Mario Ancic will beat Roger Federer...take it to the bank! [Archive] -

Mario Ancic will beat Roger Federer...take it to the bank!

02-19-2005, 09:52 AM
I am committing the criminal sin of tennis betting against Roger Federer but you have to face the reality that Roger can't win them all. The reason I like Ancic in this match is because Roger has lost indoors on hardcourt quite a few times in his career and he has been faltering more than usual the last two weeks. He struggled somewhat in Round 1 against Ulihrach, broke only once in Round 2 against Wawrinka and had his hands full in the quarters versus Davydenko. Ancic is reaching the top of his game these days and he has always been a threat to win these indoors. He is 3-0 in Tiebreakers this week and that should be important since I see this hitting TB's each set. Ancic knocked out Henman in impressive fashion in the Quarters and the odds are shockingly doggish for him. He is 1-0 lifetime versus Feds and this is definitely an upset worth some money.


02-19-2005, 10:00 AM
odds are +750

El Legenda
02-19-2005, 10:01 AM
dont see it happening

02-19-2005, 10:03 AM
nobody does, but Roger is not at his best this tournament. Ancic shocks the world and sends Roger packing in this one.

02-19-2005, 11:27 AM
nobody does, but Roger is not at his best this tournament. Ancic shocks the world and sends Roger packing in this one.

I don't know whether it has escaped your notice, but Roger hardly ever is at his best during the early rounds of any tournament. He always has a hard time with Davydenko. He broke Wawrinka three times, btw, and iirc hasn't lost his serve yet.

I'm not saying Ancic can't beat him - he already did in the only pro match they've played - but I wouldn't decide to bet against Fed purely on the form you've "seen" this week.

02-19-2005, 11:56 AM
:haha: :haha: :haha:

Really like Mario but
it isn't gonna! :yeah:

bad gambler
02-19-2005, 12:20 PM
this is hardly something you would be taking to the bank.......good luck to ya brah

02-19-2005, 02:50 PM
did you bet vs. Rogi at the AO05 SF? just wondering...

02-19-2005, 03:00 PM
To bet against Roger is not without risk.
Ancic beat Federer in 2002 but this unique head-tohead is not really representative.
Mario has a game that pleases has roger.
I think that the Swiss is going to win without too many difficulties.

02-19-2005, 03:00 PM
i agree with you bro if someone can beat fed in this tournament its ancic..... but the fact that he has lost ( give away? ) the match vs Stakhovsky in Italy ..... :-/ there is no bet for me

02-19-2005, 04:11 PM
Ancic has 20% chance of beating Federer!

02-19-2005, 04:33 PM
My bank is closed today. :)

Horatio Caine
02-19-2005, 04:39 PM
I think Mario has a 40% of chance of winning. Fed is not playing that well and Mario could serve himself out of trouble. BUT, if Tim could break Mario's serve 3 times in 2 sets, I'm sure Fed could set himself up for more breaks than that.

It will be tough but I wouldn't be too surprised if there is an all-croat final.

Incidentally, when was the last time, if ever, there was an all-Croat ATP final? Sjengster?

02-19-2005, 04:50 PM
Goran Ivanisevic vs Goran Prpic, when the hell was that.

02-19-2005, 05:09 PM
Theres no way roger loses this match..fed will put too much pressure on ancic's serve and mario will crumble

02-19-2005, 05:16 PM
Mario is much tougher than you give him credit for coolbeans...surprisingly it's Federer that might crumble. All I'm saying is that the odds are much too high on Federer for a semi-final. Ancic is money!

Tennis Picks -

02-19-2005, 05:16 PM
make upset!!

02-19-2005, 05:17 PM
you got it, GO MARIO!

02-19-2005, 07:08 PM
Yay Federer WON!!!!

02-19-2005, 07:32 PM
it was sure worth a punt...good match

02-19-2005, 07:35 PM
once roger gets that break he saves his energy to hold his serve. thats confidence.....according to the commentators

02-19-2005, 09:45 PM
I wouldn't want to be handling your investment portfolio right now...

bad gambler
02-19-2005, 10:56 PM
it was sure worth a punt...good match

LOL how was it worth a punt? You lost mate

Ljubcic v ToJo was the play - $2.20 for the croat was the play

02-20-2005, 11:38 AM
Looks like people never learn. Do not misjudge Roger on early rounds. When reaching semifinals it´s another story and he plays his best. So little chance for others.

02-20-2005, 11:41 AM
Anyone know the live stream site for the final? I couldn't find it at the main site.

bad gambler
02-20-2005, 11:41 AM
it should be posted on the official website soon if not already there

02-20-2005, 11:46 AM
Thanks..I couldn't find it.......Will look again.

Action Jackson
02-20-2005, 11:57 AM
Carlos Moya beating Fernando Vicente is a sure bet.

Not betting against Federer in this match and it wasn't worth the risk was it Mistaflava.

Mrs. B
02-20-2005, 03:49 PM
I wouldn't want to be handling your investment portfolio right now...


Tommy, 'The Tit'
02-20-2005, 04:27 PM
eah real emotional