AFL Round 5 [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

AFL Round 5

hawker
04-28-2006, 05:05 AM
Thought someone would of already started this thread, anyway ill kick it off with preview on tonights match.

Richmond vs. Carlton
Friday 28th April at M.C.G. 7:40pm AEST

Tonights match features the the 2 wooden spoon favourites with both teams currently on 1 win and 3 losses.

Richmond has been bagged alot at the start the year how bad they are but if we take a look at there opponents so far in losses to Western, St Kilda and West Coast and then a win over Brisbane we can see that they have had alot tougher run then what Carlton has had so far playing against 3 top 4 sides.

Carlton have had a win opening round vs Melbourne to then lose all in competitive games to Fremantle, Sydney and Hawthorn.

This week Carlton will regain much needed forwards in Jarrod Waite from injury and Brendan Fevola from suspension.

Fev has been in great form this year kicking 14 goals in the first 3 games and does have a record of kicking a couple of bags vs Richmond.

Last time these 2 teams played Carlton won by 35 points at the Telstra Dome but it is a much different story at the G of recent times with Carlton only winning 1 of 7 games there and Richmond 5 of there last 7.

Richmond did win Traveling Interstate last week and there has been a bit of a trend this year to oppose these teams the next week back home as they seem to have a letdown week.

This week though im still sticking with what I think is the better team in Richmond as Carlton has to be more then juust competitive agains these weaker sides and learn how to win in these close games.

Richmond 1-39 @ $2.40




High Goalscorer Value

If you looking for any value in the High Goal scorer market you cant go past the Favourite here Brendan Fevola @ $2.50. Having an outstanding start to the year as mentioned already kicked 14 goals in the first 3 games and will be relied on heavily here to help Carlton win the game.

Most Disposals Value
Note players here include(Tuck, Couglan, Johnson, Bowden, Kouta, Stevens, Houlihan, Lappin)

This week the best value I see in this bunch is Joel Bowden, having a very consistent year so far avg 24.5 disposals and 29 when at home in vic. He has a great past against Carlton and could easily eack up a lazy 30 tonight. Definately has some value here.

Value Bet here Joel Bowden $5.50

bad gambler
04-28-2006, 06:05 AM
Carlton to beat Richmond - $2.00

gl

andrew057
04-28-2006, 07:23 AM
Hawker im with you, really like Richmond in this matchup. Seems as if the majoirty of the public are on Carlton though :)

hawker
04-28-2006, 08:08 AM
andrew yup most are on Carlton, Carlton started around $2.25 now into $2.00 most places.

hawker
04-28-2006, 08:30 AM
Other Bets I have taken as value this round include

1 unit Geelong @ $1.86

1 unit Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $2.75

1 unit Hawthorn 1-39 @ $2.40


Also still thoughts on the Kangaroos and Freo lines.

hawker
04-29-2006, 12:37 AM
Richmond 1-39 @ $2.40 :D

sports freak
04-29-2006, 01:04 AM
Other Bets I have taken as value this round include

1 unit Geelong @ $1.86

1 unit Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $2.75

1 unit Hawthorn 1-39 @ $2.40


Also still thoughts on the Kangaroos and Freo lines.

Good luck bro,Agree with ya on the Cats,but like Adelaide instead!!Also Hawks can go past 40+ imo,maybe a little back bet is worth the shout!!!

Bolar Bolabi
04-29-2006, 01:09 AM
Kangaroos +7.5 @ $1.91

Western Bulldogs to stay undefeated @ $2.10

West Coast -39.5 @ $1.91 - GIFT

Hawthorn ML X Collingwood ML @ $2.55

Good luck!

Bolar Bolabi
04-29-2006, 01:11 AM
Other Bets I have taken as value this round include

1 unit Geelong @ $1.86

1 unit Western Bulldogs 1-39 @ $2.75

1 unit Hawthorn 1-39 @ $2.40


Also still thoughts on the Kangaroos and Freo lines.

Take Kangaroos +7.5 - This will be their week.

bad gambler
04-29-2006, 01:11 AM
finally backing against your own team bolar? :lol:

Bolar Bolabi
04-29-2006, 01:23 AM
finally backing against your own team bolar? :lol:

Common sense prevails BG. This is a definate loss for the Lions and it's going to be over a 10 goal victory for the Eagles.

sports freak
04-29-2006, 02:25 AM
Kangaroos +7.5 @ $1.91

Western Bulldogs to stay undefeated @ $2.10

West Coast -39.5 @ $1.91 - GIFT

Hawthorn ML X Collingwood ML @ $2.55

Good luck!

These pics are from are man who's switched on this week,love all your pics champ except for Western Bulldogs,Crows take this one!!!The definetely with ya on that parlay aswell,there will be some serious 40+ imo this week,like you said starting with W/Cst/Collingwood/Hawthorn are the ones that stand out!!!Good luck with your pics!!!

sports freak
04-29-2006, 02:37 AM
Bulldogs run will come to an abrupt end unfortunately for Doggies supporters,Crows will turn on the gas this weekend n make the dogs look like Pups looking for shelter!!!!

40 units on Adelaide Crows ML 1.75 over Western Bulldogs - Adelaide midfielders to dominate the game!!!Crows by 3-4 goals imo!!!

30 units on West Coast Eagles -38.5pts over Brisbane Lions - What Bolar has explained already!!!How ugly will this get?Bolar doesnt want to look!

Good luck- Leaning on the ShinBoners but on form cant back em,also the Cats 2nite with the margins of 1-19 either way wont go astray!!!

2morro Loving the Hawks -10.5/Pies -11.5 feel both are absolute gifts imo!!!!Moneyline double cant go wrong!!!

Mr Flamboyant
04-29-2006, 04:20 AM
Sports Freak .. Hawks and Pies lines are a slightly better -9.5 on TAB Sportsbet .. Take them if you can .. never know, the extra point or two might just come in handy!!Both at $1.85 ..

sports freak
04-29-2006, 04:29 AM
Flamb it wont matter the one pt wont come into these games imo,both games wont be close,i will be going on the 40+ for both games aswell,too much in the tank for the Hawks
n Pies to exact revenge!!!!

Mr Flamboyant
04-29-2006, 04:44 AM
Do think the line for Collingwood is a bit skinny .. I'd have thought around 20 pts start for Port was more on the mark.

Just can't bring myself to trust Hawthorn yet.

SadrieL
04-29-2006, 08:19 AM
Why aren't the Cats being piled on? Swans are playing horribly.

Mr Flamboyant
04-29-2006, 08:41 AM
Possibly because the AFL is harder to pick than the proverbial so far in 2006 .. Do like the Cats in this one though .. very hard to see them dropping three in a row ..

Mr Flamboyant
04-29-2006, 11:26 AM
Sunday .. liking the look of Collingwood .. If Andrew Johns is fit might take the Magpies X Newcastle .. @ $1.90

bad gambler
04-29-2006, 11:36 AM
cheer cheer the red and the white!!!!

sports freak
04-29-2006, 04:16 PM
Bulldogs run will come to an abrupt end unfortunately for Doggies supporters,Crows will turn on the gas this weekend n make the dogs look like Pups looking for shelter!!!!

40 units on Adelaide Crows ML 1.75 over Western Bulldogs - Adelaide midfielders to dominate the game!!!Crows by 3-4 goals imo!!!

30 units on West Coast Eagles -38.5pts over Brisbane Lions - What Bolar has explained already!!!How ugly will this get?Bolar doesnt want to look!

Good luck- Leaning on the ShinBoners but on form cant back em,also the Cats 2nite with the margins of 1-19 either way wont go astray!!!

2morro Loving the Hawks -10.5/Pies -11.5 feel both are absolute gifts imo!!!!Moneyline double cant go wrong!!!


Crows win by 77pts n Eagles win by 59pts!!!

g35-great
04-29-2006, 10:27 PM
BG out of the 3 games can u tell me which ML bet is good???

sports freak
04-30-2006, 02:48 AM
Cannot believe the fuss about the Bombers 2day,my Hawks will come out n give them the hiding of the life!!!!

40 units on Hawthorn ML 1.65 over Essendon Bombers - Mighty Hawks vs Stinkin Bombers,this should get ugly especially with the well rested,hard running Hawks!!!They will cover the -8.5pts n throwing some coins on 40+ aswell!!!!!!!

10 units on Hawks 1.65/Collingwood 1.58 @ 2.60 over Bombers/Power - Pies still have plenty of run n gun to take on the Power after 5 days rest,good bench n no injuries!!!

Good luck!!!

Good luck-

sports freak
04-30-2006, 07:16 AM
Cannot believe the fuss about the Bombers 2day,my Hawks will come out n give them the hiding of the life!!!!

40 units on Hawthorn ML 1.65 over Essendon Bombers - Mighty Hawks vs Stinkin Bombers,this should get ugly especially with the well rested,hard running Hawks!!!They will cover the -8.5pts n throwing some coins on 40+ aswell!!!!!!!

10 units on Hawks 1.65/Collingwood 1.58 @ 2.60 over Bombers/Power - Pies still have plenty of run n gun to take on the Power after 5 days rest,good bench n no injuries!!!

Good luck!!!

Good luck-

Hawks win by a pt n Pies played with the Power winning by 44pts,finally there is a GOD unlike the NBA,missed out by a freakishh half court game tying buzzer,then the Grizzlies pants themselves late in game 3!!!!The Hawks just put a smile to that!!

Bolar Bolabi
05-02-2006, 01:42 AM
10 units on Hawks 1.65/Collingwood 1.58 @ 2.60 over Bombers/Power - Pies still have plenty of run n gun to take on the Power after 5 days rest,good bench n no injuries!!!

Good luck!!!

Good luck-

You followed Bolar and it paid off - well done.

Looks like we all had good weeks in here.