Trump Thursday [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Trump Thursday

TwistyServe
04-26-2006, 06:46 PM
My play of the day:

Almagro over Coria @2.10 taken yesterday.. The odds are around 1.95 now though.

Almagro has the game to match Coria. Sure if Coria could serve he'd probably win 6-4, 6-4. Since Coria cant hold serve these days, all Almagro has to do is hold a few service games of his own and he'll lock this match in the bag. Predictions: 6-2, 6-3 Almagro.

Previous meeting was when coria was on that 30+ win streak on clay. Score was 3-6 6-4 7-5 for Coria. Coria ends up losing to Federer in that hamburg finals..

1-2 WTD

sports freak
04-26-2006, 07:17 PM
My play of the day:

Almagro over Coria @2.10 taken yesterday.. The odds are around 1.95 now though.

Almagro has the game to match Coria. Sure if Coria could serve he'd probably win 6-4, 6-4. Since Coria cant hold serve these days, all Almagro has to do is hold a few service games of his own and he'll lock this match in the bag. Predictions: 6-2, 6-3 Almagro.

Previous meeting was when coria was on that 30+ win streak on clay. Score was 3-6 6-4 7-5 for Coria. Coria ends up losing to Federer in that hamburg finals..

1-2 WTD

Sometimes 30+ game streaks got come to an end or your not as motivate after winning that much games,while after a loss you seem to put more effort n after a hiding you put more effort,therefor Coria mustve been not as desperate to win with 30+ in a row,Like i said this game could come down to who's more HUNGRIER/DESPERATE to win this game but in sayin so all the pts read Almagro!!!There nuffin like what Coria doesnt mind doing an thats ruining the party!!

I hope it pulls through for ya,im tempted on putting abit on it myself since you seen Nico play more often then not and like his chances!!!

Sambuca
04-26-2006, 07:39 PM
why Korolev is favourite by books? Ivo is a great server and he is a sufficient player on clay too....Korolev has not experience to go so far in a tournment so important! He lost to Darcis 2 weeks ago...i think his level is until Darcis and Moya! what do you think? @2.20 is a good odd for Ivo!

Another idea is Gicquel over Horna at Casablanca.I think is a good claycounter and Horna is not a constant player. What do you think? i haven't seen Gicquel..

Horatio Caine
04-26-2006, 09:11 PM
First off - I agree with Almagro perhaps taking out Coria...but Twisty you must bear in mind that he has an excellent return game...he could break Almagro 3 times in a set. Yes he is serving poorly, but that didn't stop him coming back from 1/6 1/5 against Mathieu - he still had to hold twice to prevent himself going out in the 2nd set! As for your scoreline prediction - what is the point? :p

I need some advice here please...

1. How does Korolev play - has he got a strong serve? Is he good at returning...how is he at the baseline?

2. Have a strong lean on Robredo over Verdasco...this may shock many, and it shocks me as I already unsuccessfully opposed him against Calleri...but is there any reason why this might not work?

Thanks

TwistyServe
04-26-2006, 09:24 PM
Yes he is serving poorly, but that didn't stop him coming back from 1/6 1/5 against Mathieu - he still had to hold twice to prevent himself going out in the 2nd set!

Aye coria had a few lucky pts to hold and come back to beat PHM. He had to deal with multple 2nd seves at 15-30 and 30-40. By chance Coria didn't throw in a double during those pts. PHM is a choker and never took advantage of Coria's weak serve. Instead he just rolled the ball back into play and hoped he'd win the pt.

I think Almagro will be too much for Coria tomorrow. Yes theres a chance Coria can take this.. hell we've seen lots of weird stuff happen. And of course this isn't a match ya want to bet the bank on :)

Sambuca
04-26-2006, 09:27 PM
crazy odds for Karlovic!!!

Jaap
04-26-2006, 09:30 PM
Karlovic to beat Korolev @ 2.150

Karlovic has been serving like a beast this week having not dropped his serve once. Korolev is a great talent but won't have faced anyone like Karlovic in his short career.
Its always a bit of a risk betting on Karlovic but I feel he will win here.

Jaap
04-26-2006, 10:30 PM
My play of the day:

Almagro over Coria @2.10 taken yesterday.. The odds are around 1.95 now though.

Almagro has the game to match Coria. Sure if Coria could serve he'd probably win 6-4, 6-4. Since Coria cant hold serve these days, all Almagro has to do is hold a few service games of his own and he'll lock this match in the bag. Predictions: 6-2, 6-3 Almagro.

Previous meeting was when coria was on that 30+ win streak on clay. Score was 3-6 6-4 7-5 for Coria. Coria ends up losing to Federer in that hamburg finals..

1-2 WTD
I'm always wary of betting in Coria matches. It doesn't do my heart too good. ;)
Almagro is good value though....I'm going to stay away from it however.

Andre♥
04-26-2006, 10:35 PM
Loving Stepanek over Mathieu @1.83

What do you think?

George_Hanson
04-26-2006, 10:53 PM
Thursday - bad day for betting. Show me the match and I will show you kazyllion reasons why I won't bet on this match.

Horatio Caine
04-26-2006, 11:24 PM
Thursday - bad day for betting. Show me the match and I will show you kazyllion reasons why I won't bet on this match.

I agree with you 100%. I have leans on Robredo and Almagro and both could win or lose...not clear cut.

I think I'll stay away today - good luck anyone playing! :yeah:

George_Hanson
04-26-2006, 11:32 PM
I agree with you 100%. I have leans on Robredo and Almagro and both could win or lose...not clear cut.

I think I'll stay away today - good luck anyone playing! :yeah:

Even Rafael Nadal will lose on clay someday. Coria is the good guy to stop red-hot Almagro. The question is: "is he good enough?". The answer is: "maybe, maybe not..." Coria can make Almagro cry with his court coverage, but on the other hand Coria can make me cry if he makes 160 double faults. I want to see Coria serving underarm and then I would go with 8/10 on him with these odds

Anders
04-27-2006, 02:37 AM
YTD: 102-120 +36.98 units

WTD: 3-5 -0.65 units

Pending:

Almagro +110 o Coria (1.5)

adding:

Verdasco +167 o Robredo (1)

GL all

bad gambler
04-27-2006, 03:23 AM
Coria to beat Almagro - $2.10

gl

bad gambler
04-27-2006, 03:29 AM
Loving Stepanek over Mathieu @1.83

What do you think?


You can get Stepanek as a dog in most places like Pinny

bad gambler
04-27-2006, 03:36 AM
why Korolev is favourite by books? Ivo is a great server and he is a sufficient player on clay too....Korolev has not experience to go so far in a tournment so important! He lost to Darcis 2 weeks ago...i think his level is until Darcis and Moya! what do you think? @2.20 is a good odd for Ivo!

.


Lol you could have fooled me over the past few years :lol:

Mr Flamboyant
04-27-2006, 03:42 AM
That's a brave punt BG .. Almagro's red hot on clay at the moment .. I believe he's won 10 straight on his pet surface .. Meantime Coria's been affected by the tennis equivalent of the "yips" when serving ..

Andre♥
04-27-2006, 03:44 AM
I am yet to see a Coria's game this year, so how does he make so many DF? He takes risks at the 2nd serves?

betowiec
04-27-2006, 05:12 AM
Coria is a dog.........well i am taking him anyway

125$ at 2.11

bad gambler
04-27-2006, 05:23 AM
I am yet to see a Coria's game this year, so how does he make so many DF? He takes risks at the 2nd serves?


Just comes down to a lack of confidence and the more he does it, just snowballs

Finns4
04-27-2006, 05:28 AM
Id take Coria, but Sportstab have him @ 1.93 they are such rip off merchants, Ill wait to see what happens late,

I know Coria isnt playing his best, but i saw a major glimps off the coria of old in the lose to Gaudio

bad gambler
04-27-2006, 05:31 AM
Id take Coria, but Sportstab have him @ 1.93 they are such rip off merchants, Ill wait to see what happens late,

I know Coria isnt playing his best, but i saw a major glimps off the coria of old in the lose to Gaudio


when did he play Gaudio? :scratch:

sports freak
04-27-2006, 05:32 AM
Loving Stepanek over Mathieu @1.83

What do you think?

Radek has had a couple of tough games in his last couple of games,wonder if it will be a factor!!!!Although still leaning on Radek,mentally alot tougher!!!

sports freak
04-27-2006, 05:39 AM
Big Ivo 1.90 looks really good imo also!!!Also Stepanek 2.00 is a good shot while the dogs of the day could go to Stan THE MAN Wawrinka 3.35 over Ferrer,just look at matchups got to give Stan a go!!!Still leaning on Nico Almagro 1.75 but not gonna play it!!!

Andre♥
04-27-2006, 05:54 AM
I'll open the day with two underdogs: Karlovic and Almagro

If Davydenko in three sets couldn't break Karlovic, I think 2 or 3 bad service games by Korolev will give big Ivo the win.

Almagro for the reasons everybody gave in here.

After what I saw him doing against Safin, I'll bet on him in every game excluding when he faces Federer or Nadal.

Andre♥
04-27-2006, 05:59 AM
Hmm, I'm leaning on Gicquel to beat Horna...

Jaap
04-27-2006, 08:11 AM
Also taking Waske to beat Bracialli @ 11/10.

Not sure why Waske is the underdog for this match. He has been in better form this season and is alright on clay,

Freddy
04-27-2006, 08:27 AM
Good poins here, guys. But too few discussion for Ferrer-Wawrinka matchup. When I get into bet365 and saw Stan for 3.5, I was pretty much surprised. Expected smth about 2.5.

H2H is pretty close, and according to the last match stats, Stan is doing much better on his serve than Ferrer. I saw last Andy, and David seemed to be too lazy, or unmotivated.

Well, Stan usually fights till the last ball, and I'm taking him at these huge odds.

$@M
04-27-2006, 09:04 AM
surprise not to see anyone mention Vanek to beat Phau @ 1.70 ... I think this is Gold...

2 plays tonight for me :

Vanek over Phau @ 1.70 (5 units)
Gicquel over Lucho @ 2.55 (3 units)

Horatio Caine
04-27-2006, 09:10 AM
surprise not to see anyone mention Vanek to beat Phau @ 1.70 ... I think this is Gold...

2 plays tonight for me :

Vanek over Phau @ 1.70 (5 units)
Gicquel over Lucho @ 2.55 (3 units)

Vanek plays tomorrow and I already have my eyes on that one ;)

Still tempted by Robredo...might decide later whether I play

Finns4
04-27-2006, 09:30 AM
when did he play Gaudio? :scratch:


lol mad day @ the office

somehow i got gaudio v nadal & PHM V Coria mixed up!


SO 2 REPEAT

WIN OVER PHM


Going Coria $1.93

Just one of those days BGGGGGG

Jaap
04-27-2006, 09:43 AM
Coria down to 2.00....have to take that.

SwiSha
04-27-2006, 09:46 AM
Stepanek to beat Mathieu @ 2.15

good luck

betowiec
04-27-2006, 09:48 AM
ok i am adding 165$ to my coria's wager, altogether $290 on the weasel

TwistyServe
04-27-2006, 11:26 AM
My play of the day:

Almagro over Coria @2.10 taken yesterday.. The odds are around 1.95 now though.

Almagro has the game to match Coria. Sure if Coria could serve he'd probably win 6-4, 6-4. Since Coria cant hold serve these days, all Almagro has to do is hold a few service games of his own and he'll lock this match in the bag. Predictions: 6-2, 6-3 Almagro.

1-2 WTD

Wins!

2-2 WTD.

Sorry my prediction of 6-2, 6-3 was a little off. Was easier than expected.

bad gambler
04-27-2006, 11:28 AM
Coria to beat Almagro - $2.10

gl


that is one to forget

Bet lost

Adding:

Stepanek to beat Mathieu - $2.00

gl

Nimrodg
04-27-2006, 12:15 PM
Mathieu X Nuggets @ 2.52
Polish doubles X Aspelin/Perry @3.38

betowiec
04-27-2006, 12:31 PM
ok i am adding 165$ to my coria's wager, altogether $290 on the weasel


thanks coria for showing up

Jaap
04-27-2006, 12:32 PM
Karlovic to beat Korolev @ 2.150

Karlovic has been serving like a beast this week having not dropped his serve once. Korolev is a great talent but won't have faced anyone like Karlovic in his short career.
Its always a bit of a risk betting on Karlovic but I feel he will win here.
Finally a win.....just.

Ivo still hasn't dropped his serve this week.

Horatio Caine
04-27-2006, 12:33 PM
LMAO - should have taken Almagro. As Freak would say: "Pound that puppy!!!! No worries!!!!!!!!!" I'll take a leaf out of his book next time ;)

My luck for today will be complete if Robredo beats Verdasco.

I'll stay away until tomorrow. Ciao

betowiec
04-27-2006, 12:36 PM
ferrer to stop wawa 0.35K at 1.389

5:5 wtd

Sheva
04-27-2006, 12:37 PM
2 parlays today:

Karlovic x Horna
Almagro x Mayer

Jaap
04-27-2006, 12:59 PM
Just added Waske to beat Bracciali @ 11/10

Sheva
04-27-2006, 01:16 PM
Added another one:

Waske x Robredo

betowiec
04-27-2006, 02:31 PM
ferrer to stop wawa 0.35K at 1.389

5:5 wtd


what a joke match by ferrer

5:6 wtd

today 0:2 and 640$ FOR the bookies

olix
04-27-2006, 03:12 PM
Can't wait to see Ferrero getting dismantled tomorrow.

Sambuca
04-27-2006, 03:24 PM
very good predictions about Almagro-Coria! congratulations!!

good Karlovic for me! :D

and now Rochus C. to beat Mayer..

Sheva
04-27-2006, 03:35 PM
Added another one:

Waske x Robredo

Auch.... :devil:

SwiSha
04-27-2006, 06:08 PM
Stepanek to beat Mathieu @ 2.15

good luck


:cool:

bad gambler
04-27-2006, 06:30 PM
Adding:

Stepanek to beat Mathieu - $2.00

gl


win

Horatio Caine
04-28-2006, 11:46 AM
LMAO - should have taken Almagro. As Freak would say: "Pound that puppy!!!! No worries!!!!!!!!!" I'll take a leaf out of his book next time ;)

My luck for today will be complete if Robredo beats Verdasco.

I'll stay away until tomorrow. Ciao

LMAO - both guys come in and I didn't put my money where my mouth is. Hopefully Nico will honour me today