Flmmkrz trial and error basketball system.... [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Flmmkrz trial and error basketball system....

flmmkrz
11-21-2005, 05:36 PM
I just want to keep an updated journal as I tweak mybball system to find one that works best for me. None of these plays are actually being bet as of yet but hopefully soon when I start to hit at a decent rate assuming that day ever comes lol.

So to start i've capped 2 games...

NO vs Philly

NO +10 103 -91 = 12 LOSS
NO ml + 460 = LOSS
under 198 = total 194 = WIN

my numbers indicate NO as a favorite by 6 points, personally I think 6ers beat em but just following my info here.

GS vs NJ

NJ +2 100 - 97 = LOSS
NJ ml +115 = LOSS
under 189 = LOSS

My numbers indicate Jersey as a 2 point favorite here.

Lets see what happens

flmmkrz
11-22-2005, 05:32 PM
so far not so good :o but in updating my last post I lost both spreads by a basket, mls missed by a trey in one game and a bunch in the other, and hit one under so took the losses in my little expirement but my numbers dont look to be terribly off.

but thats what trial and errors all about. Gonna give it the rest of the week on current betting criteria and see if its just a bad day or if its a trend before I start tweaking with the system.

So far capped Denver/ Washington :::: DENVER 108 WASH 105

Taking washington -4.5 LOSS
washington ml -200 LOSS
under 196 LOSS

Numbers indicate denver will be hard pressed to hit 90 points with the wiz hitting close to 100. The unders will be close so as I work the system more i'll better decide what my margin will be before pulling the trigger on the totals. These numbers are also based on Kmart playing if he is not a go the unders become more likely and the -4.5 an even stronger play.

more to come...

flmmkrz
11-22-2005, 06:02 PM
Boston/ Clev... CLEV 115 - BOSTON 93

Clev -9.5 WIN
Unders 204 LOSS

my numbers indicate a win in the range of 20 points. Again this unders score will be close as I see a 110 - 90ish score.

The first game I capped today was 6 points off my projected score and this ones 4 off, just a note for me to keep track of

flmmkrz
11-22-2005, 06:24 PM
Seattle/ Utah SEATTLE 87 UTAH 93

Seattle - 9.5 LOSS
over 187 LOSS

I have Seattle winning by at least a dozen and the total hitting near 195

so lets see what happens today

flmmkrz
11-24-2005, 05:23 PM
too busy yesterday but back at it...

Indiana/ Clev

Indiana - 3 WIN
Indiana ml WIN
under 198 WIN

Seattle/Lakers

Seattle +3.5 LOSS
Seattle ml LOSS
Over 198.5 WIN

Finally a winning night, still not enough info to tweak so i'll ride this another week and see how it goes.

flmmkrz
11-25-2005, 06:17 PM
Todays plays

Orlando/ Portland 104-89

Portland +3 LOSS
Orlando ml WIN
over 173.5 WIN

Charlotte/ Boston 89-90

Charlotte +5.5 WIN
Charlotte ml LOSS
over 202.5 LOSS

Washington/ Detroit 120-114

Washington +10 WIN
over 195 WIN

LA clip/ Denver 95-105

Clip +4.5 LOSS
Clip ml LOSS
under 198 LOSS

a slightly down day overall...noticing some adjustments that might be made with more points going to the home team than I am currently allowing for.

flmmkrz
11-26-2005, 05:08 PM
alright tweaked the numbers slightly lets see what effect it has...

NO/Seattle

NO +7.5 WIN
under 192 LOSS

Miami/Orlando

Miami -3 LOSS
over 183 LOSS

Minny/Clev

Minnesota +10 WIN
under 191 WIN

Wash/ Charlotte

Charlotte -2.5 WIN
Char ml -140 WIN
under 197 WIN

thats looking better now lets see if I can keep this up

flmmkrz
11-27-2005, 05:12 PM
Portland/ATL

ATL -3.5 LOSS
under 186.5 WIN

NJ/ Lakers

Lakers -1.5 LOSS
Lakers ml -125 LOSS
over 193 WIN

Bad day for home teams and a losing night for my little experiment.

flmmkrz
11-28-2005, 03:44 PM
Orlando/ Boston

Orlando + 5.5 WIN
Orlando ml WIN
under 186.5 WIN

NO vs GS

NO +8 LOSS
under 192 WIN

and a winner night

flmmkrz
11-29-2005, 08:28 PM
alright lets see if I can keep it rolling here: Wasnt around yesterday so to update....

Portland vs Philly

Portland +10 only play here LOSS

Clippers at Minnesota

Minnesota -3 LOSS
Minny ml -165 LOSS
under 189 WIN

Charlotte at Sac

Charlotte +7.5 LOSS
over 199.5 WIN

brutal day for the experiment

flmmkrz
12-02-2005, 09:42 PM
experiments pretty hit or miss at the moment so more tweaking this week....

Golden State/ Charlotte 107-100 OUCH

GS -8 LOSS
Under 197.5 LOSS

sports freak
12-02-2005, 10:41 PM
experiments pretty hit or miss at the moment so more tweaking this week....

Golden State/ Charlotte

GS -8
Under 197.5

Good luck flmmkrz,pics looks real good all the best mate!!! :) btw ur total for Kings vs Bobcats Overs won it was 110-92 ;)

flmmkrz
12-03-2005, 05:14 PM
Good luck flmmkrz,pics looks real good all the best mate!!! :) btw ur total for Kings vs Bobcats Overs won it was 110-92 ;)

LOL guess since im not playing these for real money yet im not following the results as tightly as I normally would thanks for catchin that.

flmmkrz
12-03-2005, 05:21 PM
Raptors at NJ

Over 195 LOSS

Memphis at houston

Memphis +4 WIN
Memphis ml WIN
over 174.5 LOSS

Clev at Clips

Clips -4.5 WIN
over 200 LOSS

its been nearly one good night for one bad night the whole expirement so if all holds form this should be a winner.

flmmkrz
12-05-2005, 10:38 PM
Jazz +2.5
under 174

flmmkrz
01-01-2006, 11:58 PM
Alright time for me to get this thread rolling again as i've retooled some of my criteria again. Tonight:

Portland +2.5 over the clip

Lakers ml over Utah