Tickle Me Tuesday [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Tickle Me Tuesday

bad gambler
05-22-2006, 11:58 PM
I still have Marach to beat Vinny Ice pending from a couple of days ago, interesting to see he went down from $2.35 to $1.90

Sheva
05-23-2006, 12:18 AM
Marach x Scarponi (to arrive before Belli) @ 2.94

I also wanted to back Marach earlier but line changed really fast...Wish i had that 2.35 line..I don't like the other matches..Horna and Davydenko look like sure wins but odds are too low for me..Seppi is not to be trusted completely, i think 1.36 is too low for him..

Is there World Team Cup play tommorow?

The Undertaker
05-23-2006, 01:11 AM
Acasuso X Davydenko X Horna X Seppi 200 to win 450.

bad gambler
05-23-2006, 02:34 AM
Yes there are World team matches tomorrow as well

Anders
05-23-2006, 02:35 AM
WTD: 2-0 +3.93 units


Dusseldorf

Volandri +145 o Berdych (1)
Vik -145 o Sanguinetti (1)

andrew057
05-23-2006, 06:12 AM
I still have Marach to beat Vinny Ice pending from a couple of days ago, interesting to see he went down from $2.35 to $1.90

$1.85 at pinnacle now. Might have to fade the public :D

Freeze17171
05-23-2006, 06:36 AM
Hate to back Berdych, but he is a better player than Volandri and Volandri has been a great fade on clay as of late.

dbnumberone
05-23-2006, 07:01 AM
Back from a Nevada golf trip (flew in & out of but no time in Vegas)
I like Horna a lot here against Moodie who hasn't played in a month & a half & sucks on clay
Bet to win 5 units on Horna
Gl all!

Jaap
05-23-2006, 08:28 AM
Vik seems pretty good value against Sanguinetti. Vik looked very good against Gaudio and must be very confident. Sanguinetti is very much in the twilight of his career and only beat Kolhschreiber on Sunday because Kohl picked up an injury when 3-0 up in the final set. Vik should have the tools to beat the ageing Italian.

So Vik to beat Saguinetti @ £1.62

Might double or treble that up with others as well.

Midnight Express
05-23-2006, 08:40 AM
Sanguinetti over Vik 2:1 @4.4 for me, on the other hand, he is going to play 2nd. So no pressure after Berdie victory...but still I don't trust this guy.

Mr Flamboyant
05-23-2006, 09:07 AM
Can anyone explain the $1.45 for Gilles Muller to beat Leonardo Azzaro .. ? Muller has been having a decent season on the clay, making the third round at Estorill and improving his ranking to 66 in the world.

Meantime Aazzaro has spent most of his time on the challenger circut and is ranked a distant 309th in the world.

Unless Muller is carrying an injury or illness into today, he should be miles shorter than $1.45 to take care of Azzaro..? Thoughts?

Mr Flamboyant
05-23-2006, 09:11 AM
Tonight's "DON'T TOUCH!" would surely have to be Gaudio (at $1.50 vs Kiefer) after his insipid performance against Vik yesterday ..

Freeze17171
05-23-2006, 09:23 AM
Can anyone explain the $1.45 for Gilles Muller to beat Leonardo Azzaro .. ? Muller has been having a decent season on the clay, making the third round at Estorill and improving his ranking to 66 in the world.

Meantime Aazzaro has spent most of his time on the challenger circut and is ranked a distant 309th in the world.

Unless Muller is carrying an injury or illness into today, he should be miles shorter than $1.45 to take care of Azzaro..? Thoughts?

Muller isn't exactly the most consistent player to be backing at heavy chalk. He beat Lapentti and Christophe Rochus at Estoril, which isn't all that impressive. He has also lost to Waske, Vicente, and Schuettler and really hasn't had a win over a quality opponent yet. I have no idea what type of game Azzaro has, but he did beat Gasquet and Gremelmayr in qualifying which is pretty impressive, and he took GGL to three close sets in Estoril.

Nimrodg
05-23-2006, 09:33 AM
Roland Garros Qualies:
Crivoi X Korolev X Gabashvili @ 2.98
Beck X Sela X Tuksar X Navarro Pastor@ 8.97

Mr Flamboyant
05-23-2006, 09:41 AM
Yeah but $1.45 still looks pretty generous against the calibre of opponent he's up against ?

Mr Flamboyant
05-23-2006, 09:49 AM
What about Ramirez-Hidalgo over Lapentti .. the latter has been absolutely awwwwweful this year .. and RRH is in pretty good form with wins over Coria and Safin in Rome before a hard fought three set loss to Ancic ..

i2ooney
05-23-2006, 10:49 AM
hey guys, long time no see

had some mild success lately, been trying to follow the women's tour in preparation for the french and wimbledon

today i've plumped for berdych, kiefer and acasuso @ 4.67

feel kiefer might have enough to beat Gaudio, Berdych, well if he serves well he could beat Volandri easily, and I decided Acasuso was the safest choice out of the rest!

gl!!!

p.s. god, if you exist, please reward us humble mtf gamblers in the near future with large victories

Ays25
05-23-2006, 11:02 AM
acasuso lost to waske on clay 2-0
1.20 is not the odds for that match..
its in germany remember

i2ooney
05-23-2006, 11:06 AM
I knew I had messed it up before I put the bet on, hopefully kiefer doesn't beat gaudio so i don't have to watch waske destroy my dreams.

i have strange logic huh? lol

im gonna give up betting, im useless, im like henman, im past it, ill never win wimbledon

i hate waske. i feel like acasuso has already lost.

i2ooney
05-23-2006, 11:08 AM
i didnt even consider the dusseldorf scenario until it was too late

i2ooney
05-23-2006, 11:08 AM
I'm no wayne rooney that's for sure. im so embarrased. i bet on acasuso blindly, i always do these things.

g35-great
05-23-2006, 11:13 AM
relax man... dont follow someone like a goat... bet based on your opinion

i2ooney
05-23-2006, 11:20 AM
I can't relax, honestly, I'm stressed :)

I mean I might lose £5. lol

g35-great
05-23-2006, 11:50 AM
I can't relax, honestly, I'm stressed :)

I mean I might lose £5. lol

u are a high roller like Nimrodg eh :wavey:

Horatio Caine
05-23-2006, 12:03 PM
relax man... dont follow someone like a goat... bet based on your opinion

I support that 100%. If you have enough knowledge and resources available to research matches - go with your own thoughts. I find that the majority of times I tail someone I lose...probably because you're not really confident about that match-up after all....

andrew057
05-23-2006, 12:46 PM
Yeah but $1.45 still looks pretty generous against the calibre of opponent he's up against ?

I just took Muller $1.63 @ Pinnacle.

Cornincrap
05-23-2006, 01:03 PM
Azzaro :wavey:

2.50

TwistyServe
05-23-2006, 01:16 PM
Been on vacation.. still am.. going to make a play on

Monaco (1.35) x Taylor Hicks to win American Idol on Wednesday (1.55) @2.09

Sorry back to my vacation :)

bad gambler
05-23-2006, 01:18 PM
Azzaro :wavey:

2.50


Won on Marach, got some spare cash to burn

First time in a very long time I am backing a player I have no idea about, Muller has been brutal all year

I'm with ya, gl

betowiec
05-23-2006, 02:00 PM
i have 2 plays for today:

1) monaco
2) monaco and seppi

bad gambler
05-23-2006, 02:04 PM
relax man... dont follow someone like a goat... bet based on your opinion


Initially when I read this I thought to myself this is great advice, then I looked at who posted

enough said

Nimrodg
05-23-2006, 02:35 PM
Initially when I read this I thought to myself this is great advice, then I looked at who posted

enough said

:lol:

g35-great
05-23-2006, 02:40 PM
Initially when I read this I thought to myself this is great advice, then I looked at who posted

enough said

well i spoke from experiance (following your guys tips for the past 1 year in tennis) :rolleyes:

Horatio Caine
05-23-2006, 03:05 PM
well i spoke from experiance (following your guys tips for the past 1 year in tennis) :rolleyes:

:haha: Best advice is to follow no-one....I very rarely do.

That said, we seem to have got rid of most of the idiots who thought they could bet well and kick others so maybe the remaining guys are good to follow now and then :shrug:

Be your own boss :cool:

i2ooney
05-23-2006, 03:30 PM
Just to clarify, I don't ever tail other people's suggestions, I am my own man. I was simply expressing the fact that I didn't put enough thought into the Acasuso match, I just thought of his performances last week and felt that was enough to guarantee victory. It was not a good bet at the odds I got, at all. I have very high standards and am very hard on myself. I was disappointed in myself at what I felt was an oversight. If I continue to make these errors I won't get anywhere. The way the Waske match has gone so far has proved the original poster was correct in predicting trouble, and I was right to pick up on those vibes..

Waske is not in the same league as Acasuso but Acasuso's attitude is not there. I think whether Acasuso wins or not, it was a poor selection. So it's more about me than anyone else. As for Kiefer beating Gaudio, well I don't know about that either. That's why I only put £5 on this bet.

But if anyone thinks they can ever be totally sure about most tennis matches is not living in reality. I've been a punter long enough to know that! For example, who could have predicted Dementieva would fight from 1 set down and 5-2 down vs Henin and win. Who could say that Ancic was going to beat Blake when Blake had the match in his hands? To suggest listening to other people's thoughts is a sign of weakness is completely ignorant IMHO. If anything, it shows strength. Plus I was being OTT in my comments, just for entertainment purposes, you guys need to lighten up.

Freeze17171
05-23-2006, 03:34 PM
Wow Birdman, dominant win...

As for Gaudio/Kiefer, I think Kiefer definitely has value at +150 to +180, wherever you got him. Gaudio is a much more seasoned clay courter, but right now he is a mess losing three out of his last 4 clay matches to Malisse, Simon, and Vik here at the Team Championships. Once his head goes, he goes and I could see Kiefer pissing Gaudio off very easily.

i2ooney
05-23-2006, 03:39 PM
Hi Freeze

I think we all look out for potential Gaudio or Coria defeats...but I fear this time Kiefer will just make too many unforced errors. Gaudio will have a lot of patience. I do hope Kiefer can win the first set, I think that is vital for him to win this match. Gaudio was a little unlucky against Vik, and Simon played awesome last week. Gaudio will not want to lose another match on clay before the French. It will be a very interesting match, and I think we'll learn a lot about both players.

Freeze17171
05-23-2006, 03:40 PM
acasuso lost to waske on clay 2-0
1.20 is not the odds for that match..
its in germany remember

Its bad enough when you post false scores in the tournament gameday thread, but posting false results in here is straight up ridiculous. Stop it.

Nimrodg
05-23-2006, 03:43 PM
Its bad enough when you post false scores in the tournament gameday thread, but posting false results in here is straight up ridiculous. Stop it.
This is ain't false score. he is right - check out in the ATP site
http://www.atptennis.com/en/players/headtohead/head2head.asp?player1=Acasuso%2C+Jose&player2=Waske%2C+Alexander&playernum2=W300
2005
Stuttgart, Clay, R32
Germany
Clay
R32
Waske
5 7 4 6

Freeze17171
05-23-2006, 03:48 PM
My mistake, thought he was saying he lost today, didn't look at the time close enough.

Nimrodg
05-23-2006, 04:06 PM
Roland Garros Qualies:
Crivoi X Korolev X Gabashvili @ 2.98
Beck X Sela X Tuksar X Navarro Pastor@ 8.97

Well, almost a perfect day...
1st bet lost: Korolev won, Crivoi lost, and Gaba is up a break in the 3rd

2nd bet won: beck won 6-4 6-1, Sela won in 3 sets, tuksar and Pastor in 2

:yeah:

i2ooney
05-23-2006, 04:06 PM
Kiefer's gonna win!!!!!

i2ooney
05-23-2006, 04:17 PM
Nimrod that's awesome! class! quality! well done.

I can truthfully say I've only heard of 4 of those players and if you have had the patience and mind to follow them recently, well in lad. that second bet is something to savour.

I wish I had gone for Shaughnessy, Seppi, Marach and Horna, but I bottled it.

You rule. Kiefer is going to lose!

The Undertaker
05-23-2006, 04:32 PM
I will never again bet on Gabashvili, he is killing my nerves.

The Undertaker
05-23-2006, 04:33 PM
0-40 Gaba :) don`t waste it.

Cornincrap
05-23-2006, 04:57 PM
Azzaro :wavey:

2.50
:sad: Azzaro why couldnt you just take one of your 8 BP's

tennis_freak67
05-23-2006, 09:09 PM
Roddick to beat Massu - 3 units to win 2.22

TwistyServe
05-25-2006, 03:25 PM
Been on vacation.. still am.. going to make a play on

Monaco (1.35) x Taylor Hicks to win American Idol on Wednesday (1.55) @2.09

Sorry back to my vacation :)

Win

1-0 WTD