Just another manic monday - back to clay [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Just another manic monday - back to clay

Ays25
04-09-2006, 10:13 PM
Davis cup hero Tursunov over sanguinetti @1.80
going with the in form player over the old one
seppi over ramirez-hidalgo @ 1.66 in valencia
lots of service breaks here but seppis odds are very nice

Houstom plays :
montanes over ginepri @ 2.80
dont know why montanes is the dog here?!
monaco over fish @ 1.62
fish has done nothin recently monaco will beat him

vicente over reynolds @ 1.55
fernando should come over in two also.

and some coins on capdeville and hernandez over rodduck & haas @ 9.00


lets hope for a surprise free week.

Anders
04-10-2006, 03:43 AM
These are plays with the earliest lines that I wanted to get out before I logged off, not sure what time I'll be back online tomorrow.
So shop around and check the draw schedule and order of play and get the best lines possible.
Will update lines for latter games tomorrow if/when I get a chance.


YTD: 86-99 +35.46 units

Houston

Capdeville +800 o Roddick (1/3 unit)
Daniel +220 o Horna (1 unit)
Tipsarevic +150 o Goldstein (1)
Montanes +125 o Ginepri (1)

Parlays:

Monaco/Melzer +143 (1)
Vicente/Melzer +143 (1)


Valencia

Zib +110 o Pavel (1)
Sanguinetti +111 o Tursunov (1)
GGL +110 o Lopez (1)
Martin +123 o Verdasco (1)
Vik +115 o Simon (1)
Andreev +113 o Safin (1.5)

GL all

shotgun
04-10-2006, 05:21 AM
I'm playing Martin over Verdasco and Lopez over GGL.

gl

dbnumberone
04-10-2006, 06:38 AM
Bet to win a unit on Mayer against free money

Freeze17171
04-10-2006, 07:12 AM
Montanes (+118) over Ginepri

Verdasco (-123) over Martin

dbnumberone
04-10-2006, 07:12 AM
Bet to win a unit on Mayer against free money

adding
Bet to win a unit on Starace over Dlouhy - PS showed a few signs of life lately - just won a clay challenger
gl all

dbnumberone
04-10-2006, 07:16 AM
adding
Bet to win a unit on Starace over Dlouhy - PS showed a few signs of life lately - just won a clay challenger
gl all

whoops, i see that's tuesday - bets down though

TwistyServe
04-10-2006, 07:25 AM
So far

MOntanes over Ginepri @2.3

Kinda like RRH. More laters.

Nimrodg
04-10-2006, 07:41 AM
Although Albert Costa barely played this year and he is still without a win this year, his residence is in Barcelona and last year he reached the Semis.
I think that Pashanski haven't proved himself yet as a stable player so 2.85 for costa looks good for me.

Sheva
04-10-2006, 08:08 AM
I gotta go for a small parlay: GGL & Pashanski over Lopez & Costa. I just can't see Pashanski losing 2 sets to Costa at the moment. Costa should first show a sign of form before i am gonna take him. Lopez has been awfull of late while GGL is improving this year. Lopez & GGL both didn't do the clay tournaments up until now but for me GGL is the clear favourite and should beat Lopez.

bad gambler
04-10-2006, 09:13 AM
Although Albert Costa barely played this year and he is still without a win this year, his residence is in Barcelona and last year he reached the Semis.
I think that Pashanski haven't proved himself yet as a stable player so 2.85 for costa looks good for me.


Costa is playing? :confused:

I could have sworn he officially retired after his cameo appearance in the Madrid Masters last year :scratch:

bad gambler
04-10-2006, 09:23 AM
I am positive he was going to retire after the Madrid Masters - now see he has played a few challenger tournaments this year as well

Big Bad Boris is a bank job IMO

Ays25
04-10-2006, 09:26 AM
I am positive he was going to retire after the Madrid Masters - now see he has played a few challenger tournaments this year as well

Big Bad Boris is a bank job IMO

never underestimate the heart of a champion ;)

bad gambler
04-10-2006, 09:27 AM
never underestimate the heart of a champion ;)


Even champions need to have match practice

I will leave it alone only because Boris' odds are pretty short

Nimrodg
04-10-2006, 09:32 AM
Even champions need to have match practice

I will leave it alone only because Boris' odds are pretty short

He played in Napoli 2 weeks ago, on clay. Lost to Dupuis 6-7 7-5 4-6. He can still load some good stuff

bad gambler
04-10-2006, 09:35 AM
He played in Napoli 2 weeks ago, on clay. Lost to Dupuis 6-7 7-5 4-6. He can still load some good stuff


Losing to Tony Dupuis on dirt is not good stuff Nimmy

Yoel and co.
04-10-2006, 10:06 AM
GGL to beat Lopez - I think clay is Pretty Eyes's least favourite surface

As for Houston - I think that the clay there is faster than the classic clay...wouldn't be surprised if even Ginepri manages to win on it a game or two. I think Melzer @ 1.61 is a good bet there

bad gambler
04-10-2006, 10:51 AM
GGL to beat Lopez - $2.00

gl

Jaap
04-10-2006, 11:11 AM
Martin to beat Verdasco @ 11/10.

I would have done Pashanki to beat Costa as well but it wasn't on my betting list. :rolleyes:

rich_a
04-10-2006, 11:29 AM
Ive gone with these guys for Valencia

Andreev @ 2
Tursunov @ 1.97
GGL @ 1.84
Martin @ 2.16

rich_a
04-10-2006, 12:04 PM
Clay court champs:

Capdeville over Roddick @ 6.6
Vicente over Reynolds @ 1.52
Monaco over Fish @ 1.54
Tipsarevic over Goldstein @ 2.36
Montanes over Ginepri @ 1.9
Melzer over Minar @ 1.6

DeccyB123
04-10-2006, 12:13 PM
Sabau @ 2.1

:yeah:

Horatio Caine
04-10-2006, 12:39 PM
I think I'll stay away from R1 matches - Davis Cup normally has an immediate positive / negative impact on players' involved...and there is the small issue of travelling thousands of miles for some players as well!

Montanes over Ginepri is worth something if the odds are over 2.50 - Montanes is a 3rd grade dirt-baller and Ginepri is not much worse imo...so don't be too surprised to see the American pull off a minor upset.

dbnumberone
04-10-2006, 02:32 PM
Bet to win a unit on Mayer against free money

ahhh, free money :)

SwiSha
04-10-2006, 02:49 PM
ahhh, free money :)


with that kinda odds u would have to bet a million to get some out of it

dbnumberone
04-10-2006, 03:01 PM
with that kinda odds u would have to bet a million to get some out of it

not really - I bet 6.7 units to win 1 - made sense to me then, makes even more sense now...gl

Jaap
04-10-2006, 03:03 PM
Martin to beat Verdasco @ 11/10.

I would have done Pashanki to beat Costa as well but it wasn't on my betting list. :rolleyes:
You can just tell it isn't going to be my week. :mad:

shotgun
04-10-2006, 03:29 PM
Backing Sabau and Montanes, biggest play of the day on Melzer. :scared:

EDIT: I'm backing Montanes, not Ginepri. ;)

betowiec
04-10-2006, 04:36 PM
thanks Verdasco, certainly didn't expect that to be that easy (straight sets)

Yoel and co.
04-10-2006, 04:37 PM
Lets hear it for GGL :) :)

Sheva
04-10-2006, 04:51 PM
I gotta go for a small parlay: GGL & Pashanski over Lopez & Costa. I just can't see Pashanski losing 2 sets to Costa at the moment. Costa should first show a sign of form before i am gonna take him. Lopez has been awfull of late while GGL is improving this year. Lopez & GGL both didn't do the clay tournaments up until now but for me GGL is the clear favourite and should beat Lopez.

Worked out pretty well!

I am now considering another one: Montanes & Melzer over Ginepri & Minar

Couple of hours left to decide wheter i am gonna play it...

TwistyServe
04-10-2006, 04:55 PM
Worked out pretty well!

I am now considering another one: Montanes & Melzer over Ginepri & Minar

Couple of hours left to decide wheter i am gonna play it...

I think Minar has a good chance for an upset. He's pretty decent on clay, took pashanski to 3 sets recently.

Nimrodg
04-10-2006, 04:59 PM
Well, Costa wasn't far away :rolleyes:

Freeze17171
04-10-2006, 05:28 PM
Yeah well, Boris The Great never makes it easy on himself.

Yoel and co.
04-10-2006, 06:31 PM
Frazier to beat Tu @ 1.44

Again, I think Houston's clay is quicker than the one players are used to. It also takes some adjusting and Melzer has done well here before.

Freeze17171
04-10-2006, 06:39 PM
I think Minar has a good chance for an upset. He's pretty decent on clay, took pashanski to 3 sets recently.

Who doesn't take Pashanski to three sets (not including those who beat him in straight)?

TwistyServe
04-10-2006, 07:03 PM
Who doesn't take Pashanski to three sets (not including those who beat him in straight)?

True :angel:

Anders
04-10-2006, 07:20 PM
adding...

Sabau -109 o Behrend (1)

bad gambler
04-10-2006, 07:58 PM
GGL to beat Lopez - $2.00

gl


win

leaning on razor sharp sabau as well and marach, deciding whether to play them or not

Yoel and co.
04-10-2006, 09:35 PM
lol, I just noticed that Melzer has managed only one win since January :help:

So has Minar...so no bet for me

Jaap
04-10-2006, 09:39 PM
I'm going to join the Sabau bandwagon reluctantly.

Ays25
04-11-2006, 04:19 AM
Houston plays :
montanes over ginepri @ 2.80
dont know why montanes is the dog here?!


win
6-4 6-4