tennis_analyst

03-19-2012, 10:05 PM

Hi all

Who has the best rallying ability on each surface? Here is the table that shows percentage of points won in a rally by each player. This is estimated as the average between points won on 2nd serve and points won returning second serve (published by ATP). I think it's fair since second serves are mostly rally-starters.

These are career statistics since 1991 but:

- only years where the player had 20 or more matches are considered

- 3 or more of such years are required for the player to be considered for this analysis

(to get rid of random outliers)

This table was edited from its previous version following comments by LisaKoh . Before, I took simple average across all years the player was active in, so years with few matches counted as much as years with a lot of matches. This, for example, skewed Nadal's stats on HARD considerably. Now I take weighted average so that each match (and not each year) counts equally.

______________________ALL_________________________ ________HARD

Rafael Nadal__________56.3%__________Rafael Nadal__________55.9%

Andre Agassi__________55.1%__________Andre Agassi__________55.6%

Thomas Muster_________54.5%__________Roger Federer_________54.4%

Roger Federer_________54.2%__________Michael Chang_________54.3%

Juan Carlos Ferrero___54.0%__________Lleyton Hewitt________54.1%

Michael Chang_________54.0%__________Jim Courier___________53.9%

Lleyton Hewitt________53.6%__________Juan Carlos Ferrero___53.7%

David Nalbandian______53.5%__________David Nalbandian______53.5%

Novak Djokovic________53.4%__________Novak Djokovic________53.5%

Andy Murray___________53.3%__________Marcelo Rios__________53.5%

Marcelo Rios__________53.2%__________Andy Murray___________53.5%

David Ferrer__________53.1%__________David Ferrer__________53.4%

Alberto Berasategui___53.1%__________Olivier Rochus________53.3%

Jim Courier___________53.0%__________Andy Roddick__________53.3%

Nikolay Davydenko_____53.0%__________Stefan Edberg_________53.3%

Andy Roddick__________52.9%__________Vincent Spadea________53.3%

Juan Martin Del Potro_52.7%__________Robby Ginepri_________53.2%

Byron Black___________52.7%__________Patrick McEnroe_______53.2%

Felix Mantilla________52.7%__________Ivan Lendl____________53.2%

Patrick McEnroe_______52.6%__________Thomas Muster_________53.1%

______________________CLAY________________________ ________GRASS

Rafael Nadal__________57.3%__________Rafael Nadal__________56.2%

Thomas Muster_________55.8%__________Roger Federer_________55.6%

Juan Carlos Ferrero___54.2%__________Lleyton Hewitt________55.2%

Sergi Bruguera________54.2%__________Andre Agassi__________55.2%

Alberto Berasategui___54.1%__________David Ferrer__________54.6%

Felix Mantilla________53.7%__________Brett Steven__________54.5%

David Nalbandian______53.5%__________Stefan Edberg_________54.5%

David Ferrer__________53.4%__________Javier Frana__________54.1%

Andy Roddick__________53.2%__________Byron Black___________54.0%

Novak Djokovic________53.2%__________Francisco Clavet______53.8%

Guillermo Coria_______53.2%__________Richard Gasquet_______53.8%

Carlos Costa__________53.2%__________Juan Carlos Ferrero___53.7%

Roger Federer_________53.1%__________Michael Stich_________53.6%

Juan Monaco___________53.1%__________Janko Tipsarevic______53.4%

Albert Costa__________53.0%__________Juan Martin Del Potro_53.3%

Nikolay Davydenko_____53.0%__________Marcelo Rios__________53.3%

Andre Agassi__________53.0%__________Wally Masur___________53.2%

Marcelo Rios__________52.8%__________Patrick Rafter________53.2%

Tommy Robredo_________52.8%__________Olivier Rochus________53.1%

Juan Martin Del Potro_52.8%__________Pete Sampras__________53.1%

Who has the best rallying ability on each surface? Here is the table that shows percentage of points won in a rally by each player. This is estimated as the average between points won on 2nd serve and points won returning second serve (published by ATP). I think it's fair since second serves are mostly rally-starters.

These are career statistics since 1991 but:

- only years where the player had 20 or more matches are considered

- 3 or more of such years are required for the player to be considered for this analysis

(to get rid of random outliers)

This table was edited from its previous version following comments by LisaKoh . Before, I took simple average across all years the player was active in, so years with few matches counted as much as years with a lot of matches. This, for example, skewed Nadal's stats on HARD considerably. Now I take weighted average so that each match (and not each year) counts equally.

______________________ALL_________________________ ________HARD

Rafael Nadal__________56.3%__________Rafael Nadal__________55.9%

Andre Agassi__________55.1%__________Andre Agassi__________55.6%

Thomas Muster_________54.5%__________Roger Federer_________54.4%

Roger Federer_________54.2%__________Michael Chang_________54.3%

Juan Carlos Ferrero___54.0%__________Lleyton Hewitt________54.1%

Michael Chang_________54.0%__________Jim Courier___________53.9%

Lleyton Hewitt________53.6%__________Juan Carlos Ferrero___53.7%

David Nalbandian______53.5%__________David Nalbandian______53.5%

Novak Djokovic________53.4%__________Novak Djokovic________53.5%

Andy Murray___________53.3%__________Marcelo Rios__________53.5%

Marcelo Rios__________53.2%__________Andy Murray___________53.5%

David Ferrer__________53.1%__________David Ferrer__________53.4%

Alberto Berasategui___53.1%__________Olivier Rochus________53.3%

Jim Courier___________53.0%__________Andy Roddick__________53.3%

Nikolay Davydenko_____53.0%__________Stefan Edberg_________53.3%

Andy Roddick__________52.9%__________Vincent Spadea________53.3%

Juan Martin Del Potro_52.7%__________Robby Ginepri_________53.2%

Byron Black___________52.7%__________Patrick McEnroe_______53.2%

Felix Mantilla________52.7%__________Ivan Lendl____________53.2%

Patrick McEnroe_______52.6%__________Thomas Muster_________53.1%

______________________CLAY________________________ ________GRASS

Rafael Nadal__________57.3%__________Rafael Nadal__________56.2%

Thomas Muster_________55.8%__________Roger Federer_________55.6%

Juan Carlos Ferrero___54.2%__________Lleyton Hewitt________55.2%

Sergi Bruguera________54.2%__________Andre Agassi__________55.2%

Alberto Berasategui___54.1%__________David Ferrer__________54.6%

Felix Mantilla________53.7%__________Brett Steven__________54.5%

David Nalbandian______53.5%__________Stefan Edberg_________54.5%

David Ferrer__________53.4%__________Javier Frana__________54.1%

Andy Roddick__________53.2%__________Byron Black___________54.0%

Novak Djokovic________53.2%__________Francisco Clavet______53.8%

Guillermo Coria_______53.2%__________Richard Gasquet_______53.8%

Carlos Costa__________53.2%__________Juan Carlos Ferrero___53.7%

Roger Federer_________53.1%__________Michael Stich_________53.6%

Juan Monaco___________53.1%__________Janko Tipsarevic______53.4%

Albert Costa__________53.0%__________Juan Martin Del Potro_53.3%

Nikolay Davydenko_____53.0%__________Marcelo Rios__________53.3%

Andre Agassi__________53.0%__________Wally Masur___________53.2%

Marcelo Rios__________52.8%__________Patrick Rafter________53.2%

Tommy Robredo_________52.8%__________Olivier Rochus________53.1%

Juan Martin Del Potro_52.8%__________Pete Sampras__________53.1%