Dream Final Sunday [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Dream Final Sunday

Andre♥
04-22-2006, 05:17 PM
Odds are not out yet, but I'll take Federer to win tomorrow, even if he's not the underdog.

I watched both semis today and Federer looks better than Nadal right now.

Too many stupid UE by the spaniard and Federer will give everything to win tomorrow.

TwistyServe
04-22-2006, 05:30 PM
Already have outrights on Nadal @2.3 and @2.150

Probably leave it as that unless Fed has some value than i'd hedge some of it since Fed looked too good and Nadal looked aweful.

betowiec
04-22-2006, 05:59 PM
fedex is priced at 1.847

Rafa @ 2.08

didn't think the odds on Fedex would be higher than 1.6

the odds just changed to 1.909 for Roger
and 2.00 for Rafa

TwistyServe
04-22-2006, 06:33 PM
Gonna keep my two Nadal outrights @2.3 and 2.150 and not hedge a dime.

Fed has shown he can play on clay but he has NOT shown he can beat Nadal on clay! Theres a difference! Lets see what happens when Nadal gets that big forehand riding up Fed's backhand! Also this is best of 5 sets so favor goes to Nadal IMO.

Prediction Nadal 4-1.

Also, Nadal doesnt fear fed like the rest of the crowd. I beleive Fed fears Nadal though :angel:

betowiec
04-22-2006, 06:36 PM
Gonna keep my two Nadal outrights @2.3 and 2.150 and not hedge a dime.

Fed has shown he can play on clay but he has NOT shown he can beat Nadal on clay! Theres a difference! Lets see what happens when Nadal gets that big forehand riding up Fed's backhand! Also this is best of 5 sets so favor goes to Nadal IMO.

Prediction Nadal 4-1.

Also, Nadal doesnt fear fed like the rest of the crowd. I beleive Fed fears Nadal though :angel:


4-1 :rolleyes:

TwistyServe
04-22-2006, 06:38 PM
4-1 :rolleyes:

Opps, im thinking too much about NBA :)

bournerdan
04-22-2006, 07:59 PM
Opps, im thinking too much about NBA :)

On the other hand I reckon you'd get some brilliant odds on 4-1 Nadal!

elroyf
04-22-2006, 08:33 PM
Nadal for me.

Federer has played better tennis this week but I think Nadal's game will beat Federer's on the day. Good odds for Nadal as well. Also 3-1 head to head does mean something, possibly psychologically against Federer.

Lebowski
04-22-2006, 08:44 PM
waiting for props and handicap

Horatio Caine
04-22-2006, 10:10 PM
Went with Nadal @ 2.1 OUTRIGHT before the SF - keeping it.

Fed may be playing great stuff but that counts for little if you can't beat a nemesis. He has only beaten Nadal once, and even then he had to recover from 0/2 sets and a break - and that was on hardcourts. Until Fed proves he can beat Nadal, and relatively comfortably, I will continue to bet against him. He will figure him out eventually, but as this match-up is on clay, I'd like to oppose him for a little bit longer :angel:

Good luck everyone! :yeah:

bad gambler
04-22-2006, 11:05 PM
Nadal is the dog at $2.10 to win??? :haha: :haha: :haha:

Freeze17171
04-22-2006, 11:31 PM
Still got my Nadal outright from the beginning at 2.45, not hedging it one bit especially with the ridiculous line having Federer the favorite.

sports freak
04-23-2006, 12:08 AM
Nadal is the dog at $2.10 to win??? :haha: :haha: :haha:

Are you SERIOUS??Now thats Freakish shit!!!!Gaudio was a tougher oppnent then Gonzalez was,also like someone said Nadal doesnt fear Fed X unlike some players and especially on Clay is his home and nobody else's!!!!Definetely gonna have somethin on Rafa,3-1 Rafa is most likely but a thriller 5 setter isnt out of the question i guess!!!

Sheva
04-23-2006, 12:41 AM
My gut tells me to go with FedEx! I have seen him play a couple of times this week and he really impressed me, while Nadal isn't at his best yet. It feels really strange to bet against Rafa on the dirt, but i am gonna do it tomorrow.

betowiec
04-23-2006, 12:55 AM
My gut tells me to go with FedEx! I have seen him play a couple of times this week and he really impressed me, while Nadal isn't at his best yet. It feels really strange to bet against Rafa on the dirt, but i am gonna do it tomorrow.

i am with you Sheva just have to decide how much to bet on Rog

sports freak
04-23-2006, 01:01 AM
My gut tells me to go with FedEx! I have seen him play a couple of times this week and he really impressed me, while Nadal isn't at his best yet. It feels really strange to bet against Rafa on the dirt, but i am gonna do it tomorrow.

Just look at what Rafa done to those Argentenian Clay Court Specailist - Coria /Gaudio, its enough to get you thinking??? Plus Rafa power ground strokes will trouble the Fed n his serve will keep him in the game!!!Rafa all the way imo!!!!

bad gambler
04-23-2006, 01:01 AM
Nadal to beat Federer - $2.11

I think if I wait a bit more I would probably get a better price

Also bit of fun with the set betting action when the lines come out:

Nadal to win 3-0: $7.00
Nadal to win 3-1: $4.35

be lucky

Ays25
04-23-2006, 01:59 AM
well if we compare the performances so far this week, fed looked really very impressive on his least favourite surface.
nadal was troubled few times.. and he came thru at the end.
but the thing is nadal lost his serve very easily a lot of times and gave tons of break points 0-40 situations .. as he faced weak servers he broke them back.. but can he do it against a consistent server like federer?
fed cut down his unforced errors and figured out how to play on clay for sure.
the big Q is does he really know how to beat nadal? logic says he knows and
i have the feeling that federer will win this but after laughing to my friends for backing him vs nadal the last two times.. its hard to bet against nadal.
the best thing is follow the first few games and do a live bet.

Anders
04-23-2006, 02:28 AM
Monte Carlo


WTD: 7-10 -1.16 units



Masters Series Monte Carlo

Nadal +112 o Federer (1.5)

Corey Feldman
04-23-2006, 02:43 AM
Nadal @2.00 over Fed..

bad luck to me and all other Rafa backers.

Be Unlucky

TwistyServe
04-23-2006, 03:48 AM
Well well this whole board is on Nadal.. lets hope for the best :)

betowiec
04-23-2006, 03:52 AM
Well well this whole board is on Nadal.. lets hope for the best :)


i am on Roger

$575 on Roger at 1.833

Finns4
04-23-2006, 05:40 AM
Fed for me, based on the form last few days...... its gonna b very interesting wit the French so close, maybe back Fed now for French outright??!

$@M
04-23-2006, 07:35 AM
Roger for me as well @ 1.80 ~ :)

sports freak
04-23-2006, 09:52 AM
Rafa @ 2.00 to the Bank,no reciepts no Bloody Worries!!!Rafa beat Fed on his unpreferred surface now playin the Man on CLAY,geez this could get ugly if Rog dont happen to turn up or switched on!!!Rafa got his number lately and especially now on CLAY!!!!

30 units on Rafa (Clay God ) Nadal @ 2.00 over Roger Federer - Wrong type of play ground to take on the champ who had an unbelieveable Clay court record last yr!!!Rafa on Clay is even alot harder then Lubo in Indoors!!!Almost like someone backing against the Fed in Wimbledon!!!Show me the Money Rafaaaaaaaaa

Good luck!!!

sports freak
04-23-2006, 09:55 AM
Fed for me, based on the form last few days...... its gonna b very interesting wit the French so close, maybe back Fed now for French outright??!

If he beats Rafa,no doubt the French is only a grasp away for the great man!!But insayin so his gotta climb Mt Everest 2nite n find out!!!

SadrieL
04-23-2006, 12:43 PM
Rafa to the bank @ 2.10 ! NO RECEIPTS NO WORRIES!!!!!

TwistyServe
04-23-2006, 05:29 PM
Gonna keep my two Nadal outrights @2.3 and 2.150 and not hedge a dime.


Prediction Nadal 4-1.



VAMOS RAFA VAMOS VAMOS VAMOS!

8-6 WTD

bad gambler
04-23-2006, 05:32 PM
This one is for the oddsmakers.....

:retard: :retard: :retard: :retard: :retard: :retard:

betowiec
04-23-2006, 05:36 PM
i am on Roger

$575 on Roger at 1.833


loss (3rd time i bet on roger against Rafa)

bad gambler
04-23-2006, 05:37 PM
I don't have the market numbers but I hope the books got killed today

Freeze17171
04-23-2006, 05:38 PM
Don't mess with the King of Clay, well played Rafa...

Freeze17171
04-23-2006, 05:39 PM
I don't have the market numbers but I hope the books got killed today

I don't. I hope they were able to get a lot of bets Feds way by the line and will do it again next time.

TwistyServe
04-23-2006, 05:42 PM
I don't have the market numbers but I hope the books got killed today


According to the poll in the general forum, it was pretty much split between rafa and roger. I'm sure tons of people got burned by fed today. To think this shoulda went straight sets to rafa if he didnt hit those 2 DFs and choke in the 2nd set.

bad gambler
04-23-2006, 05:45 PM
I don't. I hope they were able to get a lot of bets Feds way by the line and will do it again next time.


Fed and Nadal will play on dirt again this season, but the books will wise up for sure - expect Nadal to be priced around $1.70

still too big IMO ;)

bad gambler
04-23-2006, 05:46 PM
Nadal to beat Federer - $2.11

I think if I wait a bit more I would probably get a better price

Also bit of fun with the set betting action when the lines come out:

Nadal to win 3-0: $7.00
Nadal to win 3-1: $4.35

be lucky


won on nadal and 3-1, lost on 3-0

Corey Feldman
04-23-2006, 08:03 PM
easy 20 quid won today, unfortunately

bloody shoulda laid more.

Bilbo
04-23-2006, 10:45 PM
fucking idiot books :D

Horatio Caine
04-24-2006, 01:13 PM
Went with Nadal @ 2.1 OUTRIGHT before the SF - keeping it.

Fed may be playing great stuff but that counts for little if you can't beat a nemesis. He has only beaten Nadal once, and even then he had to recover from 0/2 sets and a break - and that was on hardcourts. Until Fed proves he can beat Nadal, and relatively comfortably, I will continue to bet against him. He will figure him out eventually, but as this match-up is on clay, I'd like to oppose him for a little bit longer :angel:

Thanks Rafa! :yeah: