betting and (dis)liking players [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

betting and (dis)liking players

Loftra
06-02-2006, 02:39 PM
Do you ever bet against a player you like? Or, do you ever bet on a player you dislike?

Personally, I never do.

Merton
06-02-2006, 02:44 PM
Your personal preferences should be irrelevant to your betting decisions. For example, suppose that Nadal is your most disliked player but you estimate the probability of getting through against PHM in the next round to be 75%. Suppose that a bookie offers you even odds (50% probability). Then you should take Nadal regardless of your personal preferences.

Johnny Groove
06-02-2006, 02:45 PM
If that situation occurs, then just dont bet on the match. If the odds are good, and hes your fav. player (Blake vs. Almagro today) thats a double whammy

Merton
06-02-2006, 02:51 PM
If that situation occurs, then just dont bet on the match. If the odds are good, and hes your fav. player (Blake vs. Almagro today) thats a double whammy

It is not the odds, it is your (subjective) probaility estimate versus the odds offered. For example, James was given a 1/3 probability of winning today which i estmated as fair, hence no bet.

ufokart
06-02-2006, 04:13 PM
Of course i bet against players i like if i think they are going to lose.

Tennis and business are two different thing for me :lol:

Neely
06-02-2006, 04:17 PM
The fun better who just wants to spice up an event with a little fun bet on any outcome can do this.

In contrary, if any serious gambler who places high stakes on bets did this (frequently) and makes the bet and his money dependant from his personal feelings towards a team or a player, he would most likely be bankrupted quickly.