i hope that i do not curse Safin Tuesday [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

i hope that i do not curse Safin Tuesday

AceMaan
04-11-2006, 03:26 AM
Safin looks to good to be true at 1.72 against Andreev

Below are parts of a report from the Davis cup website

"Anyone who doubted whether Marat Safinwould ever rediscover his best form after a knee injury kept him off the tour for eight months last year should have seen his opening match in Russia’s Davis Cup by BNP Paribas quarter-final against France.

Safin played some of his best tennis since winning the Australian Open 15 months ago, to beat France’s Richard Gasquet76(4) 46 63 67(1) 61"

But who knows what his fate will be now that i am banking on him!

bad gambler
04-11-2006, 04:14 AM
Andreev is no mug on dirt -in fact I would say he has more weapons to hurt an opponent on the surface than safino only because his footowrk is better

Lean on Andreev, will wait to see what the people do with the odds first before pulling the trigger

shotgun
04-11-2006, 04:18 AM
Unlike Andreev, Safin was playing on indoor carpet this weekend. Shoudn't he have problems to adapt himself to the dirt?

bad gambler
04-11-2006, 04:19 AM
Unlike Andreev, Safin was playing on indoor carpet this weekend. Shoudn't he have problems to adapt himself to the dirt?


BOL ;)

AceMaan
04-11-2006, 04:28 AM
jezz..had assume that Russia played France on clay......what a bad selection of courts by the French to play indoors....no wonder the odds for Safin has now risen to 1.83.......... will keep bet on hold at the moment

bad gambler
04-11-2006, 04:32 AM
Another problem with the Russian love god is you always have to second guess his motivation - is he there to play tennis or to catch some rays? I would say there is a good chance it is the latter

Andreev in straight sets IMO

Grinder
04-11-2006, 04:33 AM
Almagro over Ferrero - $100 to win $250
Safin over Andreev - $200 to win $204
Jankovic x Bartoli - $300 to win $664
Srebotnik x Medina G. - $200 to win $244

WON
WON
LOST
WON

Recap of 4/11/06 - $800 staked, $1198 returned

Freeze17171
04-11-2006, 04:51 AM
Almagro seems like a pretty good value at 3.60 over JC Ferrero.

DeccyB123
04-11-2006, 07:51 AM
Ramirez-Hidalgo @ 2.3
Capdeville @ 6.5

Jaap
04-11-2006, 08:37 AM
Gone for the Italians today.

Seppi x Starace.

Sanguenetti.

bad gambler
04-11-2006, 08:38 AM
Locked and loaded just the one for the time being, will double up if it wins...

Simon to beat Vik - $2.01

gl

Freeze17171
04-11-2006, 08:46 AM
Andreev (-102) over Safin
RRH (+138) over Seppi

GL

TwistyServe
04-11-2006, 08:55 AM
Taking:

Vik over Simon @1.91

If this one wins I might try to double up on Andreev.

Mr Flamboyant
04-11-2006, 09:34 AM
Surely Andreev looks a good play against Saffin given the latter's lack of recent match practise on clay, coupled with Adreev's good recent form. Right now there's not a split hair between them in the betting ($1.85 each), but I've noticed the Russian seems to be under the odds quite a bit, perhaps on reputation..?

bournerdan
04-11-2006, 10:45 AM
I'm thinking Andreev might well win against Safin but finding it really hard to go against Marat knowing how good he can be and after watching him against Gasquet. I know that was on a totally different surface but Marat is good on clay and I'm sure he'll have had some practice time to adapt. Tricky one this is.......

Mr Flamboyant
04-11-2006, 10:50 AM
True, Safin's a pretty perilous player to bet for or against so I'm letting this one go through to the keeper .. !

coup-du-cobra
04-11-2006, 10:54 AM
PHAU over FRAILE @1.83/ BET OF THE DAY!!

bournerdan
04-11-2006, 10:56 AM
The other thing I think is quite relevant is that it is an all russian shootout and I think that Safin likes to consider himself the top russian. You see how he played against Donkey twice already this year. I don't think Safin likes losing to fellow russians which also makes me side slightly with Marat.

bournerdan
04-11-2006, 10:59 AM
PHAU over FRAILE @1.83/ BET OF THE DAY!!

looks good but I don't think Phau likes the clay so much and Fraile plays on nothing but the red stuff.........Hopefully Phaus greater experience will be enough to overcome this.....

bad gambler
04-11-2006, 11:01 AM
If I knew something about Fraile I would back him in a heartbeat - Phau can't play on dirt period.

alansk
04-11-2006, 11:16 AM
Why was Simon over Vik so obvious to everyone but me? What was I missing?

bad gambler
04-11-2006, 11:19 AM
Why was Simon over Vik so obvious to everyone but me? What was I missing?


Just don't make the same mistake again

alansk
04-11-2006, 11:24 AM
Just don't make the same mistake again

lol, I'm asking what the mistake was!

Nimrodg
04-11-2006, 11:36 AM
Vanek to beat Waske all the way
1.65 is a great price. Vanek is a claycourter who made some good results lately, reaching to 2 clay challengers SF's in Mexico. Waske's weapon is his serve and i can't see him doing something on clay(lost last week in a 1R challenger in Mexico to Okun, straight sets)
H2H is 2-1 for Waske, but Vanek won the only meeting on clay last year.
Vanek X JCF @ 2.18

DeccyB123
04-11-2006, 12:04 PM
Getting on:

Berlocq @ 2.5

coup3z
04-11-2006, 12:12 PM
Andreev @ 1,91

reasoning (http://www.triplethreatsports777.com/forum/showthread.php?t=3444)

tony
04-11-2006, 12:46 PM
Vicente $1.40 over Reynolds ($500 to win $200)

Monaco $1.45 over Fish ($500 to win $225)

Ays25
04-11-2006, 12:47 PM
i dont trust andreev
he is a bad serving choker like davydenko.
lost badly to tursunov lately.
and safin is safin after all.

bad gambler
04-11-2006, 12:54 PM
Locked and loaded just the one for the time being, will double up if it wins...

Simon to beat Vik - $2.01

gl


win

adding parlay:

Dynamo Moscow (ULEB Cup) ML/Andreev - $2.73

gl

Jaap
04-11-2006, 01:15 PM
Gone for the Italians today.

Seppi x Starace.

Sanguenetti.
Win for the first one.

Considering Tursonov has just pulled out and replaced by a LL, does this mean the bet is void?

Jaap
04-11-2006, 01:31 PM
One last play.

Tomas Zib @ evens or 2.00.

TwistyServe
04-11-2006, 03:13 PM
Add:

Zib to beat Pavel @1.95

This guy's might get the record losing streak of all time but today is his best time to get a win finally. He beat Pavel before on clay and overall he has played well on clay int he past, beating Gaudio and other decent clay courters.

dbnumberone
04-11-2006, 03:17 PM
from yesterday...
adding
Bet to win a unit on Starace over Dlouhy - PS showed a few signs of life lately - just won a clay challenger
gl all

Hot streak :cool:

dbnumberone
04-11-2006, 03:23 PM
Win for the first one.

Considering Tursonov has just pulled out and replaced by a LL, does this mean the bet is void?

yes, they'll void the bet

TwistyServe
04-11-2006, 04:41 PM
from yesterday...


Hot streak :cool:

Nice going. I was thinking of grabbing starace but after his meltdown to sabau recently I didn't want to risk it.

TwistyServe
04-11-2006, 05:11 PM
Add:

Zib to beat Pavel @1.95

This guy's might get the record losing streak of all time but today is his best time to get a win finally. He beat Pavel before on clay and overall he has played well on clay int he past, beating Gaudio and other decent clay courters.

Wins.

Zib wins his first ATP match since god knows when lol.

TwistyServe
04-11-2006, 05:25 PM
Taking:

Vik over Simon @1.91

If this one wins I might try to double up on Andreev.

Loses.. damnit I really wanted to take Andreev with the profits from this match.. oh well.

Record 2-1 WTD

dbnumberone
04-11-2006, 08:13 PM
Loses.. damnit I really wanted to take Andreev with the profits from this match.. oh well.

Record 2-1 WTD

blessing in disguise i guess...
nice pick on zib

TwistyServe
04-11-2006, 10:20 PM
Almagro over Ferrero - $100 to win $250
Safin over Andreev - $200 to win $204
Jankovic x Bartoli - $300 to win $664
Srebotnik x Medina G. - $200 to win $244


Very nice 3-1

Grinder
04-11-2006, 11:12 PM
Almagro over Ferrero - $100 to win $250
Safin over Andreev - $200 to win $204
Jankovic x Bartoli - $300 to win $664
Srebotnik x Medina G. - $200 to win $244


WON
WON
LOST
WON

Recap of 4/11/06 - $800 staked, $1198 returned

bad gambler
04-12-2006, 09:19 AM
win

adding parlay:

Dynamo Moscow (ULEB Cup) ML/Andreev - $2.73

gl


Lost, wasted day in the end