How many slams Fed will win in 2007? [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

How many slams Fed will win in 2007?

silverarrows
09-26-2006, 03:21 PM
:confused:

I think he will win at least 2 GS title next year. What do you think?

Andre♥
09-26-2006, 03:26 PM
He'll win 3, including RG.

hitchhiker
09-26-2006, 03:30 PM
5 or 6

Pfloyd
09-26-2006, 03:30 PM
I think he'll win 2. I honestly believe Rafa has a very good shot in the AO, and I don't think Fed will win the FO, at least not this year.

silverarrows
09-26-2006, 03:32 PM
He'll win 3, including RG.


I hope he wins RG, Wimby and USO. ;)

Andre♥
09-26-2006, 03:36 PM
I still think that Nadal has more chances to win Wimbledon than the Australian Open...

prima donna
09-26-2006, 03:39 PM
Wimbledon.

Naranoc
09-26-2006, 03:39 PM
5 or 6

:lol:

t0x
09-26-2006, 03:52 PM
Hopefully 4 :)

Realistically 2/3 again.

Jimnik
09-26-2006, 03:54 PM
5 or 6
:lol: I reckon 6.

Ljubicic and Nalbandian will win -1 slams each.

tennisgal_001
09-26-2006, 03:54 PM
Probably 2 (Wimby/USO), unless he wins the AO, which is NOW 50/50 between him n' Rafa. I really hope he can win the FO next season.

radics
09-26-2006, 04:01 PM
I would be happy enough if he can win Wimbledon again.

Melvins
09-26-2006, 04:30 PM
:zzz: 0! :devil:

:cat: I wake up and he won another 3! :o

Breakdown
09-26-2006, 04:32 PM
I guess 2!
AO - 75%
FO - 60%
Wimby :worship: - 99,9%
UO - 99,9%

Deathless Mortal
09-26-2006, 04:35 PM
He'll win 1 or 2. USO or AO, or both.

Melvins
09-26-2006, 04:35 PM
FO - 60%

much cofidence, no? :p

landoud
09-26-2006, 04:42 PM
I hope he wins RG...
but I think he'll win at least 2

stebs
09-26-2006, 05:13 PM
Probably 2 (Wimby/USO), unless he wins the AO, which is NOW 50/50 between him n' Rafa. I really hope he can win the FO next season.
Roger is firm favourite for the AO. It seems that Rafa may have a chance but why would you possibly say he is 50/50 with Roger. Roger has won 5 of his last 6 hardcourt slams. Rafa has never reached the semi finals of a hardcourt slam.

PamV
09-26-2006, 05:15 PM
5 or 6

I think so too. I think 2007 will be Roger's year to shine.

PamV
09-26-2006, 05:17 PM
Roger is firm favourite for the AO. It seems that Rafa may have a chance but why would you possibly say he is 50/50 with Roger. Roger has won 5 of his last 6 hardcourt slams. Rafa has never reached the semi finals of a hardcourt slam.

A lot depends on the draw. Rafa has a good chance if he gets an easy draw facing guys like Novak, and Labadze in his quarter with no other threats.

Merton
09-26-2006, 05:36 PM
Between 0 and 4 with the probability of winning zero strictly greater than the probability of winning four.

Merton
09-26-2006, 05:38 PM
I guess 2!
AO - 75%
FO - 60%
Wimby :worship: - 99,9%
UO - 99,9%

What is the probability that he will win at least 3 given these probabilities and assuming independence of results at each slam?

cmurray
09-26-2006, 05:41 PM
I say 2. Wimby and USO like 2 years ago.

tennisgal_001
09-26-2006, 06:20 PM
Roger is firm favourite for the AO. It seems that Rafa may have a chance but why would you possibly say he is 50/50 with Roger. Roger has won 5 of his last 6 hardcourt slams. Rafa has never reached the semi finals of a hardcourt slam.

Weren't a lot of the guys complaining this year how slow the courts have become? Now, Rafa didn't play this year, and in 05, if I remember correctly, stretched Lleyton to 5 sets in the R16 before running out of gas. If the draw gods smile for him AGAIN (which is usually the case), he def. has just as good of a chance as Roger on a what seems to have become, a very slow surface. I hope I'm wrong.

densuprun
09-26-2006, 06:40 PM
What is the probability that he will win at least 3 given these probabilities and assuming independence of results at each slam?

Very-very close to 90%.

Merton
09-26-2006, 07:14 PM
Very-very close to 90%.

Lets do the calculation, I am curious to see the result. Approximate the probability of winning Wimbeldon and US Open to be 1. Then the probability of winning at least 3 slams is 0.75*(1-0.6)+0.6*(1-0.75)+0.75*0.6=0.85 It is close to 0.90 but not very-very close :D

Allez
09-26-2006, 08:43 PM
Rogi didn't play very well at this year's AO despite winning it. I think if Nadal reaches the final he will win it. With the pressure of winning 4 straight grand slams off Rogi's shoulders, he'll battle through to his first FO title, lose Wimbledon in the ensuing euphoria and then re-group to win a 4th US Open.

GlennMirnyi
09-26-2006, 08:48 PM
Four. If you disagree with that, great chances you're wrong.

GlennMirnyi
09-26-2006, 08:50 PM
Rogi didn't play very well at this year's AO despite winning it. I think if Nadal reaches the final he will win it. With the pressure of winning 4 straight grand slams off Rogi's shoulders, he'll battle through to his first FO title, lose Wimbledon in the ensuing euphoria and then re-group to win a 4th US Open.

Lose Wimbledon??? To whom? Sampras?

Rafa = Fed Killa
09-26-2006, 09:04 PM
2 (US and Wimbledon)

My odds:

Wimbledon: 99%
US: 90%
AO: 55%
RG: 20%

Roger The Great
09-26-2006, 10:04 PM
I'm thinking Roland Garros and Wimbledon next year. I think he could falter at the Aussie Open and lose before the final. I think he'll be super pumped for Roland Garros and find a way to win. He simply has no competition at Wimbledon (btw, I would be exceptionally suprised to see Nadal get to the final again there anytime soon). As far as the US Open, I'd like to think he'll win it, but how many times can he realistically win it in a row? Something has to go wrong sooner or later. Of course predictions are rarely ever right, so I'd expect something else to actually happen. :)

DDrago2
09-26-2006, 10:12 PM
2 slams

Nando_L
09-26-2006, 10:50 PM
4
:)

Macbrother
09-26-2006, 10:55 PM
Roger Federer becomes the first person in 38 years to complete the Grand Slam. :p Well, one can hope anyway. Realistically somewhere between 2 and 3. (if the last 3 years are any pattern)

Pea
09-26-2006, 11:31 PM
I'll be satisfied if he can just win 2, RG and Wimby.:)

CmonAussie
09-26-2006, 11:37 PM
#Probably 2!
*Wimby 07 is a shoe in...(:>
*One more Slam will be either AO or FO!

USO will be won by Rafa\Lleyton or one of the prepubescent balls%``%.

jayjay
09-26-2006, 11:45 PM
AO will be won by Nalbandian (Fresh off defending his Shanghai title and winning his 2 singles and doubles to give Argentina DC), El Rey is sure to get alot of support in Melbourne from the locals.

FO - Nadal wins his 3rd straight or Coria makes an incredible turn around from 1R challenger loser to RG champion or Kamikaze (JMDP) will stun the world of Tennis (other than those who have been following him already) and beat Nadal in 5, 8-6 in the decider.

Wimbledon - Federer.

US Open - Federer (probably).

federated
09-27-2006, 12:53 AM
I'm going with 3. French, Wimby, US Open. I'm giving AO to rafa.

also: I predict murray as one of the losing finalists.

Radek Stepanek
09-27-2006, 12:59 AM
None, Rafa will win all of them.

Art&Soul
09-27-2006, 01:40 AM
4 and more he'll be the greatest ever :)

GlennMirnyi
09-27-2006, 01:46 AM
Wow... drugs are really cheap in some places... :lol:

Nalbandian winning a slam? Yeah, right! Against Ginepri, I suppose.

Nadal winning all 4? No way as long as Youzhny's playing.

Sheek
09-27-2006, 01:54 AM
4 to bump his career total up to 13 :)

Deivid23
09-27-2006, 01:55 AM
Between 0 and 4 with the probability of winning zero strictly greater than the probability of winning four.

Slightly greater maybe, not much difference imo between both odds ;)

Halba
09-27-2006, 03:18 AM
i pick 3 grand slams. he may get injured/lost fitness somehow like he did last year

Havok
09-27-2006, 03:30 AM
I'll make a bold prediction and say he'll only win 1 slam, either the Australian Open or the US Open.:p

I'll probably be totally wrong but hey what if this does actually happen?:scared::help:

Breakdown
09-27-2006, 04:31 AM
posted by Rafa = Fed Killa

2 (US and Wimbledon)

My odds:

Wimbledon: 99%
US: 90%
AO: 55%
RG: 20%

I think your odds are better than mine!
Barring any injuries, Roger can win 3 or 2, but I want Roger to win only one(Wimby) :angel: ;
It's not like i'm against his domination, but it would be awesome to see someone else winning GST for a change;
Rafa should wim Aussie :hearts: :rocker:
Safin(please try to use your HEAD when playing) or David(lose some weight!!!)- FO :bigclap: :hug:
US Open - maybe Baghdatis? :music: :banghead: :retard:

BORO77
09-27-2006, 06:46 AM
I hope he wont win any :devil: he has won enough :D
he could let the other guys also take something
and he will NEVER win RG as long as RAFA is healthy

Exodus
09-27-2006, 06:52 AM
i think that he will win 2 max that would be wimby and RG

bokehlicious
09-27-2006, 08:21 AM
I'll be happy with one in the bag :)

bokehlicious
09-27-2006, 08:26 AM
I think so too. I think 2007 will be Roger's year to shine.

I think so too, after 3 crappy years he'll finally show the world who's the master :p

deliveryman
09-27-2006, 09:00 AM
I think so too. I think 2007 will be Roger's year to shine.

Shit, if Roger isn't shining now... what is? Going undefeated and winning every single tournament he plays in?

stebs
09-27-2006, 09:25 AM
AO - Nadal
RG - Federer
W - Federer
US - Gasquet

That would be a good year. :)

Action Jackson
09-27-2006, 09:31 AM
Shit, if Roger isn't shining now... what is? Going undefeated and winning every single tournament he plays in?

Still wouldn't be good enough for some people.

Rafa = Fed Killa
09-27-2006, 09:32 AM
The only thing I am hoping for is no RG for Fed.

Nadal has to keep the streak alive to solidify the best clay court player ever label.

oz_boz
09-27-2006, 11:57 AM
Of course I hope he wins RG, but I seriously doubt it if he faces Rafa in the final. I'll be happy if he wins 1, taking his tally to 10.
All 4 - no way in hell.

ginnylegend
09-27-2006, 12:13 PM
He might finally win RG.

Dancing Hero
09-27-2006, 12:42 PM
Two.

silverarrows
09-27-2006, 01:20 PM
My Prediction:

AO: Nadal
RG: Fed
Wimby: Fed
USO: Fed


Only 2 slams shy to equal Pete's GS record.

I hope I'm right. ;)

Black Adam
09-27-2006, 01:27 PM
AO=Nadal
FO=Nadal
Wimbledon=Roddick
USO=Federer

FaceyFacem
09-27-2006, 03:00 PM
i'll say the same thing i said last year... i think he'll win AO, french, wimbledon, and lose the US Open trying to finish teh calendar year slam

densuprun
09-27-2006, 03:09 PM
Lets do the calculation, I am curious to see the result. Approximate the probability of winning Wimbeldon and US Open to be 1. Then the probability of winning at least 3 slams is 0.75*(1-0.6)+0.6*(1-0.75)+0.75*0.6

Right. Although the equivalent 1-(1-0.75)(1-0.6)=0.9 gives you the right answer much faster.

0.75*(1-0.6)+0.6*(1-0.75)+0.75*0.6=0.85

Wrong. Check your calculator again.

buzz
09-27-2006, 03:36 PM
I think the rebound ace will suit Nadal very good. He will be stronger then fed at the AO, and defeat Fed in the final (fed beats blake, berdych, gonzo and the rest of the hardhitters yes i think nadal will be lucky).

Nadal will believe he can be number one plays to many tournamants and gets injured (again). And therefore misses roland garros, he always misses one slam a year because of injury. So Fed will finally win his RG.

For both Wim and USO Nadal isn't good enough. I think 95% for Fed to win both.

tennisgal_001
09-27-2006, 03:40 PM
i'll say the same thing i said last year... i think he'll win AO, french, wimbledon, and lose the US Open trying to finish teh calendar year slam

And it'll hurt so bad, he'll never get over it, quit tennis, grow a beer belly, dump Mirka, and finish 2 Slams shy of Petey's record. GREAT!!!

Breakdown
09-27-2006, 04:02 PM
And it'll hurt so bad, he'll never get over it, quit tennis, grow a beer belly, dump Mirka, and finish 2 Slams shy of Petey's record. GREAT!!!

That's the worst case scenario;
Roger'd better qiut tennis right now :rocker2:

Merton
09-27-2006, 08:02 PM
Right. Although the equivalent 1-(1-0.75)(1-0.6)=0.9 gives you the right answer much faster.

Correct, the probability that Fed wins at least 3 slams must equal 1 minus the probability that Fed wins exactly 2 slams.


Wrong. Check your calculator again.

Oops. I did the calculation from the top of my head, re-doing it now I get 0.90 Sorry :wavey:

zaboomafoo
09-28-2006, 12:23 AM
NONE
zaboo is back

Dusk Soldier
09-28-2006, 10:18 PM
I think it will go:

Nadal d. Fed
Nadal d. Fed
Fed d. Roddick
Fed d. Hewitt/Safin/Nadal/Roddick (one of them)

morningglory
09-28-2006, 11:38 PM
two.

Bagelicious
09-28-2006, 11:58 PM
If it's just one, I hope it's the French. Other than that I just hope he stays uninjured and healthy. Anything more would be a happy bonus for me.

Fedex
09-29-2006, 12:53 AM
I'll make a bold prediction and say he'll only win 1 slam, either the Australian Open or the US Open.:p

I'll probably be totally wrong but hey what if this does actually happen?:scared::help:
Then it means Roger will have won as many slams next year as Roddick has in his entire career. :)

Sunset of Age
09-29-2006, 01:14 AM
If Fed manages to take RG in 2007 - I'd say FOUR.

The guy is still improving, folks. Day by day. Having Rafa chasing him around only adds to Fed's improvement.

Jaffas85
09-29-2006, 08:38 AM
I think Federer's main Grand Slam focus for next year will be finally winning the French Open as well as defending at his beloved Wimbledon.

I don't think that defending at the Australian Open or U.S. Open would be as important to him as finally obtaining the French and of course once again capturing another Wimbledon title.

So I think next year it will go as follows:

1. Australian Open: Nadal

2. French Open: Federer

3. Wimbledon: Federer

4. U.S. Open: Wide Open *though quite possibly Federer could also win this but it could go to either Gasquet, Roddick, Hewitt, Nadal, Baghdatis, a fit and determined Nalbandian or possibly even Safin*.

Breakdown
09-29-2006, 08:52 AM
4. U.S. Open: Wide Open *though quite possibly Federer could also win this but it could go to either Gasquet, Roddick, Hewitt, Nadal, Baghdatis, a fit and determined Nalbandian or possibly even Safin*.

When in hell David is going to be fit?????:mad: and Safin stop to be such a headcase????:rolleyes:

scarecrows
09-29-2006, 10:47 AM
2-3

Ferrero Forever
09-29-2006, 10:49 AM
Aus Open: Nadal, mabye someone else, I don't think Federer will win it again.
French: Nadal
Wimby: Federer
US: Federer, but someone else would have a chance here. Mabye even Roddick could take it.

Samuel
09-29-2006, 11:03 AM
Funny how noone thinks that Fed will or has a chance to win the AO. I'm not saying he will. But why do you think he won't, if he stays healthy? The only person I can see to trouble him is Nadal. But besides....?

rofe
09-29-2006, 02:43 PM
Funny how noone thinks that Fed will or has a chance to win the AO. I'm not saying he will. But why do you think he won't, if he stays healthy? The only person I can see to trouble him is Nadal. But besides....?

Because all the Rafatards feel that there can be only two people in the final - Fed and Nadal - and given the h2h, Nadal will win. :shrug:

Black Adam
09-29-2006, 02:59 PM
Funny how noone thinks that Fed will or has a chance to win the AO. I'm not saying he will. But why do you think he won't, if he stays healthy? The only person I can see to trouble him is Nadal. But besides....?

Federer isn't alone on this planet.
Their are guys like Bagdatis,Nadal,Safin, Haas, Roddick & Kiefer e.t.c. who are worthy pretenders for AO IMO

jackieglover
09-29-2006, 03:44 PM
1, Wimbledon.

Dirk
09-29-2006, 03:54 PM
I'll make a bold prediction and say he'll only win 1 slam, either the Australian Open or the US Open.:p

I'll probably be totally wrong but hey what if this does actually happen?:scared::help:


Why would that be bad? You seem to think winning one slam in a year is bad for your career.

Rogiman
09-29-2006, 04:01 PM
1 would be great :D

atheneglaukopis
09-29-2006, 04:46 PM
1 would be great :DEspecially if it were RG. :lol: I know he'd rather have Wimbledon, but :devil:.

GlennMirnyi
09-29-2006, 04:54 PM
Federer isn't alone on this planet.
Their are guys like Bagdatis,Nadal,Safin, Haas, Roddick & Kiefer e.t.c. who are worthy pretenders for AO IMO

None of those can defeat Federer there.

Exodus
09-29-2006, 04:55 PM
are u kidding a fit safin would be able to blow federer off court

GlennMirnyi
09-29-2006, 04:57 PM
are u kidding a fit safin would be able to blow federer off court

Fit and Safin are two words that don't match nowadays.

stebs
09-29-2006, 04:57 PM
are u kidding a fit safin would be able to blow federer off court

:lol: Federer leads the H-2-H 7-2 and one of Marat's victories was 9-7 in the fifth when he was playing his best tennis. Marat cannot blow Federer off the court.

Exodus
09-29-2006, 05:11 PM
Fit and Safin are two words that don't match nowadays.

sure safin is not in great shape nowadays but he always brings the best out of him at AO...

GlennMirnyi
09-29-2006, 05:15 PM
sure safin is not in great shape nowadays but he always brings the best out of him at AO...

No one can blow Federer off the court nowadays. I can't remember the last time someone won easily against him.

Exodus
09-29-2006, 05:17 PM
No one can blow Federer off the court nowadays. I can't remember the last time someone won easily against him.

maybe not blow :) but safin will still be able to beat him at AO...

cmurray
09-29-2006, 05:24 PM
I dunno. I know Roger won the AO last year, but his tennis wasn't what it normally is. I think Rafa, Safin and maybe even Baggy all have a shot against him. Remember that Marcos was sort of green down under last year - he might be a more difficult opponent this time around.

GlennMirnyi
09-29-2006, 05:26 PM
I dunno. I know Roger won the AO last year, but his tennis wasn't what it normally is. I think Rafa, Safin and maybe even Baggy all have a shot against him. Remember that Marcos was sort of green down under last year - he might be a more difficult opponent this time around.

Federer was recovering from an injury. Is that enough?

Marcos hadn't that beer belly in the AO. I doubt he will repeat that final.

cmurray
09-29-2006, 05:36 PM
Federer was recovering from an injury. Is that enough?

Marcos hadn't that beer belly in the AO. I doubt he will repeat that final.

Is what enough???? God almighty, stop being so defensive. I shudder to think what's going to happen when Roger starts losing. The board is going to implode. He said he was feeling completely healthy going into the AO last year. I'm merely saying that if he plays the 07 AO like he played the 06, he may well lose.

1123581321
09-29-2006, 05:59 PM
I wish, that he will win 4, but it's so difficult especially on clay with Nadal.
I would say that 2 or 3 titles.Of course US Open and Wimbledon, his favourite tournaments and maybe Australia.

Samuel
09-29-2006, 10:37 PM
I think with Baggy last year...his advantage was that he had the surprise on his side. So he could play without preassure. I don't know, but I daresay that the expectations for him to do good are higher now. I like him a lot and after Federer I would like to see him win.
So imo the AO could look similar to the one last year. :) For RG, it would be nice if Fed would win it. But if Nadal is in form it will be very difficult.

Skyward
09-29-2006, 11:55 PM
Why would that be bad? You seem to think winning one slam in a year is bad for your career.

Because in this era of inferior competition, winning one Slam is not enough for staying No1 at the end of the year.

Merton
09-30-2006, 12:33 AM
Because in this era of inferior competition, winning one Slam is not enough for staying No1 at the end of the year.

It was in 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003. Kuerten, Hewitt, Roddick ended #1 ranked having won one slam. The spectacular streak that Roger has since 2004 is not typical at all, as evidenced also by his points total.

Dirk
09-30-2006, 12:35 AM
It was in 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003. Kuerten, Hewitt, Roddick ended #1 ranked having won one slam. The spectacular streak that Roger has since 2004 is not typical at all, as evidenced also by his points total.

Don't forget 98 and 96 when Pete only won one slam and still ended the year as number one; the same goes for Edberg two years ending number one in 90 and 91.

Skyward
09-30-2006, 01:04 AM
It was in 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003. Kuerten, Hewitt, Roddick ended #1 ranked having won one slam. The spectacular streak that Roger has since 2004 is not typical at all, as evidenced also by his points total.


I know. I forgot to put :rolleyes: smile.

Skyward
09-30-2006, 01:10 AM
Don't forget 98 and 96 when Pete only won one slam and still ended the year as number one; the same goes for Edberg two years ending number one in 90 and 91.

Have you done the math? If Federer had Pete's 1996/1998 results, would he be able to stay in front of Nadal?

Daniel
10-02-2006, 04:49 AM
all of them