WHO DO U THINK HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO WIN THE AUSTRALIAN OPEN [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

WHO DO U THINK HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO WIN THE AUSTRALIAN OPEN

safinagirly
01-13-2004, 08:52 AM
HI you guys who do u think have the best chance to win the aussie open : :wavey: :)

Frooty_Bazooty
01-13-2004, 08:26 PM
i have a feeling it will be hewitt, he's playing well right now and i think he wants it really bad

if nalbandian is playing his best he could have a good chance too

*Ljubica*
01-13-2004, 08:30 PM
Hope desparately that David can win .....if not, I think Federer and possibly Hewitt have the best chances.

maratski
01-13-2004, 08:37 PM
hewitt always wants it badly, but that doesn't say much ;)

HybridTheory
01-13-2004, 08:54 PM
haha goed gezegd;)

i think Federer will win it, but i hope for Moya or Nalbandian

Havok
01-13-2004, 08:57 PM
Agassi/Roddick/Federer. who knows with Ferrero these days, but i'm sure he'll put up a fight as well. Hewitt has to kinda put up or shut up when he plays in front of his home crowd. not even making it past the 4th round :o

Leo
01-13-2004, 09:11 PM
Hewitt, Nalbandian, Safin, Roddick, Federer, Ferrero, Agassi ... all those guys.

trixy
01-13-2004, 09:37 PM
Roddick, Ferrero, Federer, Agassi, Hewitt, Safin, Nalbandian, Flip. Could all win it but i have a strange feeling its gonna be Hewitt. He might not win it but he'll go far enough to have the whole Australian media and public in a frenzy.

Fedex
01-13-2004, 11:23 PM
Agassi!! Federer??? Without a coach it puts me in doubt. Be great if he could win it without a coach though :)

Ma. Estefania
01-13-2004, 11:27 PM
Hmm...it can be Roger, Agassi :rolleyes: (really hope not), or even Roddick...but I don't see him yet like to getting it, maybe it's becoz he hasn't played any match yet this year.

WyverN
01-14-2004, 10:03 AM
Hewitt, Nalbandian, Safin, Roddick, Federer, Ferrero, Agassi ... all those guys.

Wow! Brave predictions

Raul-Lopez
01-14-2004, 02:35 PM
Carlos Moyá seems to be in his top form. We will see

Vass
01-14-2004, 06:10 PM
Those who said Safin: He doesn't have the best chances yet. Roddick too.
I'd say Federer and Ferrero are good enough

Kiara
01-14-2004, 06:13 PM
my money is on lleyton!

Frooty_Bazooty
01-14-2004, 06:41 PM
Wow! Brave predictions

Lol, thats what i was thinking

Snoopy_Girl
01-14-2004, 07:37 PM
Those who said Safin: He doesn't have the best chances yet. Roddick too.
I'd say Federer and Ferrero are good enough

Ferrero suffered some early round losses... I don't think he's ready to win the AO unless he just gets into it next week. I think Federer and Roddick are gonna go far and maybe Agassi, but I don't know about that, cuz I haven't seen him play since the Masters Cup. Flip has a chance to make it into the quarters or even semies with a good draw but I think that's where it ends...

MisterQ
01-14-2004, 11:03 PM
Here's McEnroe's take on things --- PATRICK McEnroe, that is....

McEnroe Touts Top Three As Favorites, Ginepri, Escude As Darkhorses At Australian Open

Photo By Cynthia Lum By Richard Pagliaro
01/15/2004
Kangaroos come to court for the Australian Open final. An annual tradition of the Oz Open sees the champion raise the title trophy that serves as both a symbol of a crowning achievement and a shiny, silver seat for the stuffed kangaroo perched prominently inside the trophy peering out at the proceedings.

The kangaroo hasn't been the only unexpected participant bouncing around the court in past Australian Open finals. Recent years have seen some slightly surprising finalists including 2003 runner-up Rainer Schuettler, 2002 champion Thomas Johansson, 2001 finalist Arnaud Clement and 1999 runner-up Thomas Enqvist.



ESPN tennis analyst Patrick McEnroe knows what it takes to advance to the Australian Open's final weekend. The 37-year-old New Yorker posted his best Grand Slam singles performance at the 1991 Australian Open, reaching the semis before bowing to Boris Becker. McEnroe also advanced to the doubles final with former Stanford teammate David Wheaton.

The U.S. Davis Cup captain met with the media at Manhattan's Wallse, an appealing Austrian restaurant in the West Village, to discuss the upcoming Australian Open as well as the United States' Davis Cup tie against Austria at the Mohegan Sun February 7th-9th. Mohegan Sun officials said nearly 70 percent of the tickets for the tie have already been sold.

Ticket prices for a three-day tennis package are $350, $225, $125 and $90, and may be purchased through the United States Tennis Association (USTA) by phoning (888) 484-USTA. Play on Friday, February 6th will consist of two singles matches beginning at 4 p.m., which will be broadcast live by ESPN2. Saturday's play will comprise of one doubles match, beginning at 2 p.m., while Sunday's final day of play will feature the two reverse singles matches beginning at 1 p.m. Saturday and Sunday’s tennis matches start at 12 p.m. and 1 p.m. respectively, and will be taped for broadcast on ESPN2.

Tennis Week.com will post a Davis Cup story on Thursday detailing McEnroe's assessment of the first-round tie.

McEnroe believes the trio at the top of tennis — top-ranked Andy Roddick, second-ranked Roger Federer, third-ranked Juan Carlos Ferrero — are the best bets to reign Down Under along with the seemingly ageless Andre Agassi, a four-time Australian Open champion who carries a 39-3 career record, including a 21-match winning streak, into Melbourne.

"On the men's side the three guys I look at are obvious: Ferrero, Roddick and Federer," McEnroe said. "Those are the top three. I think Agassi's still got a great chance at the Australian. I don't think there's any doubt that it's still his best chance to win a major. He's going to come in prepared and fit and the court fits him perfectly. He can capitalize on the fact that these other guys may not be as ready, we don't know that yet, but he's done that in the past."

Federer opens the new season seeking a new coach. A few weeks after the stylish Swiss swept through the field to capture Tennis Masters Cup in November, Federer split with Peter Lundgren, who had coached him since 1998.

"I just had the feeling I should look for something new. I would like new impetus, and after thinking it over carefully I saw this as a solution for next year," Federer said in announcing the split. "We both had a bit of a similar feeling at the end of the season that it was not the same as before and this led me to the decision."

During his December training sessions, the 22-year-old Federer worked with Severin Luethi — his assistant coach on the Swiss Davis Cup team — and will enter the Australian Open with his trainer, Pierre Paganini, as his primary support.

McEnroe minimized the impact the lack of a coach will have on Federer's Australian Open chances.

"I don't think it's going to affect him that much," McEnroe said. "He's going to have his fitness guy with him, which I think for him is maybe more important at this point. I mean, he's a guy if he's playing at his best, he's almost unbeatable. I don't think it's that big a factor. I think he'll want to find a guy he's comfortable with for the long haul."

Though his all-court acumen makes Federer a more complete player than Roddick, the reigning U.S. Open champion may well be the better competitor. In his 18 Grand Slam appearances, Federer has flat-lined in the first round six times and reached at least the quarterfinals only three times while Roddick has advanced to at least five quarterfinals and suffered three first-round losses (two at Roland Garros and his 2000 U.S. Open debut when he was a junior) in his 12 Slam appearances.

The reality is that to this point in their careers, Roddick has been a more consistent competitor at majors than Federer. The fact that Roddick has one of the best tactical coaches in tennis in Brad Gilbert may give him a slight Australian Open edge over the coach less Federer though McEnroe correctly points out Federer's failings in the first-round all came while he had a coach.

"Federer's the kind of guy that if things aren't 100 percent right, then he could really struggle," McEnroe said. "Whereas someone like a Roddick, even if he's not playing as well especially with Gilbert by his side, he's sort of figured out how to win a lot of those matches. That's key. That's going to be the big question for Federer this year: is he going to be able to win matches where he's not playing well? Because we know when he's playing well, he's pretty darn tough for anybody (to beat). Maybe having a coach could be a factor, but that's something that's dogged him so far (losing in the opening round of majors) even with a coach."

A trio of former top-ranked players — Lleyton Hewitt, Marat Safin and Carlos Moya — are capable contenders in McEnroe's mind. Both Moya and Safin are former finalists at the Australian Open and while Hewitt has never surpassed the fourth round of his home Slam, the Rebound Ace surface is ideally-suited for his counter-punching style.

"The big question for me are Safin and Hewitt," McEnroe said. "How much of a factor can they be coming back this year?" McEnroe said. "Safin (returning) from the injuries and Hewitt from a disappointing year although he salvaged a lot by helping win Davis Cup. So I think that's going to give him a real boost this year. Moya's a guy to look for in Australia. He won in India and he's played well in Australia. I still think the top three are the three young guys and if those guys play their best, they're still the best players."

Asked to identify darkhorse contenders outside the top 20 who could go deep into the draw, McEnroe picked 1998 Australian Open semifinalist Nicolas Escude, who won the Qatar Championship last weekend and 21-year-old American Robby Ginepri, who was a second-round casualty in his Australian Open debut last January.

"I always look at the guys that do well in the first couple weeks of the year because those are the guys riding high on confidence," McEnroe said. "So you can look at a guy like Escude who won Doha because he's playing well and you don't have much else to go by. I happen to think Ginepri is a guy who has a shot to do well in Australia because he's extremely fit and he's got a very good game for the surface there. I think he's someone that can surprise a lot of people especially in a best-of-five (match) and the conditions are hot. It is hard to predict, but it is generally someone who is playing well going into the tournament."

A talented collection of aspiring American champions includes James Blake, Taylor Dent, Mardy Fish and Ginepri. Typically, many players must experience the pressure of playing into the second week of a major before capturing their first Grand Slam crown. Blake, Dent, Fish and Ginepri have a combined collection of two fourth-round Grand Slam appearances between them with Blake falling to Rainer Schuettler in the fourth round of the Australian last January and Dent retiring from his fourth-round U.S. Open match with Andre Agassi in September.

McEnroe believes experience is invaluable, but not essential to Grand Slam success and says all four young Americans have the ability to play deep into the second week in Melbourne.

"I don't think it's that difficult (to contend at a major without experience). I do think it's difficult to win one," McEnroe said. "I think that someone with limited success could do well. I mean, hell , I got to the semifinals of the Australian Open and these guys are better players than I was. So I think if anyone of them is on it wouldn't shock me to see them in the semis whether its Mardy, Taylor, Robby Ginepri or James Blake. Winning is it is a different story. I think any of those guys is capable of doing it, but the question is can they string together seven matches in two weeks to do it?"

It's a question that will begin to be answered on Monday when the Australian Open gets underway.

Shy
01-14-2004, 11:11 PM
I'll go with none of the top 5.

tangerine_dream
01-15-2004, 01:09 AM
Ginepri as a Darkhorse at he AO? Uh, no.

Deboogle!.
01-15-2004, 01:11 AM
yea.... PMac got some of that Bong I guess.... Robby took Andy's from Kooyong and sent it to PMac so that he'd say that :)

Shy
01-15-2004, 01:11 AM
You never know

Deboogle!.
01-15-2004, 01:12 AM
If any of the young Americans were a darkhorse, I'd pick Taylor based on the way he's played the past couple weeks, not Robby.

Shy
01-15-2004, 01:22 AM
"Federer's the kind of guy that if things aren't 100 percent right, then he could really struggle," McEnroe said. "Whereas someone like a Roddick, even if he's not playing as well especially with Gilbert by his side, he's sort of figured out how to win a lot of those matches. That's key. That's going to be the big question for Federer this year: is he going to be able to win matches where he's not playing well? Because we know when he's playing well, he's pretty darn tough for anybody (to beat). Maybe having a coach could be a factor, but that's something that's dogged him so far (losing in the opening round of majors) even with a coach."

A .
This is why I rather bet my money on Andy although I prefer Roger and JC by far.

J. Corwin
01-15-2004, 01:50 AM
Sure Escude looks like a good pick because of him winning Doha. But what players have won a warm-up AND AO?

Picking Robby was too huge of a stretch.

Tratree
01-15-2004, 04:21 AM
Well, Andre just spanked Roger in straight sets, so I'm pulling for the A-Train to pick up his fifth AO trophy.

MisterQ
01-15-2004, 04:41 AM
Speaking of Robby, noticed that he got the 32 seed this year.

Lisbeth
01-15-2004, 05:24 AM
I think this one is really wide open. Obviously the "big 3" are conternders (though people seem to conviently forgetting that they've only been the "big 3" for a few months!), though none of them have been overwhelming so far this year. We should never write off Agassi while he can walk and breathe, and there's a lot of good, experienced guys out there, including at least 2 very driven and confident Australians. On the right day, any of about 10-15 players could get knocked out early or win the whole thing.

If I absolutely had to bet, I'd say Agassi.

Incidentally, does McEnroe really honestly believe that one of these days Blake will play Ginepri for a slam after beating Fish and Dent in the semis? Because he gives wacky predictions like he does ... still, at least this time he deigned to include Ferrero and Federer with Roddick and Agassi, must have been quite an effort for him!

Chloe le Bopper
01-15-2004, 05:35 AM
Sure Escude looks like a good pick because of him winning Doha. But what players have won a warm-up AND AO?

Picking Robby was too huge of a stretch.
Escude is also a former semifinalist (who isn't?) and the only player who gave Andre a decent match last year.

Chloe le Bopper
01-15-2004, 05:39 AM
If the draw does him some favours, I can't look past Agassi - again. It will be interesting to see come tomorrow, how the draw pans out :cool:

heya
01-15-2004, 06:22 AM
PMac isn't known for his problem solving skills and
wise decisions.

safinagirly
01-15-2004, 09:31 AM
im sure that marat will be in final against juan carlos

Aurora
01-15-2004, 09:45 AM
Close the topic; you all heard the girl, she's sure!

safinagirly
01-15-2004, 09:48 AM
please vote on the poll

safinagirly
01-15-2004, 09:50 AM
swirlingblacklilly what do you want to say im not sure to understand i ask this question to have an idea before the ao what people think that's it

WyverN
01-15-2004, 10:47 AM
I don't think Andre will win - 7 matches best of 5 is beyond him.

Pretty sure Roddick will win but want to have a look at him again tomorrow against Nalbandian

safinagirly
01-15-2004, 11:08 AM
i think that juanqui ,carlos andy (even i hate him) and marat will be to the semi final and you

proth
01-16-2004, 04:19 PM
I think Agassi will win it this year!