Felony Friday [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Felony Friday

jackieglover
03-17-2006, 03:02 AM
Fri 3/17 J. Blake vs I. Andreev
11:00 AM

5 J. Blake 1.415
6 I. Andreev 3.210

Fri 3/17 M. Baghdatis vs R. Nadal
11:00 AM

7 M. Baghdatis 3.650
8 R. Nadal 1.351

Fri 3/17 M. Sharapova vs M. Hingis
11:00 AM

303 M. Sharapova 1.645
304 M. Hingis 2.450

bad gambler
03-17-2006, 04:30 AM
At those odds I will definitely have something on Hingis, those odds would make more sense if they were flipped around.

Freeze17171
03-17-2006, 05:14 AM
Hingis/Sharapova could go either way, depending on which Maria shows up. If she is on, she can overpower Hingis, but the minute she drops her focus Hingis will be all over her. Those odds definitely make me want to put a wager on Hingis.

TwistyServe
03-17-2006, 07:32 AM
Only match I like is Hingis because she's beaten Sharapova this year already... And sharapova has had a bit of a struggle in a few of her matches this week. Also hingis beat davenport which is another power puncher... But I might not play it because it could go either way depending on how sharapova plays.

Breaker
03-17-2006, 08:08 AM
Is there anyone here who can compare Blake's current form with his Australian Summer form by having watched his matches (either live or on tv) in both Australia and the US? Just wanted to know if he has stepped it up a level now that he is back on US soil.

TwistyServe
03-17-2006, 08:09 AM
One match I noticed you missed..

The line for JHH vs Dementieva.. I'm taking this one if JHH is at least 1.5.

If so, I'm going to hit a good bet on JHH to beat Dementieva!

TwistyServe
03-17-2006, 08:13 AM
Is there anyone here who can compare Blake's current form with his Australian Summer form by having watched his matches (either live or on tv) in both Australia and the US? Just wanted to know if he has stepped it up a level now that he is back on US soil.

Blakes' form can come and go in a blink so I don't think anyone can comment on what Blake's form really is.. he got jacked up by Sam Query in the first set just this week, and lost to Wang and Viliegen recently. So who knows if he'll keep the same form or misfire like crazy.

Andreev is inconsistent too. He lost to Cilic, Bracialli and so forth, granted those were indoors. Also lost to starace and youzhny outdoors.

I did see Andreev's match against Roddick and he was red hot. His serve was smoking and his forehand/backhand were heavy and fast. If Andreev plays the way he played against Roddick, James will need to play well to complete too!

Freeze17171
03-17-2006, 08:21 AM
Justine is at 1.222. I don't think Dementieva has a chance, but I hate wagering on low odds like this.

TwistyServe
03-17-2006, 08:27 AM
Justine is at 1.222. I don't think Dementieva has a chance, but I hate wagering on low odds like this.

Thats it? what a joke.. guess im gonna have to wait till Miami to get more wagers going..

or maybe sunrise challenger will have some good cards

Anders
03-17-2006, 08:53 AM
From y'day...

YTD: 64-65 +38.43 units
WTD: 12-17 -0.03 units

Indian Wells

Andreev +205 o Blake (1)

GL all

Breaker
03-17-2006, 09:03 AM
No plays for me

Both favourites should pull through, however their odds are definately 'unders'

Good luck to those having a punt

Horatio Caine
03-17-2006, 09:10 AM
Great tipping Twisty and others :yeah:

Typical Paradorn - Nieminen match....glad I stayed away to be honest. If only I could have stayed away from much of that free :drink: last night...man it is going to be a very looooong day! :(

Horatio Caine
03-17-2006, 09:14 AM
Great tipping Twisty and others :yeah:

Typical Paradorn - Nieminen match....glad I stayed away to be honest. If only I could have stayed away from much of that free :drink: last night...man it is going to be a very looooong day! :(

Oh man...that first comment belongs in the Thursday thread...great start! :haha:

TwistyServe
03-17-2006, 03:08 PM
My plays for the day:

Both small bets!

Vanek to beat Beto Martin @2.26 (Sunrise Challenger)

Chalk parlay:
BryanBrothers x Stosur/Raymend x Henin @1.934

olix
03-17-2006, 04:50 PM
Dementieva can be a tough underdog.. Clijsters was red hot last year and she was 1.10 against Dementieva and got owned. I wouldn't bet on that match unless I watch it live.

TwistyServe
03-17-2006, 05:11 PM
Dementieva can be a tough underdog.. Clijsters was red hot last year and she was 1.10 against Dementieva and got owned. I wouldn't bet on that match unless I watch it live.

Very true... Thats why the stakes are small on my parlay, and I put two almost sure "winners" in it to boost it to 1.9 odds.

Also clijisters on an off day is like blake on an off day. She goes for way too much is why she got blown out by Hingis in 2nd set at AO.

Corey Feldman
03-17-2006, 05:32 PM
not alot of confidence in blakey today??
im pretty sure of him .. @1.4
mhmm dont know if i'll take it anyway.

Freeze17171
03-17-2006, 05:34 PM
Good comparison Twist. Justine is the most consistent player on the WTA, she won't beat herself and I don't think Dementieva has the firepower to beat her. That being said, that line is getting no action from me.

I love watching Blake play, but I refuse to put money on him if he's under 1.5.

olix
03-17-2006, 05:45 PM
Very true... Thats why the stakes are small on my parlay, and I put two almost sure "winners" in it to boost it to 1.9 odds.

Also clijisters on an off day is like blake on an off day. She goes for way too much is why she got blown out by Hingis in 2nd set at AO.

No, it wasn't the case back then, Clijsters simply got outplayed, I remember Dementieva serving very very well :eek:.I was shocked. And then next round she faced Mauresmo (odds moving towards Dementieva like crazy after that win, she was actually favourite) and crashed in straight sets.

Grinder
03-17-2006, 05:49 PM
Baghdatis over Nadal @ 3.8 - $300 to win $840
Hingis 2-0 over Sharapova @ 4.6 - $150 to win $540

fisherking
03-17-2006, 05:56 PM
Justine is at 1.222. I don't think Dementieva has a chance, but I hate wagering on low odds like this.
The Lovely One can beat anybody or can lose to out-of- top-100 player.
I like Baghy as well today. At least to trade in play.

Igor isn't look bad - but as i said he has excelent record and loves to play against serve-bombers but i'm afraid James has got more to offer...

good luck

betowiec
03-17-2006, 06:54 PM
$480 on james at 1.373

$320 on james and rafa in a double to get back 270.77

i2ooney
03-17-2006, 07:28 PM
sharapova is destroying hingis.

live betting on some sites at around 1.25, snap it up

J.I.J.
03-17-2006, 07:31 PM
Nieminen gets edged out by Srichaphan :( I'm rubbish at this...

Prediction Record: 1/2
Strike Rate: 33%
Profit: -1.43

Nothing takes my fancy today so I'll be back at the weekend.

TwistyServe
03-17-2006, 07:38 PM
sharapova is destroying hingis.

live betting on some sites at around 1.25, snap it up

Only first set, who knows what will happen in the 2nd.. but im staying out of that match :)

olix
03-17-2006, 08:39 PM
Yes it's a nice match, I managed to get hingis to win the second @7, now she's serving to level at 4

damn damn referee, she got broken

olix
03-17-2006, 09:19 PM
No 'medical timeouit' is going to save her from getting rammed by Justine in the final.

betowiec
03-18-2006, 12:04 AM
$480 on james at 1.373

$320 on james and rafa in a double to get back 270.77


thanks James

now it is Rafa's turn

fisherking
03-18-2006, 12:32 AM
Elena all the way :D
from 26 25 (with 2 breaks up) and no back avaible (on Betfair) for Henin to 1 set all

trader's heaven as usual with Beauty on court

betowiec
03-18-2006, 12:50 AM
Elena all the way :D
from 26 25 (with 2 breaks up) and no back avaible (on Betfair) for Henin to 1 set all

trader's heaven as usual with Beauty on court


so many breaks..........................typical wta action

TwistyServe
03-18-2006, 03:00 AM
Just took small play on Baggy @3.4

Too much value on this and Baggy has surprised us too many times.. so I wouldnt be surprised if he makes a big upset today

dbnumberone
03-18-2006, 03:04 AM
Just took small play on Baggy @3.4

Too much value on this and Baggy has surprised us too many times.. so I wouldnt be surprised if he makes a big upset today

I just bet to win a unit on rafa - think I'll just keep taking him 'til he loses, which hopefully won't be just one bet :D

Horatio Caine
03-18-2006, 03:08 AM
Elena all the way :D
from 26 25 (with 2 breaks up) and no back avaible (on Betfair) for Henin to 1 set all

trader's heaven as usual with Beauty on court

Great stuff man! :yeah: I know this is WTA, but how can you have the confidence in a player like Dementieva to come back from that situation, especially when she has the Tour's worst serve? :lol:

Horatio Caine
03-18-2006, 03:10 AM
I just bet to win a unit on rafa - think I'll just keep taking him 'til he loses, which hopefully won't be just one bet :D

I can't see him losing. He can return huge serves so Baggy's can be accounted for. He should be able to win more than 50% of the rallies as well. If his foot bothers him he would be wise to retire rather than let Baggy win it...afterall he has had serious injury problems.

dbnumberone
03-18-2006, 03:13 AM
I can't see him losing. He can return huge serves so Baggy's can be accounted for. He should be able to win more than 50% of the rallies as well. If his foot bothers him he would be wise to retire rather than let Baggy win it...afterall he has had serious injury problems.

got it on pinny if he retires :)
ready for a bit of tennis after 2 full days of hoops!

TwistyServe
03-18-2006, 03:17 AM
got it on pinny if he retires :)
ready for a bit of tennis after 2 full days of hoops!

Got mine at 5dimes in case nadal retires after 1 set too :) (only 1 set required)

dbnumberone
03-18-2006, 03:21 AM
Got mine at 5dimes in case nadal retires after 1 set too :) (only 1 set required)

:) gl

betowiec
03-18-2006, 04:53 AM
$480 on james at 1.373

$320 on james and rafa in a double to get back 270.77

thanks james and RAFA

TwistyServe
03-18-2006, 05:52 AM
Small plays lost today.. damn baggy was doin so good coulda taken the TB possibly since he had a lot more recieving pts won.. but fell apart in the last game and .. he always seems to get bageled after dropping a set (ie fed/stepan/almost roddick)

Freeze17171
03-18-2006, 06:01 AM
He was right there in the first set, had some early bp chances, and was up 30-0 going into the tiebreak and promptly loses 4 straight points and the set. He did almost the exact thing against Federer in the AO finals, up 40-0 going for a tiebreak up a set, and loses 5 points in a row to lose the set. Both times he just shut down mentally and got destroyed the rest of the match.

fisherking
03-18-2006, 12:38 PM
Great stuff man! :yeah: I know this is WTA, but how can you have the confidence in a player like Dementieva to come back from that situation, especially when she has the Tour's worst serve? :lol:

as you said, it's wta and everything is possible till the umpire says "game set match", and with Elena on court it's even more possible ;)

i like to mention - in such cases - about Raymond - Kurhajcova match (French Open 2004) where girl from Slovakia led 60 50 and finally lost 60 57 36...

http://www.usta.com/leagues/fullstory.sps?iNewsid=65113&itype=&iCategoryID=164

I bet a lot on live betting (on Betfair) and for me - wta is definitely the best money-making-machine ever made ;)