BG's Fade 'em Picks [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

BG's Fade 'em Picks

bad gambler
11-04-2005, 09:51 PM
Staking Plan:

Min: 3 units

Max: 10 units

---------------------------------------------

Record: -16.13 units

(Updated after Canberra Capitals WNBL bet)

Breaker
11-04-2005, 10:13 PM
May I suggest some Ljubicic action?

Detroit ML @ $1.58 is my only decent bet for Friday night NBA

Good luck mate

bad gambler
11-04-2005, 10:22 PM
tennis later mate - lot of sports to cover between now and then....

Knicks to cover -3.5 v Wizards - $1.90

Stake: 5 units

Source: Centrebet

$@M
11-04-2005, 11:17 PM
BG's personal thread is back in Action !!! :bounce: You rock ,BG !! :worship:

bad gambler
11-04-2005, 11:31 PM
BG's personal thread is back in Action !!! :bounce: You rock ,BG !! :worship:


leave the accolades out only until i can churn out some winners ;)

jackieglover
11-05-2005, 03:06 AM
BG, Are you betting to win 5 units or betting 5 units to win 4.5 units?

bad gambler
11-05-2005, 03:07 AM
sorry, it means staking 5 units to win 4.5 units

bad start again :lol: knicks blow :mad:

will take a look at what is on offer later

$@M
11-05-2005, 05:11 AM
:crying2:

Breaker
11-05-2005, 06:33 AM
SEATTLE!!! :banana: Well done mate!

bad gambler
11-05-2005, 06:38 AM
thanks mate :yeah:

but as i did not post in here it is not included :)

bad gambler
11-05-2005, 07:01 AM
NBL

Cairns Taipans ML v Pirates - $2.20

Stake: 5 units

Source: Centrebet

bad gambler
11-05-2005, 07:02 AM
NBL

Tigers to cover -3 v Crocs - $1.90

Stake: 6 units

Source: Centrebet

$@M
11-05-2005, 07:23 AM
Let's hit these two and ensure a winning night for you, BG !!! :bowdown:

sports freak
11-05-2005, 08:55 AM
NBL

Cairns Taipans ML v Pirates - $2.20

Stake: 5 units

Source: Centrebet

Good luck BG,like the Taipans aswell mate!!!! :)

Breaker
11-05-2005, 10:57 AM
Well done mate - both look like winners to me. Are you pounding the big croat tonight? I got on earlier at $1.71 but didnt have a huge go, might go back for more soon if he eases a bit but I doubt he will.

aftermatch
11-05-2005, 11:27 AM
bg :yeah:

spooky105
11-05-2005, 12:07 PM
BG :worship:

$@M
11-05-2005, 12:25 PM
:bowdown:

spooky105
11-05-2005, 12:44 PM
this man is best

:worship::worship::worship::worship:

bad gambler
11-05-2005, 03:43 PM
thanks guys, good night in the local ball

will be back shortly with my first max play...

bad gambler
11-05-2005, 03:44 PM
Well done mate - both look like winners to me. Are you pounding the big croat tonight? I got on earlier at $1.71 but didnt have a huge go, might go back for more soon if he eases a bit but I doubt he will.


nice hit on the croat. the reason why i didnt back him today was because i was disappointed with that line, i was expecting something close to evens

in any case i have my outright on him pending that i took from the start of the tournament :)

bad gambler
11-05-2005, 03:47 PM
Rugby Union

NZ to cover -14.5 v Wales - $1.90

Stake: 3 units

Source: Centrebet

bad gambler
11-05-2005, 04:04 PM
First max play for me:

Rugby Union

France to cover -4.5 v Australia - $1.85

Stake: 10 units

Source: Centrebet

It is only fair i do a writeup on my max plays just to show i'm not just pulling this out of my arse.

France are the best team in the nortehrn hemisphere and quite comfortably IMO. But more importantly for me, 3/4 of these players are from Toulouse or Biarritz the two best European club rugby sides and both have been on fire in the European competitons so far. Leads me to my next point - match fitness. Wallabies have not played since the Tri nations debacle in August and are currently on a 5 match losing streak. They are bound to be rusty and I expect plenty of ball handling mistakes from them. France on the otherhand have been playing for the past month as I mentioned above. Wallabies also lacking a creativity in their backline, and with Larkham out as well this is only going to add to the problem. Finally, the Wallaby tight 5 is not even close to that of their French counterparts - I can see the French forwards bullying the Aussies all night and laying a nice platform for the magicial Michelak to unleash the classy French backs.

This won't be and should not be close IMO.

adee-gee
11-05-2005, 04:50 PM
Prabs you're very unpatriotic today :eek:

adee-gee
11-05-2005, 05:43 PM
Rugby Union

NZ to cover -14.5 v Wales - $1.90

Stake: 3 units

Source: Centrebet
Awesome from the All Blacks :worship:

Breaker
11-05-2005, 10:28 PM
nice hit on the croat. the reason why i didnt back him today was because i was disappointed with that line, i was expecting something close to evens

in any case i have my outright on him pending that i took from the start of the tournament :)
Cheers mate, I also took Ljubo outright but not until he beat Blake.
Ljubicic @ $4.30 To WIN Paris Masters
Are you having a go at the NBA today?

bad gambler
11-05-2005, 10:54 PM
FT scores in Rugby Union

NZ wins 41-3

France wins 26-16

Both bets win

Australia played like shit as expected, i can not believe in such a sports crazy country, we can not find 5 decent forwards :shrug:

bad gambler
11-05-2005, 11:22 PM
NBA

Parlay:

OVERS 193.5 Bucks v Heat ($1.90) x Pacers ML v 76ers ($1.12) - $2.12

Stake: 7 units

Source: Centrebet

Note: I rarely play such low ML lines, reason for today is that I wanted to hit a $2+ winner

bad gambler
11-06-2005, 02:41 AM
it's a shame i don't practise what i preach, the pacers ml is going to bite me in the arse - i'm cheering hard for the heat game to go under now :p

$@M
11-06-2005, 03:02 AM
it's a shame i don't practise what i preach, the pacers ml is going to bite me in the arse - i'm cheering hard for the heat game to go under now :p

Please don't do it, BG... I woke up late and only got on your Heats/Bucks OVER 193.5.... :sad:

$@M
11-06-2005, 03:03 AM
And if u're gonna continue posting winners at 3am, then i promise i'll never sleep again... :bowdown:

$@M
11-06-2005, 03:05 AM
Pacers are only 7 points back with 9.32 min to go in final quarter... don't throw away your bet yet, BG... :)

$@M
11-06-2005, 03:37 AM
FT : Sixers won 111-109 ... Tough loss for you, BG... awfully close match...

bad gambler
11-06-2005, 04:05 AM
FT

Sixers win 111-109

Bucks win 105-100

A rookie mistake by me to say the least, bet lost

spooky105
11-06-2005, 04:33 AM
FT

Sixers win 111-109

Bucks win 105-100

A rookie mistake by me to say the least, bet lost

once rookie, always rookie :p

$@M
11-06-2005, 05:09 AM
BG !!! :bowdown:

bad gambler
11-06-2005, 08:03 AM
Tennis

Paris Masters Final:

Ljubicic to win first set 6-3 - $5.00
Ljubicic to win first set 6-4 - $5.00

Stake: 3 units for each bet (total 6 units in play)

Source: Centrebet

$@M
11-06-2005, 06:19 PM
Berdych took the first set and went on to win the thrilling 5-setters... unbeleivable... Shame that Ljuby got broken so early in that first set... :sad:

Keep 'em winners coming, BG !!! :worship:

Horatio Caine
11-06-2005, 06:22 PM
Sorry about today BG - never thought Berdych would win through the first couple of rounds let alone the title!!

$@M
11-06-2005, 06:25 PM
Yeah... bearing in mind that Ljuby is always open ANY match very strong and usually take the first set... i was myself looking at Ljuby to win the first set, even at low odd...

Berdych, the Surprise of the year 2005 for me ~ :p (and maybe Gliles Muller also)

bad gambler
11-07-2005, 07:12 AM
I have deserved the bad run due to my poor NBA selection which has spark a bit of a slide

No more risky bets for me in this thread, just some S/U winners

bad gambler
11-08-2005, 10:17 AM
Tennis

Kim Clijsters to win WTA Tour Championships - $2.20

Stake: 7 units

Source: Bet365

$@M
11-08-2005, 01:00 PM
BG is back !!! :bowdown:

bad gambler
11-09-2005, 06:44 AM
kimmy what are you doing :help:

still not out of it, but now you can get better than $2.20 :mad:

$@M
11-09-2005, 06:51 AM
:hysteric:

Now she has to beat both Momo and Elena... :scared:

bad gambler
11-09-2005, 07:22 AM
NBL

UNDERS 200.5 Hawks v Sixers - $1.90

Stake: 3 units

Source: Centrebet

$@M
11-10-2005, 04:40 AM
Kiimy's odd went up to 3.10 at CTB... :help:

bad gambler
11-10-2005, 06:58 AM
Kimmy :shrug:

Will try and pull it back over the weekend

$@M
11-10-2005, 07:08 AM
Kimmy.... :sad:

$@M
11-10-2005, 08:00 AM
Why change the name of the thread, BG ?

3 losers in a row doesn't constitute to the new name...

I'm sure u'll bounce back will plenty more winners in this thread... :bowdown:

bad gambler
11-11-2005, 06:59 AM
WNBL

Canberra ML v Adelaide - $1.70

Stake: 5 units

Source: Centrebet

bad gambler
11-11-2005, 09:37 PM
another 10 unit loss, I'm calling this thread a disaster and bow out gracefully...

NBA

76ers to cover -2 v Lakers - $1.90

Stake: 7 units

Source: Centrebet

aftermatch
11-12-2005, 12:27 AM
NBA

76ers to cover -2 v Lakers - $1.90

Stake: 7 units

Source: Centrebet

I'm with you :yeah: it is -2.5 point now

aftermatch
11-12-2005, 01:40 AM
1/4 time:
Lakers: 25
Sixers: 27

aftermatch
11-12-2005, 02:26 AM
1/2 time:
Lakers: 46
Sixers: 42

aftermatch
11-12-2005, 02:53 AM
3/4 time:
Lakers: 69
Sixers: 62

aftermatch
11-12-2005, 02:54 AM
sixers :shrug:

$@M
11-12-2005, 03:15 AM
Sixers back in the lead with 5 min to go !!! 75-71 :yeah:

Alistair
11-12-2005, 03:25 AM
19-7 to Philly so far in this quarter!!

aftermatch
11-12-2005, 03:40 AM
Full Time:
Lakers: 81
Sixers: 85

:worship:

bad gambler
11-12-2005, 05:15 AM
NBL

Kings to win by 10.5+ v Breakers - $1.60

Stake: 6 units

Source: Centrebet

bad gambler
11-12-2005, 08:09 AM
NBL

Parlay:

Hawks ML x Tigers ML x Bullets ML - $3.33

Stake: 5 units

Source: Centrebet

L James
11-12-2005, 10:43 AM
Nice call on the Kings :yeah:

Not so sure about the Bullets pick though :mad:

bad gambler
11-12-2005, 12:15 PM
Rugby Union

Australia to beat England - $2.50

Stake: 5 units

Source: bet365

its.like.that
11-12-2005, 12:21 PM
Nice call on the Kings :yeah:

Not so sure about the Bullets pick though :mad:

shut up lebron, wildcats suck :ras:.

bad gambler
11-12-2005, 12:24 PM
Rugby League

NZ to beat Great Britain - $2.20

Stake: 5 units

Source: bet365

bad gambler
11-12-2005, 12:25 PM
Rugby League

Australia to cover -26 v France - $1.80

Stake: 5 units

Source: bet365

bad gambler
11-12-2005, 12:26 PM
Rugby Union

France to cover -45 v Canada - $1.80

Stake: 6 units

Soruce: bet365

adee-gee
11-12-2005, 02:28 PM
Rugby League

NZ to beat Great Britain - $2.20

Stake: 5 units

Source: bet365
http://yelims4.free.fr/Pasdaccord/NonNon03.gif

its.like.that
11-12-2005, 04:27 PM
http://yelims4.free.fr/Pasdaccord/NonNon03.gif

http://www.clicksmilies.com/s0105/spezial/Fool/crazy.gif

adee-gee
11-12-2005, 04:28 PM
http://www.clicksmilies.com/s0105/spezial/Fool/crazy.gif
We'll win. Don't worry, NZ will still make the final but they're going down tonight.

$@M
11-12-2005, 04:32 PM
We'll win. Don't worry, NZ will still make the final but they're going down tonight.

:cuckoo: ... :smash:

we'll see... ;)

adee-gee
11-12-2005, 04:34 PM
:cuckoo: ... :smash:

we'll see... ;)
Adeegee guarantee. GB to win :ras:

its.like.that
11-12-2005, 04:35 PM
We'll win. Don't worry, NZ will still make the final but they're going down tonight.

http://www.clicksmilies.com/s0105/spezial/Fool/crazy.gif

adee-gee
11-12-2005, 04:39 PM
http://www.clicksmilies.com/s0105/spezial/Fool/crazy.gif
Find some new smilies bro. By the way, did you see Tennis Fool had a go at the pair of us :haha:

bad gambler
11-12-2005, 10:03 PM
man what a bad morning....

NBA

UNDERS 190.5 Hawks v Grizzlies - $1.90

Stake: 7 units

Source: Centrebet

bad gambler
11-13-2005, 03:11 AM
NCAAF

Oregon to cover -3 v Washington State - $1.92

Stake: 5 units

Source: Centrebet

SadrieL
11-13-2005, 04:57 AM
I'm on Oregon -3 too and they just gave up a TD in the dying seconds of 2nd quarter :( Losing 14-10

its.like.that
11-13-2005, 05:17 AM
Find some new smilies bro. By the way, did you see Tennis Fool had a go at the pair of us :haha:

lol... yer, but I don't really consider myself popular, I don't know why he/she does.

:shrug:

bad gambler
11-13-2005, 06:03 AM
I'm on Oregon -3 too and they just gave up a TD in the dying seconds of 2nd quarter :( Losing 14-10


Oregon up 31-21 now, Was State falling apart, have made 3 consecutive turnovers.

Was state got nothing to play given they can't make the bowl so hopefully they just just give it in and let Oregon run away with it now. I also took Hawaii ATS so hopefully pick myself a nice little double heading into tonight

bad gambler
11-13-2005, 06:08 AM
WNBL

Canberra Capitals to cover -18 v Perth Lynx - $1.90

Stake: 5 units

Soruce: Centrebet

SadrieL
11-13-2005, 06:27 AM
Ducks 31 - 28 Cougars :( Ducks with 2 red zone TOs now, not good

$@M
11-13-2005, 11:47 AM
WNBL - FT : Canberra 75-72 Perth

Tough loss, BG. They're certainly the better team but i guess the tireness from the Adelaide game took it's toll tonight... I hope you can bounce back with some more winners... :)

adee-gee
11-13-2005, 04:27 PM
:cuckoo: ... :smash:

we'll see... ;)
:ras: what a performance by our lads.

its.like.that
11-13-2005, 04:43 PM
:ras: what a performance by our lads.

England is shite at league, everyone knows that.

1 win means nothing.

adee-gee
11-13-2005, 04:48 PM
England is shite at league, everyone knows that.

1 win means nothing.
Excuse me, do not refer to us as England :fiery:

bad gambler
11-18-2005, 03:57 AM
Going to see if I can get this thread going again with back to back max plays, both very confident as well.

$@M
11-18-2005, 04:01 AM
BG is BACK !!! :bounce:

bad gambler
11-18-2005, 04:03 AM
WNBL

Dandenong Rangers to cover -37.5 v AIS - $1.90

Stake: 10 units

Source: Centrebet

AIS have had a torrid season thus far, they are a team literally comprising of students on scholarships getting government support for them to train and study at the same time. Tonight they are up against the best team in the competition at their home court as well, basically this will be an annihilation. I have analysed their results as follows this season:



Round Team Location Margin Lost
1 Canberra Away 44
2 Perth Home 7
2 Perth Home 34
3 Bulleen Home 48
4 BYE - -
5 Adelaide Home 52
6 Dandenong Home 37
7 Townsville Home 50



I have highlighted the last time they met in RED for a reason as I want to point out what I believe is a flaw by the bookies - its obvious they have set the current line based on the 37 point loss last time the two teams met. BUT what has not been factored into the line is:
- Dandenong came off a very tight and close loss to Canberra the night before and as a result, to start the game the coach actually rested ALL their starters against AIS.
- The game was played in Canberra, tonight the game is played in Dandenong.

My prediction is a Dandenong win by 50 points +

bad gambler
11-18-2005, 04:12 AM
WNBL

Bulleen Boombers to cover -37.5 v AIS - $1.90

Stake: 10 units

Source: Centrebet

Reasoning as above. Refer to last time they met in GREEN with the same principle of backing them as the one used for the Rangers game.

Note: This game is being played tomorrow, 19/11/05

bad gambler
11-18-2005, 04:14 AM
WNBL

Parlay:

Dandenong -37.5 x Bulleeen -37.5 = $3.61

Stake: 7 units

Source: Centrebet

bad gambler
11-18-2005, 04:18 AM
The line in Centrebet has now moved to -38.5 thanks to a mysterious backer, what a prick. :cool:

bad gambler
11-18-2005, 04:22 AM
Oh and if I lose any of the above picks, I close this thread immediately.

sparkus8
11-18-2005, 05:07 AM
Make that -39 ya bastard :p

Im just getting on the Boomers, same spread but will be playing a young, tired team that will more than likely coming off a hammering. To me that is all the ingredients needed for an absolute whitewash.

Cheers,

Sparks

bad gambler
11-18-2005, 05:24 AM
Smart move spark - I can assure you that won't be the line come tip off time tomorrow night after tonight's result and also they will take it off the board just before tonight's match so basically you got to get on it today

Weird how the rangers line has moved so much in the space of 1hr yet the boomers one has remained the same :scratch:

sparkus8
11-18-2005, 06:04 AM
It is weird. You would think that if you are having a dig at the first one surely you would be just as confident in the second one.

Here's hoping they both cash easily :)

$@M
11-18-2005, 06:54 AM
Centrebet won't allow me to parlay the two matches... they said there's a dependency factor between the two... wtf ? :mad:

bad gambler
11-18-2005, 08:06 AM
Centrebet won't allow me to parlay the two matches... they said there's a dependency factor between the two... wtf ? :mad:

:confused:

two separate games, not sure where the dependency factor is

I placed the bet without any problems :shrug:

$@M
11-18-2005, 09:40 AM
I've called them up right after i posted it... and the lady told me the book just won't allow it... so they put it there ! :mad:

$@M
11-18-2005, 09:40 AM
Any news on how the Danedong are doing right now?

bad gambler
11-18-2005, 09:58 AM
FT

Rangers win 94-57

Winning margin of 37 means I lose by half a point :shrug:

This thread dies tonight

sparkus8
11-18-2005, 10:19 AM
Mate that is dead unlucky.

Here's hoping Bulleen make up for it tomorrow.

$@M
11-18-2005, 10:23 AM
BG... :hysteric:

bad gambler
11-18-2005, 10:27 AM
sorry for those who tailed - shit happens i guess, just harder to swallow given the massive spread

tomorrow boomers are an absolute lock, AIS are amateurs at best and back to back scenario will kill them. Same thing happened against Perth this year, lost by 7 points first night, next night they lost by 34 to the same team.

sparkus8
11-18-2005, 10:43 AM
Totally agree mate. From the looks of it the AIS were already tiring in the fourth quarter tonight getting outscored 34-10. Does not bode well for them tomorrow night. It will be interesting to see how far Centrebet move the line now.