Theurgist Thursday [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Theurgist Thursday

TwistyServe
04-19-2006, 07:39 PM
Current Odds:

R. Federer 1.020
B. Balleret 36.000

J. C. Ferrero 1.676
D. Ferrer 2.380

I. Ljubicic 1.450
G. Simon 3.020

T. Robredo 2.860
D. Nalbandian 1.485

G. Coria 1.431
N. Kiefe 3.120

G. Gaudio
A. di Mauro

K. Vliegen
R. Nadal

F. Lopez/F. Gonzo
R. Sodo

TwistyServe
04-19-2006, 07:42 PM
Leans on Gonzo, Robredo, and Coria.. Not really excited about the cards.

Gonzo should be solid against Sodo.

Robredo has value at 2.8 and Nalbandian is only at his best in 5 setterse.

Coria should beat Kiefer regardless of 25 DFs but I can only take this bet if the match starts before 4am PST. Can't be awake while this match is going on.

Freeze17171
04-19-2006, 07:49 PM
Isn't Gonzo still playing?

Robredo seems like a good value, Seppi should have closed on David but couldn't do it. Robredo has looked very impressive so far.

Andre♥
04-19-2006, 07:54 PM
Great TwistedServe just jinxed Gonzo.

From 3-1 to 3-5...

Great... :rolleyes:

TwistyServe
04-19-2006, 07:54 PM
Isn't Gonzo still playing?

Robredo seems like a good value, Seppi should have closed on David but couldn't do it. Robredo has looked very impressive so far.

LMAO!

I saw the score before I posted this and thought Lopez would tank the 3rd set and gonzo would win by 2 breaks in the decider.. just checked and looks like Gonzo choked big time!

Freeze17171
04-19-2006, 07:59 PM
Yeah, I hate Gonzo and Lopez right about now.

Andre♥
04-19-2006, 08:06 PM
Sorry Twisted but my post was just to umjinx Gonzo!

It worked 5-5 now with 3 match points saved! :)

Andre♥
04-19-2006, 08:14 PM
It worked! Gonzo def Lopez 6:7 6:2 7:5! :D

Freeze17171
04-19-2006, 08:18 PM
Nice unjinx! Damn Gonzo living on the edge.

betowiec
04-19-2006, 08:42 PM
i am wondering wat the odds on gaston will be?

i don't think i will touch anything lower than 1.4

TennisMan85
04-19-2006, 08:44 PM
for those who are interested, there is a live stream available at http://************************ for this Masters Series Monte-Carlo tournament :)

elroyf
04-19-2006, 08:53 PM
Leans on Coria, Ljubo and Ferrero and decent odds.

TwistyServe
04-19-2006, 10:13 PM
Official play:

Coria over Kiefer @1.431
Robredo over Nalbandian @2.860

Might grab Gaudio or Ferrero but not sure. Ferrer may have played too much tennis these last two days and Ferrero has cruised. Also Ferrero has played with a lot more confidence while Ferrer has had to battle.

Gonna start looking for another book though. I cant do parlays on Pinnacle and I've dumped 5dimes so gotta hang with 1.4s and do a manual parlay here and there.


4-5 WTD

Lebowski
04-19-2006, 10:27 PM
Time to fade Ivan.

Simon over Ljubicic

Horatio Caine
04-19-2006, 10:46 PM
Twisted - please STOP posting false match-ups...you nearly always jinx me when you do it...I got lucky with Gonzo.

Coria and Bandy look good for tomorrow. I agree with Lebowski - if Simon is fit, he has the game to take out Ivan.

Freeze17171
04-19-2006, 10:50 PM
Betting against Ferrer right now kinda scares me, this guy just doesn't quit. Ferrero hasn't really been tested yet so his results while impressive, I'm not sure if he can pull out a close match yet. Ferrer will definitely make it close.

Jaap
04-19-2006, 11:17 PM
Think I'm going to take a day off. Nothing really stands out to me.

bossboss
04-19-2006, 11:30 PM
Think I'm going to take a day off. Nothing really stands out to me.

me too... i had a night yesterday .. i had money on Ferrer and went to bed at 4-1 in third thinking Hrbaty won.. to findout this morning that my bet won.
so i need a break.. as you said no stands .. at least 4-5 matches went to 3 setters yesterday with the lead changes couple of times .. with 3 match points saved in Coria and Gonzo matches... too much suspense for me

The Undertaker
04-20-2006, 02:35 AM
Im 10/11 with Monte Carlo this weak, but im so tired from sitting whole day watching livescores....Im betting on Ljubicic, Ferrero and Coria tommorow...100$...win 300$.

betowiec
04-20-2006, 03:06 AM
Im 10/11 with Monte Carlo this weak, but im so tired from sitting whole day watching livescores....Im betting on Ljubicic, Ferrero and Coria tommorow...100$...win 300$.


you are 10/11 and complaining about being tired........... :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes:

noone tells you you have to follow the livescores or that you have to bet at all

there is a price that we pay for it, sometimes you have to make some sacrifices to get something

Anders
04-20-2006, 03:32 AM
WTD: 5-6 -0.52 units


Simon +238 o Ljubicic (1)
Robredo +186 o Nalby (1)

Ays25
04-20-2006, 04:27 AM
federer and nadal look only safe bets
but vliegen can cause some problems to rafa
kiefer is coria's puppet but coria is dementiava like atm so i'm not sure.
gonzo 1.45 is a nice bet and simon 3.5 also have some value
i just take gonzo x federer @ 1.5

Freeze17171
04-20-2006, 07:03 AM
I don't understand why you would add Federer to a parlay at those odds. It really doesn't add any value to your line and you just run the risk of either player retiring for some reason.

bad gambler
04-20-2006, 07:39 AM
Just the one for the time being....


Ferrer to beat Ferrero - $2.50

Got another doggy to add should this be successful

be lucky

Nimrodg
04-20-2006, 08:25 AM
Santoro/Zimonjic + Bjorkman/Mirnyi + Maccabi TA @ 1.95

Simon X Vliegen+6.5 X Di Mauro+5 @ 8.72

Sheva
04-20-2006, 11:23 AM
One parlay and one single for me:

Coria x Di Mauro. I've rode the Di Mauro train all week. I know Gaudio in form has no problems with Di Mauro. But Gaudio this season on clay doesn't look to good to me. Di Mauro @ 4.85 is a risk i like to take. Small play though.

Simon over Ljubo. Ljubo cannot keep winning on clay. On 'clay rankings' he only ranks 85 or something. He allready won 2 encounters i didn't expect him to win. But now it's over. Simon (@3.38) will beat Ljubo.

betowiec
04-20-2006, 12:22 PM
Just the one for the time being....


Ferrer to beat Ferrero - $2.50

Got another doggy to add should this be successful

be lucky


nice one

Labamba
04-20-2006, 12:31 PM
1 € on Balleret @ 50 :lol:

don't remember ever seeing such a high odds for anyone in tennis before...

Sheva
04-20-2006, 12:40 PM
You could make a nice combo Balleret x Vliegen @ 700 :lol: :silly:

betowiec
04-20-2006, 12:43 PM
1 € on Balleret @ 50 :lol:

don't remember ever seeing such a high odds for anyone in tennis before...


i have 35$ at 41, just in case if this "impossible" outcome occurs

Ays25
04-20-2006, 12:58 PM
i have 35$ at 41, just in case if this "impossible" outcome occurs

nice bet if your bookie pays in case of a federer retirement / injury

i have balleret to win a set @18 just 6$
fed almost lost to a set to 400 ranked el ghareeb on hard so its worth a try

betowiec
04-20-2006, 01:07 PM
nice bet if your bookie pays in case of a federer retirement / injury

i have balleret to win a set @18 just 6$
fed almost lost to a set to 400 ranked el ghareeb on hard so its worth a try

i am only taking it b/c the odds are out of this world, and he is playing on clay against that homie

i need at least 2 sets to be played to have action on the bet (pinnacle voids if there is retirement with less than two sets completed)

Fedex not to win 2:0 at 8something was a good price, lets just wait and see

meanwhile i am taking Coria (again) for $575 at 1.435

Luke
04-20-2006, 01:54 PM
Federer will win Monte Carlo others are not in great form to disturb him. Posible Nadal's upset today against impressive Vliegen, haven;t seen hom on clay yet.. but going fine so far.

Federer is in challenge for Paris.. and has really good chance for winning it.. with new coach it's very possible... that was he's main goal for this season.. that's what he said last year.

bad gambler
04-20-2006, 01:55 PM
Just the one for the time being....


Ferrer to beat Ferrero - $2.50

Got another doggy to add should this be successful

be lucky


win

only came back home now so didn't have time to get on my other play

gl to all for your remaining bets

bad gambler
04-20-2006, 02:16 PM
Federer will win Monte Carlo others are not in great form to disturb him. Posible Nadal's upset today against impressive Vliegen, haven;t seen hom on clay yet.. but going fine so far.

Federer is in challenge for Paris.. and has really good chance for winning it.. with new coach it's very possible... that was he's main goal for this season.. that's what he said last year.


As long as Nadal is still alive in the draw, Federer won't be winning another major dirt tournament

bad gambler
04-20-2006, 02:17 PM
that or if he plays Nadal with one leg, even then I'd have Nadal as favourite

George_Hanson
04-20-2006, 02:37 PM
Whoever says that Federer is able to beat Nadal on clay probably didn't watch their match from Dubai nor from RG last year. Nadal will win playing with his right hand.

Luke
04-20-2006, 03:05 PM
yeah right... why you all are crazy about nadal.. that last season is over when his domination was undisputed. But this year he's not playing like he did last year, injury and better players on tour. he's good.. but not that good to keep winning all the time. Now Federer will show what he can really do.

George_Hanson
04-20-2006, 03:09 PM
yeah right... why you all are crazy about nadal.. that last season is over when his domination was undisputed. But this year he's not playing like he did last year, injury and better players on tour. he's good.. but not that good to keep winning all the time. Now Federer will show what he can really do.

I am not crazy about Nadal. I am crazy about my girlfriend most of all. But the undisputed fact is that Nadal has taken the claycourt game to another dimension last season, while the rest of the field stayed in the previous dimension. It's like shooting to the ghost

Luke
04-20-2006, 03:24 PM
yes.. and it was last season.. let's see what he can do on clay this year. Federer andf the others waiting for him.

George_Hanson
04-20-2006, 04:02 PM
We'll see. Maybe the first test will be in MC final. Who knows ?

Jaap
04-20-2006, 04:40 PM
I've decided to do one bet in the end.

Gonzo to beat Soderling 2-0.

Soderling has been the curse of me all week though. :mad:

TwistyServe
04-20-2006, 04:48 PM
LMAO coria leading 5-1 and now its 5-5.

When Coria was *5-4, he hit 4 DFs in a row, two didn't make it to the net, one went in the middle of the net, and one went to the baseline on Kiefer's side :lol:

Freeze17171
04-20-2006, 04:59 PM
yes.. and it was last season.. let's see what he can do on clay this year. Federer andf the others waiting for him.

He already beat Federer THIS year on HARD. His game gives Federer fits and on clay, its magnified. Until Federer proves he can beat Nadal, if they meet, especially on clay, Nadal is easily the favorite.

Freeze17171
04-20-2006, 05:00 PM
What a special player that Coria...

elroyf
04-20-2006, 06:37 PM
Small play on Soderling over Gonzalez.

3-0 h2h to Soderling and he's beaten 2 good claycourters.

Gonzo struggled against Lopez last round. Should be close but nice value on Soderling.

TwistyServe
04-20-2006, 06:43 PM
Official play:

Coria over Kiefer @1.431
Robredo over Nalbandian @2.860


Wins! Coria coria coria :eek:


6-5 WTD

betowiec
04-20-2006, 06:57 PM
i am only taking it b/c the odds are out of this world, and he is playing on clay against that homie

i need at least 2 sets to be played to have action on the bet (pinnacle voids if there is retirement with less than two sets completed)

Fedex not to win 2:0 at 8something was a good price, lets just wait and see

meanwhile i am taking Coria (again) for $575 at 1.435

1 out of 2 ain't bad at all

TwistyServe
04-20-2006, 07:01 PM
1 out of 2 ain't bad at all

Nice hit on Coria.. Gotta love how he can fight back from 2 breaks down and win the set, but also lose the set from 2 breaks up.

TwistyServe
04-20-2006, 07:07 PM
Also took Nadal outright @2.3 late last night.. Might as well post it here.. I see no one giving Nadal problems until the finals, and even than Nadal will have an edge over Fed.. mentally and physically.

Jaap
04-20-2006, 08:01 PM
I've decided to do one bet in the end.

Gonzo to beat Soderling 2-0.

Soderling has been the curse of me all week though. :mad:
Fucking retirement. Thought I had it in the bag. :mad:
Sums up my luck this week.