 10:42 AM
If any one has the line spreads please post it

Here's a site some of u guys may find useful this AFL season :


http://www.onthepunt.com.au/afllatestodds.php


Shows most major books lines and updates often. Think every 10 mins.

its.like.that
03-28-2007, 11:32 AM
Depending on the weather, i think the over looks quite good to fly over the 185.5 set at Betfair on Friday Night Football. The last game played between the clubs fell under but history states that these clubs score against one another.

History:
1 2006 2EF Melbourne 13.12 (90) vs St Kilda 10.12 (72) u
2 2006 10 Melbourne 15.13 (103) vs St Kilda 13.12 (90) o
3 2005 18 Melbourne 13.11 (89) vs St Kilda 27.14 (176) o
4 2005 4 Melbourne 15.14 (104) vs St Kilda 23.13 (151) o
5 2004 15 Melbourne 23.8 (146) vs St Kilda 13.11 (89) o
6 2003 13 Melbourne 21.10 (136) vs St Kilda 14.10 (94) o
7 2002 22 Melbourne 20.15 (135) vs St Kilda 18.9 (117) o
8 2002 7 Melbourne 15.15 (105) vs St Kilda 15.12 (102) o
9 2001 10 Melbourne 22.12 (144) vs St Kilda 17.11 (113) o
10 2000 19 Melbourne 17.14 (116) vs St Kilda 14.14 (98) o

Over for me, just got to find a better bookmaker for overs.

Betfair sets the line at 185.5 for every AFL game, and I mean EVERY SINGLE GAME.

The odds will rarely be the same for over as under. It is not a proper totals line, it's just a constant line set by betfair.

its.like.that
03-28-2007, 11:36 AM
TAB is yet to set an over/under for this game, but they have set this crappy totals market:

150 Points or Less 6.50
151-160 Points 7.00
161-170 Points 6.00
171-180 Points 6.00
181-190 Points 6.50
191-200 Points 7.00
201-210 Points 8.00
211-220 Points 9.00
221 Points or More 8.00

sports freak
03-28-2007, 01:59 PM
Depending on the weather, i think the over looks quite good to fly over the 185.5 set at Betfair on Friday Night Football. The last game played between the clubs fell under but history states that these clubs score against one another.

History:
1 2006 2EF Melbourne 13.12 (90) vs St Kilda 10.12 (72) u
2 2006 10 Melbourne 15.13 (103) vs St Kilda 13.12 (90) o
3 2005 18 Melbourne 13.11 (89) vs St Kilda 27.14 (176) o
4 2005 4 Melbourne 15.14 (104) vs St Kilda 23.13 (151) o
5 2004 15 Melbourne 23.8 (146) vs St Kilda 13.11 (89) o
6 2003 13 Melbourne 21.10 (136) vs St Kilda 14.10 (94) o
7 2002 22 Melbourne 20.15 (135) vs St Kilda 18.9 (117) o
8 2002 7 Melbourne 15.15 (105) vs St Kilda 15.12 (102) o
9 2001 10 Melbourne 22.12 (144) vs St Kilda 17.11 (113) o
10 2000 19 Melbourne 17.14 (116) vs St Kilda 14.14 (98) o

Over for me, just got to find a better bookmaker for overs.

Wow,this one stood out for me aswell mate,if this game is at the Dome it will hit by 3qrter time with both teams having mutliple goal kickers who are hard to stop!!Another game could be Richmond vs Carlton,but Fevola is in doubt i think!!Geelong vs Bulldogs could be another with plenty of pts!!

sports freak
03-28-2007, 02:00 PM
Here's a site some of u guys may find useful this AFL season :


http://www.onthepunt.com.au/afllatestodds.php


Shows most major books lines and updates often. Think every 10 mins.

Thank you

sports freak
03-28-2007, 02:03 PM
CB has taken the cartlon X Richmond game off , same for Coleman medal .. after news about Fevola's knee injury .. both markets are available with others bookies , if anyone is interested

No Fev,Richmond could be value this weekend!!Richo will be hard to stop aswell!!

bossboss
03-29-2007, 12:51 AM
first bet of the season , hoping for a nice start:
Friday night : might not be around to post it
Melbourne under 39.5 @ 2.3 (5 units). Melbourne had the woods over St. Kilda in the last couple of years .. winning both matches last year (including the elimination final)
only concerns is Melbourne are slow starters for the season. On the other Hand, St. Kilda might be missing Nick , Aaron.

GL All

Gamblore
03-29-2007, 06:10 AM
first bet of the season , hoping for a nice start:
Friday night : might not be around to post it
Melbourne under 39.5 @ 2.3 (5 units). Melbourne had the woods over St. Kilda in the last couple of years .. winning both matches last year (including the elimination final)
only concerns is Melbourne are slow starters for the season. On the other Hand, St. Kilda might be missing Nick , Aaron.

GL All

Nick Riewoldt will not play against Melbourne in the Friday Night Match, but will return in Round 2. Thats a pretty big loss for St.Kilda, and Melbourne could win by 40 with him out but they probably won't being the 1st game. Adam Yze is unsure weather he'll play in the season opener, but i remain positive and think he'll play. I think Melbourne will win with there good attacking middfield and strong tough Captain in Nietz and solid boot in Robinson. Not to forget the fast Aaron Davies, who can give you a surprise from any position.

radiofriendly
03-29-2007, 10:29 AM
Melbourne over St Kilda @ $1.60
Doggies over Cats @ 1.75
Freo/Syd @ $2.02 (big play)
Thrown some coin on Highest score of round - WBD @ $6.50 and Melbourne @ $11

bad gambler
03-29-2007, 10:44 AM
I will be on the drug lords unfortunately on Saturday night to cover at minimum - will wait until the line rises more but bottom line neither of these teams should be laying more than 2 goals to each other both home and away

sports freak
03-29-2007, 11:35 AM
I will be on the drug lords unfortunately on Saturday night to cover at minimum - will wait until the line rises more but bottom line neither of these teams should be laying more than 2 goals to each other both home and away

Leaning the other way :scared:

Gamblore
03-29-2007, 10:36 PM
If anyone cares, Betfair is currently offering 2.14 for the over in tonights match.

its.like.that
03-30-2007, 02:58 AM
TAB has finally set a total points line for the St Kilda-Melbourne game.

over/under 177.5

Bolar Bolabi
03-30-2007, 04:06 AM
Over!

TAB have never bet over and under before, have they? They only had other total options.

Could be a profitable season now.

The Gucci one
03-30-2007, 04:10 AM
Taken Under 175 at $2.50 for tonights game

Bolar Bolabi
03-30-2007, 04:15 AM
As I may not be on this weekend, I'll post my plays now.

Kangaroos ML @ $2.12

Brisbane -6.5 @ $1.91

West Coast +11.5 @ $1.91

Bulldogs -4.5 @ $1.91

Good luck!

its.like.that
03-30-2007, 04:31 AM
Over!

TAB have never bet over and under before, have they? They only had other total options.

Could be a profitable season now.

They've offered overs/unders occasionally for AFL games.

Most typically in finals games.

Gamblore
03-30-2007, 06:46 AM
I do not understand why the U/O is so low. Melbourne are going with a strong team, so obviously i need them to break the 100+ mark which they can very well do. All you have to do is look at the history. Aaron and Riewoldt
won't play, but that doesn't mean shit.

TAB offering value at 177.5 and Betfair @ 185.5:rolleyes:

The Gucci one
03-30-2007, 06:57 AM
I do not understand why the U/O is so low. Melbourne are going with a strong team, so obviously i need them to break the 100+ mark which they can very well do. All you have to do is look at the history. Aaron and Riewoldt
won't play, but that doesn't mean shit.

TAB offering value at 177.5 and Betfair @ 185.5:rolleyes:

mate check the weather

Gamblore
03-30-2007, 07:15 AM
mate check the weather

http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR022.loop.shtml

I have, it looks fine, there has been showers but has cleared up. Dude, if you live in Melbourne, don't hold back with the infomation on the weather outside. A few snapshots would be awsome mate;)

The Gucci one
03-30-2007, 07:21 AM
I don't live in Melbourne mate but if you look at that map the MCG is to the South East of the Melbourne dot. I have been monitoring it most of the day and they have had plenty of rain and wind. Actually it might still be the case now. I would suggest that if you have foxtel hold off until you can see the conditions for yourself.

The Gucci one
03-30-2007, 07:27 AM
Another good indication is earlier I took 174 or less points at centrebet at $2.50 it went to $2.40 and is now $2.25.

Gamblore
03-30-2007, 07:33 AM
Yeah i looked at the Centrebet market, i used them last season for under/overs. This season i like Betfair as a all round exchange.

Gamblore
03-30-2007, 07:34 AM
I'll probably sign up with TABsportsbet.com. The TABonline sportsbook sucks big time, that was the first bookmaker i used.

The Gucci one
03-30-2007, 07:41 AM
Looking at doing the same myself I used Multibet last year for AFL totals but they closed down unfortunately.

Gamblore
03-30-2007, 07:43 AM
Looking at doing the same myself I used Multibet last year for AFL totals but they closed down unfortunately.

Me also. I liked that site as well. Someone must have drained them dry. That site was good with AFL/Soccer/American sports.

sports freak
03-30-2007, 08:22 AM
As I may not be on this weekend, I'll post my plays now.

Kangaroos ML @ $2.12

Brisbane -6.5 @ $1.91

West Coast +11.5 @ $1.91

Bulldogs -4.5 @ $1.91

Good luck!

Good luck Bolar :)

its.like.that
03-30-2007, 08:33 AM
I do not understand why the U/O is so low. Melbourne are going with a strong team, so obviously i need them to break the 100+ mark which they can very well do. All you have to do is look at the history. Aaron and Riewoldt
won't play, but that doesn't mean shit.

TAB offering value at 177.5 and Betfair @ 185.5:rolleyes:

I already told you, Betfair always has AFL totals at 185.5

Gamblore
03-30-2007, 08:52 AM
I already told you, Betfair always has AFL totals at 185.5

No shit mate, i know. It just sucks seeing a smaller line, but am not complaining as i got a great price.

bad gambler
03-30-2007, 01:23 PM
Couple for me on Saturday night and I'm doing the Western Australian double:

Eagles to cover +12.5 v Swans

Dockers to cover -21.5 v Power

good luck

Gamblore
03-30-2007, 10:34 PM
Kangaroos (+9.5) :devil:

sports freak
03-30-2007, 11:15 PM
Leans so far!!

Port Power +22.5pts over Dockers!!
Lions -6.5pts over Hawks!!
Collingwood vs Roos -Toss of the coin!!

Gamblore
03-30-2007, 11:42 PM
Freemantle v Port Adelaide Over 185.5

Mr Flamboyant
03-31-2007, 04:08 AM
Kangaroos +5.5 vs Collingwood (0.3 units)
BOL

Mr Flamboyant
03-31-2007, 06:47 AM
Kangaroos +5.5 vs Collingwood (0.3 units)
BOL

WIN

Gamblore
03-31-2007, 09:21 AM
Freemantle v Port Adelaide Over 185.5 (Won)
Kangaroos +9.5 (Won)
:woohoo:

Gamblore
03-31-2007, 11:19 AM
Horrible performance by Hawthorne, 4th Qtr 18 points so far.:eek:

bad gambler
03-31-2007, 11:33 AM
Couple for me on Saturday night and I'm doing the Western Australian double:

Eagles to cover +12.5 v Swans

Dockers to cover -21.5 v Power

good luck

won on the druggies, lost on Dockers

its.like.that
03-31-2007, 12:40 PM
Eagles punish the Swans, with a rookie team :lol:.

Still think they can't go back to back Freak? ;)

And nice to see the umpires pick up where they left off, Swans dropping the ball all over the place and letting play go on :retard:, same thing in regards to pushing in the back. :lol:

Gamblore
03-31-2007, 12:44 PM
How the Eagles let the Swans come back and only win by 1 is beyond me. I didn't have that match. Two crappy games that where played tonight.:zzz:

its.like.that
03-31-2007, 12:54 PM
How the Eagles let the Swans come back and only win by 1 is beyond me. I didn't have that match. Two crappy games that where played tonight.:zzz:

:lol:

It was a funny old game. Eagles never looked like losing after the 2nd quarter, and the final margin ended up being 1 thanks to some dodgy umpiring decisions. :shrug:

bad gambler
03-31-2007, 12:57 PM
Swans were never winning that game tonight. My local U16's team could have played them tonight and I still would have faded them.

bad gambler
03-31-2007, 11:42 PM
Bulldogs to cover -4.5 v Cats

good luck

sports freak
04-01-2007, 12:03 AM
Eagles punish the Swans, with a rookie team :lol:.

Still think they can't go back to back Freak? ;)

And nice to see the umpires pick up where they left off, Swans dropping the ball all over the place and letting play go on :retard:, same thing in regards to pushing in the back. :lol:

Jim its only one game of the season :confused: but its the right step forward :scared: some impressive kids aswell,ecpecially that 18yr old looks quite good!!

its.like.that
04-01-2007, 12:53 AM
Jim its only one game of the season :confused: but its the right step forward :scared: some impressive kids aswell,ecpecially that 18yr old looks quite good!!

Eagles have been the best team since the Lions of 2001-2003. They have pretty much booked a top 2 spot, and will be hard to beat in the final.

:dance:

bad gambler
04-01-2007, 01:22 AM
Eagles have been the best team since the Lions of 2001-2003. They have pretty much booked a top 2 spot, and will be hard to beat in the final.

:dance:

We need the AFL to step up with their drug testing!!!!

sports freak
04-01-2007, 02:09 AM
We need the AFL to step up with their drug testing!!!!

Especially in W.A :D

sports freak
04-01-2007, 02:23 AM
Only lean on Essendon +20.5pts over Crows but not strong!!Other games are like 50/50 too hard to call and can go either way!!

Mr Flamboyant
04-01-2007, 02:32 AM
Bulldog day ML double:

WB / Canterbury (NRL) - $2.37

gl

its.like.that
04-01-2007, 03:50 AM
Western Bulldogs v Geelong - under 197.5 points

its.like.that
04-01-2007, 03:52 AM
We need the AFL to step up with their drug testing!!!!

If the Swans can't beat the Eagles when they're high, how are they gonna have a chance when the Eagles take things seriously?

:lol:

Gamblore
04-01-2007, 06:48 AM
Opinions on Rich/Carlton????

Mr Flamboyant
04-01-2007, 06:55 AM
Opinions on Rich/Carlton????

Carlton ... but do you trust them enough ...?

Gamblore
04-01-2007, 06:57 AM
Carlton ... but do you trust them enough ...?

Not sure, maybe a shot with the over

Mr Flamboyant
04-01-2007, 07:00 AM
If anything I'd take them to cover the small start (-6.5) ...

Gamblore
04-01-2007, 07:04 AM
Carlton v Richmond Over 185.5 (small)

bad gambler
04-01-2007, 08:48 AM
Bulldogs to cover -4.5 v Cats

good luck

win

Gamblore
04-01-2007, 11:46 AM
Carlton v Richmond Over 185.5 (small)

Win, great weekend;)

Bolar Bolabi
04-02-2007, 05:47 AM
As I may not be on this weekend, I'll post my plays now.

Kangaroos ML @ $2.12

Brisbane -6.5 @ $1.91

West Coast +11.5 @ $1.91

Bulldogs -4.5 @ $1.91

Good luck!

3 - 1 for the year so far.

That Kangaroos loss hurt - 5 goals roughly up and they lost. Should have stayed the line! But still, 3 other winners. Successful start to 07.

Bolar Bolabi
04-02-2007, 05:47 AM
The best news of all is that we're on TOP of the ladder. TOP TOP TOP. That is a good feeling even if it is round 1.