MLB Opening Day - April 3 [Archive] -

MLB Opening Day - April 3

04-03-2006, 05:56 AM
Baseball is finally here and I'm ecstatic. It is easily the most statistic intensive out there, and I love analyzing the numbers. Good luck everyone! :wavey:

MLB Seasonal Record: 1-0 (+1 unit)
ML: 1-0 (+1 unit)
O/U: 0-0 (0 units)

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (-132) @ Seattle Mariners - 1 unit
The big edge here is obviously the starting pitching. Colon is coming off his Cy Young campaign, and will be pitching in a place he has absolutely owned in his career. Colon is a lifetime 6-1 at Safeco with a 1.99 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and .203 BAA. Moyer was sensational at home last year as well, but he isn't getting any younger. He pitched twice against the Angels last September and got shelled both times (11.2 IP, 11 ER). Kenji Jojima will make his debut at catcher, but it may take awhile for him to get comfortable with the pitching staff in Seattle. The Angels have one of the best bullpens in baseball and a setup/closer combination of Scot Shields and Francisco Rodriguez that rivals any team. Offensively, the Angels have been smoking in the spring. Both teams have great leadoff hitters in Ichiro and Figgins, but the power favors the Angels with Vlad leading the way.

Arizona Diamondbacks (-111) @ Colorado Rockies - 1 unit
Brandon Webb is strictly a groundball pitcher and this works wonders in the thin air of Coors Field. It is no surprise that he won both starts at Coors last year with a respectable 4.50 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Overall, he was 3-0 against the Rockies with a 3.10 ERA. Jason Jennings is not good at home, finishing with a 3-4 record and a 5.16 ERA and a terrible 1.75 WHIP. Lifetime, April is his worst month by far, sporting a 6-11 record and a 6.32 ERA. Diamondbacks are solid throughout the lineup and Conor Jackson looks like a stud. Tracy, Gonzo, Green, Jackson, and Brynes all have power which they will utilize in Coors. The D'Backs also picked up Orlando Hudson who is one of the best defensive 2Bs in the game and underrated offensively and Johnny Estrada who is a decent hitting catcher. Todd Helton looks healthy and very good, but he has little help offensively besides Matt Holliday, who was brutal in the WBC. Barmes had a good year before he injured himself, but I'm not sold on his run not being a fluke.

Florida Marlins @ Houston Astros Under 8 Runs (-135) - 1 unit
One of the best pitching matchups of the day, featuring two of the premier starters in the league. Oswalt gets less press than Willis, but I think he is the better pitcher. He is an outstanding 45-14 lifetime at Minute Maid with a 2.65 ERA and 1.05 WHIP, including 4 shutouts. Dontrelle has two starts at Minute Maid and is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 2 complete games. Last year, Willis opened the year with back to back shutouts. Offensively, the Marlins are heavily inexperienced. Miguel Cabrera is a primetime player, but other than that, all position players are rookies. Hermida is probably the RotY and Hanley Ramirez is a great prospect, but this lineup won't cut it against Roy Oswalt. On the flipside, the Astros aren't an offensive powerhouse either. Berkman, Ensberg, Wilson, and Lane all have pop but this team struggled many games last year to score runs. It won't be easy against Willis either. Look for a great pitching duel and I don't expect many runs from either side, especially the Marlins.

More to come...

04-04-2006, 03:50 AM
Arizona had no business losing that game, but oh well, that is sports betting, I'll take 2 out of 3 anyday.