Champions Thursday [Archive] - MensTennisForums.com

Champions Thursday

ClaycourtaZzZz.
02-01-2006, 08:30 PM
Or not. :devil:

Stepanek over Djokovic @1.52 :cool:

Grinder
02-01-2006, 09:12 PM
Friedl over Aguilar @ +115 - $350 to win $752.50
Obviously Leos Friedl is better known for his skills in doubles, and this may seem like an iffy pick with him only ever winning two career ATP level matches. However, Friedl has got to be oozing with confidence after upsetting the decent claycourter in Carlos Berlocq after coming through qualifying. Jorge Aguilar on the other hand, had never played an ATP match before defeating a fellow, lowly ranked Chilean. I have looked at Aguilar's previous matches and he has struggled to win matches on the futures circuit, let alone challenger or ATP. My verdict on this one is that the veteran Friedl will beat the novice Aguilar in straight sets, possibly three.

Smaller wager:
Bartoli x Stepanek x Lee @ +266 - $100 to win $366.30

Horatio Caine
02-01-2006, 09:14 PM
Liking Stepanek. Will likely just take him in a single @1.44.

TwistyServe
02-01-2006, 09:15 PM
Friedl over Aguilar @ +155 - $350 to win $752.50


not really sure how to math adds up there

Grinder
02-01-2006, 09:18 PM
not really sure how to math adds up there

Typo, my bad - +115

JMG
02-01-2006, 09:53 PM
small bet on Crazy Däni to beat Burgsmüller @2.50

Horatio Caine
02-01-2006, 11:59 PM
Okay, will take the following bet in the morning, when I have an amended balance to take a 5% stake from:

Stepanek over Djokovic @ 1.44

Analysis: http://www.triplethreatsports777.com/forum/showthread.php?p=10089&posted=1#post10089

Good luck! :yeah:

tiptopdaisy
02-02-2006, 12:44 AM
my bets:

Stepanek -3,5 Games

Nieminen to win the first Set or to win in straight

Bets for Vina del Mar and Delray Beach will come later

$@M
02-02-2006, 06:35 AM
Friedl

Pashanski

Gruel

:yeah:

TwistyServe
02-02-2006, 06:43 AM
So far just grabbed Stephanek at 1.45... Still waiting for 5dimes to post other plays :(

Mistaflava
02-02-2006, 07:14 AM
No plays for me today guys...

It is very interesting to read about Jarkko because he is a very focused player, one who even went to watch Youzhny versus Zib yesterday to do a little bit of scouting. However, he says that he knows what he has to do to beat Youzhny and he knows how to handle him. In 2005, Youzhny played on an indoor hardcourt surface only twice. The first time was in Davis Cup action at home in Russia where he lost to Fernando Gonzalez and the second time was in Madrid where he lost in the 1st Round to Jose Acasuso. If we go back to 2004, Youzhny played on this surface two times and lost both times in the 1st Round (once to Pavel and once to Dent). Safe enough to say that his lack of training and competition on this surface is a big disadvantage in this match. Nieminen is one of the hottest players on tour right now and already has nine wins on the season. Nieminen is very comfortable in Zagreb and was 7-3 on this surface (counting one challenger event) in 2005. Nieminen understands the speed of the surface and he shouldn't have any problems beating Youzhny.

However, two things worry me about taking Nieminen:


1. I have been screwed one too many times by going against Youzhny

2. The odds did some funny things overnight. They were up to -144 until someone dropped a bomb on Youzhny and it went down to -131. It is now back up but that's strange to say the least.


Good Luck to all today!

Horatio Caine
02-02-2006, 07:49 AM
Mista - Youzhny played Moscow and St. Petersburg which are both indoor events, at the end of 2005. He reached the QF in both.

Horatio Caine
02-02-2006, 11:12 AM
Stepanek over Djokovic @ 1.44

Well that was seriously retarded... :rolleyes:

bad gambler
02-02-2006, 11:12 AM
Misha to beat Nieminen - $2.20

gl

shotgun
02-02-2006, 02:11 PM
Pashanski over Di Mauro @ 1.60

gl

Mistaflava
02-02-2006, 02:15 PM
Mista - Youzhny played Moscow and St. Petersburg which are both indoor events, at the end of 2005. He reached the QF in both.



I wrote INDOOR HARDCOURT...not carpet. Good observation though.

Mistaflava
02-02-2006, 02:16 PM
No plays for me today guys...

It is very interesting to read about Jarkko because he is a very focused player, one who even went to watch Youzhny versus Zib yesterday to do a little bit of scouting. However, he says that he knows what he has to do to beat Youzhny and he knows how to handle him. In 2005, Youzhny played on an indoor hardcourt surface only twice. The first time was in Davis Cup action at home in Russia where he lost to Fernando Gonzalez and the second time was in Madrid where he lost in the 1st Round to Jose Acasuso. If we go back to 2004, Youzhny played on this surface two times and lost both times in the 1st Round (once to Pavel and once to Dent). Safe enough to say that his lack of training and competition on this surface is a big disadvantage in this match. Nieminen is one of the hottest players on tour right now and already has nine wins on the season. Nieminen is very comfortable in Zagreb and was 7-3 on this surface (counting one challenger event) in 2005. Nieminen understands the speed of the surface and he shouldn't have any problems beating Youzhny.

However, two things worry me about taking Nieminen:


1. I have been screwed one too many times by going against Youzhny

2. The odds did some funny things overnight. They were up to -144 until someone dropped a bomb on Youzhny and it went down to -131. It is now back up but that's strange to say the least.


Good Luck to all today!



so glad I took the day off.....feels good to hold back and watch your lean pick lose like this.

see you guys tomorrow

Horatio Caine
02-02-2006, 02:16 PM
Misha to beat Nieminen - $2.20

gl

Pfff Luck wasn't in it... :rolleyes: :lol: :yeah:

Horatio Caine
02-02-2006, 02:18 PM
I wrote INDOOR HARDCOURT...not carpet. Good observation though.

:lol: Sorry - I misread. But I don't think there is much difference between the two really. Maybe more spin off a carpet court and the ball bounces lower...but most good indoor players can play on either court.

Interesting thing is, all the good indoor players seem to be performing well in Zagreb.

ClaycourtaZzZz.
02-02-2006, 02:21 PM
Justh threw some coins on BIG IVO:worship:@2,66 I believe:scratch:

TwistyServe
02-02-2006, 03:02 PM
2. The odds did some funny things overnight. They were up to -144 until someone dropped a bomb on Youzhny and it went down to -131. It is now back up but that's strange to say the least.
!


Alright man I confess!.. I wanted to place a bet on Youzhny but I hit one too many zeros and it ended up being a 90k bomb... I realized what I did 30 minutes later and I had to bet against myself. That explains why the line shifted back :angel:

ClaycourtaZzZz.
02-02-2006, 04:33 PM
Justh threw some coins on BIG IVO:worship:@2,66 I believe:scratch:
:rolls:

Another dog for me, Cilic:worship: over Seppi:silly: @3,20 or so

TwistyServe
02-02-2006, 06:45 PM
:rolls:

Another dog for me, Cilic:worship: over Seppi:silly: @3,20 or so

I tailed you on this pick.. few coins.. can't believe he took the first set..

today is 4 for 5 upsets at zagreb aleady!

ClaycourtaZzZz.
02-02-2006, 07:35 PM
It actually 3,40 but somehow he will choke it away!:o:mad:
Also took Friedl, who's doing an excellent choke job so far.

Grinder
02-02-2006, 07:57 PM
Friedl over Aguilar @ +115 - $350 to win $752.50
Obviously Leos Friedl is better known for his skills in doubles, and this may seem like an iffy pick with him only ever winning two career ATP level matches. However, Friedl has got to be oozing with confidence after upsetting the decent claycourter in Carlos Berlocq after coming through qualifying. Jorge Aguilar on the other hand, had never played an ATP match before defeating a fellow, lowly ranked Chilean. I have looked at Aguilar's previous matches and he has struggled to win matches on the futures circuit, let alone challenger or ATP. My verdict on this one is that the veteran Friedl will beat the novice Aguilar in straight sets, possibly three.


WON

Great odds and easy money. :D

Mistaflava
02-02-2006, 07:58 PM
nice call Grinder...

Grinder
02-02-2006, 08:01 PM
nice call Grinder...

Thanks bro, surprised you layed off this one. :D

Mistaflava
02-02-2006, 08:04 PM
Thanks bro, surprised you layed off this one. :D



honestly...Nieminen and Friedl both caught my eye but right before placing my bets, I chose to lay off. It ended up being wise as I would have juiced out but no money is better than losing.

However, great call on Friedl and nice job this season so far


:clap2:

TwistyServe
02-02-2006, 10:59 PM
Thinking of playing:

Kirlenko to cover +5 games over Hingis.

I did it, I got suckkkked into another WTA wager :eek: