View Full Version : Saturday 26 March - Miami
Ale10 03-26-2005, 01:23 AM There isn't bad odds for some favs. Andre, PimPim, Chela and Coria are all 'must wins' for about 1.2
And there are other interesting matches too. Kiwi, Haas, Lapentti have good chances.
MrOschie 03-26-2005, 03:22 AM ancic for 1,73 and lopez for 1,77 looks good
flmmkrz 03-26-2005, 03:52 AM mello holds a 4-0 lifetime against ancic, with the great slow court equalizer slowing ancics serve down this one looks like a mello win to me.
I never consider chela a must win, coria and pim pim should be locks, but at 1.2 I usually dont bother but I got today to make up for so I may parlay the 2 them.
I like minar over henman as my upset pick of the day. Might throw a little bit on flip too, but that bastards burned me more times than I care to count. I need to take a closer look to be sure what i'll take on tho.
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 04:03 AM flip is injured mate - he has no chance againt gonzo
MrOschie 03-26-2005, 04:04 AM flip is injured mate - he has no chance againt gonzo
good to know :bounce:
tennisman. 03-26-2005, 04:05 AM Gonzalez and Federer pays 1.54
Pound it BIG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
MalmöKrampan 03-26-2005, 04:06 AM ancic for 1,73 and lopez for 1,77 looks good
Ancic is unpredictable...although he should win. Lopez @ 1.77 looks very nice!!
Is the Flip ankle issue quite real for sure?
Clement has a bit of a shot against Lopez imo, ala Santoro.
MalmöKrampan 03-26-2005, 04:07 AM Gonzalez and Federer pays 1.54
Pound it BIG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
My bookie has 1.05 on Federer. Bastards!
It's a valuebet though... :)
NATAS81 03-26-2005, 04:12 AM Is the Flip ankle issue quite real for sure?
Looked bad on getty. No word officially.
flmmkrz 03-26-2005, 04:16 AM good to know, he held a 2-0 lifetime was encouraging enough to take a look at but i'll lay off that one then.
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 04:18 AM it has been in the news over here that flip is doubtful to play tomorrow
so i say at the mimimum pound gonzo - worst you can do is get a refund
Prolly Gonzo single. And Coria/Joachim parlay.
fisherking 03-26-2005, 04:25 AM Zaba and Clement - the best
Lapentti - good
Mello?
Mello isn't bad. The only thing is that his demolishing of Ventura doesn't mean much, since Ventura was hurt badly.
Or hell, probably worth adding Gonzo into the Coria/Pim Pim parlay.
Ale10 03-26-2005, 04:30 AM Or hell, probably worth adding Gonzo into the Coria/Pim Pim parlay.
It has a good odds. (2.05)
Ale10 03-26-2005, 04:30 AM Kiefer over Mayer?
Gaudio over Phau?
Is the Flip ankle issue quite real for sure?
from
http://www.bookiebusters.net/discus/messages/9645/16670.html?1111805477
"beware if you are intending to back Philippoussis tomorrow.Philippoussis took a nasty tumble and required treatment from a trainer but still beat Christophe Rochus 6-4, 6-2. He left the complex on crutches but hoped to be able to play his next match Saturday, an ATP Tour spokesman said."
from
http://www.bookiebusters.net/discus/messages/9645/16670.html?1111805477
"beware if you are intending to back Philippoussis tomorrow.Philippoussis took a nasty tumble and required treatment from a trainer but still beat Christophe Rochus 6-4, 6-2. He left the complex on crutches but hoped to be able to play his next match Saturday, an ATP Tour spokesman said."
Thank you, friend.
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 04:35 AM my early lean is as follows:
parlaying the following:
kiefer/dent/srichaphan - $2.70 I would also add gonzo but it is off the board for me
will check back later for singles plays
I really like Dent over Hanescu as a single, but Dent can be two-faced.
RickDaStick 03-26-2005, 04:36 AM Where do you guys do your betting at?
Might do:
Coria/Pim/Gonzalez parlay
Kiefer single (he is playing well, and Mayer has been crap)
Dent single (he is apparently over his food poisoning, and Hanescu truly is not that good)
Ale10 03-26-2005, 04:42 AM Gonzalez not looking sure for me...
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 04:42 AM I really like Dent over Hanescu as a single, but Dent can be two-faced.
not much value at $1.30 or so though - best to chuck it into a parlay to add some value
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 04:43 AM Where do you guys do your betting at?
my main ones are sportodds, centrebet, willhill and bet365 - latter two specifically for overseas sport betting
not much value at $1.30 or so though - best to chuck it into a parlay to add some value
Shit, it's at 1.30? Grr. I wasn't thinking earlier, no lines yet for me.
Gonzo should retire if he can't take out a non 100% Philippoussis.
Ale10 03-26-2005, 04:45 AM I think I will chose Kiefer into the Coria/PimPim parlay, not Gonzo.
jackieglover 03-26-2005, 04:51 AM Where do you guys do your betting at?
Pinnacle (Best lines, biggest online limits)
5dimes (good book with lots of selection, tennis parlays, but limits are kinda small)
WSEX (good for live betting, higher limit tennis parlays)
Hollywood107 (-107 on all lines, always keep a little in there as an option to find a cheaper line, decent moneylines as well)
WWTS (Not much anymore, but will deposit to take advantage of off entertainment lines occassionally like the Oscars this year)
DSI & CRIS (High limits, earliest lines, sometimes you can find an opinionated line, but the -110 lines blow, so don't use it much)
All are as reliable as they come for quick payouts and top notch customer service. I do the majority of my betting at Pinnacle (I have 3 accounts there when I was nuts and betting insane amounts :lol: )
Ale10 03-26-2005, 04:56 AM I will on:
1. Agassi x Coria x Kiefer x JoJo
2. A huge parlay with many events. (soccer and tennis)
I go home to my parents for Easter, so good (and lucky) days for everybody!
I will on:
1. Agassi x Coria x Kiefer x JoJo
2. A huge parlay with many events. (soccer and tennis)
I go home to my parents for Easter, so good (and lucky) days for everybody!
Have fun, cya.
NATAS81 03-26-2005, 05:05 AM Breakin out the Blue/Yellow tomorrow.
Just submitted:
Gonzo single
Gonzo
Coria
Joachim parlay
Mello small single
Lapentti small single
Minar small single
Fish small single
NATAS81 03-26-2005, 05:14 AM PDorn/Fed/Pim parlay
happy928 03-26-2005, 05:56 AM Play #1:
I really like Minar(+410) to beat Henman tomorrow....
Minar has beaten some top tier players this yr and took ROGI "The Tennis Master" to 3rd set TB in Dubai....
Henman goes down tomorrow....
Play #2:
Gonzo Over Flip...Hate to go against one of my favorite players, but money talks and BS walks....
Play #3:
Hanescu (+275) over Dent....They played on Grass last yr and Hanescu had MPs and couldn't put Dent away....Won 1st set...and lost 2 & 3rd set in a CLOSE TB....I Wasn't really impressed with how Hanescu destroyed Dupuis in his 1st match here, but It's a worth a shot to lay little money on Victor tomorrow....
jackieglover 03-26-2005, 08:33 AM Thought about PimPim, Coria, Chela, Agassi, Gonzo, Dent parlay @ $3.63, but Miami's been such a nightmare, I'm just going to pass and wait for basketball. Want to do singles on Mello, Lapentti, Zabaleta, and Clement maybe.
I choose only Kiefer from tennis in a parlay with England/France/Kiefer @2.05.
adeegee 03-26-2005, 11:18 AM I personally think its horrendous matches to bet on today. I'm desperate for a good day after yesterday's disaster. I'm almost tempted to go with no bets today, I'd suggest I'm about as likely to stick to that as me becoming Prime Minister of Britain. Just looking through the matches, I'll let you know what I find.
I've just offered Gaudio at 1.35, £500 on gamebookers. No-one's really been tempted though.
adeegee 03-26-2005, 11:29 AM Right......
1 major bet for the day, accumulater on Gonzo, Coria, Grosjean on Chela pays 3.5, gone big on that
Also offered Gaudio at 1.35 up to £500 and Henman at 1.25 up to £750, I like the idea of a big profit with only a small liability.
Also gone big on England to beat Northern Ireland with a -2 handicap, with a small cover on a draw with -2 handicap, there's no way they won't win by more than 1.
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 11:34 AM grosjean is playing like shit these days - i'd remove him from all bets until he gets his house in order....
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 11:36 AM on top of my earlier parlay playing the following single..
lopez to beat clement - $1.70
adeegee 03-26-2005, 11:37 AM grosjean is playing like shit these days - i'd remove him from all bets until he gets his house in order....
i know i took it into serious condition. but he bumped up the odds a whole lot. and this swayed me, seb's been very dominant on hard.
Grosjean leads Lapentti 6-1
2004 Miami AMS, Hard, R64
FL, U.S.A. Hard R64 Grosjean 6 3 6 4
2003 Australian Open, Hard, R32
Australia Hard R32 Grosjean 6 1 6 3 6 3
2001 Gstaad, Clay, R16
Switzerland Clay R16 Grosjean 4 6 6 4 7 6
2000 Stuttgart Indoor, Hard, R32
Germany Hard R32 Grosjean 6 1 6 0
2000 Indianapolis, Hard, R16
IN, U.S.A. Hard R16 Grosjean 7 6 6 2
1999 Lyon, Carpet, R16
France Carpet R16 Lapentti 6 4 4 6 1 6
1998 Monte Carlo, Clay, R64
Monaco Clay R64 Grosjean 6 2 6 4
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 11:38 AM mate i hope for your sake he wins, if anything i'd be leaning to nicos, but good luck ;)
adeegee 03-26-2005, 11:40 AM mate i hope for your sake he wins, if anything i'd be leaning to nicos, but good luck ;)
cheers mate, i was thinking about clement to beat lopez actually but i left it alone. i would've favoured lopez but after seeing his appalling performance against santoro who's got a pretty similar game to clement i changed my mind
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 11:42 AM yeah lopez was a small play for me - i just loaded up on my parlay and sit tight with that for tomorrow
this tournament has been too unpredictable thus far for my liking
adeegee 03-26-2005, 11:44 AM Your parlay looks ok, only worry would be Paradorn. If the courts as slow as it supposedly is he could be in trouble. He's won like 3 matches in 2 years on clay :confused: i know its not the same as a slow hard court but he definitely prefers the quicker surfaces
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 11:53 AM my plays for today !!
Gonzo + Coria + Chela + Kiefer + Agassi
double with Mello + Stepanek (small stake)
adeegee 03-26-2005, 11:58 AM my plays for today !!
Gonzo + Coria + Chela + Kiefer + Agassi
double with Mello + Stepanek (small stake)
Surely you're not going against PHM!!!
By the way you'll all be happy to hear I put my betting woes to the back of my mind and caned some cocky little shit 6-2 6-1 this morning :p
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 12:02 PM Surely you're not going against PHM!!!
By the way you'll all be happy to hear I put my betting woes to the back of my mind and caned some cocky little shit 6-2 6-1 this morning :p
I ve got to mate ..I had Agassi @ 1.33 ...odds are just too good ;)
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 12:03 PM By the way you'll all be happy to hear I put my betting woes to the back of my mind and caned some cocky little shit 6-2 6-1 this morning :p
Congrats bro ...surely a true professional !!!! :) :p
adeegee 03-26-2005, 12:05 PM I ve got to mate ..I had Agassi @ 1.33 ...odds are just too good ;)
Depends, his odds might be that high due to worries about his fitness
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 12:07 PM Depends, his odds might be that high due to worries about his fitness
yeah it might..still i like his chances ... i m lookin for Agassi doin the same damage to PHM like Hewitt last week !!!
adeegee 03-26-2005, 12:10 PM yeah it might..still i like his chances ... i m lookin for Agassi doin the same damage to PHM like Hewitt last week !!!
:p that was hard on young PHM, he didn't deserve it. I've left it alone, I'll back PHM to beat any player ranked 30 or worse at the moment, but I think Andre will be too much for him.
Anyone wanna take up some money on Gaudio or Henman at Gamebookers I'm offering good odds, with a high maximum stake :rolleyes:
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 12:12 PM what are you offereing for henman?
adeegee 03-26-2005, 12:15 PM what are you offereing for henman?
quite a stingy 1.25
gamebookers have him at 1.2. I offered up to £600, so if all of it is matched and Minar wins I'll get £600. If Henman wins I lose £150, not too big a deal. Gaudio's at 1.35 up to £500 (sorry no idea what the currency conversions are like at the moment :p )
adeegee 03-26-2005, 12:16 PM I've only just got into this person 2 person thing, its quite interesting
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 12:19 PM betfair is the best in terms of liquidity
adeegee 03-26-2005, 12:23 PM betfair is the best in terms of liquidity
yeah i know....i only signed up for gamebookers coz i wanted to bet on the miami qualifying and they were the first place i saw that did it. now i've built up quite an impressive balance i thought i may as well stick with it for the time being
its.like.that 03-26-2005, 02:15 PM my parlay: Chela x Johansson x Stepanek x Coria x Dent x Fed x Kiefer x Gonzalez x Agassi @ 7.2
Juanito 03-26-2005, 02:38 PM No day for big stakes after yesterday's success with Rafa.
Small stakes on:
Kiefer straight
Gonzo straight
Grosjean (Lapentti just won the match against Beck, but had big problems in Qualifying. Even a Grosjean who isn't in his best shape should defeat him.)
Very small ones on the dogs Minar and Lisnard.
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 03:44 PM look at chela no words ....
MrOschie 03-26-2005, 03:58 PM he will win lisnard isn´t that good
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 04:20 PM what a shocker
Chela back in it
1-6 6-2
MrOschie 03-26-2005, 04:36 PM =)
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 04:47 PM Chela is all over Lisnard
1-6 6-2 5-1*
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 04:54 PM Chela wins
1-6 6-2 6-2
MrOschie 03-26-2005, 04:58 PM as i said he wins =)
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 04:58 PM as i said he wins =)
;) ;) ;)
adeegee 03-26-2005, 05:06 PM :wavey: Alright guys. Decent start to the day for me. England comfortably cover the -2 handicap against Northern Ireland with a 4-0 win. Chela also completes the 1st part of my accumulater. Gaudio winning cost me a little bit but nothing major
MrOschie 03-26-2005, 05:08 PM :wavey: Alright guys. Decent start to the day for me. England comfortably cover the -2 handicap against Northern Ireland with a 4-0 win. Chela also completes the 1st part of my accumulater. Gaudio winning cost me a little bit but nothing major
you bet against gaston??
adeegee 03-26-2005, 05:14 PM you bet against gaston??
well he's got an awful record on hard. on gamebookers, i offered gaston at 1.35 on the person 2 person exchange. my thinking was if he loses i make a decent profit, if he wins i don't lose too much. it wasn't that bad he lost. i did the same for the henman match but no-one backed henman at the 1.25 i was offering :sad:
MrOschie 03-26-2005, 05:32 PM henman is @ 1.25 on betfair
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 05:35 PM damn Radek!!! break him for the set her c mon
RickDaStick 03-26-2005, 05:38 PM did you go with Stepanek? Bennetaeau has had good results on the Miami hardcourts. I would of gone with Julian but stayed away.
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 05:41 PM did you go with Stepanek? Bennetaeau has had good results on the Miami hardcourts. I would of gone with Julian but stayed away.
yeah i played a double with Mello and Radek...just a small stake
i m big with chela coria agassi kiefer and gonzo
jackieglover 03-26-2005, 05:43 PM Good morning all :wavey: Hope your bets are going well, I haven't bet anything on Miami today and doubt I will.
RickDaStick 03-26-2005, 05:44 PM Any NBA?
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 05:46 PM Good morning all :wavey: Hope your bets are going well, I haven't bet anything on Miami today and doubt I will.
you got all the reasons not too...Chela shocked us with his first set loss 1-6 put pulled out the win with a great comeback
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 05:48 PM Radek took the first !!!
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 05:48 PM Its not always about your beauty ..its your game !! vamos Radek !!!
RickDaStick 03-26-2005, 05:50 PM You got lucky there with Radek. Didnt JB have 3 set points?
RickDaStick 03-26-2005, 05:50 PM or atleast 3 BP to serve out the set
jackieglover 03-26-2005, 05:51 PM Any NBA?
Not yet. Double checking some things first. Doubt I will get my research done in time for Minnesota/New Jersey game.
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 05:51 PM You got lucky there with Radek. Didnt JB have 3 set points?
well i don t know about that Radek blew a 5-2 lead and yes Julien had 3 Bp at 5-5 ...so i think they both choked in someway...especially Julien at 5*-6
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 06:10 PM Radek demolishes Julien 7-5 6-0
8 games in arow
good start todaay
NATAS81 03-26-2005, 06:16 PM Whoever parlayed Pim is screwed.
Go Taylor!!!
Joachim is a funny guy. :)
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 08:49 PM absolutely horrible !!!! Kiefer that fuckin idiot just threw that match away
jackieglover 03-26-2005, 09:01 PM Kiefer killed my parlay, won with Zabaleta, so up a little for today and have Mello pending.
flmmkrz 03-26-2005, 09:03 PM wow I dont know whether to quit betting on this tourny or keep going cuz it cant keep going like this. My guts saying back off of it tho. Pim pim killed me, kiefer was a nice chunk of change lost, 2 different parlays on each of them. Mello is up right now but he should lose to follow todays actually the weeks pattern. I put a bit down on Ivo to beat henmen so that wasnt a huge surprise but took my chances. Glad I didnt touch paradorn. And hanescu the bastard retiring, that was my 1 win of the day, well that counts since others were ruined in parlays, and I get back my money on it instead of the win. I hate this tourny !
flmmkrz 03-26-2005, 09:06 PM cant forget feliciano losing either, and the bball game going under was a nice touch.
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 09:06 PM i lost on everything - had a shocking day in miami, and also lost on the first bball game - fade me!!!!!
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 09:06 PM any thoughts on Haas - Fish?
bad gambler 03-26-2005, 09:07 PM any thoughts on Haas - Fish?
you would think haas, but no way i'm parting with any more money on tennis today!!!
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 09:10 PM you would think haas, but no way i'm parting with any more money on tennis today!!!
u re definetely right .. i m off this one
flmmkrz 03-26-2005, 09:11 PM any thoughts on Haas - Fish?
well my honest opinion is ask everyone what their thoughts are asw you've done make sure its a decided opinion, like 15 think haas will win and 2 think fish will, then pick the opposite of the popular consensus pick and you have yourself a winner :p
or if that takes too much time just randomly pick a name out of a hat, leave it to fate cuz an educated opinion in this tourny means jackshit.
do I sound pissed :D
for the record I think haas should win as well
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 09:13 PM My Black List is gettin bigger and bigger ...
MrOschie 03-26-2005, 09:22 PM you would think haas, but no way i'm parting with any more money on tennis today!!!
i just think of parting the whole tournament i think its not worth it maybe again in the semis or final but its hopeless here....
SwiSha 03-26-2005, 10:41 PM another funny kid Mello
its.like.that 03-27-2005, 12:46 AM yessssssssssssssss zabaleta... people should stop underestimating him.. or it will burn you ;)
NATAS81 03-27-2005, 01:37 AM Or stop over-estimating Safin. Whichever hurts you first. :smash:
MrOschie 03-27-2005, 03:30 AM andre :woohoo:
|