Probability of winning the Qatar Open [Archive] -

Probability of winning the Qatar Open

01-04-2004, 01:52 AM
Here are the top chances of winning the tournament:

Rainer Schuettler (GER) 22.5%
Tim Henman (GBR) 10.6%
Sebastien Grosjean (FRA) 7.3%
Mark Philippoussis (AUS) 6.5%
Younes El Aynaoui (MAR) 6.0%
Nicolas Kiefer (GER) 5.0%
Andy Roddick (USA) 4.4%

More information can be found at

01-04-2004, 02:16 AM
uuuhhhhhhh..... ok.....those seem a little odd lol

01-04-2004, 02:21 AM
yes I agree, roddick at 4.4% surprises me. Something is wrong and I will look into it.

01-04-2004, 02:21 AM
Nicolas Kiefer is above Andy Roddick :eek:

01-04-2004, 02:26 AM
well is it a poll like of the public? If so anyone can vote for anyone and anything can be the result lol but if it's like an experts odds or something, then that's a little bizarro.

01-04-2004, 04:07 AM
Yep found a bug in the program, it now comes up with the proper results. It's not a poll but rather the analysis over the past 5 years using mathematical proceedures. Here are the correct probs:

Andy Roddick (USA) 16.1%
Tim Henman (GBR) 9.9%
Rainer Schuettler (GER) 7.8%
Mark Philippoussis (AUS) 7.2%
Younes El Aynaoui (MAR) 5.3%
Jonas Bjorkman (SWE) 4.8%

01-04-2004, 04:09 AM
oh ok... that makes a LOT more sense! LOL!!!!

there's a program that figures winning probabilities? Cool! Do you have a link?

01-04-2004, 05:17 AM
No Nicolas Kiefer now :fiery:

But this does make a better sense :)

01-04-2004, 05:58 AM
there's a program that figures winning probabilities? Cool! Do you have a link?

J. Corwin
01-04-2004, 07:36 AM
thanks for the link.

interesting stats...

01-04-2004, 03:56 PM
cool thanks!

01-06-2004, 10:02 PM
Andy Roddick (USA) 24.4%
Tim Henman (GBR) 12.9%
Nicolas Escude (FRA) 9.4%
Ivan Ljubicic (CRO) 9.2%
Sebastien Grosjean (FRA) 9.0%

01-07-2004, 07:22 AM
:) :)

01-07-2004, 08:06 AM
go misha!!!

Ma. Estefania
01-07-2004, 06:00 PM
Yeah, go Misha! :)

I like his new t-shirt.

01-08-2004, 12:57 AM
And now Roddick's percentage is 0.00%. Wondering what his next year's % will be like!

01-08-2004, 01:14 AM
Quarter Finals Probs:
Tim Henman (GBR) 24.1%
Jonas Bjorkman (SWE) 16.3%
Nicolas Escude (FRA) 15.6%
Sebastien Grosjean (FRA) 12.9%