Mar 22 NBAA [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Mar 22 NBAA

theonekyuuto
03-22-2006, 03:58 PM
another day to get your $$ back guys. haha... yesterday is brutal ... in my case, i lost a parlay which has Heats and Suns in it. It figured a trend from yesterday's games: all playoff boarder line teams play well(Hornet, Jazz, Sac). i knew Hornet would have a great rebounce after some terrible loses at home. and for Jazz, it just outperform Suns in many ways in the second half. It's hard to predict the Suns would lose that one given they had lost in SA. but one thing has been forgotten is Jazz played well against Memphis in couple days ago. (memphis is a good team in great form now) So I think that's pretty hard to see. In Mia case, i should bet on all the home teams that against it. (i will do +7 teasers on those home team) It's almost a guarentee win in those past games. (Also i have no knowledge about the absence of Shaq) Mia is just not so threatening as Sun, Spur, Mavericks.

theonekyuuto
03-22-2006, 04:36 PM
Charlotte vs Cleveland: for this whole season i just do not have much faith in the Cavs, especially after they lost Hughs. the line is about -11 today, and i really wonder i should do a +7 or -7. I don't know a +18 on charlotte is well enough to cover a possible blow out on them. and -4.5 on Cavs? consider they recent form it's a not a sure thing. One thing is sure that Cav will win, but it's just by how much point. I am pretty conservative on this one, so hope you guys can help.

chicago vs Indiana. As i said yesterday Indiana is just another team without O'Neal. Peja hype is over and they play terrible. But again chicago is not a good road team, so i kinda expect a dog fight in this game. Chicago may go ahead in the first half, then Indian come back in the second half? ok... i will probably do +12 on chicago

NY vs Orlando: NY is missing some key players and they are away, the line is -6.5, for magics, so i will do -1 on magic

Hawks vs Sixers: AI is back, but does it means they are gonna play well? remember last time AI return Sixers didn't win. and for me Hawks is in good form. So a risky bet on them Hawks +15

Toronto vs Boston: it's another dog fight. a high scoring game. i probably should do Celtics -1 on this one. (But i really do like Toronto, i dont know if a +12 is good enough) or i just do -1?

Miami vs Detroit: it's an obvious choice, Det -1

Milwakee vs Seattle: another tough call. i like ray allen, but Bucks is in great form now. and seattle is just so inconsistent. i think bucks will lead in the first half. and i don't know how the seattle come back in the second half.

Spurs vs Denver: denver has a great run last week , they won most of the road games. althought Camby is questionable, but K mart is back which i think is more important than Camby. Also consider Spur's bad performence last night. i should really consider Denver +9 on this.

Sac vs Laker, anohter great game and it will show on ESPN i think.; both teams are fighting for a play off spot, believe it or not, a blow out on either side is impossible. a close game and lakers probably can pull it off becuase it's home court and the MVP KOBE is ready. Also Laker played well these days, and i don't think they will have lost by 16 last time in Sac. but again Sac is more talented team than laker. so i will do +10 on Sac

Dublin Mick
03-22-2006, 06:06 PM
Fancy Heat v Pistons to go over 194.5.
Not happy with the spread of minus 7.5, Pistons seem to build good leads but then let the lead slip late on. At the same time I would not be taking Heat plus 7.5.
Will be having a bet on this game as I will be watching it so probably just go with the overs, anyone comment?

theonekyuuto
03-22-2006, 06:26 PM
without shaq i dont really know how many points heat can score. 194.5 means both team has to score at least 97 points . i just don't have any good prediction on it

bad gambler
03-22-2006, 07:36 PM
Is the big diesel definitely OUT for tonight? :confused:

Eastern conference final preview, on national TV hard to see him missing this even if he is not 100%

I am lining up the Nuggets to take out the Spurs in a S/U win..still looking into it

bad gambler
03-22-2006, 07:38 PM
And if ever the Pistons are going to cover, tonight is the night....

TwistyServe
03-22-2006, 07:40 PM
Think I might pass tonights NBA lottery. Got a big win on Miami and would like to continue to get wins :lol:

bad gambler
03-22-2006, 07:45 PM
Bulls to beat the Pacers - $2.70

&

Nuggets to beat the Spurs - $2.15


good luck

Dublin Mick
03-22-2006, 09:57 PM
And if ever the Pistons are going to cover, tonight is the night....

You think the pistons will cover minus 7.5 tonight?

theonekyuuto
03-22-2006, 09:58 PM
do you guys wonder that with extensive analysis , $$ from sports gambling is way better than $$ from the stock market? I am still a college student, not much knowledge about the stock market. but from what i heard only those big player in NY do get out lots of $$ from the stock market. does it sounds like the bookers that we play against? I don't know, just a little thought on it. How you guys think?

bad gambler
03-22-2006, 10:01 PM
You think the pistons will cover minus 7.5 tonight?


The way the Pistons have worked this year, they will do just enough to beat the bad teams i.e. have huge leads and then don't give a shit come garbage time hence you will find that is the reason for the shocking ATS record over the past month or so.

But when they are up against the contenders, they are merciless e.g. spurs both home and away. The first game against the heat, they controlled the whole game, the second game in Miami in Feb they were up by 16 odd with around 3min to go in the game before Wade went ballistic and got the Heat over the line.

I took them at -7 tonight as well since I have the game on the box.

bad gambler
03-22-2006, 10:03 PM
do you guys wonder that with extensive analysis , $$ from sports gambling is way better than $$ from the stock market? I am still a college student, not much knowledge about the stock market. but from what i heard only those big player in NY do get out lots of $$ from the stock market. does it sounds like the bookers that we play against? I don't know, just a little thought on it. How you guys think?


no contest IMO, if you put in the time sports gambling is very fruitful

TwistyServe
03-22-2006, 10:10 PM
I personally don't like -7.5 for Detriot mainly because Detriot shoots too many damn 3s. A bad shooting day at the 3pt stretch usually kills a team's lead. Thats how they lost the the Lakers last time, thats why Suns lost yesterday

If you saw suns went for like 6 minutes without scoring in the 4th, and lost a huge lead in the 3rd, because they kept going for idiot 3 pters that weren't landing in.. sure Suns lead in 3pters but thats not what wins you games... shooting 3s usually loses your lead and loses your game rather than wins them.

Last week duke almost lost to a 25pt underdog in R1 because their boys couldnt settle for making easy 2s, and had to go for the big crowd pleasing 3s. They got their act together in the 2nd half just in time to win but not enough to cover.

My pt being, I stay away from teams that shoot too many 3s because a bad day they'll screw you.

Of course if no shaq then detriot will roll.

theonekyuuto
03-22-2006, 10:16 PM
Somehow i just wonder that 2nd half betting is better than point spread. they both have the same odds but 2nd half is like a conditional probability. given something happen in the 1st half and u predict the 2nd half. I have done analysis on my past betting history, and it turns out that my 2nd half betting is way better than my point spread and parlay. For 2nd half betting, there are four choices, point spread for both teams and total for both teams. For example, the Seattle and Sac game last night, the original PS and total is -5 and 207 something, but first half is 60 - 58 seattle up by 2. Then the 2nd half line is 106.5 and -7.5. most people(or i should say some people) would think, the parlay under 106.5 and -7.5 is quit impossible because seattle is playing wll in the 1st half and both team score well. At this point, what i did bet is total over 106.5, and sac won the 2nd half(ML), and the odd is 1.25, the upset thing is the total is not even close to 90 at the end. So i lost that bet. But what i learn is you can better predict the 2nd half line given the 1st half result. Well, yes i did lost that bet, but i did win the other two, which are under 89 2nd half for Houston and Dallas, and under 105.5 for Jazz and suns in 2nd half. So i am not saying it's mostly likely under total in the 2nd half. but what i am saying is, if the first half 's total is more than the 1/2 of the originaly game total line, then it's possible the 2nd half is under the line that the booker posted out. Of course this has to depend on what the two teams are playing, for Seattle and Sac. we know Sac was gonna come back in the 2nd half, and we probably expect a dog fight with Seattle. but Seattle has posted a record of scoring low when they are facing other team's come back. So that's why the total is under 106.5. Also, u can tell 106.5 a pretty tough line to cross, when both team score well in the first half.(fatigue?) Any opinions?

sports freak
03-22-2006, 11:10 PM
Bulls to beat the Pacers - $2.70

&

Nuggets to beat the Spurs - $2.15


good luck

Absolutely love da pics!!!!!good luck

sports freak
03-22-2006, 11:14 PM
Dogs day out 2day,lets cash em!!!!ML on da dogs aswell!!!

40 units on Bucks +2.5pts over Seattle Shithouse Sonics
40 units on Sacremento Queens +3pts over Los Angeles Fakers
40 units on Chicago Bulls +4.5pts over Indiana Pacers
40 units on Toronto Craptors +5.5pts over Boston Celtics

Good luck,other leans on Nuggets +2/Nuggets Over 192.5/Indy Over 187.5pts!!!!

betowiec
03-23-2006, 12:06 AM
pacers ml at 1.571 for $350

j.o'neal available on the bench for the pacers, not starting, but might play

fisherking
03-23-2006, 12:16 AM
my first today bets are two handis: Orlando -6.5 and Bobcats +12.5


and i don't want to forget.... i don't have to say it's very prestige game in Detroit. No spot for easy points. Under, under under...

good luck with your choices guys

betowiec
03-23-2006, 01:07 AM
pacers down by 6 with 2 minutes left in the first half, hoping for a better 2nd half

betowiec
03-23-2006, 01:21 AM
pacers -7 at the half, taking them for the 2nd half -4.5 in addition to my ML on them for the whole game

$125 on -4.5 for the 2nd half

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 01:31 AM
Ok just back from the pub quite drunk, 1 min into the game and pistons were down 2. Hammered the Pistons on a massive one, way too big really on the money line, surely this cannot go down.

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 01:46 AM
Pistons 35-23 down in the second half, wait make that 35-26, not exactly filled with confidence here :(

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 01:52 AM
pistons cant make a freaking shot

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 01:53 AM
Alarm bells are ringing as Pistons down 37-26 with 3 mins from time in the second quarter

TwistyServe
03-23-2006, 01:54 AM
Pistons 35-23 down in the second half, wait make that 35-26, not exactly filled with confidence here :(

Pisons really depended on their 3pters. But Morning is out now so that puts a big setback for the Heat.

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 01:58 AM
You can now get 7/4 on the Pistons minus 1, they worth it?

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 01:59 AM
You can now get 7/4 on the Pistons minus 1, they worth it?

for the 2nd half?

TwistyServe
03-23-2006, 02:00 AM
for the 2nd half?

lol no way.. i think he means for the whole game..

TwistyServe
03-23-2006, 02:01 AM
You can now get 7/4 on the Pistons minus 1, they worth it?

Hehe seriously dude u need to stop live betting.. these things become coinflips when you do live bets in nba..

will they cover -1? probably...

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:01 AM
if thats the case I wouldnt wanna touch it with the way the pistons are shooting, this is reminiscent of the way they were shooting last year

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:03 AM
wtfs with the cavs tonight struggling huge with the cats

betowiec
03-23-2006, 02:03 AM
43:35 heat on top in detroit at the half

looks like i will play the heat for the 2nd half

zo will not return

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 02:06 AM
What way do you anticipate this game to finish? Pistons with a shock defeat or Pistons to sort themselves out and win?

betowiec
03-23-2006, 02:07 AM
What way do you anticipate this game to finish? Pistons with a shock defeat or Pistons to sort themselves out and win?

i just took heat +6.5 for the 2nd half but with very low stakes $50, pistons haven't lost a home game in a while, so maybe tonight

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:07 AM
I wouldnt doubt the pistons but they look like crap at the moment

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:08 AM
Cant expect the heat to shoot as hotly as they have and their legs gotta give way some in the second half after playin last night

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:10 AM
Cavs suck

betowiec
03-23-2006, 02:10 AM
Cant expect the heat to shoot as hotly as they have and their legs gotta give way some in the second half after playin last night


true, but big daddy was rested yesterday, so i am hoping he will play well enough in the 2nd half for the heat to win

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:13 AM
true, but big daddy was rested yesterday, so i am hoping he will play well enough in the 2nd half for the heat to win

also true, I keep getting shyt info. Yesterday I heard he would likely go and then nope and today I hear hes out and hes a go. Lost on em yesterday and killin me today.

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 02:16 AM
I cant understand hoe bad the pistons have played in the first half, wtf is going on?
Second half wants to be completely different.

TwistyServe
03-23-2006, 02:16 AM
i just took heat +6.5 for the 2nd half but with very low stakes $50, pistons haven't lost a home game in a while, so maybe tonight

Same, I just took heat +6.5 2nd half but small stakes. Shaq looks hot right now but and Pistons arent shotting well. But morning cant play rest of game so.. small stakes

Freeze17171
03-23-2006, 02:18 AM
Good first half by the Heat, I got them at +7 so hopefully they don't run out of gas and fade completely.

TwistyServe
03-23-2006, 02:21 AM
I cant understand hoe bad the pistons have played in the first half, wtf is going on?
Second half wants to be completely different.

I posted earlier about this already.. If you look at all the pistons games, they are usually very low scoring.. They use their defence to stop teams from scoring, and then they shot lots of 3s. Usually they hit around 10 out of 30 3pters. But when they have a bad shotting day, they lose big leads or will lose games. I hate teams that play so many 3s and Pistons are one of them. First half they shot 3 for 13 on 3s.. Not very good.

Thas why Pisons lost to lakers last time, and is why they're doing terrible today.

On top of that Shaq is in the money today.

Anything can happen in the 2nd half but I doubt pistons will cover their original -7.5 line.

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:24 AM
king james is killin me with his missed ft's

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 02:24 AM
MoTown -6.5 2H for me

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:31 AM
Man the cavs lick

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 02:36 AM
Man the cavs lick


what do you have?

looks like flip murray has temporarily saved your ass

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:37 AM
what do you have?

looks like murray has temporarily saved your ass

sadly they were just a throw in ml to pump up a parlay the rest has clicked and my easy games givin me fits. Murray came up huge

fisherking
03-23-2006, 02:40 AM
f...
overtime in clevlend, i have got Bobcats +12.5 and now everything is still possible

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 02:41 AM
ben wallace makes both FT's

never thought i would see the day...

SadrieL
03-23-2006, 02:41 AM
Spurs -2 over the Nuggets?

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 02:41 AM
Spurs -2 over the Nuggets?


take the nuggets, just to be different ;)

TwistyServe
03-23-2006, 02:43 AM
Spurs -2 over the Nuggets?
You should fade yourself.

therefore, pick Denver ML

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:44 AM
fricken lebron its ot hold on to the ball

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 02:45 AM
Time for the well oiled Pistons machine to hit the GO button, blow these mofos out

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 02:45 AM
Pistons 2 point game, COME ON

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:47 AM
king james with his 5th foul. Handing balls away missing free throws fouling everyone. Havin quite the game

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 02:47 AM
Rip and Billups should be the only ones taking the shots from here on in


lets go pistons basketball

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:50 AM
I dont remember flip murray doing shyt all for the sonics, comin up clutch today

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 02:52 AM
Pistons 60 Heat 59 going into the last quarter.
Ok its unlikely Pistons will cover the line but they should win the game shouldnt they?

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 02:53 AM
Pistons 60 Heat 59 going into the last quarter.
Ok its unlikely Pistons will cover the line but they should win the game shouldnt they?


why do you say they can't outscore the shithouse heat by 7 in the final quarter?

Pistons play D, Heat don't simple as that

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 02:55 AM
As long as walker is on the court for the Heat, Pistons can still cover...

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 02:56 AM
man feltons a one man cavs destruction crew

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 02:56 AM
Not bothered about Pistons covering the line, I just really need a Pistons win.

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 02:59 AM
Pistons just need to hang on with the Heat until Rip and Prince get back on court..

TwistyServe
03-23-2006, 03:00 AM
Pistons 60 Heat 59 going into the last quarter.
Ok its unlikely Pistons will cover the line but they should win the game shouldnt they?

Whoever leads with 3-5 and 60 seconds will win hehe.. right now who knows.

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 03:03 AM
Cavs pull it out, but they still lick

flmmkrz
03-23-2006, 03:05 AM
well im off to dinner, go pistons, and cya guys

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 03:07 AM
take it easy mate

fisherking
03-23-2006, 03:09 AM
my first today bets are two handis: Orlando -6.5 and Bobcats +12.5


and i don't want to forget.... i don't have to say it's very prestige game in Detroit. No spot for easy points. Under, under under...

good luck with your choices guys

2-0

looks like under in The Palace of Auburn Hills, but overtime possible;
so i laid under 1.03 and got the profit now no matter the final score :)

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 03:09 AM
Pistons up by 6 with less than 5mins on the clock, left it late to turn on the style didnt they.

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 03:09 AM
now time for the pistons to cover the full game spread as well

all starters back in for the stretch

SadrieL
03-23-2006, 03:11 AM
Not the first time Flip Murray has saved Lebrons ass.

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 03:22 AM
Pistons up 8 with 2.04 left on the clock:)

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 03:25 AM
Heat blow :sport:

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 03:25 AM
pistons up 10 with 1.06 on the clock and as the commentator says, that should just about do it.

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 03:30 AM
Pistons 2h and Gametime hits

:singer: now show me the money Melo

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 03:33 AM
Yes, Pistons win:)
Also they covered the line:)

Freeze17171
03-23-2006, 03:40 AM
Walker is the biggest POS player ever.

Dublin Mick
03-23-2006, 03:45 AM
Could have been nasty there but thankfully the Pistons sorted themselves out and helped Dublin Mick out:)

betowiec
03-23-2006, 03:53 AM
strong start by the Bryants

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 04:50 AM
Nuggets destroying the Spurs

Altitude baby :cool:

bad gambler
03-23-2006, 05:33 AM
arrgghhh nuggets pissing this away :mad:

theonekyuuto
03-23-2006, 06:25 AM
i won a 1 : 15 pay out today on my parlay with $80 wager. Fruitful day =). i almost lost that in Laker games but luckily Kings come back fine in the 4th quater and cover my +10 teaser

theonekyuuto
03-23-2006, 06:25 AM
and thanks to Hawks bench player in outscoring the Philly in the last 4 mins