Who will be the new no. 1? [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Who will be the new no. 1?

alfonsojose
01-27-2004, 02:10 PM
Right now is Federer. Ferrero only can be no. 1 if he defeats Arazi and ..

1. reaches the final defeating Nalbadian in semis
2. wins the AO, defeating Federer in semis

Good luck. I like them both. AND Roddick lost his no. 1. Take that, ESPN ..

:)

sigmagirl91
01-27-2004, 02:11 PM
And Fed has to make the semis to solidify his no. 1 spot....

jtipson
01-27-2004, 02:12 PM
Solidify?

WyverN
01-27-2004, 02:17 PM
If Federer makes semis then Ferrero will have to win AO to become #1.

Ferrero has a decent chance but surely Federer is the likely player to get there.

Leena
01-27-2004, 02:20 PM
Arazi will beat Ferrero, thus Roger will earn #1 status.

Well deserved.

safinagirly
01-27-2004, 02:28 PM
hope that juanqui will finished the year n1

renatoal
01-27-2004, 02:32 PM
Federer !! He deserved it !

CooCooCachoo
01-27-2004, 03:02 PM
Roger, I hope! Out of those potential #1s out there, he is the one that deserves it most.

Yashirobai
01-27-2004, 03:18 PM
Don't forget Fed is playing Nalbandian, and don't forget either how good is Ferrero.

Apart from that, unfortunately, I think #1 will be Federer.

oxy
01-27-2004, 03:23 PM
i guess the no.1 ranking will be switching between the 3 of them in this year.....perhaps safin can challenge them!!!

sigmagirl91
01-27-2004, 03:28 PM
I'll give the edge to Fed.

CooCooCachoo
01-27-2004, 03:30 PM
I don't think Ferrero will be as consistent as Roddick or Federer, but he should manage to get far more points in the clay tournaments.

Yonge
01-27-2004, 04:18 PM
I hope Roger takes over the #1 ranking. It's about time!

faboozadoo15
01-27-2004, 05:00 PM
my pick is federer....

MisterQ
01-27-2004, 05:13 PM
Hicham Arazi is on a path of destruction. The Moroccan tornado will lift up Ferrero, throw him around for a while and drop him in 3rd place, where he belongs. :lol:

Crazy_Fool
01-27-2004, 06:52 PM
Go Ferrero!!!!!!!! Get No1. No Ferrero doesnt deserve to be 3, he deserves to be ahead of the duck at least.

sigmagirl91
01-27-2004, 07:03 PM
Thanks a lot, judio, for that info.

Pink Panther
01-27-2004, 07:10 PM
Thanx Judio. Whether it be Roger or JC, anyone knocking Andy off his No. 1 perch is good news. :p

nitsansh
01-27-2004, 07:31 PM
I don't think Ferrero will be as consistent as Roddick or Federer, but he should manage to get far more points in the clay tournaments.

Ferrero will find it hard to repeat his achievements on clay from last year, let alone better them... he has 2165 pts to lose between now and (including) RG...
Meanwhile, for Roddick and Federer the majority of points are due to expire on the latter half of the year... until after RG Roddick can lose no more than 710 pts and Federer has 1240 pts coming off.
Beginning in the grass tournaments leading up to Wimbledon, Federer and Roddick will be struggling to defend the points they won last year.

Also in a good position to improve on a rather poor first half of 2003 are Nalbandian and Philippoussis. The former has 445 points to lose until early June while the latter has 430 pts coming off during this period.
It should also be noted that Nalby missed most of the fall season after US Open, so I would fancy his chances to end 2004 in the top 5 if he stays healthy.

Safin, who was ranked in 86th place before AO is now one win away from a place in the top-30. If he wins the title he can get as high as 18.
Arazi also can make a big jump from just outside the top-50. Win over Ferrero tommorrow will put him in 25th place, win in SF will take him up to 18th, and if he wins on Sunday he will climb to #10.
Otherwise, Srichaphan will move up to 10th next Monday.

Agassi has to regain the title in order to remain at #4. Otherwise, Coria will overtake him despite his 1st round loss.
Schuettler will hold on to 6th place unless Nalbandian reach the final. Moya will also stay at #7 if Nalby lose before the final.
Philippoussis definitely stay at #9. That was confirmed today with Grosjean's retirement.
Further down, there are minor changes between 11 and 22, which would be unchanged unless Arazi or Safin win 2 more matches.
They read as follows:
11 Henman
12 Grosjean
13 Hewitt
14 Massu
15 Schalken
16 Novak
17 Kuerten
18 Verkerk
19 Robredo
20 Calleri
21 Fish
22 Mirnyi

Dent could climb 5 places up to carrer-best of 23, Ginepri also makes his record ranking at 25. Between them ranks El Aynaoui who dropped 6 places from 18.

Vass
01-27-2004, 07:45 PM
GO Ferrero!

Scotso
01-27-2004, 08:32 PM
Juan Carlos did well on clay, yes, but he always does! Baring a major bad season, he'll repeat that.

He could still add points by winning Barcelona and Rome, and he didn't even play Hamburg last year, a masters level event! Imo he's the big favorite to win Roland Garros again.

Good luck Juanqui :D

Scotso
01-27-2004, 08:33 PM
He also didn't do too well in Kitzbuhel or Sopot.

RebelNYC
01-27-2004, 09:01 PM
Go Ivan, tellling it like it is!

I think that Roger will be Number One, but I think it is good that we have
so many talented players - Like Juan Carlos (on clay anyway) ... I like
the diverse group of men ...

Ha ha, the U.S. sportswriters must be crying over Andy's loss....
I am too, but they are tears of joy!

nitsansh
01-27-2004, 09:39 PM
Roddick and Federer also have lot of room for improvement on clay. Unlike Ferrero, they don't have to win titles or get to finals to improve their points tally.
They also have room for improvement in winter and early spring on the indoor circuit and the MS tournaments at Indian Wells and Miami.
In the next 2 months, Roddick will lose 125 pts at Indian Wells, 35 pts at Miami, and if he fails to win back 175 pts at Memphis he will lose 65 pts at most.
Federer has big points coming off soon - 300 pts at Dubai and 175 pts at Marseilles, so he is more valnurable than the other 2 contenders in the near future. But he can improve on his 35 pts at Indian Wells and 125 pts at Miami - same as Roddick but in reverse order.
Ferrero has fewer points to lose than the other 2 before the European clay season starts: 60 pts at Rotterdam and 35 each at Indian Wells and Miami.
His big points are coming off between April and early June: 1000 at RG, 500 at Monte Carlo, 225 at Rome, 175 at Valencia and 135 at Barcelona. He reached SF or better in all these tournaments. He missed Hamburg, so he could gain big points there.
Meanwhile, Roddick has only 80 pts to lose in the big 4 clay tournaments (RG and the MS at Monte Carlo, Rome and Hamburg), plus 175 at St Polten and 120 at Houston.
Federer actually did quite well for someone who isn't a clay speciallist: He has 350 pts in Rome, 175 in Munich, and also 75 at Hamburg and 5 in RG. The big one, though, can be improved.

It looks to me that of these 3 Roddick has the best chance to improve his 2003 results between February and early June.
Unless Federer win Aussie Open and puts daylight between him and the other contenders, I forsee a close battle between the top 3 until RG.

federerfan7465
01-27-2004, 10:01 PM
too bad Andre will likely drop to no. 5, but he should climb back to the top four after Wimby, and I tihnk Fed has to get to the finals in order to be number one, and should stay atop the rankings for about 5 months. Final Rankings Will likely be as follows for the current top 4
1. Federer
2.Fererro
3. Andre

and .....

8. Roddick :)

J. Corwin
01-27-2004, 10:37 PM
Odds are stacked against Ferrero, but so is Federer when Nalby is in the equation. ;)

Chloe le Bopper
01-27-2004, 10:44 PM
If Federer makes semis then Ferrero will have to win AO to become #1.

Ferrero has a decent chance but surely Federer is the likely player to get there.
Agreed.

It looks like it's going to be Fed, but its not unrealistic to think that Ferrero could roll out of the bed on the right side and win the whole shebang. I wouldnt' bet on it, though ;)

Chloe le Bopper
01-27-2004, 10:47 PM
I don't think Ferrero will be as consistent as Roddick or Federer, but he should manage to get far more points in the clay tournaments.
Sure. It's not his clay points that have been keeping him in the top 2 or 3, though.

lalaland
01-27-2004, 11:06 PM
Roddick and Federer also have lot of room for improvement on clay. Unlike Ferrero, they don't have to win titles or get to finals to improve their points tally.


They don't have to win title on clay to improve on pts, and Ferrero don't have to win title to improve on his hardcourt TMS neither. They all have over 4000 pts, they will all get their chances in the different point of the season to defend them.

Ferrero has been very constantly in the past few clay season, I won't bet on him to suddenly fail to do so, unless there's injury. Same for the other 2, Roddick consistent in the Amercian hard court season and Federer. My point is, this year, they will have to battle in every way to get points, doesn't matter on which surface, anything counts.

At the moment, the odds points toward Federer and I am thinking he might just do it this time.

JeLuliA88
01-28-2004, 12:39 AM
Juanqui!

Chloe le Bopper
01-28-2004, 12:53 AM
Ferrero will find it hard to repeat his achievements on clay from last year

Gee. Now there's something you don't read EVERY YEAR.

Hispanica
01-28-2004, 03:56 AM
I hope Ferrero can do it but intennis and life you never what happen "Life is like a box of Chocolate, you never know, what you are going to get"... how true.

In clay, Ferrero has always his chances and he will do everthing to get ready for it.

Mane
01-28-2004, 02:16 PM
Roger Federer!!!

star
01-28-2004, 02:40 PM
GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Juan Carlos. :)

nitsansh
01-28-2004, 08:34 PM
If Federer wins the final he'll open a gap of 880 pts over Ferrero and 890 over Roddick... that will probably keep him at the top until Wimbledon.

Ma. Estefania
01-28-2004, 09:27 PM
Wow...until Wimbledon! That's a lot of time...

Hispanica
01-28-2004, 11:01 PM
Yeah...