Wednesday at RG [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Wednesday at RG

A_Skywalker
05-30-2006, 04:01 PM
OKay , let me be the thread started this time ;)


Im thinking about Youzhny over Moya
nalbi ov gasq , but I still dont know what the odds will be
hmm , henman ov tursunov ?
Mirniy over Massu ....

balloon
05-30-2006, 04:04 PM
my pleasure :)

A_Skywalker
05-30-2006, 04:07 PM
I promise I will not start it thursday ;)

balloon
05-30-2006, 04:46 PM
doesnt matter..
tell me who will win $ for me tomorrow
hehe

A_Skywalker
05-30-2006, 05:34 PM
Its not gonna be me , cause I will surely stake a reasonable money on a reasonable players :)

i2ooney
05-30-2006, 06:54 PM
3 to make 275 with Saretta

F Saretta V N Davydenko F Saretta to Win @ 6.00 Open
J Acasuso V L Dlouhy J Acasuso to Win @ 1.14 Open
M Ancic V P Capdeville M Ancic to Win @ 1.30 Open
M Gicquel V N Kiefer N Kiefer to Win @ 1.25 Open
N Lapentti V R Sluiter R Sluiter to Win @ 2.00 Open
T Berdych V F Volandri T Berdych to Win @ 1.44 Open
T Henman V D Tursunov T Henman to Win @ 1.61 Open
S Arvidsson V J Vakulenko J Vakulenko to Win @ 1.61 Open
J Gajdosova V P Schnyder P Schnyder to Win @ 1.11 Open

3 to make 185

D Nalbandian V R Gasquet R Gasquet to Win @ 4.00 Open
J Acasuso V L Dlouhy J Acasuso to Win @ 1.14 Open
M Ancic V P Capdeville M Ancic to Win @ 1.30 Open
M Gicquel V N Kiefer N Kiefer to Win @ 1.25 Open
N Lapentti V R Sluiter R Sluiter to Win @ 2.00 Open
T Berdych V F Volandri T Berdych to Win @ 1.44 Open
T Henman V D Tursunov T Henman to Win @ 1.61 Open
S Arvidsson V J Vakulenko J Vakulenko to Win @ 1.61 Open
J Gajdosova V P Schnyder P Schnyder to Win @ 1.11 Open

are my opening two bets

Will probably put £50 Berdych/Kiefer/Ancic/Henman but undecided as yet

i2ooney
05-30-2006, 07:06 PM
Before I get serious though, one last silly one

£6 to make £12k

J Jankovic V M Bartoli M Bartoli to Win @ 2.20 Open
S Arvidsson V J Vakulenko J Vakulenko to Win @ 1.61 Open
J Gajdosova V P Schnyder P Schnyder to Win @ 1.11 Open
D Nalbandian V R Gasquet R Gasquet to Win @ 4.00 Open
F Saretta V N Davydenko F Saretta to Win @ 6.00 Open
J Acasuso V L Dlouhy J Acasuso to Win @ 1.14 Open
M Ancic V P Capdeville M Ancic to Win @ 1.30 Open
M Gicquel V N Kiefer N Kiefer to Win @ 1.25 Open
M Mirnyi V N Massu M Mirnyi to Win @ 2.25 Open
N Lapentti V R Sluiter R Sluiter to Win @ 2.00 Open
S Grosjean V M Vassalo Arguello S Grosjean to Win @ 1.12 Open
T Berdych V F Volandri T Berdych to Win @ 1.44 Open
T Henman V D Tursunov T Henman to Win @ 1.61 Open

i2ooney
05-30-2006, 07:14 PM
OK I lied.

5 to make £20k

S Arvidsson V J Vakulenko J Vakulenko to Win @ 1.61 Open
J Gajdosova V P Schnyder P Schnyder to Win @ 1.11 Open
C Moya V M Youzhny C Moya to Win @ 1.33 Open
D Nalbandian V R Gasquet R Gasquet to Win @ 4.00 Open
F Saretta V N Davydenko F Saretta to Win @ 6.00 Open
J Acasuso V L Dlouhy J Acasuso to Win @ 1.14 Open
M Ancic V P Capdeville M Ancic to Win @ 1.30 Open
M Gicquel V N Kiefer N Kiefer to Win @ 1.25 Open
M Mirnyi V N Massu M Mirnyi to Win @ 2.25 Open
N Lapentti V R Sluiter R Sluiter to Win @ 2.00 Open
S Grosjean V M Vassalo Arguello S Grosjean to Win @ 1.12 Open
T Berdych V F Volandri T Berdych to Win @ 1.44 Open
T Henman V D Tursunov T Henman to Win @ 1.61 Open
C Castano V N Dechy N Dechy to Win @ 2.10 Open
J Jankovic V M Bartoli J Jankovic to Win @ 1.61 Open

5 to make 20k

S Arvidsson V J Vakulenko J Vakulenko to Win @ 1.61 Open
J Gajdosova V P Schnyder P Schnyder to Win @ 1.11 Open
C Moya V M Youzhny C Moya to Win @ 1.33 Open
D Nalbandian V R Gasquet R Gasquet to Win @ 4.00 Open
F Saretta V N Davydenko F Saretta to Win @ 6.00 Open
J Acasuso V L Dlouhy J Acasuso to Win @ 1.14 Open
M Ancic V P Capdeville M Ancic to Win @ 1.30 Open
M Gicquel V N Kiefer N Kiefer to Win @ 1.25 Open
M Mirnyi V N Massu M Mirnyi to Win @ 2.25 Open
N Lapentti V R Sluiter R Sluiter to Win @ 2.00 Open
S Grosjean V M Vassalo Arguello S Grosjean to Win @ 1.12 Open
T Berdych V F Volandri T Berdych to Win @ 1.44 Open
T Henman V D Tursunov T Henman to Win @ 1.61 Open
C Castano V N Dechy C Castano to Win @ 1.66 Open
J Jankovic V M Bartoli M Bartoli to Win @ 2.20 Open

i2ooney
05-30-2006, 07:18 PM
10 to make £1k

D Nalbandian V R Gasquet R Gasquet to Win @ 4.00 Open
F Saretta V N Davydenko N Davydenko to Win @ 1.11 Open
J Acasuso V L Dlouhy J Acasuso to Win @ 1.14 Open
M Ancic V P Capdeville M Ancic to Win @ 1.30 Open
M Gicquel V N Kiefer N Kiefer to Win @ 1.25 Open
M Mirnyi V N Massu M Mirnyi to Win @ 2.25 Open
N Lapentti V R Sluiter R Sluiter to Win @ 2.00 Open
S Grosjean V M Vassalo Arguello S Grosjean to Win @ 1.12 Open
T Berdych V F Volandri T Berdych to Win @ 1.44 Open
T Henman V D Tursunov T Henman to Win @ 1.61 Open
J Gajdosova V P Schnyder P Schnyder to Win @ 1.11 Open

I've only staked £32 in total, so don't attack me!

i2ooney
05-30-2006, 07:21 PM
Last post of the day, promise. Decided I'm not going to include Henman in any large bets, he's Henman after all.

£50 on Kiefer/Berdych/Schnyder to double my money and cover the above craziness.

elroyf
05-30-2006, 07:24 PM
Davydenko/Acasuso/Ferrero/Grosjean parlay

All should win in straight sets, no problems.

Will probably take Henman over Tursunov. Henman played well against Carlsen. And we know what Dimitry thinks of the clay! He beat a depleated Novak in the first round. I wouldn't read too much into the victory.

Leans on Berdych/Lapentti.

Horatio Caine
05-30-2006, 07:48 PM
:haha:

I'm liking the conversations between Skywalker and Balloon :yeah: ;)

Rooney - good luck mate! I hope Henman doesn't appear often in those plays - I don't entirely trust him tomorrow :scared:

Elroyf - Acasuso should smash Dlouhy ( :rolleyes: ); Berdych should take out Volandri

Henman is the better clay court player but Tursunov finds Henman's game nice to deal with. Ironically, I feel that Henman has a better chance to beat Dima on the fastest surface possible.

Moya should take out Youzhny without too many problems.

Possible Moya x Almagro x Berdych x Acasuso @ 2.97 :shrug:

i2ooney
05-30-2006, 07:59 PM
OK I lied, last post.

Jez, I've invested £18 more covering the Henman/Mirnyi matches. Think the big man is also not to be trusted. The best of the French Open is over IMO so although I'm making one last effort to make a decent amount, hoping either Gasquet or Sarreta can help, I'll bow out gracefully with £350ish profit if I break even with my cautious £50 treble. (Unless something really appeals later on in the tournament..)

Freeze17171
05-30-2006, 08:03 PM
Yes, we all know Dima's opinions on clay, but this is a Grand Slam. Though I wasn't surprised he beat Novak, I was surprised at how easily he thrashed him in straight sets. I was expecting maybe a 4 or 5 set win for Dima as Novak faded. He seems to be more focused at the big event, and he is a far better player than Carlsen is.

Horatio Caine
05-30-2006, 08:18 PM
OK I lied, last post.

Jez, I've invested £18 more covering the Henman/Mirnyi matches. Think the big man is also not to be trusted. The best of the French Open is over IMO so although I'm making one last effort to make a decent amount, hoping either Gasquet or Sarreta can help, I'll bow out gracefully with £350ish profit if I break even with my cautious £50 treble. (Unless something really appeals later on in the tournament..)

Good luck to you mate...hope you get profit :yeah:

Not sure I agree with your thought that the best of the French has been and gone though...it should get easier to pick out matches now and the prices should get better :shrug:

Horatio Caine
05-30-2006, 08:20 PM
Yes, we all know Dima's opinions on clay, but this is a Grand Slam. Though I wasn't surprised he beat Novak, I was surprised at how easily he thrashed him in straight sets. I was expecting maybe a 4 or 5 set win for Dima as Novak faded. He seems to be more focused at the big event, and he is a far better player than Carlsen is.

Well Carlsen isn't really the issue - Henman does well against lefties and serve-volleyers (if Carlsen did indeed serve-volley on Sunday).

But yeah Tursunov's easy win filled me with a sense of unease. I am normally good at fading Brits and my fader-senses are on alert for this match :lol:

Tursunov can really hurt him and I struggle to see how Henman can beat Dima in the baseline rallies. :shrug:

Horatio Caine
05-30-2006, 10:01 PM
Okay - unless I change my mind...my plays for tomorrow will be:


Moya x Berdych @ 1.92 - 20% stake
Almagro x Ferrero @ 1.66 - 10% stake

Nothing much to say...Moya, whilst not a challenger for the title, should be too good for the struggling Youzhny. Berdych is clearly the better player right now and should be able to handle Pipo's game...expecially if their last 2 meetings are anything to go by.

Almagro might struggle with Blake, but I expect him to win through - Blake should lack ingenuity at the key stages. Ferrero may be struggling these days but I'll be shocked if Kohlschreiber ends defeats him at the French Open of all places.

Now please try to persuade me otherwise...you have about 2 hours to do so :p


Not many other leans for today's play:

Galvani over Montanes @ 2.75 - possibly worth a shot...Montanes is no better than an average player.
Massu over Mirnyi @ 1.57 - Massu really ought to win this although he might be struggling physically after R1? I'd like a Mirnyi win to a Massu win on grass :shrug:
Sluiter over Lapentti @ 2.00 - Lapentti is not doing so well these days and had a gruelling R1 win. Sluiter can play quite decently on clay and has weapons to hurt him.

dbnumberone
05-30-2006, 10:08 PM
I'll be keeping it rolling by betting to win 5 units on Ferrero.
Dude's no stranger here & that's a pretty nice w against del potro yesterday
Gl all!

bad gambler
05-30-2006, 10:20 PM
Okay - unless I change my mind...my plays for tomorrow will be:


Moya x Berdych @ 1.92 - 20% stake
Almagro x Ferrero @ 1.66 - 10% stake




Do those % represent % of bank? Because if so that is ridiculously big % to be playing on one bet.

Horatio Caine
05-30-2006, 10:23 PM
Do those % represent % of bank? Because if so that is ridiculously big % to be playing on one bet.

Yep - 20% of the balance on the first and then 10% of the balance after the first bet on the second.

Well I've used 20% stakes so far (3 bets) and I'm up a bit for the tournament...so as long as I don't lose often then it work out well.

Sambuca
05-30-2006, 10:33 PM
Mirnyi over Massu @2.39 Pinnacle
Chakvetadze over Na Li @2.13 Parbet

Nimrodg
05-30-2006, 11:27 PM
JCF x Vakulenko @ 1.95
Chucho x Berdych x Almagro @ 2.26

Cornincrap
05-30-2006, 11:40 PM
I wonder why no one has mentioned Korolev at those odds. Gaudio can easily lose the grib of the match, like we've seen so many times before, hes always batteling himself, if he can control himself mentally, then sure Gaudio have the odds favouring him, but Korolev can and will put some pressure on him... lets see, im taking the 4.34 @ Pinny :wavey:

elroyf
05-30-2006, 11:50 PM
Liking the big bets Jez!

But Youzhny ain't struggling for sure. Moya should do away with him but it will be 4 sets minimum I reckon. Youz not too bad on the dirt.

Lots of nice bets on Thursday too don't forget

rediss77
05-30-2006, 11:50 PM
Federer vs Falla

H2H is 1-0 in Federer's favoure. Since their last meeting @Wimbledon 2 years ago Falla hasn't improoved his ranking, so can't call him promising player, as he's already 23 years old, at the moment n0139 in rankings. He was very lucky to get in main draw as he's here as lucky looser, but he's really lucky as in 1st round he had to face a total non clay player Gimelstob, he took his chance and won quite easily in straight sets. Whats interesting in qualification he lost to same player Federer struggled against- Hartfield, Hartfield beated him very easily ( 6-1, 6-4), and I really don't see any chances for him against Federer, who shoudn't be interested in another long match,I expect him to make it quite easy in straight sets ofcourse. And I really don't get the total is so high when Federer plays against player who's nothing more than a top 200 player.

Pick:under 28.5 games
Stake:8/10
Odds:1.75



Tommy Robredo vs Ilija Bozoljac

The main reason for this pick is that Robredo is propaly in best form he has ever been. He's playing with very high confidence, he looked very good against Zib, actually Zib wasn't that bad, but Robredo won almoust every point when Zib wasn't playing with full power. While Bozoljac is quliefier, in 1st round he beated Pashanski, who's out of form lately, he hasn't showed any special results, he had few loses in straight sets against non top players, against in form Robredo I see no chances for him.

Pick:Robredo(-8 )
Stake:6/10
Odds:1.75



Acasuso vs Dlouhy

Acasuso is in good form, it was Santoro who started to show miracles, when Acasuso serve wasn't that fast after an easy first 2 sets, othervise Acasuso is serving good, his shots are very powerfull, and after win over Santoro it looks that everything is ok with his nerves. Dlouhy for sure is the one against he should win easily. Dlouhy was lucky saving a lot of match points against Vliegen. This season is very bad for him he has lost to players like Pavel, Starace and Gimnelstob on clay, Acasuso is near top 20 player if he will not make stupid mistakes, then Dlouhy will lose without any chances, also handicap -8 isn't that big, against Santoro it was only by 0,5 smaller, but Dlouhy isn't that class player like Santoro.

Pick:Acasuso(-8 )
Stake:6/10
Odds:1.85


Davydenko vs Saretta


Davydenko is the favourite here thats for sure, he's playing great tennis, he has won 6 matches in a row, all in straight sets, he's in great form.Saretta made great comeback against Starace, but I think that it was very much thanks to his experience,anyway he's a veteran who's best years are gone and against in form Davydenko he should lose in straight sets. Also I like the thing that Davydenko is winning every match in straight sets, it only shows that his very confident, and I don't think that Saretta is able to surprise Davydenko with something new.

Pick:Davydenko to win 3-0
Stake:7/10
Odds:1.50



Almagro vs Blake

I don't see any advantage for Blake here, but I see some for Almagro. He 's serve is even as much good as Blake's, he moves very fast, his shots are fast, and whats more important, his game is more tactical than Blake's and on clay it's very important. Almagro has prooved his class in this season, winning many matches and he's the biggest surprise in this season on clay.So as there is no point in which Almagro is weaker and as he's clay court player I'm very confident about his win against Blake.

Pick:Almagro
Stake:8/10
Odds;1.38

And Jankovic over Bartoli @ 1.61 with 6/10

Horatio Caine
05-30-2006, 11:55 PM
Thanks elroyf...I'll be changing my play for tomorrow as I realised that Almagro doesn't play until Thursday :confused: I'll be surprised if Youzhny wins...Moya should have too much for him.

Cornincrap - yeah I noted the odds but I don't believe he will actually beat Gaudio...and that is the difference - belief.

rediss - welcome to the forums! I hope you enjoy your time here :yeah: :banana: Just 1 point - I think Falla was injured for a little while and he has come back up the rankings ;)

elroyf
05-30-2006, 11:57 PM
Some nice analysis rediss!

Agree with all your picks!

rediss77
05-30-2006, 11:59 PM
Maybe he's not so bad at all, but still this total 28.5 gives him a chance to loose 6-4, 6-3, 6-3 , that wouldn't be a huge loss.

SwiSha
05-31-2006, 12:13 AM
Okay - unless I change my mind...my plays for tomorrow will be:


Moya x Berdych @ 1.92 - 20% stake
Almagro x Ferrero @ 1.66 - 10% stake

Nothing much to say...Moya, whilst not a challenger for the title, should be too good for the struggling Youzhny. Berdych is clearly the better player right now and should be able to handle Pipo's game...expecially if their last 2 meetings are anything to go by.

Almagro might struggle with Blake, but I expect him to win through - Blake should lack ingenuity at the key stages. Ferrero may be struggling these days but I'll be shocked if Kohlschreiber ends defeats him at the French Open of all places.

Now please try to persuade me otherwise...you have about 2 hours to do so :p


Not many other leans for today's play:

Galvani over Montanes @ 2.75 - possibly worth a shot...Montanes is no better than an average player.
Massu over Mirnyi @ 1.57 - Massu really ought to win this although he might be struggling physically after R1? I'd like a Mirnyi win to a Massu win on grass :shrug:
Sluiter over Lapentti @ 2.00 - Lapentti is not doing so well these days and had a gruelling R1 win. Sluiter can play quite decently on clay and has weapons to hurt him.

love Berdych he will crush PIPO ..wouldn t trust JCF..Kohl has a good game on clay and will give Ferrero all hands full..the odds don t justify the risk mate..

Horatio Caine
05-31-2006, 12:19 AM
Okay...changed my plays to reflect just tomorrow's matches and taken into account Prabu's words on staking...

EDIT - Swisha gets in there literally with 1 minute to go! Thanks man - not taking Ferrero ;)

Moya x Berdych @ 1.92 - 10% stake

Good luck! :yeah:

Sheva
05-31-2006, 01:12 AM
Massu looked very decent against Malisse! Really great match with good passing shots! Massu should win this. I know Mirnyi holds a 2-0 edge over him in HTH. But those games where on carpet and on hard surface. Over 5 sets can't seem Massu loosing. I also agree with you all that Berdych should win against Pipo. The Berdman has shown some good form off late and should take Volandri down.

Parlay: Massu x Berdych @ 2.40

Ays25
05-31-2006, 01:17 AM
do you think kiefer and acasuso have any chance to lose vs gicquel (never seen him play) and dlouhy (never seen him either)

dbnumberone
05-31-2006, 02:23 AM
EDIT - Swisha gets in there literally with 1 minute to go! Thanks man - not taking Ferrero ;)

:

Hey! I'm posted I'm taking Ferrero & I am red hot :rolleyes: ;)
Good luck w/ the play, rooting for ya (but here's to you being sorry you didn't take jcf :))

bad gambler
05-31-2006, 03:45 AM
do you think kiefer and acasuso have any chance to lose vs gicquel (never seen him play) and dlouhy (never seen him either)


Acasuso can play left handed and will still beat Dlouhy

Anders
05-31-2006, 03:52 AM
French Open

Outrights:

Ferrer +7000 (1)
Robredo +6600 (1)

WTD: 6-15 -7.78 units


Round 2

Mirnyi +147 o Massu (1)
Sluiter +121 o Lapentti (1)
Galvani +199 o Montanes (1)

Couldn't quite bring myself to pull the trigger on Mirnyi, Kohlschreiber, Henman and Capdeville, may pay the penalty...

bad gambler
05-31-2006, 03:55 AM
Yep - 20% of the balance on the first and then 10% of the balance after the first bet on the second.

Well I've used 20% stakes so far (3 bets) and I'm up a bit for the tournament...so as long as I don't lose often then it work out well.


Ok was just wondering

I mean each to their own, but personally I would consider a 5% bet a a "big play"

SwiSha
05-31-2006, 04:30 AM
Hey! I'm posted I'm taking Ferrero & I am red hot :rolleyes: ;)
Good luck w/ the play, rooting for ya (but here's to you being sorry you didn't take jcf :))

I m not saying that he is going to lose but honestly JCF is looking horrible these days..watched his matches in Hamburg struggling against Schuettler and getting killed by Ferrer..he is really a shadow of his past

Kolhschreiber has confidence and he got game on clay...i think it s not worth it for odds like this around 1.25

Ays25
05-31-2006, 04:35 AM
swisha what about kiefer?
1.25 looks nice vs gicquel for me

SwiSha
05-31-2006, 04:43 AM
swisha what about kiefer?
1.25 looks nice vs gicquel for me

I really don t know too much about Giquel ..one thing i do know that Kiefer is a damn headcase and i wouldn t bet on his azz until he has some value..no bet( I m still not over his loss against Andreev last year in the final when he was up 7-5 4-0 :lol: )

betowiec
05-31-2006, 04:52 AM
lets play some heavy chalk: GAto at 1.310 (first play) hoping to wake up in time to place another bet (should be a dog: capdeville over Ancic)

Ays25
05-31-2006, 04:56 AM
I really don t know too much about Giquel ..one thing i do know that Kiefer is a damn headcase and i wouldn t bet on his azz until he has some value..no bet( I m still not over his loss against Andreev last year in the final when he was up 7-5 4-0 :lol: )

thanks mate

Mr Flamboyant
05-31-2006, 08:16 AM
Liking Berdych & Moya .. $1.90 .. for reasons mentioned by many in previous posts ..

Julio
05-31-2006, 08:16 AM
Just one bet for me today, Berdych @ 1.42 over Volandri on Betfair. (1000 euros)

Last night he was at 1.54 !!! I missed a good surebet. :(

g35-great
05-31-2006, 09:17 AM
anyone can tell me about Stefano Galvani v Albert Montanes ??? me likey albert montanes @ 1.50 wat say u? :awww:

and almagro is playing tomorrow not today :)

Midnight Express
05-31-2006, 09:30 AM
Just one bet for me today, Berdych @ 1.42 over Volandri on Betfair. (1000 euros)

Last night he was at 1.54 !!! I missed a good surebet. :(
I wouldn't trust Berdienator so much, still this is not DC or WC, as he is always unpredictable, next week is Prostejov challenger, Safarova almost there...too many people playing him...
DLOUHY has nothing, trust me, nothing, I don't know if Vliegen was drunk or what but Chucho in 3, for sure!

Yoel and co.
05-31-2006, 10:09 AM
I don't know how much of the fitness is really an issue with Sharapova but judging by her performance in round one, Benesova @ 5 is worth a small stake

A_Skywalker
05-31-2006, 10:48 AM
I've put 5 $ on Mirniy , Nalbandian and Ferrero , for a total coefficient of 2.7 , I hope Mirniy can do it , and Ferrero not to show his bad side

Mr Flamboyant
05-31-2006, 11:56 AM
Liking Berdych & Moya .. $1.90 .. for reasons mentioned by many in previous posts ..

Fan-friggin-tastic!! Rain delay with Berdych and Moya both two sets to love in front .. fingers crossed this doesn't change the momentum..:armed:

Horatio Caine
05-31-2006, 12:07 PM
Fan-friggin-tastic!! Rain delay with Berdych and Moya both two sets to love in front .. fingers crossed this doesn't change the momentum..:armed:

Just come back from doing a few things and yeah...unbelievable! Hadn't realised they'd be on first let alone ahead so quickly....I just hope they keep it up!

Just like to say a big thanks to everyone who has been kind enough to guide me when I have asked for advice...if Moya and Berdych win today then my betting balance reaches a new height in 2006 after a major slump for 2 months after the Aussie Open.


A few replies:

dnumberone - I wanted people to talk me away from Ferrero :p I think he will win but Swisha is right...an extra odds of 1.22 isn't worth it and if Moya and Berdych win and Ferrero loses then I'd be kicking myself.

BG - 5%? :eek: We're talking betting account and not bank account right? ;) Well...if I have a rough spell then I will stake lower % of the balance but since April I have been betting only when I'm almost absolutely certain in the outcome...so provided I keep winning over 70% of the bets I should be fine. But I hear you :yeah:

Horatio Caine
05-31-2006, 12:08 PM
I don't know how much of the fitness is really an issue with Sharapova but judging by her performance in round one, Benesova @ 5 is worth a small stake

Definitely looks good mate

I'm not one to speculate too much on injuries...even less so when it comes to WTA :tape: But it looks very possible :yeah:

Good luck!

bad gambler
05-31-2006, 12:10 PM
BG - 5%? :eek: We're talking betting account and not bank account right? ;) Well...if I have a rough spell then I will stake lower % of the balance but since April I have been betting only when I'm almost absolutely certain in the outcome...so provided I keep winning over 70% of the bets I should be fine. But I hear you :yeah:


Gambling is as much about money management than picking winners

Called responsible gambling, not being a "bad gambler" ;)

elroyf
05-31-2006, 12:41 PM
I going massive on Federer 3-0 at 1.18 (Betfair)

I think he will turn it on and thrash Falla ranked 140 odd.

Full bank job!

g35-great
05-31-2006, 12:50 PM
I going massive on Federer 3-0 at 1.18 (Betfair)

I think he will turn it on and thrash Falla ranked 140 odd.

Full bank job!

i guess u dint read the post above yours :rolleyes:

Julio
05-31-2006, 01:05 PM
Gambling is as much about money management than picking winners

Absolutely right !!! ;)

Mr Flamboyant
05-31-2006, 01:10 PM
Fan-friggin-tastic!! Rain delay with Berdych and Moya both two sets to love in front .. fingers crossed this doesn't change the momentum..:armed:

The answer is an emphatic NO .. both home in straight sets .. that's the way we like it! :rocker2:

Mr Flamboyant
05-31-2006, 01:12 PM
Fan-friggin-tastic!! Rain delay with Berdych and Moya both two sets to love in front .. fingers crossed this doesn't change the momentum..:armed:

The answer is an emphatic NO .. both home in straight sets .. that's the way we like it!! :rocker2:

sorry .. thought first one didn't take .. mods go ahead and delete ..

A_Skywalker
05-31-2006, 04:04 PM
Come on Mirniy , was I fool for betting on you ?

Ays25
05-31-2006, 05:48 PM
kiefer won but acasuso is the biggest choecker i ve seen.. losing 2nd set from 5-1 up is really something. and down a break in the 4th.. oh god

i2ooney
05-31-2006, 06:05 PM
Assuming Gasquet and Vakulenko win, Acasuso's impending loss may rob of me winning £2k from £10. It's my own fault really. I just don't like Dlouhy, he is a poor man's Schuettler, and so wanted him to lose more than I believed Acasuso would win. Oh well. Guess he lacks desire/determination.

i2ooney
05-31-2006, 06:06 PM
Luckily I sidestepped Acasuso in my £50 and £20 trebles/ fourfolds. C'mon Schnyder.

i2ooney
05-31-2006, 06:08 PM
Someone should do a Seles on Acasuso to save punters all over the world. lol, just a joke.

Ays25
05-31-2006, 06:33 PM
Someone should do a Seles on Acasuso to save punters all over the world. lol, just a joke.

he fixed the match.. dlouhys odds were about 50 to 1 when acasuso was 1-0 and 5-1
some argentinians got big money from this game and i lost very very big..

George_Hanson
05-31-2006, 06:37 PM
he fixed the match.. dlouhys odds were about 50 to 1 when acasuso was 1-0 and 5-1
some argentinians got big money from this game and i lost very very big..

Definitely, I saw some of them in my local bookie betting big on Dlouhy.

i2ooney
05-31-2006, 06:50 PM
I won't make allegations but what I will say is major sports like football have been shown to have elements of corruption. What has always worried me is if certain bookmakers have a relationship with certain players, at certain times in the year. I mean bookies will obviously not want to pay out big and if a scenario emerges where they'd have to, who is to say they won't try to avoid that scenario. I have also worried about the relationships between bookmakers as well. It's all very secretive.

If Acasuso or any other player has an association with this sort of thing, the ATP has to stamp it out. I hope there is some serious investigative stuff going on behind the scenes.

Tennis players, especially ones at the top end of the spectrum make the sort of money most of us only dream about anyway.

i2ooney
05-31-2006, 06:56 PM
I've taken Tursunov to beat Henman. Unless Tursunov turns out to be a dodgy Russian...hopefully that makes up for another disappointing day where although I've not lost any money, I haven't made as much as I could have done. If Tursunov loses, that's me done for the F/O. If Schnyder wins tomorrow, I'm quitting while I'm ahead.

Ays25
05-31-2006, 06:57 PM
Definitely, I saw some of them in my local bookie betting big on Dlouhy.

not kidding
some big amount of money was put on lay acasuso @1.03 on betfair

at least kiefer had some pride but acasuso didnt even fight.. assball

George_Hanson
05-31-2006, 06:58 PM
Your all theories fall down, as bookmakers make money no matter if player A or B wins. That's the basis on which the whole bookmaking industry is built

dbnumberone
05-31-2006, 07:16 PM
I'll be keeping it rolling by betting to win 5 units on Ferrero.
Dude's no stranger here & that's a pretty nice w against del potro yesterday
Gl all!

I'm so hot I'm suprised my book is still taking my action ;)
p.s. Thx for the warning Swisha :devil: :)

Ays25
05-31-2006, 08:20 PM
Acasuso can play left handed and will still beat Dlouhy
not when i place 700 € on him..
yeah my curse..
oh bg please change your avatar i want to kill that man

i2ooney
05-31-2006, 08:30 PM
bad luck ays. the largest bet I have ever lost was £800 on England to beat Scotland at home in the second-leg of their Euro 2000 qualifier back in 1999, they lost 1-0! I hope that makes you feel better :)

Anders
05-31-2006, 08:36 PM
BG - 5%? We're talking betting account and not bank account right? Well...if I have a rough spell then I will stake lower % of the balance but since April I have been betting only when I'm almost absolutely certain in the outcome...so provided I keep winning over 70% of the bets I should be fine. But I hear you

thanks jez, i could have done with a laugh today, that "certainly" provided it ... :D

Lebowski
05-31-2006, 08:47 PM
Gambling is as much about money management than picking winners

Called responsible gambling, not being a "bad gambler" ;)


Thats a losers attitude. Bigger the Risk....Higher reward. BALLS OUT!

Anders
05-31-2006, 09:04 PM
Thats a losers attitude. Bigger the Risk....Higher reward. BALLS OUT!

Ah, where to start with this... :rolleyes:
Mustn't. Waste. Breath.

bad gambler
05-31-2006, 09:46 PM
Well at least we can ascertain Chucho wasn't playing left handed :tape:

Cornincrap
05-31-2006, 10:15 PM
I wonder why no one has mentioned Korolev at those odds. Gaudio can easily lose the grib of the match, like we've seen so many times before, hes always batteling himself, if he can control himself mentally, then sure Gaudio have the odds favouring him, but Korolev can and will put some pressure on him... lets see, im taking the 4.34 @ Pinny :wavey:
Close call :) . 5th set 6-4 to Gaudio. bad luck

flmmkrz
05-31-2006, 10:17 PM
Killer.... nieminens stomach problems rob me of a monster payday and today acasusos no show robs me of another one. I gotta stop adding chumps in to my parlays to pump up value.

Horatio Caine
06-08-2006, 04:48 PM
Gambling is as much about money management than picking winners

Called responsible gambling, not being a "bad gambler" ;)

Yep...and I lost my RG profits over 2 days :tape:

Back to square 1 as far as the tourney goes :haha:

Horatio Caine
06-08-2006, 04:50 PM
thanks jez, i could have done with a laugh today, that "certainly" provided it ... :D

:( You Aussies / New Zealanders always laugh at Poms...I thought last summer's spanking would have taught you guys a lesson :p ;)