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Big W's Seed Report

Tennis Fool
06-17-2005, 02:35 AM
Wimbledon men's seed report
Roddick primed for a deep run, where Roger awaits
Posted: Thursday June 16, 2005 12:31PM; Updated: Thursday June 16, 2005 12:41PM


Sports Illustrated senior writer Jon Wertheim offers his insight as to how the men's and women's seeds will fare at Wimbledon. Read on for the top first-round matchups, dark horses to keep an eye on and his predicted winners.

Top 16 seeds
1. Roger Federer. Even if he didn't have a chip on his shoulder after Paris, the two-time defending champ has to be considered the overwhelming favorite. Most underrated statistic in sports: Federer has won the last 20 finals in which he's played.

2. Andy Roddick. He could upgrade his unremarkable year with a (sorely needed) strong performance on grass. He's looked sharp in tune-ups and -- despite his choppy net play -- this might be the ideal surface for his lock-and-load game and underrated athleticism. He can't be happy about an early matchup against Ivo Karlovic, but he still has a good shot at another final.

3. Lleyton Hewitt. Pops Hewitt probably got a raw deal from the seeding committee, but they made it up to him with a generally congenial draw. A possible second-rounder against James Blake is intriguing, as always.

4. Rafael Nadal. The inevitable letdown after the clay-court tear won't be as dramatic as many think. Nadal still is a long way from feeling comfortable on grass, but the guess here is that he wins three matches.

5. Marat Safin. As he has made abundantly clear, grass is not his preferred surface. Plus he's playing on an iffy knee, and he got no help from a draw that pits him first against Paradorn Srichaphan and then against the Mark Philippoussis-Karol Beck winner. Of course, given his history of inexplicable results, this all could mean that Safin will go on to win the tournament.

6. Tim Henman. One of those players who quietly could sneak through the draw without garnering much attention. As always, the Brit native will not only have to compete with the likes of Sebastien Grosjean and Roddick in his quadrant, but also with national hysteria.

7. Guillermo "Willie" Canas. Tennis' Ben Wallace -- perhaps the game's best defensive player -- is not a threat on the greensward.

8. Nikolay Davydenko. Interesting prospect: Though his track record on grass is unremarkable, his efficient, minimalist game would seem to fit the surface.

9. Sebastien Grosjean. A semifinalist two years running, he got a huge bump from the subjective seeding (he's ranked No. 26). Potential tough first-rounder against left-handed countryman Mike Llodra.

10. Mario Ancic. Inasmuch as a former semifinalist and No. 10 seed can be a dark horse, Ancic is your man. Baby Goran (or Baby Pau Gasol, as the case may be) has a big serve and wham-bam game ideal for grass. If the serve is working, the semifinals are a real possibility.

11. Joachim Johansson. In theory, the hard-serving Swede is real contender. But questions about his health linger. He's in Federer's quadrant and, should the two play on Johansson's birthday, we know the recent history.

12. Thomas Johansson. It's surprising this deceptively powerful Swede doesn't have a stronger track record at Wimbledon. He's playing in a wide-open quadrant, so look for a strong showing from 2002 Aussie Open champ.

13. Tommy Robredo. Grass doesn't afford him the time he requires to hit his big forehand. He can't complain about his draw, but don't be surprised if he goes down early -- say to Florian Mayer in Round 2.

14. Radek Stepanek. A powerful player with nice hands around the net. One to watch for sure.

15. Guillermo Coria. He'll be lucky to win against Tom Behrend. But unlike other clay-court impresarios Carlos Moya, Gaston Gaudio, Albert Costa and Juan Ignacio Chela, credit him for showing up.

16. Mariano Puerta. He's never won a grass-court match. Enough said.






Seeds 17-32
18. David Nalbandian. El Mullet has been sluggish all year, but he was a Wimbledon finalist in '02.

20. Ivan Ljubicic. He cooled off after torrid start to '05, but he's a player to watch now that there's a fast court underfoot.

22. Taylor Dent. This his best chance for a deep Slam run.

28. Jiri Novak. He's past his prime, but he sure has a sweet draw.

Dark-horse nation


Ivo Karlovic. If he can serve Roddick off the court in Round 2, look out.

Max Mirnyi. Generally a horrible Grand Slam singles player. But on the serve alone, he ought to win a few rounds.

Alexander Popp. A wise man once said, "Never pick against an onomatopoeia."

Karol Beck/Mark Philippoussis. The winner of this first-round matchup could go far.

Paradorn Srichaphan. In the throes of a miserable year but usually plays well on grass.

Phil Kohlscreiber. Yet another German with grass-court aptitude.

Olivier Rochus. As always.

First-round matchups to watch
Beck vs. Philippoussis. Lousy draw for both.

Safin vs. Srichaphan. At another time, on another surface, this could have been a final.

Vince Spadeavs. Nadal. Eccentric American could give French Open champ a workout.

Nicolas Massuvs.Sarge Sargsian. Best '04 U.S. Open match redux.

Henman vs.Jarko Nieminen. "Their Tim" can't be happy about facing a lefty veteran off the bat.

Doubles Winner
BobandMike Bryan

Semifinals
Thomas Johansson vs. Roddick

Federer vs. Ancic

Finals
Federer vs. Roddick

Winner

JuanRodriguez
06-17-2005, 08:16 AM
I don't get it... He totally forgot Xavier Malisse as one of the dark horses. Xavier is playing really well at the moment, nearly finishing Hewitt at Queens. His game suits very good on grass, remember his semi-final in 2002. Previous year he was crushing Mario Ancic in the first set of the fourth round at Wimbledon, untill he got hurt and eventually had to retire. After this match Ancic beat Henman in the quarters and played the semi-final against Roddick.

What's more... Xavier has got a good draw:
R1: Jonathan Marray (WC)
R2: Coria/Behrend
R3: Ljubicic/Melzer/Calatrava/qualifier
R4: possible match against Roddick

I really believe he can make it to the fourth round and than he finally has to disprove being the bagel-boy of Andy Roddick. (which he is now: 8-0 in favour of Andy :o )

Yoel and co.
06-17-2005, 09:36 AM
6. Tim Henman. One of those players who quietly could sneak through the draw without garnering much attention.


Not much attention ?? Hellllo, remind me where does this grand slam take place? :confused:

Tennis Fool
06-17-2005, 08:30 PM
Not much attention ?? Hellllo, remind me where does this grand slam take place? :confused:
:lol:

BTW, Yoel, why did you have to resign with MTF?

Socket
06-17-2005, 08:33 PM
Not much attention ?? Hellllo, remind me where does this grand slam take place? :confused:
Wertheim must have meant "attention from ESPN." :) :)

Clara Bow
06-17-2005, 08:41 PM
Not much attention ?? Hellllo, remind me where does this grand slam take place?

He was being sarcastic there. In the next sentance he says Tim will have to deal with "national hysteria."

I am rather surprised at the lack of a mention about Gasquet.

alfonsojose
06-17-2005, 08:45 PM
Radek powerful :scratch: i mean, he's not a big hitter

vincayou
06-17-2005, 08:48 PM
He was being sarcastic there. In the next sentance he says Tim will have to deal with "national hysteria."

I am rather surprised at the lack of a mention about Gasquet.

probably because Wertheim thinks that Richie is a clay court specialist.

GermanBoy
06-17-2005, 08:49 PM
(4) Nadal and (9) Grosjean, these seeds are absolutely ridiculous... :rolleyes: I know Grosjean is a good grass player but... :o Has Nadal ever won a single point on grass? The result of this dumb seeding is a (3) Hewitt - (5) Safin and a (6) Henman - (2) Roddick encounter in the 1/4 final... :mad:

vincayou
06-17-2005, 08:52 PM
Nadal will reach 3rd round minimum.

Chloe le Bopper
06-17-2005, 08:53 PM
Only if the other guys are confounded by his lefty style. That's the only reason he beats anybody. Well, that and luck, but one has to think his luck ran out with RG.

vincayou
06-17-2005, 08:56 PM
I hope that you noticed that I said minimum and not maximum.

Yoel and co.
06-17-2005, 09:02 PM
:lol:

BTW, Yoel, why did you have to resign with MTF?

I didn't have to resign - why do you think I did?

GermanBoy
06-17-2005, 09:04 PM
Vincent Spadea will kick his ass... :devil:

Chloe le Bopper
06-17-2005, 09:07 PM
I'm still waiting for him to lose at RG like you promised.

Remember that? When he won a grandslam?

I bet you have a poster of it on your wall :hearts:

*julie*
06-17-2005, 09:21 PM
I am rather surprised at the lack of a mention about Gasquet.

My thoughts exactly :rolleyes:
But he mentionned his first round opponent as a dark horse:
Phil Kohlscreiber. Yet another German with grass-court aptitude

Chloe le Bopper
06-17-2005, 09:22 PM
How odd that when it finally comes time that not mentioning Gasquet is absurd, that some people are actually failing to do so :confused:

*julie*
06-17-2005, 09:28 PM
I didn't really understand your post Chloe :confused: sorry.
I am not disappointed but just surprised cos he has good results on grass in England at the moment. ;)

Chloe le Bopper
06-17-2005, 09:30 PM
I meant that in the past when Gasquet had done fuck all, he was getting mentioned left, right and centre. So now that he's posting amazing results, it's hilarious that Wertheim failed to mention him.

*julie*
06-17-2005, 09:32 PM
Ok Thanks. That's clear now. ;)

Clara Bow
06-17-2005, 09:47 PM
Has Nadal ever won a single point on grass?

I think he had to win some points when he came to Wimbledon and reached the third round, becoming the youngest since Becker to do so. Of course, he beat the big clay courter Mario Ancic that year so those wins don't count. ;)

I'm still waiting for him to lose at RG like you promised.

Remember that? When he won a grandslam?

I bet you have a poster of it on your wall

:lol: Becca- you always crack me up.

Chloe le Bopper
06-17-2005, 10:04 PM
I bet when the eventual loss at RG happens next year or the year after that, or whenever it may happen, that Germboy will be there to tell us "See! I told you he'd lose! I told you! Just as I predicted!"

Then somebody else will win RG and it will all of a sudden "count" again. Well, unless perhaps Coria wins. Then it will still not "count".

Deboogle!.
06-17-2005, 10:05 PM
I meant that in the past when Gasquet had done fuck all, he was getting mentioned left, right and centre. So now that he's posting amazing results, it's hilarious that Wertheim failed to mention him.It's Wertheim, Rebecca. Need we say anything else? :p

GermanBoy
06-18-2005, 01:06 AM
I bet when the eventual loss at RG happens next year or the year after that, or whenever it may happen, that Germboy will be there to tell us "See! I told you he'd lose! I told you! Just as I predicted!"

Then somebody else will win RG and it will all of a sudden "count" again. Well, unless perhaps Coria wins. Then it will still not "count".


Chloe, Chloe, Chloe, you must have much time if you can think about what I may think. I am not surprised. You sound like a boring person. BTW, don`t think about what I may think, you should put your attention to writing the names right. My name is GermanBoy, okay, G E R M A N B O Y ...

Chloe le Bopper
06-18-2005, 01:11 AM
Germboy. Got it!

GermanBoy
06-18-2005, 01:17 AM
Germboy. Got it!

Cheap revenge! :rolleyes:

Fedex
06-18-2005, 02:21 PM
Only if the other guys are confounded by his lefty style. That's the only reason he beats anybody. Well, that and luck, but one has to think his luck ran out with RG.
:lol: :rolls: Rebecca!

Chloe le Bopper
06-18-2005, 10:09 PM
Cheap revenge! :rolleyes:
Look, it was a dumb joke but it's still painful that you didn't seem to get it.

azza
06-18-2005, 10:25 PM
Since when is Jarkko a Vetran :tape:

DanEd
06-18-2005, 10:39 PM
:shrug: He is only 23.
Since when is Jarkko a Vetran :tape:

ugotlobbed
06-18-2005, 10:54 PM
tojo in semi's hahahahahahahahah

Daniel
06-19-2005, 12:17 AM
Roger :D