Tickle me Thursday [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Tickle me Thursday

TwistyServe
03-16-2006, 06:21 AM
Leans on Srichaphan over Nieminen...

R. Federer 1.222
I. Ljubicic 5.10

P. Srichaphan 2.410
J. Nieminen 1.662

M. Baghdatis 3.640
R. Nadal 1.352

jackieglover
03-16-2006, 06:30 AM
Play of the day: Henin -2150. What value :yeah:

Freeze17171
03-16-2006, 06:44 AM
I'm tempted to ride the Baghdatis train until it derails, he's at +264 (3.640) against Nadal. Seems well worth at least a small play.

TwistyServe
03-16-2006, 06:46 AM
Pretty sure I'm going to take

Srich over Nieminen unless something changes my mind.. but since it's a late match I'm gonna wait it out and see if the line goes up on him..

TwistyServe
03-16-2006, 06:47 AM
I'm tempted to ride the Baghdatis train until it derails, he's at +264 (3.640) against Nadal. Seems well worth at least a small play.

Ya I was thinkin about that too but I don't like how Nadal "derailed" Grojean so easily.

Freeze17171
03-16-2006, 06:53 AM
Yeah, but Marcos has a lot more firepower than Grosjean to try to somewhat keep Nadal on the run. I dunno, maybe I'm just letting my personal bias get in the way, but I think he's got a shot.

Line just dropped for Paradorn....

bad gambler
03-16-2006, 07:07 AM
You can get Shark at $1.70 on pinny, that will do me

Nieminen to beat Chapan - $1.71


good luck gents

Breaker
03-16-2006, 07:11 AM
Nadal/Baghdatis not till Friday

Also looking into Srichaphan over Nieminen at plus odds

Freeze17171
03-16-2006, 07:49 AM
The closer Jarkko/Paradorn gets to even, the more I want to jump on Jarkko.

Breaker
03-16-2006, 07:52 AM
Punters coming for Srichaphan, Jarkko has eased out to ~$1.80.

Looks like a no bet for me, value in the Thai is long gone.

TwistyServe
03-16-2006, 07:54 AM
Jarkko is at 1.8 in pinnacle now.. paradorn getting pounded with bets

I've taken Srichaphan@ 2.312

Freeze17171
03-16-2006, 08:51 AM
Jarkko Niemenen (-128) vs Paradorn Srichaphan
The bets are pouring in for the Thai, but that is just lowering the odds for Jarkko and I'm sticking with him. The 3 set win over Nalbandian was impressive, but his serve should be on the WTA, it is that bad. Jarkko easily beat Safin in straight sets. The two met twice last year both on hard courts, and Jarkko prevailed both times. The first was a comfortable straight setter at the AO, the other was a three setter. Jarkko is 10-1 in his last 11 on hard, and I definitely give him the edge in this match.

Horatio Caine
03-16-2006, 09:09 AM
Only decent one today is Nieminen over Srichaphan - positive h2h record, Thai only 50/50 vs lefthanders, Nieminen's stunning form on hardcourts...looks nice. Not sure I'm confident enough to play though.

Andreev over Blake? Igor pretty solid yesterday despite being unspectacular apparently. Blake is hit and miss so Igor could benefit from that. Also narrowly lost last meeting.

coup3z
03-16-2006, 11:30 AM
My thoughts are that baghdatis plays very well with big servers ! Nadal is the best player in ATP circuit from the base-line and I think he will win most runs. We also can see how baghdatis played with gaudio...first set really tight, but then gaston showed that he is in fact shit on hard! Nadal is better on hc from tournament to tournament. I don't think that Marcos has a chance! My main play will be Nieminen!

Anders
03-16-2006, 06:46 PM
WTD: 11-17 -1.34 units

Indian Wells

Srichaphan +131 o Nieminen (1)
Andreev +205 o Blake (1)

GL

TwistyServe
03-16-2006, 07:08 PM
WTD: 11-17 -1.34 units

Indian Wells

Srichaphan +131 o Nieminen (1)
Andreev +205 o Blake (1)

GL

I have a feeling srich will make us rich.

J.I.J.
03-16-2006, 08:09 PM
Well, Hewitt went out but Ancic won through so an even start to my predictions on here. Didn't make any yesterday as I thought all eight matches were too tight and none stood out to me, glad I stayed away now as there were a few shocks...

PREDICTION RECORD: 1/1
STRIKE RATE: 50%
PROFIT: -0.43


And for today....

Jarkko Nieminen (22) vs. Paradorn Srichaphan
Winner: Jarkko Nieminen
Price: 1.61

:)

coup3z
03-16-2006, 10:00 PM
Jarkko all the way! Srich doesn't stand a chance !!! go go go Niemo

sports freak
03-16-2006, 10:07 PM
Saw on the News Nadal rolled his ankle therefor could be very juicy odds on Baggy yo take the young gun out!!!!

Jarkko n Thai Tiger is a toss of the coin!!!

TwistyServe
03-16-2006, 10:18 PM
Jarkko n Thai Tiger is a toss of the coin!!!

Tails all the way!

Arkan91
03-16-2006, 10:32 PM
still juicy odds for hard-onne 2 win the womens side @ 1.80
i'll take that

Corey Feldman
03-17-2006, 01:06 AM
No bet for me today but i woulda gone with the Flying Finn Jarkko to edge out sricha...

2morro is Blakey all the way for me.

BookieMan
03-17-2006, 02:54 AM
Nieminen for me. Should make the most of his break opportunities, which I think he will have a lot more than Srichaphan. Srichaphan record against premium players on hard court this year is not at all impressive in comparison to Nieminen. Coupled with the prices, Nieminen is good value imo. Heres hoping.

TwistyServe
03-17-2006, 07:23 AM
Jarkko is at 1.8 in pinnacle now.. paradorn getting pounded with bets

I've taken Srichaphan@ 2.312

Crazy match

Srich makes me rich with his only bP conversion in 12!!!

7-6, 3-6, 7-5


1-0 today

Anders
03-17-2006, 08:10 AM
glad we got home twist... almost back in black for the week, might yet keep the streak alive